Publications

2019 PUBLICATIONS

Abramowitz, G., Herger, N., Gutmann, E., Hammerling, D., Knutti, R., Leduc, M., Lorenz, R., Pincus, R., Schmidt, G.A., 2019. ESD Reviews: Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing. Earth System Dynamics 10, 91–105. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-91-2019

Hobeichi, S., Abramowitz, G., Evans, J., Beck, H.E., 2019. Linear Optimal Runoff Aggregate (LORA): a global gridded synthesis runoff product. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 23, 851–870. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-851-2019

Alexander, L.V., Fowler, H.J., Bador, M., Behrangi, A., Donat, M.G., Dunn, R., Funk, C., Goldie, J., Lewis, E., Rogé, M., Seneviratne, S.I., Venugopal, V., 2019. On the use of indices to study extreme precipitation on sub-daily and daily timescales. Environmental Research Letters 14, 125008. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab51b6

Beggs, P.J., Zhang, Y., Bambrick, H., Berry, H.L., Linnenluecke, M.K., Trueck, S., Bi, P., Boylan, S.M., Green, D., Guo, Y., Hanigan, I.C., Johnston, F.H., Madden, D.L., Malik, A., Morgan, G.G., Perkins‐Kirkpatrick, S., Rychetnik, L., Stevenson, M., Watts, N., Capon, A.G., 2019. The 2019 report of the MJA – Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: a turbulent year with mixed progress. Medical Journal of Australia 211, 490. https://doi.org/10.5694/mja2.50405

Bellprat, O., Guemas, V., Doblas-Reyes, F., Donat, M.G., 2019. Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution. Nature Communications 10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09729-2
Bengtson, S.A., Meissner, K.J., Menviel, L., Sisson, S.A., Wilkin, J., 2019. Evaluating the Extent of North Atlantic Deep Water and the Mean Atlantic δ 13 C From Statistical Reconstructions. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology 34, 1022–1036. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019PA003589

Bian, F., Coleborn, K., Flemons, I., Baker, Andy, Treble, P.C., Hughes, C.E., Baker, Andrew, Andersen, M.S., Tozer, M.G., Duan, W., Fogwill, C.J., Fairchild, I.J., 2019. Hydrological and geochemical responses of fire in a shallow cave system. Science of The Total Environment 662, 180–191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.102

Blunden, J., Arndt, D.S., 2019. State of the Climate in 2018. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 100, Si-S306. https://doi.org/10.1175/2019BAMSStateoftheClimate.1
Bordbar, M.H., England, M.H., Sen Gupta, A., Santoso, A., Taschetto, A.S., Martin, T., Park, W., Latif, M., 2019. Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability. Nature Communications 10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09761-2

Burrell, A.L., Evans, J.P., Liu, Y., 2019. The Addition of Temperature to the TSS-RESTREND Methodology Significantly Improves the Detection of Dryland Degradation. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing 12, 2342–2348. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSTARS.2019.2906466

Capron, E., Rovere, A., Austermann, J., Axford, Y., Barlow, N.L.M., Carlson, A.E., de Vernal, A., Dutton, A., Kopp, R.E., McManus, J.F., Menviel, L., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Robinson, A., Shakun, J.D., Tzedakis, P.C., Wolff, E.W., 2019. Challenges and research priorities to understand interactions between climate, ice sheets and global mean sea level during past interglacials. Quaternary Science Reviews 219, 308–311. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.06.030

Chen, H., Li, L., Luo, X., Li, Y., Liu, D.L., Zhao, Y., Feng, H., Deng, J., 2019. Modeling impacts of mulching and climate change on crop production and N2O emission in the Loess Plateau of China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 268, 86–97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.01.002

Choudhury, D., Mehrotra, R., Sharma, A., Sen Gupta, A., Sivakumar, B., 2019. Effectiveness of CMIP5 Decadal Experiments for Interannual Rainfall Prediction Over Australia. Water Resources Research 55, 7400–7418. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024462

Colin, M., Sherwood, S., Geoffroy, O., Bony, S., Fuchs, D., 2019. Identifying the Sources of Convective Memory in Cloud-Resolving Simulations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 76, 947–962. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0036.1

Cooper, N., Green, D., Knibbs, L.D., 2019. Inequalities in exposure to the air pollutants PM 2.5 and NO 2 in Australia. Environmental Research Letters 14, 115005. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab486a
De Kauwe, M.G., Medlyn, B.E., Pitman, A.J., Drake, J.E., Ukkola, A., Griebel, A., Pendall, E., Prober, S., Roderick, M., 2019. Examining the evidence for decoupling between photosynthesis and transpiration during heat extremes. Biogeosciences 16, 903–916. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-903-2019

Di Virgilio, G., Evans, J.P., Blake, S.A.P., Armstrong, M., Dowdy, A.J., Sharples, J., McRae, R., 2019a. Climate Change Increases the Potential for Extreme Wildfires. Geophysical Research Letters 46, 8517–8526. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083699

Di Virgilio, G., Evans, J.P., Di Luca, A., Olson, R., Argüeso, D., Kala, J., Andrys, J., Hoffmann, P., Katzfey, J.J., Rockel, B., 2019b. Evaluating reanalysis-driven CORDEX regional climate models over Australia: model performance and errors. Climate Dynamics 53, 2985–3005. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04672-w

Donat, M.G., Angélil, O., Ukkola, A.M., 2019. Intensification of precipitation extremes in the world’s humid and water-limited regions. Environmental Research Letters 14, 065003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab1c8e
Dowdy, A.J., Pepler, A., Di Luca, A., Cavicchia, L., Mills, G., Evans, J.P., Louis, S., McInnes, K.L., Walsh, K., 2019a. Review of Australian east coast low pressure systems and associated extremes. Climate Dynamics 53, 4887–4910. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04836-8

Dowdy, A.J., Ye, H., Pepler, A., Thatcher, M., Osbrough, S.L., Evans, J.P., Di Virgilio, G., McCarthy, N., 2019b. Future changes in extreme weather and pyroconvection risk factors for Australian wildfires. Scientific Reports 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-46362-x

Du, H., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., Lippmann, T., Srivastava, A., Salinger, J., Kruger, A., Choi, G., He, H.S., Fujibe, F., Rusticucci, M., Nandintsetseg, B., Manzanas, R., Rehman, S., Abbas, F., Zhai, P., Yabi, I., Stambaugh, M.C., Wang, S., Batbold, A., Oliveira, P.T., Adrees, M., Hou, W., Zong, S., Santos e Silva, C.M., Lucio, P.S., Wu, Z., 2019. Precipitation From Persistent Extremes is Increasing in Most Regions and Globally. Geophysical Research Letters 46, 6041–6049. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL081898

Dutheil, C., Bador, M., Lengaigne, M., Lefèvre, J., Jourdain, N.C., Vialard, J., Jullien, S., Peltier, A., Menkes, C., 2019. Impact of surface temperature biases on climate change projections of the South Pacific Convergence Zone. Climate Dynamics 53, 3197–3219. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04692-6

Escalle, L., Scutt Phillips, J., Brownjohn, M., Brouwer, S., Sen Gupta, A., Van Sebille, E., Hampton, J., Pilling, G., 2019. Environmental versus operational drivers of drifting FAD beaching in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean. Scientific Reports 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-50364-0

Eyring, V., Cox, P.M., Flato, G.M., Gleckler, P.J., Abramowitz, G., Caldwell, P., Collins, W.D., Gier, B.K., Hall, A.D., Hoffman, F.M., Hurtt, G.C., Jahn, A., Jones, C.D., Klein, S.A., Krasting, J.P., Kwiatkowski, L., Lorenz, R., Maloney, E., Meehl, G.A., Pendergrass, A.G., Pincus, R., Ruane, A.C., Russell, J.L., Sanderson, B.M., Santer, B.D., Sherwood, S.C., Simpson, I.R., Stouffer, R.J., Williamson, M.S., 2019. Taking climate model evaluation to the next level. Nature Climate Change 9, 102–110. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y

Fleischer, K., Rammig, A., De Kauwe, M.G., Walker, A.P., Domingues, T.F., Fuchslueger, L., Garcia, S., Goll, D.S., Grandis, A., Jiang, M., Haverd, V., Hofhansl, F., Holm, J.A., Kruijt, B., Leung, F., Medlyn, B.E., Mercado, L.M., Norby, R.J., Pak, B., von Randow, C., Quesada, C.A., Schaap, K.J., Valverde-Barrantes, O.J., Wang, Y.-P., Yang, X., Zaehle, S., Zhu, Q., Lapola, D.M., 2019. Amazon forest response to CO2 fertilization dependent on plant phosphorus acquisition. Nature Geoscience 12, 736–741. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0404-9

Foppert, A., Rintoul, S.R., England, M.H., 2019. Along‐Slope Variability of Cross‐Slope Eddy Transport in East Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters 46, 8224–8233. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082999
Fox-Kemper, B., Adcroft, A., Böning, C.W., Chassignet, E.P., Curchitser, E., Danabasoglu, G., Eden, C., England, M.H., Gerdes, R., Greatbatch, R.J., Griffies, S.M., Hallberg, R.W., Hanert, E., Heimbach, P., Hewitt, H.T., Hill, C.N., Komuro, Y., Legg, S., Le Sommer, J., Masina, S., Marsland, S.J., Penny, S.G., Qiao, F., Ringler, T.D., Treguier, A.M., Tsujino, H., Uotila, P., Yeager, S.G., 2019. Challenges and Prospects in Ocean Circulation Models. Frontiers in Marine Science 6. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00065

Funk, C., Harrison, L., Alexander, L., Peterson, P., Behrangi, A., Husak, G., 2019. Exploring trends in wet-season precipitation and drought indices in wet, humid and dry regions. Environmental Research Letters 14, 115002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab4a6c

Ge, J., Guo, W., Pitman, A.J., De Kauwe, M.G., Chen, X., Fu, C., 2019a. The Nonradiative Effect Dominates Local Surface Temperature Change Caused by Afforestation in China. Journal of Climate 32, 4445–4471. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0772.1

Ge, J., Pitman, A.J., Guo, W., Wang, S., Fu, C., 2019b. Do Uncertainties in the Reconstruction of Land Cover Affect the Simulation of Air Temperature and Rainfall in the CORDEX Region of East Asia? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 124, 3647–3670. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029945

Goldie, J., Alexander, L., Lewis, S.C., Sherwood, S.C., Bambrick, H., 2019. Correction to: Changes in relative fit of human heat stress indices to cardiovascular, respiratory, and renal hospitalizations across five Australian urban populations. International Journal of Biometeorology 63, 561–561. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-019-01697-y

Gottschalk, J., Battaglia, G., Fischer, H., Frölicher, T.L., Jaccard, S.L., Jeltsch-Thömmes, A., Joos, F., Köhler, P., Meissner, K.J., Menviel, L., Nehrbass-Ahles, C., Schmitt, J., Schmittner, A., Skinner, L.C., Stocker, T.F., 2019. Mechanisms of millennial-scale atmospheric CO2 change in numerical model simulations. Quaternary Science Reviews 220, 30–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.05.013

Goyal, R., England, M.H., Sen Gupta, A., Jucker, M., 2019. Reduction in surface climate change achieved by the 1987 Montreal Protocol. Environmental Research Letters 14, 124041. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab4874

Gregory, J.M., Griffies, S.M., Hughes, C.W., Lowe, J.A., Church, J.A., Fukimori, I., Gomez, N., Kopp, R.E., Landerer, F., Cozannet, G.L., Ponte, R.M., Stammer, D., Tamisiea, M.E., van de Wal, R.S.W., 2019a. Concepts and Terminology for Sea Level: Mean, Variability and Change, Both Local and Global. Surveys in Geophysics 40, 1251–1289. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09525-z

Gregory, J.M., Griffies, S.M., Hughes, C.W., Lowe, J.A., Church, J.A., Fukumori, I., Gomez, N., Kopp, R.E., Landerer, F., Cozannet, G.L., Ponte, R.M., Stammer, D., Tamisiea, M.E., van de Wal, R.S.W., 2019b. Correction to: Concepts and Terminology for Sea Level: Mean, Variability and Change, Both Local and Global. Surveys in Geophysics 40, 1291–1292. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09555-7

Groeskamp, S., de Lavergne, C., Holmes, R., Tamsitt, V., Frenger, I., Chapman, C.C., Newsom, E., Stanley, G.J., 2019. Climate Recorded in Seawater: A Workshop on Water-Mass Transformation Analysis for Ocean and Climate Studies. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 100, ES243–ES247. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0153.1

Grose, M.R., Syktus, J., Thatcher, M., Evans, J.P., Ji, F., Rafter, T., Remenyi, T., 2019. The role of topography on projected rainfall change in mid-latitude mountain regions. Climate Dynamics 53, 3675–3690. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04736-x
Gross, M.H., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., 2019. Changes in daily temperature extremes relative to the mean in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models and observations. International Journal of Climatology 39, 5273–5291. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6138

Harrington, L.J., Lewis, S., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., King, A.D., Otto, F.E.L., 2019. Embracing the complexity of extreme weather events when quantifying their likelihood of recurrence in a warming world. Environmental Research Letters 14, 024018. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf2dc

Herger, N., Abramowitz, G., Sherwood, S., Knutti, R., Angélil, O., Sisson, S.A., 2019. Ensemble optimisation, multiple constraints and overconfidence: a case study with future Australian precipitation change. Climate Dynamics 53, 1581–1596. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04690-8

Hinkel, J., Church, J.A., Gregory, J.M., Lambert, E., Le Cozannet, G., Lowe, J., McInnes, K.L., Nicholls, R.J., Pol, T.D., Wal, R., 2019. Meeting User Needs for Sea Level Rise Information: A Decision Analysis Perspective. Earth’s Future 7, 320–337. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001071

Holbrook, N.J., Scannell, H.A., Sen Gupta, A., Benthuysen, J.A., Feng, M., Oliver, E.C.J., Alexander, L.V., Burrows, M.T., Donat, M.G., Hobday, A.J., Moore, P.J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Smale, D.A., Straub, S.C., Wernberg, T., 2019. A global assessment of marine heatwaves and their drivers. Nature Communications 10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10206-z

Holgate, C.M., Van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Evans, J.P., Pitman, A.J., 2019. The Importance of the One‐Dimensional Assumption in Soil Moisture ‐ Rainfall Depth Correlation at Varying Spatial Scales. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 124, 2964–2975. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029762

Holmes, R. M., de Lavergne, C., McDougall, T.J., 2019. Tracer Transport within Abyssal Mixing Layers. Journal of Physical Oceanography 49, 2669–2695. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-19-0006.1

Holmes, Ryan M., McGregor, S., Santoso, A., England, M.H., 2019a. Contribution of tropical instability waves to ENSO irregularity. Climate Dynamics 52, 1837–1855. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4217-0

Holmes, Ryan M., Zika, J.D., England, M.H., 2019b. Diathermal Heat Transport in a Global Ocean Model. Journal of Physical Oceanography 49, 141–161. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-18-0098.1

Holmes, Ryan M., Zika, J.D., England, M.H., 2019c. Reply to “Comments on ‘Diathermal Heat Transport in a Global Ocean Model.’” Journal of Physical Oceanography 49, 2195–2197. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-19-0139.1

Holmes, Ryan M., Zika, J.D., Ferrari, R., Thompson, A.F., Newsom, E.R., England, M.H., 2019d. Atlantic Ocean Heat Transport Enabled by Indo‐Pacific Heat Uptake and Mixing. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085160

Imran, H.M., Kala, J., Ng, A.W.M., Muthukumaran, S., 2019. Impacts of future urban expansion on urban heat island effects during heatwave events in the city of Melbourne in southeast Australia. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 145, 2586–2602. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3580

Irving, D., 2019. Python for Atmosphere and Ocean Scientists. Journal of Open Source Education 2, 37. https://doi.org/10.21105/jose.00037

Irving, D.B., Wijffels, S., Church, J.A., 2019. Anthropogenic Aerosols, Greenhouse Gases, and the Uptake, Transport, and Storage of Excess Heat in the Climate System. Geophysical Research Letters 46, 4894–4903. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082015

Jiang, M., Zaehle, S., De Kauwe, M.G., Walker, A.P., Caldararu, S., Ellsworth, D.S., Medlyn, B.E., 2019. The quasi-equilibrium framework revisited: analyzing long-term CO 2 enrichment responses in plant–soil models. Geoscientific Model Development 12, 2069–2089. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2069-2019

Kajtar, J.B., Collins, M., Frankcombe, L.M., England, M.H., Osborn, T.J., Juniper, M., 2019. Global Mean Surface Temperature Response to Large‐Scale Patterns of Variability in Observations and CMIP5. Geophysical Research Letters 46, 2232–2241. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081462

Knauer, J., Zaehle, S., De Kauwe, M.G., Bahar, N.H.A., Evans, J.R., Medlyn, B.E., Reichstein, M., Werner, C., 2019. Effects of mesophyll conductance on vegetation responses to elevated CO 2 concentrations in a land surface model. Global Change Biology 25, 1820–1838. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14604

Kvale, K.F., Turner, K.E., Landolfi, A., Meissner, K.J., 2019. Phytoplankton calcifiers control nitrate cycling and the pace of transition in warming icehouse and cooling greenhouse climates. Biogeosciences 16, 1019–1034. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-1019-2019

Lago, V., England, M.H., 2019. Projected Slowdown of Antarctic Bottom Water Formation in Response to Amplified Meltwater Contributions. Journal of Climate 32, 6319–6335. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0622.1

Lavergne, A., Graven, H., De Kauwe, M.G., Keenan, T.F., Medlyn, B.E., Prentice, I.C., 2019. Observed and modelled historical trends in the water‐use efficiency of plants and ecosystems. Global Change Biology. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14634

Lewis, E., Fowler, H., Alexander, L., Dunn, R., McClean, F., Barbero, R., Guerreiro, S., Li, X.-F., Blenkinsop, S., 2019. GSDR: A Global Sub-Daily Rainfall Dataset. Journal of Climate 32, 4715–4729. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0143.1

Lewis, S.C., Perkins‐Kirkpatrick, S.E., Althor, G., King, A.D., Kemp, L., 2019. Assessing Contributions of Major Emitters’ Paris‐Era Decisions to Future Temperature Extremes. Geophysical Research Letters 46, 3936–3943. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081608

Li, L., Yao, N., Li, Y., Liu, D.L., Wang, B., Ayantobo, O.O., 2019. Future projections of extreme temperature events in different sub-regions of China. Atmospheric Research 217, 150–164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.10.019

Li, Q., Lee, S., England, M.H., McClean, J.L., 2019. Seasonal-to-Interannual Response of Southern Ocean Mixed Layer Depth to the Southern Annular Mode from a Global 1/10° Ocean Model. Journal of Climate 32, 6177–6195. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0159.1

Liu, Y., Donat, M.G., Rust, H.W., Alexander, L.V., England, M.H., 2019a. Decadal predictability of temperature and precipitation means and extremes in a perfect-model experiment. Climate Dynamics 53, 3711–3729. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04734-z

Liu, Y., Donat, M.G., Taschetto, A.S., Doblas‐Reyes, F.J., Alexander, L.V., England, M.H., 2019b. A Framework to Determine the Limits of Achievable Skill for Interannual to Decadal Climate Predictions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 124, 2882–2896. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029541

Lowry, D.P., Golledge, N.R., Menviel, L., Bertler, N.A.N., 2019. Deglacial evolution of regional Antarctic climate and Southern Ocean conditions in transient climate simulations. Climate of the Past 15, 189–215. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-189-2019

Luo, Z., Eady, S., Sharma, B., Grant, T., Liu, D.L., Cowie, A., Farquharson, R., Simmons, A., Crawford, D., Searle, R., Moore, A., 2019. Mapping future soil carbon change and its uncertainty in croplands using simple surrogates of a complex farming system model. Geoderma 337, 311–321. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2018.09.041

Maher, P., Gerber, E.P., Medeiros, B., Merlis, T.M., Sherwood, S., Sheshadri, A., Sobel, A.H., Vallis, G.K., Voigt, A., Zurita‐Gotor, P., 2019. Model Hierarchies for Understanding Atmospheric Circulation. Reviews of Geophysics 57, 250–280. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018RG000607

Makarim, S., Sprintall, J., Liu, Z., Yu, W., Santoso, A., Yan, X.-H., Susanto, R.D., 2019. Previously unidentified Indonesian Throughflow pathways and freshening in the Indian Ocean during recent decades. Scientific Reports 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-43841-z

Mapes, B., Chandra, A.S., Kuang, Z., Song, S., Zuidema, P., 2019. Estimating Convection’s Moisture Sensitivity: An Observation–Model Synthesis Using AMIE-DYNAMO Field Data. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 76, 1505–1520. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0127.1

McGree, S., Herold, N., Alexander, L., Schreider, S., Kuleshov, Y., Ene, E., Finaulahi, S., Inape, K., Mackenzie, B., Malala, H., Ngari, A., Prakash, B., Tahani, L., 2019. Recent Changes in Mean and Extreme Temperature and Precipitation in the Western Pacific Islands. Journal of Climate 32, 4919–4941. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0748.1

McNeil, B.I., Matsumoto, K., 2019. The changing ocean and freshwater CO2 system, in: Fish Physiology. Elsevier, pp. 1–32.

Meijers, A.J.S., Cerovečki, I., King, B.A., Tamsitt, V., 2019. A See‐Saw in Pacific Subantarctic Mode Water Formation Driven by Atmospheric Modes. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085280

Menviel, L., 2019. The southern amplifier. Science 363, 1040–1041. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw7196

Menviel, L., Capron, E., Govin, A., Dutton, A., Tarasov, L., Abe-Ouchi, A., Drysdale, R.N., Gibbard, P.L., Gregoire, L., He, F., Ivanovic, R.F., Kageyama, M., Kawamura, K., Landais, A., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Oyabu, I., Tzedakis, P.C., Wolff, E., Zhang, X., 2019. The penultimate deglaciation: protocol for Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) phase 4 transient numerical simulations between 140 and 127 ka, version 1.0. Geoscientific Model Development 12, 3649–3685. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3649-2019

Meyssignac, B., Boyer, T., Zhao, Z., Hakuba, M.Z., Landerer, F.W., Stammer, D., Köhl, A., Kato, S., L’Ecuyer, T., Ablain, M., Abraham, J.P., Blazquez, A., Cazenave, A., Church, J.A., Cowley, R., Cheng, L., Domingues, C.M., Giglio, D., Gouretski, V., Ishii, M., Johnson, G.C., Killick, R.E., Legler, D., Llovel, W., Lyman, J., Palmer, M.D., Piotrowicz, S., Purkey, S.G., Roemmich, D., Roca, R., Savita, A., Schuckmann, K. von, Speich, S., Stephens, G., Wang, G., Wijffels, S.E., Zilberman, N., 2019. Measuring Global Ocean Heat Content to Estimate the Earth Energy Imbalance. Frontiers in Marine Science 6. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00432

Missiaen, L., Waelbroeck, C., Pichat, S., Jaccard, S.L., Eynaud, F., Greenop, R., Burke, A., 2019. Improving North Atlantic Marine Core Chronologies Using 230 Th Normalization. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology 34, 1057–1073. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018PA003444

Moron, V., Barbero, R., Evans, J.P., Westra, S., Fowler, H.J., 2019. Weather Types and Hourly to Multiday Rainfall Characteristics in Tropical Australia. Journal of Climate 32, 3983–4011. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0384.1

Nevill, P.G., Robinson, T.P., Di Virgilio, G., Wardell‐Johnson, G., 2019. Beyond isolation by distance: What best explains functional connectivity among populations of three sympatric plant species in an ancient terrestrial island system? Diversity and Distributions 25, 1551–1563. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12959

Nishant, N., Sherwood, S.C., Geoffroy, O., 2019. Aerosol-induced modification of organised convection and top-of-atmosphere radiation. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 2. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-019-0089-1

Olson, R., An, S.-I., Fan, Y., Chang, W., Evans, J.P., Lee, J.-Y., 2019. A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models. Nature Communications 10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10561-x

Olson, Roman, An, S.-I., Fan, Y., Evans, J.P., 2019. Accounting for skill in trend, variability, and autocorrelation facilitates better multi-model projections: Application to the AMOC and temperature time series. PLOS ONE 14, e0214535. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0214535

Palmer, M.D., Durack, P.J., Chidichimo, M.P., Church, J.A., Cravatte, S., Hill, K., Johannessen, J.A., Karstensen, J., Lee, T., Legler, D., Mazloff, M., Oka, E., Purkey, S., Rabe, B., Sallée, J.-B., Sloyan, B.M., Speich, S., von Schuckmann, K., Willis, J., Wijffels, S., 2019. Adequacy of the Ocean Observation System for Quantifying Regional Heat and Freshwater Storage and Change. Frontiers in Marine Science 6. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00416

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., King, A.D., Cougnon, E.A., Holbrook, N.J., Grose, M.R., Oliver, E.C.J., Lewis, S.C., Pourasghar, F., 2019. The Role of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Climate Change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea Marine Heatwave. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 100, S105–S110. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0116.1

Perry, S.J., McGregor, S., Sen Gupta, A., England, M.H., Maher, N., 2019. Projected late 21st century changes to the regional impacts of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05006-6

Prasad, A.A., Sherwood, S.C., Reeder, M.J., Lane, T.P., 2019. Rapidly Evolving Cirrus Clouds Modulated by Convectively Generated Gravity Waves. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030538

Purich, A., England, M.H., 2019. Tropical Teleconnections to Antarctic Sea Ice During Austral Spring 2016 in Coupled Pacemaker Experiments. Geophysical Research Letters 46, 6848–6858. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082671

Rainsley, E., Turney, C.S.M., Golledge, N.R., Wilmshurst, J.M., McGlone, M.S., Hogg, A.G., Li, B., Thomas, Z.A., Roberts, R., Jones, R.T., Palmer, J.G., Flett, V., de Wet, G., Hutchinson, D.K., Lipson, M.J., Fenwick, P., Hines, B.R., Binetti, U., Fogwill, C.J., 2019. Pleistocene glacial history of the New Zealand subantarctic islands. Climate of the Past 15, 423–448. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-423-2019

Roca, R., Alexander, L.V., Potter, G., Bador, M., Jucá, R., Contractor, S., Bosilovich, M.G., Cloché, S., 2019. FROGS: a daily 1° × 1° gridded precipitation database of rain gauge, satellite and reanalysis products. Earth System Science Data 11, 1017–1035. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-1017-2019

Rodrigues, R.R., Taschetto, A.S., Sen Gupta, A., Foltz, G.R., 2019. Common cause for severe droughts in South America and marine heatwaves in the South Atlantic. Nature Geoscience 12, 620–626. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0393-8

Sadatzki, H., Dokken, T.M., Berben, S.M.P., Muschitiello, F., Stein, R., Fahl, K., Menviel, L., Timmermann, A., Jansen, E., 2019. Sea ice variability in the southern Norwegian Sea during glacial Dansgaard-Oeschger climate cycles. Science Advances 5, eaau6174. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aau6174

Salinger, M.J., Renwick, J., Behrens, E., Mullan, A.B., Diamond, H.J., Sirguey, P., Smith, R.O., Trought, M.C.T., Alexander, L., Cullen, N.J., Fitzharris, B.B., Hepburn, C.D., Parker, A.K., Sutton, P.J., 2019. The unprecedented coupled ocean-atmosphere summer heatwave in the New Zealand region 2017/18: drivers, mechanisms and impacts. Environmental Research Letters 14, 044023. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab012a

Santoso, A., Hendon, H., Watkins, A., Power, S., Dommenget, D., England, M.H., Frankcombe, L., Holbrook, N.J., Holmes, R., Hope, P., Lim, E.-P., Luo, J.-J., McGregor, S., Neske, S., Nguyen, H., Pepler, A., Rashid, H., Gupta, A.S., Taschetto, A.S., Wang, G., Abellán, E., Sullivan, A., Huguenin, M.F., Gamble, F., Delage, F., 2019. Dynamics and Predictability of El Niño–Southern Oscillation: An Australian Perspective on Progress and Challenges. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 100, 403–420. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0057.1

Smale, D.A., Wernberg, T., Oliver, E.C.J., Thomsen, M., Harvey, B.P., Straub, S.C., Burrows, M.T., Alexander, L.V., Benthuysen, J.A., Donat, M.G., Feng, M., Hobday, A.J., Holbrook, N.J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Scannell, H.A., Sen Gupta, A., Payne, B.L., Moore, P.J., 2019. Marine heatwaves threaten global biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem services. Nature Climate Change 9, 306–312. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0412-1

Smith, N., Kessler, W.S., Cravatte, S., Sprintall, J., Wijffels, S., Cronin, M.F., Sutton, A., Serra, Y.L., Dewitte, B., Strutton, P.G., Hill, K., Sen Gupta, A., Lin, X., Takahashi, K., Chen, D., Brunner, S., 2019. Tropical Pacific Observing System. Frontiers in Marine Science 6. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00031

Stammer, D., Wal, R.S.W., Nicholls, R.J., Church, J.A., Le Cozannet, G., Lowe, J.A., Horton, B.P., White, K., Behar, D., Hinkel, J., 2019. Framework for High‐End Estimates of Sea Level Rise for Stakeholder Applications. Earth’s Future 7, 923–938. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001163

Stellema, A., Sen Gupta, A., Taschetto, A.S., 2019. Projected slow down of South Indian Ocean circulation. Scientific Reports 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-54092-3

Stone, D.A., Christidis, N., Folland, C., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Perlwitz, J., Shiogama, H., Wehner, M.F., Wolski, P., Cholia, S., Krishnan, H., Murray, D., Angélil, O., Beyerle, U., Ciavarella, A., Dittus, A., Quan, X.-W., Tadross, M., 2019. Experiment design of the International CLIVAR C20C+ Detection and Attribution project. Weather and Climate Extremes 24, 100206. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100206

Swart, S., Gille, S.T., Delille, B., Josey, S., Mazloff, M., Newman, L., Thompson, A.F., Thomson, J., Ward, B., du Plessis, M.D., Kent, E.C., Girton, J., Gregor, L., Heil, P., Hyder, P., Pezzi, L.P., de Souza, R.B., Tamsitt, V., Weller, R.A., Zappa, C.J., 2019. Constraining Southern Ocean Air-Sea-Ice Fluxes Through Enhanced Observations. Frontiers in Marine Science 6. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00421

Tamsitt, V., Talley, L.D., Mazloff, M.R., 2019. A Deep Eastern Boundary Current Carrying Indian Deep Water South of Australia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 124, 2218–2238. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014569

Thomas, C.M., Sharples, J.J., Evans, J.P., 2019. The terminal-velocity assumption in simulations of long-range ember transport. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2019.08.008

Thomas, Z.A., Turney, C.S.M., Hogg, A., Williams, A.N., Fogwill, C.J., 2019. Investigating Subantarctic 14 C Ages of Different Peat Components: Site and Sample Selection for Developing Robust Age Models in Dynamic Landscapes. Radiocarbon 61, 1009–1027. https://doi.org/10.1017/RDC.2019.54

Todd, R.E., Chavez, F.P., Clayton, S., Cravatte, S., Goes, M., Graco, M., Lin, X., Sprintall, J., Zilberman, N.V., Archer, M., Arístegui, J., Balmaseda, M., Bane, J.M., Baringer, M.O., Barth, J.A., Beal, L.M., Brandt, P., Calil, P.H.R., Campos, E., Centurioni, L.R., Chidichimo, M.P., Cirano, M., Cronin, M.F., Curchitser, E.N., Davis, R.E., Dengler, M., deYoung, B., Dong, S., Escribano, R., Fassbender, A.J., Fawcett, S.E., Feng, M., Goni, G.J., Gray, A.R., Gutiérrez, D., Hebert, D., Hummels, R., Ito, S., Krug, M., Lacan, F., Laurindo, L., Lazar, A., Lee, C.M., Lengaigne, M., Levine, N.M., Middleton, J., Montes, I., Muglia, M., Nagai, T., Palevsky, H.I., Palter, J.B., Phillips, H.E., Piola, A., Plueddemann, A.J., Qiu, B., Rodrigues, R.R., Roughan, M., Rudnick, D.L., Rykaczewski, R.R., Saraceno, M., Seim, H., Gupta, A.S., Shannon, L., Sloyan, B.M., Sutton, A.J., Thompson, L., Plas, A.K. van der, Volkov, D., Wilkin, J., Zhang, D., Zhang, L., 2019. Global Perspectives on Observing Ocean Boundary Current Systems. Frontiers in Marine Science 6. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00423

Ukkola, A.M., Roderick, M.L., Barker, A., Pitman, A.J., 2019. Exploring the stationarity of Australian temperature, precipitation and pan evaporation records over the last century. Environmental Research Letters 14, 124035. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab545c

van der Horst, S.V.J., Pitman, A.J., De Kauwe, M.G., Ukkola, A., Abramowitz, G., Isaac, P., 2019. How representative are FLUXNET measurements of surface fluxes during temperature extremes? Biogeosciences 16, 1829–1844. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-1829-2019

Villafuerte, M.Q., Macadam, I., Daron, J., Katzfey, J., Cinco, T.A., Ares, E.D., Jones, R.G., 2019. Projected changes in rainfall and temperature over the Philippines from multiple dynamical downscaling models. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6301

Vogel, E., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., Meinshausen, M., Ray, D.K., Karoly, D., Meinshausen, N., Frieler, K., 2019. The effects of climate extremes on global agricultural yields. Environmental Research Letters 14, 054010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab154b

Wang, B., Feng, P., Chen, C., Liu, D.L., Waters, C., Yu, Q., 2019a. Designing wheat ideotypes to cope with future changing climate in South-Eastern Australia. Agricultural Systems 170, 9–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.12.005

Wang, B., Liu, D.L., Evans, J.P., Ji, F., Waters, C., Macadam, I., Feng, P., Beyer, K., 2019b. Modelling and evaluating the impacts of climate change on three major crops in south-eastern Australia using regional climate model simulations. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 138, 509–526. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-019-02843-7

Waugh, D.W., McC. Hogg, A., Spence, P., England, M.H., Haine, T.W.N., 2019. Response of Southern Ocean Ventilation to Changes in Midlatitude Westerly Winds. Journal of Climate 32, 5345–5361. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0039.1

Webb, D.J., Holmes, R.M., Spence, P., England, M.H., 2019. Barotropic Kelvin Wave‐Induced Bottom Boundary Layer Warming Along the West Antarctic Peninsula. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 124, 1595–1615. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014227

Wei, F., Wang, S., Fu, B., Wang, L., Liu, Y.Y., Li, Y., 2019. African dryland ecosystem changes controlled by soil water. Land Degradation & Development 30, 1564–1573. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.3342

White, I., Garfinkel, C.I., Gerber, E.P., Jucker, M., Aquila, V., Oman, L.D., 2019. The Downward Influence of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings: Association with Tropospheric Precursors. Journal of Climate 32, 85–108. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0053.1

Wu, Q., Zhang, X., Church, J.A., Hu, J., 2019. ENSO-Related Global Ocean Heat Content Variations. Journal of Climate 32, 45–68. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0861.1

Yeung, N.K.H., Menviel, L., Meissner, K.J., Sikes, E., 2019. Assessing the Spatial Origin of Meltwater Pulse 1A Using Oxygen‐Isotope Fingerprinting. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019PA003599

Yu, J., Menviel, L., Jin, Z.D., Thornalley, D.J.R., Foster, G.L., Rohling, E.J., McCave, I.N., McManus, J.F., Dai, Y., Ren, H., He, F., Zhang, F., Chen, P.J., Roberts, A.P., 2019. More efficient North Atlantic carbon pump during the Last Glacial Maximum. Nature Communications 10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10028-z

Zeller, M., McGregor, S., Spence, P., 2019. Hemispheric Asymmetry of the Pacific Shallow Meridional Overturning Circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 124, 5765–5786. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014840

Zhang, H., Zhou, G., Liu, D.L., Wang, B., Xiao, D., He, L., 2019. Climate-associated rice yield change in the Northeast China Plain: A simulation analysis based on CMIP5 multi-model ensemble projection. Science of The Total Environment 666, 126–138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.415

2018 PUBLICATIONS

Abellán, E., McGregor, S., England, M.H., Santoso, A., 2018. Distinctive role of ocean advection anomalies in the development of the extreme 2015–16 El Niño. Climate Dynamics 51, 2191–2208. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4007-0

Allen, K.J., Villalba, R., Lavergne, A., Palmer, J.G., Cook, E.C., Fenwick, P., Drew, D.M., Turney, C.S.M., Baker, P.J., 2018. A comparison of some simple methods used to detect unstable temperature responses in tree-ring chronologies. Dendrochronologia 48, 52–73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dendro.2018.02.002

Bador, M., Donat, M.G., Geoffroy, O., Alexander, L.V., 2018. Assessing the Robustness of Future Extreme Precipitation Intensification in the CMIP5 Ensemble. Journal of Climate 31, 6505–6525. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0683.1

Bao, J., Sherwood, S.C., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., 2018. Comments on “temperature-extreme precipitation scaling: A two-way causality?” International Journal of Climatology 38, 4661–4663. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5665

Béranger, B., Duong, T., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Sisson, S.A., 2018. Tail density estimation for exploratory data analysis using kernel methods. Journal of Nonparametric Statistics 31, 144–174. https://doi.org/10.1080/10485252.2018.1537442

Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Barbero, R., Chan, S.C., Guerreiro, S.B., Kendon, E., Lenderink, G., Lewis, E., Li, X.-F., Westra, S., Alexander, L., Allan, R.P., Berg, P., Dunn, R.J.H., Ekström, M., Evans, J.P., Holland, G., Jones, R., Kjellström, E., Klein-Tank, A., Lettenmaier, D., Mishra, V., Prein, A.F., Sheffield, J., Tye, M.R., 2018. The INTENSE project: using observations and models to understand the past, present and future of sub-daily rainfall extremes. Advances in Science and Research 15, 117–126. https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-15-117-2018

Bull, C.Y.S., Kiss, A.E., van Sebille, E., Jourdain, N.C., England, M.H., 2018. The Role of the New Zealand Plateau in the Tasman Sea Circulation and Separation of the East Australian Current. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 123, 1457–1470. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013412

Burrell, A.L., Evans, J.P., Liu, Y., 2018. The impact of dataset selection on land degradation assessment. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 146, 22–37. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2018.08.017

Cetina-Heredia, P., van Sebille, E., Matear, R.J., Roughan, M., 2018. Nitrate Sources, Supply, and Phytoplankton Growth in the Great Australian Bight: An Eulerian-Lagrangian Modeling Approach. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 123, 759–772. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013542

Chaivaranont, W., Evans, J.P., Liu, Y.Y., Sharples, J.J., 2018. Estimating grassland curing with remotely sensed data. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 18, 1535–1554. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-1535-2018

Chen, X., Liu, Y.Y., Evans, J.P., Parinussa, R.M., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Yebra, M., 2018. Estimating fire severity and carbon emissions over Australian tropical savannahs based on passive microwave satellite observations. International Journal of Remote Sensing 39, 6479–6498. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2018.1460507

Clarke, H., Evans, J.P., 2018. Exploring the future change space for fire weather in southeast Australia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2507-4

Contractor, S., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., 2018. Intensification of the Daily Wet Day Rainfall Distribution Across Australia. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078875

Cooper, N., Green, D., Sullivan, M., Cohen, D., 2018. Environmental justice analyses may hide inequalities in Indigenous people’s exposure to lead in Mount Isa, Queensland. Environmental Research Letters 13, 084004. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aad295

CSIRO, Hobday, A., Oliver, E., Sen Gupta, A., Benthuysen, J., Burrows, M., Donat, M., Holbrook, N., Moore, P., Thomsen, M., Wernberg, T., Smale, D., 2018. Categorizing and Naming Marine Heatwaves. Oceanography 31. https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2018.205

Dean, A., Green, D., 2018. Climate change, air pollution and human health in Sydney, Australia: A review of the literature. Environmental Research Letters 13, 053003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac02a

Di Virgilio, Giovanni, Hart, M.A., Jiang, N., 2018. Meteorological controls on atmospheric particulate pollution during hazard reduction burns. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 18, 6585–6599. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-6585-2018

Di Virgilio, G., Wardell-Johnson, G.W., Robinson, T.P., Temple-Smith, D., Hesford, J., 2018. Characterising fine-scale variation in plant species richness and endemism across topographically complex, semi-arid landscapes. Journal of Arid Environments 156, 59–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2018.04.005

Dittus, A.J., Karoly, D.J., Donat, M.G., Lewis, S.C., Alexander, L.V., 2018. Understanding the role of sea surface temperature-forcing for variability in global temperature and precipitation extremes. Weather and Climate Extremes 21, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.06.002

Dixit, V., Geoffroy, O., Sherwood, S.C., 2018a. Control of ITCZ Width by Low-Level Radiative Heating From Upper-Level Clouds in Aquaplanet Simulations. Geophysical Research Letters 45, 5788–5797. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078292

Dixit, V., Sherwood, S., Geoffroy, O., Mantsis, D., 2018b. The Role of Nonlinear Drying above the Boundary Layer in the Mid-Holocene African Monsoon. Journal of Climate 31, 233–249. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0234.1

Donat, M.G., Pitman, A.J., Angélil, O., 2018. Understanding and Reducing Future Uncertainty in Midlatitude Daily Heat Extremes Via Land Surface Feedback Constraints. Geophysical Research Letters 45, 10,627-10,636. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079128

Downes, S.M., Spence, P., Hogg, A.M., 2018. Understanding variability of the Southern Ocean overturning circulation in CORE-II models. Ocean Modelling 123, 98–109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.01.005

Evans, J., Kay, M., Prasad, A., Pitman, A., 2018. The resilience of Australian wind energy to climate change. Environmental Research Letters 13. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa632

Feng, P., Liu, D.L., Wang, B., Waters, C., Zhang, M., Yu, Q., 2018a. Projected changes in drought across the wheat belt of southeastern Australia using a downscaled climate ensemble. International Journal of Climatology 39, 1041–1053. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5861

Feng, P., Wang, B., Liu, D.L., Xing, H., Ji, F., Macadam, I., Ruan, H., Yu, Q., 2018b. Impacts of rainfall extremes on wheat yield in semi-arid cropping systems in eastern Australia. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2170-x

Fischer, H., Meissner, K.J., Mix, A.C., Abram, N.J., Austermann, J., Brovkin, V., Capron, E., Colombaroli, D., Daniau, A.-L., Dyez, K.A., Felis, T., Finkelstein, S.A., Jaccard, S.L., McClymont, E.L., Rovere, A., Sutter, J., Wolff, E.W., Affolter, S., Bakker, P., Ballesteros-Cánovas, J.A., Barbante, C., Caley, T., Carlson, A.E., Churakova, O., Cortese, G., Cumming, B.F., Davis, B.A.S., de Vernal, A., Emile-Geay, J., Fritz, S.C., Gierz, P., Gottschalk, J., Holloway, M.D., Joos, F., Kucera, M., Loutre, M.-F., Lunt, D.J., Marcisz, K., Marlon, J.R., Martinez, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., Nehrbass-Ahles, C., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Raible, C.C., Risebrobakken, B., Goñi, M.F.S., Arrigo, J.S., Sarnthein, M., Sjolte, J., Stocker, T.F., Alvárez, P.A.V., Tinner, W., Valdes, P.J., Vogel, H., Wanner, H., Yan, Q., Yu, Z., Ziegler, M., Zhou, L., 2018a. Author Correction: Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 °C anthropogenic warming and beyond. Nature Geoscience 11, 615–615. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0196-3

Fischer, H., Meissner, K.J., Mix, A.C., Abram, N.J., Austermann, J., Brovkin, V., Capron, E., Colombaroli, D., Daniau, A.-L., Dyez, K.A., Felis, T., Finkelstein, S.A., Jaccard, S.L., McClymont, E.L., Rovere, A., Sutter, J., Wolff, E.W., Affolter, S., Bakker, P., Ballesteros-Cánovas, J.A., Barbante, C., Caley, T., Carlson, A.E., Churakova, O., Cortese, G., Cumming, B.F., Davis, B.A.S., de Vernal, A., Emile-Geay, J., Fritz, S.C., Gierz, P., Gottschalk, J., Holloway, M.D., Joos, F., Kucera, M., Loutre, M.-F., Lunt, D.J., Marcisz, K., Marlon, J.R., Martinez, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., Nehrbass-Ahles, C., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Raible, C.C., Risebrobakken, B., Sánchez Goñi, M.F., Arrigo, J.S., Sarnthein, M., Sjolte, J., Stocker, T.F., Velasquez Alvárez, P.A., Tinner, W., Valdes, P.J., Vogel, H., Wanner, H., Yan, Q., Yu, Z., Ziegler, M., Zhou, L., 2018b. Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 °C anthropogenic warming and beyond. Nature Geoscience 11, 474–485. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0146-0

Frankcombe, L.M., England, M.H., Kajtar, J.B., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., 2018. On the Choice of Ensemble Mean for Estimating the Forced Signal in the Presence of Internal Variability. Journal of Climate 31, 5681–5693. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0662.1

Goldstein, M.A., Lynch, A.H., Zsom, A., Arbetter, T., Chang, A., Fetterer, F., 2018. The step-like evolution of Arctic open water. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-35064-5

Goslin, J., Fruergaard, M., Sander, L., Gałka, M., Menviel, L., Monkenbusch, J., Thibault, N., Clemmensen, L.B., 2018. Holocene centennial to millennial shifts in North-Atlantic storminess and ocean dynamics. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-29949-8

Gross, M.H., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., Sisson, S.A., 2018. The Sensitivity of Daily Temperature Variability and Extremes to Dataset Choice. Journal of Climate 31, 1337–1359. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0243.1

Harris, R.M.B., Beaumont, L.J., Vance, T.R., Tozer, C.R., Remenyi, T.A., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Mitchell, P.J., Nicotra, A.B., McGregor, S., Andrew, N.R., Letnic, M., Kearney, M.R., Wernberg, T., Hutley, L.B., Chambers, L.E., Fletcher, M.-S., Keatley, M.R., Woodward, C.A., Williamson, G., Duke, N.C., Bowman, D.M.J.S., 2018a. Biological responses to the press and pulse of climate trends and extreme events. Nature Climate Change 8, 579–587. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0187-9

Harris, R.M.B., Beaumont, L.J., Vance, T.R., Tozer, C.R., Remenyi, T.A., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Mitchell, P.J., Nicotra, A.B., McGregor, S., Andrew, N.R., Letnic, M., Kearney, M.R., Wernberg, T., Hutley, L.B., Chambers, L.E., Fletcher, M.-S., Keatley, M.R., Woodward, C.A., Williamson, G., Duke, N.C., Bowman, D.M.J.S., 2018b. Author Correction: Biological responses to the press and pulse of climate trends and extreme events. Nature Climate Change 8, 840–840. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0237-3

Haughton, N., Abramowitz, G., De Kauwe, M.G., Pitman, A.J., 2018a. Does predictability of fluxes vary between FLUXNET sites? Biogeosciences 15, 4495–4513. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-4495-2018

Haughton, N., Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A.J., 2018b. On the predictability of land surface fluxes from meteorological variables. Geoscientific Model Development 11, 195–212. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-195-2018

Herger, N., Abramowitz, G., Knutti, R., Angélil, O., Lehmann, K., Sanderson, B.M., 2018a. Selecting a climate model subset to optimise key ensemble properties. Earth System Dynamics 9, 135–151. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-135-2018

Herger, N., Angélil, O., Abramowitz, G., Donat, M., Stone, D., Lehmann, K., 2018b. Calibrating Climate Model Ensembles for Assessing Extremes in a Changing Climate. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123, 5988–6004. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028549

Hernandez-Deckers, D., Sherwood, S.C., 2018. On the Role of Entrainment in the Fate of Cumulus Thermals. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 75, 3911–3924. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0077.1

Herold, N., Ekström, M., Kala, J., Goldie, J., Evans, J.P., 2018. Australian climate extremes in the 21st century according to a regional climate model ensemble: Implications for health and agriculture. Weather and Climate Extremes 20, 54–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.01.001

Hobeichi, S., Abramowitz, G., Evans, J., Ukkola, A., 2018. Derived Optimal Linear Combination Evapotranspiration (DOLCE): a global gridded synthesis ET estimate. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 22, 1317–1336. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1317-2018

Holmes, R.M., de Lavergne, C., McDougall, T.J., 2018a. Ridges, Seamounts, Troughs, and Bowls: Topographic Control of the Dianeutral Circulation in the Abyssal Ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography 48, 861–882. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-17-0141.1

Holmes, R.M., McGregor, S., Santoso, A., England, M.H., 2018b. Contribution of tropical instability waves to ENSO irregularity. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4217-0

Ji, F., Evans, J.P., Di Luca, A., Jiang, N., Olson, R., Fita, L., Argüeso, D., Chang, L.T.-C., Scorgie, Y., Riley, M., 2018. Projected change in characteristics of near surface temperature inversions for southeast Australia. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4214-3

Jucker, M., Reichler, T., 2018. Dynamical Precursors for Statistical Prediction of Stratospheric Sudden Warming Events. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080691

King, A.D., Donat, M.G., Lewis, S.C., Henley, B.J., Mitchell, D.M., Stott, P.A., Fischer, E.M., Karoly, D.J., 2018. Reduced heat exposure by limiting global warming to 1.5 °C. Nature Climate Change 8, 549–551. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0191-0

Kobashi, T., Menviel, L., Jeltsch-Thömmes, A., Vinther, B.M., Box, J.E., Muscheler, R., Nakaegawa, T., Pfister, P.L., Döring, M., Leuenberger, M., Wanner, H., Ohmura, A., 2018. Author Correction: Volcanic influence on centennial to millennial Holocene Greenland temperature change. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-21307-y

Kondo, M., Ichii, K., Patra, P.K., Canadell, J.G., Poulter, B., Sitch, S., Calle, L., Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Saeki, T., Saigusa, N., Friedlingstein, P., Arneth, A., Harper, A., Jain, A.K., Kato, E., Koven, C., Li, F., Pugh, T.A.M., Zaehle, S., Wiltshire, A., Chevallier, F., Maki, T., Nakamura, T., Niwa, Y., Rödenbeck, C., 2018. Land use change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation drive decadal carbon balance shifts in Southeast Asia. Nature Communications 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-03374-x

Kosintsev, P., Mitchell, K.J., Devièse, T., van der Plicht, J., Kuitems, M., Petrova, E., Tikhonov, A., Higham, T., Comeskey, D., Turney, C., Cooper, A., van Kolfschoten, T., Stuart, A.J., Lister, A.M., 2018. Evolution and extinction of the giant rhinoceros Elasmotherium sibiricum sheds light on late Quaternary megafaunal extinctions. Nature Ecology & Evolution 3, 31–38. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-018-0722-0

Kvale, K.F., Turner, K.E., Keller, D.P., Meissner, K.J., 2018. Asymmetric dynamical ocean responses in warming icehouse and cooling greenhouse climates. Environmental Research Letters 13, 125011. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaedc3

Lawrence Livermore National Loboratory, Durack, P., Sen Gupta, A., Smedsrud, L., 2018. Introduction to the Special Issue on Ocean Warming. Oceanography 31, 28–31. https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2018.226

Li, J., Wasko, C., Johnson, F., Evans, J.P., Sharma, A., 2018. Can Regional Climate Modeling Capture the Observed Changes in Spatial Organization of Extreme Storms at Higher Temperatures? Geophysical Research Letters 45, 4475–4484. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077716

Lipson, M.J., Thatcher, M., Hart, M.A., Pitman, A., 2018. A building energy demand and urban land surface model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 144, 1572–1590. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3317

Liu, D.L., Wang, B., Evans, J., Ji, F., Waters, C., Macadam, I., Yang, X., Beyer, K., 2018. Propagation of climate model biases to biophysical modelling can complicate assessments of climate change impact in agricultural systems. International Journal of Climatology 39, 424–444. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5820

Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Miralles, D.G., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., de Jeu, R.A.M., Gentine, P., Huete, A., Parinussa, R.M., Wang, L., Guan, K., Berry, J., Restrepo-Coupe, N., 2018. Enhanced canopy growth precedes senescence in 2005 and 2010 Amazonian droughts. Remote Sensing of Environment 211, 26–37. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2018.03.035

Lorenz, R., Herger, N., Sedláček, J., Eyring, V., Fischer, E.M., Knutti, R., 2018. Prospects and Caveats of Weighting Climate Models for Summer Maximum Temperature Projections Over North America. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123, 4509–4526. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JD027992

Lorrey, A.M., Boswijk, G., Hogg, A., Palmer, J.G., Turney, C.S.M., Fowler, A.M., Ogden, J., Woolley, J.-M., 2018. The scientific value and potential of New Zealand swamp kauri. Quaternary Science Reviews 183, 124–139. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.12.019

Loughran, T.F., Pitman, A.J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., 2018. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation’s effect on summer heatwave development mechanisms in Australia. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4511-x

Ma, S., Pitman, A., Yang, J., Carouge, C., Evans, J.P., Hart, M., Green, D., 2018. Evaluating the Effectiveness of Mitigation Options on Heat Stress for Sydney, Australia. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 57, 209–220. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0061.1

Ma, Y., Sun, L., Liu, C., Yang, X., Zhou, W., Yang, B., Schwenke, G., Liu, D.L., 2018. A comparison of methane and nitrous oxide emissions from inland mixed-fish and crab aquaculture ponds. Science of The Total Environment 637–638, 517–523. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.040

Maher, N., England, M.H., Gupta, A.S., Spence, P., 2018. Correction to: Role of Pacific trade winds in driving ocean temperatures during the recent slowdown and projections under a wind trend reversal. Climate Dynamics 51, 337–337. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4245-9

McGregor, S., Stuecker, M.F., Kajtar, J.B., England, M.H., Collins, M., 2018. Model tropical Atlantic biases underpin diminished Pacific decadal variability. Nature Climate Change 8, 493–498. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0163-4

Menviel, L., Spence, P., Yu, J., Chamberlain, M.A., Matear, R.J., Meissner, K.J., England, M.H., 2018. Southern Hemisphere westerlies as a driver of the early deglacial atmospheric CO2 rise. Nature Communications 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04876-4

Mukkavilli, S.K., Prasad, A.A., Taylor, R.A., Huang, J., Mitchell, R.M., Troccoli, A., Kay, M.J., 2018. Assessment of atmospheric aerosols from two reanalysis products over Australia. Atmospheric Research 215, 149–164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.08.026

Mukkavilli, S. K., Prasad, A.A., Taylor, R.A., Troccoli, A., Kay, M.J., 2018. Mesoscale Simulations of Australian Direct Normal Irradiance, Featuring an Extreme Dust Event. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 57, 493–515. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0091.1

Naughten, K.A., Meissner, K.J., Galton-Fenzi, B.K., England, M.H., Timmermann, R., Hellmer, H.H., 2018a. Future Projections of Antarctic Ice Shelf Melting Based on CMIP5 Scenarios. Journal of Climate 31, 5243–5261. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0854.1

Naughten, K.A., Meissner, K.J., Galton-Fenzi, B.K., England, M.H., Timmermann, R., Hellmer, H.H., Hattermann, T., Debernard, J.B., 2018b. Intercomparison of Antarctic ice-shelf, ocean, and sea-ice interactions simulated by MetROMS-iceshelf and FESOM 1.4. Geoscientific Model Development 11, 1257–1292. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1257-2018

Oliver, E.C.J., Donat, M.G., Burrows, M.T., Moore, P.J., Smale, D.A., Alexander, L.V., Benthuysen, J.A., Feng, M., Sen Gupta, A., Hobday, A.J., Holbrook, N.J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Scannell, H.A., Straub, S.C., Wernberg, T., 2018a. Longer and more frequent marine heatwaves over the past century. Nature Communications 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-03732-9

Oliver, E.C.J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Holbrook, N.J., Bindoff, N.L., 2018b. Anthropogenic and Natural Influences on Record 2016 Marine Heat waves. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 99, S44–S48. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0093.1

Pepler, A.S., Di Luca, A., Evans, J.P., 2018. Independently assessing the representation of midlatitude cyclones in high-resolution reanalyses using satellite observed winds: ASSESSING MIDLATITUDE CYCLONES IN REANALYSES USING SATELLITE WINDS. International Journal of Climatology 38, 1314–1327. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5245

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Pitman, A., 2018. Extreme events in the context of climate change. Public Health Research & Practice 28. https://doi.org/10.17061/phrp2841825

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Donat, M.G., Dunn, R.J.H., 2018. Global Climate: land surface temperature extremes [in “State of the Climate in 2017”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 99, S15–S31. https://doi.org/10.1175/2018BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Gibson, P.B., 2018. Author Correction: Changes in regional heatwave characteristics as a function of increasing global temperature. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-23085-z

Prasad, A., Kay, M., 2018. Assessment of solar irradiance predictions using WRF on days of high intermittency.

Prasad, A.A., Sherwood, S.C., Reeder, M., Lane, T., 2018. Analysis of convectively-generated gravity waves over Northern Australia in satellite observations and mesoscale model simulations, in: Analysis of Convectively-Generated Gravity Waves over Northern Australia in Satellite Observations and Mesoscale Model Simulations. Presented at the AMOS-ICSHMO, Sydney, Australia.

Purich, A., England, M.H., Cai, W., Sullivan, A., Durack, P.J., 2018. Impacts of Broad-Scale Surface Freshening of the Southern Ocean in a Coupled Climate Model. Journal of Climate 31, 2613–2632. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0092.1

Rainsley, E., Menviel, L., Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., Hughes, A.L.C., Rood, D.H., 2018. Greenland ice mass loss during the Younger Dryas driven by Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation feedbacks. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-29226-8

Robinson, T.P., Di Virgilio, G., Temple-Smith, D., Hesford, J., Wardell-Johnson, G.W., 2018. Characterisation of range restriction amongst the rare flora of Banded Ironstone Formation ranges in semiarid south-western Australia. Australian Journal of Botany. https://doi.org/10.1071/BT18111

Royston, S., Watson, C.S., Legrésy, B., King, M.A., Church, J.A., Bos, M.S., 2018. Sea-Level Trend Uncertainty With Pacific Climatic Variability and Temporally-Correlated Noise. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 123, 1978–1993. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013655

Ruan, H., Feng, P., Wang, B., Xing, H., O’Leary, G.J., Huang, Z., Guo, H., Liu, D.L., 2018. Future climate change projects positive impacts on sugarcane productivity in southern China. European Journal of Agronomy 96, 108–119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2018.03.007

School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, J.G., P., C.M.J., T., School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, P., Fogwill, School of Geography, Geology and the Environment, William Smith Building, Keele University, P., Fenwick, Z., T., M., L., R.T., J., B., B., S.J., R., J.M., W., 2018. Growth response of an invasive alien species to climate variations on subantarctic Campbell Island. New Zealand Journal of Ecology. https://doi.org/10.20417/nzjecol.42.2

Scutt Phillips, J., Sen Gupta, A., Senina, I., van Sebille, E., Lange, M., Lehodey, P., Hampton, J., Nicol, S., 2018. An individual-based model of skipjack tuna ( Katsuwonus pelamis ) movement in the tropical Pacific ocean. Progress in Oceanography 164, 63–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2018.04.007

Seneviratne, S.I., Phipps, S.J., Pitman, A.J., Hirsch, A.L., Davin, E.L., Donat, M.G., Hirschi, M., Lenton, A., Wilhelm, M., Kravitz, B., 2018. Land radiative management as contributor to regional-scale climate adaptation and mitigation. Nature Geoscience 11, 88–96. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-017-0057-5

Sherwood, S.C., 2018. How Important Is Humidity in Heat Stress? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123, 11,808-11,810. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028969

Sherwood, S.C., Dixit, V., Salomez, C., 2018. The global warming potential of near-surface emitted water vapour. Environmental Research Letters 13, 104006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aae018

Stone, D.A., Risser, M.D., Angélil, O.M., Wehner, M.F., Cholia, S., Keen, N., Krishnan, H., O’Brien, T.A., Collins, W.D., 2018. A basis set for exploration of sensitivity to prescribed ocean conditions for estimating human contributions to extreme weather in CAM5.1-1degree. Weather and Climate Extremes 19, 10–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2017.12.003

Stoney, L., Walsh, K.J.E., Thomas, S., Spence, P., Babanin, A.V., 2018. Changes in Ocean Heat Content Caused by Wave-Induced Mixing in a High-Resolution Ocean Model. Journal of Physical Oceanography 48, 1139–1150. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-17-0142.1

Thomas, Z., Jones, R.T., Fogwill, C., Hatton, J., Williams, A., Hogg, A., Mooney, S., Jones, P., Lister, D., Mayewski, P., Turney, C., 2018a. Evidence for increased expression of the Amundsen Sea Low over the South Atlantic during the late Holocene. Climate of the Past Discussions 1–25. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2018-11

Thomas, Z., Turney, C., Allan, R., Colwell, S., Kelly, G., Lister, D., Jones, P., Beswick, M., Alexander, L., Lippmann, T., Herold, N., Jones, R., 2018b. A New Daily Observational Record from Grytviken, South Georgia: Exploring Twentieth-Century Extremes in the South Atlantic. Journal of Climate 31, 1743–1755. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0353.1

Thompson, A.F., Stewart, A.L., Spence, P., Heywood, K.J., 2018. The Antarctic Slope Current in a Changing Climate. Reviews of Geophysics 56, 741–770. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018RG000624

Thran, A.C., Dutkiewicz, A., Spence, P., Müller, R.D., 2018. Controls on the global distribution of contourite drifts: Insights from an eddy-resolving ocean model. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 489, 228–240. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2018.02.044

Turney, C.S.M., Palmer, J., Maslin, M.A., Hogg, A., Fogwill, C.J., Southon, J., Fenwick, P., Helle, G., Wilmshurst, J.M., McGlone, M., Bronk Ramsey, C., Thomas, Z., Lipson, M., Beaven, B., Jones, R.T., Andrews, O., Hua, Q., 2018. Global Peak in Atmospheric Radiocarbon Provides a Potential Definition for the Onset of the Anthropocene Epoch in 1965. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20970-5

Tzedakis, P.C., Drysdale, R.N., Margari, V., Skinner, L.C., Menviel, L., Rhodes, R.H., Taschetto, A.S., Hodell, D.A., Crowhurst, S.J., Hellstrom, J.C., Fallick, A.E., Grimalt, J.O., McManus, J.F., Martrat, B., Mokeddem, Z., Parrenin, F., Regattieri, E., Roe, K., Zanchetta, G., 2018. Enhanced climate instability in the North Atlantic and southern Europe during the Last Interglacial. Nature Communications 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06683-3

Ukkola, A.M., Pitman, A.J., De Kauwe, M.G., Abramowitz, G., Herger, N., Evans, J.P., Decker, M., 2018a. Evaluating CMIP5 Model Agreement for Multiple Drought Metrics. Journal of Hydrometeorology 19, 969–988. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0099.1

Ukkola, A.M., Pitman, A.J., Donat, M.G., De Kauwe, M.G., Angélil, O., 2018b. Evaluating the Contribution of Land-Atmosphere Coupling to Heat Extremes in CMIP5 Models. Geophysical Research Letters 45, 9003–9012. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079102

Walker, A.P., Ye, M., Lu, D., De Kauwe, M.G., Gu, L., Medlyn, B.E., Rogers, A., Serbin, S.P., 2018. The multi-assumption architecture and testbed (MAAT v1.0): R code for generating ensembles with dynamic model structure and analysis of epistemic uncertainty from multiple sources. Geoscientific Model Development 11, 3159–3185. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3159-2018

Walz, M.A., Donat, M.G., Leckebusch, G.C., 2018. Large-Scale Drivers and Seasonal Predictability of Extreme Wind Speeds Over the North Atlantic and Europe. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123, 11,518-11,535. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JD027958

Wang, B., Liu, D.L., Waters, C., Yu, Q., 2018a. Quantifying sources of uncertainty in projected wheat yield changes under climate change in eastern Australia. Climatic Change 151, 259–273. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2306-z

Wang, B., Zheng, L., Liu, D.L., Clark, A., Yu, Q., 2018b. Using multi‐model ensembles of CMIP5 global climate models to reproduce observed monthly rainfall and temperature with machine learning methods in Australia. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5705

WCRP Global Sea Level Budget Group, Church, J.A., 2018. Global sea-level budget 1993–present. Earth System Science Data 10, 1551–1590. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-1551-2018

Williams, A.N., Ulm, S., Sapienza, T., Lewis, S., Turney, C.S.M., 2018. Sea-level change and demography during the last glacial termination and early Holocene across the Australian continent. Quaternary Science Reviews 182, 144–154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.11.030

Wilson, K.., Barthel, A., Lipson, M.J., Fogwill, C., Turney, C., 2018. New breeding records of seabirds at Carnley Harbour (Auckland Islands), Cossack Rock (Campbell Island) and south coast of The Snares. Notornis 65, 168–173.

Wu, Q., Zhang, X., Church, J.A., Hu, J., 2018. ENSO-Related Global Ocean Heat Content Variations. Journal of Climate 32, 45–68. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0861.1

Xiao, D., Bai, H., Liu, D., 2018. Impact of Future Climate Change on Wheat Production: A Simulated Case for China’s Wheat System. Sustainability 10, 1277. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10041277

Yang, Yanmin, Zhou, X., Yang, Yonghui, Bi, S., Yang, X., Liu, D.L., 2018. Evaluating water-saving efficiency of plastic mulching in Northwest China using remote sensing and SEBAL. Agricultural Water Management 209, 240–248. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2018.07.011

Zhang, Y., Beggs, P.J., Bambrick, H., Berry, H.L., Linnenluecke, M.K., Trueck, S., Alders, R., Bi, P., Boylan, S.M., Green, D., Guo, Y., Hanigan, I.C., Hanna, E.G., Malik, A., Morgan, G.G., Stevenson, M., Tong, S., Watts, N., Capon, A.G., 2018. The MJA-Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: Australian policy inaction threatens lives. Medical Journal of Australia 209, 474–474. https://doi.org/10.5694/mja18.00789

Zscheischler, J., Westra, S., van den Hurk, B.J.J.M., Seneviratne, S.I., Ward, P.J., Pitman, A., AghaKouchak, A., Bresch, D.N., Leonard, M., Wahl, T., Zhang, X., 2018a. Future climate risk from compound events. Nature Climate Change 8, 469–477. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3

Zscheischler, J., Westra, S., van den Hurk, B.J.J.M., Seneviratne, S.I., Ward, P.J., Pitman, A., AghaKouchak, A., Bresch, D.N., Leonard, M., Wahl, T., Zhang, X., 2018b. Author Correction: Future climate risk from compound events. Nature Climate Change 8, 750–750. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0220-z

2017 PUBLICATIONS

Abellán, E., McGregor, S., England, M.H., 2017a. Analysis of the Southward Wind Shift of ENSO in CMIP5 Models. Journal of Climate 30, 2415–2435. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0326.1

Abellán, E., McGregor, S., England, M.H., Santoso, A., 2017b. Distinctive role of ocean advection anomalies in the development of the extreme 2015–16 El Niño. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4007-0

Ajami, H., Sharma, A., Band, L.E., Evans, J.P., Tuteja, N.K., Amirthanathan, G.E., Bari, M.A., 2017. On the non-stationarity of hydrological response in anthropogenically unaffected catchments: an Australian perspective. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21, 281–294. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-281-2017

Angélil, O., Stone, D., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Alexander, L.V., Wehner, M., Shiogama, H., Wolski, P., Ciavarella, A., Christidis, N., 2017. On the nonlinearity of spatial scales in extreme weather attribution statements. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3768-9

Badlan, R.L., Sharples, J.J., Evans, J.P., McRae, R.H.D., 2017. The role of deep flaming in violent pyroconvection. Presented at the 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia, 3 to 8 December 2017, Hobart, Tasmania. https://doi.org/978-0-9872143-7-9

Bador, M., Terray, L., Boé, J., Somot, S., Alias, A., Gibelin, A.-L., Dubuisson, B., 2017. Future summer mega-heatwave and record-breaking temperatures in a warmer France climate. Environmental Research Letters 12, 074025. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa751c

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Moalafhi, Ditiro B., Sharma, A., Evans, J.P., 2017. Reconstructing hydro-climatological data using dynamical downscaling of reanalysis products in data-sparse regions – Application to the Limpopo catchment in southern Africa. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 12, 378–395. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.07.001

Moalafhi, Ditiro Benson, Sharma, A., Evans, J.P., Mehrotra, R., Rocheta, E., 2017. Impact of bias-corrected reanalysis-derived lateral boundary conditions on WRF simulations: BIAS-CORRECTED REANALYSES-DERIVED LBCS. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 9, 1828–1846. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017MS001003

Moss, P.T., Dunbar, G.B., Thomas, Z., Turney, C., Kershaw, A.P., Jacobsen, G.E., 2017. A 60 000-year record of environmental change for the Wet Tropics of north-eastern Australia based on the ODP 820 marine core: PALYNOLOGICAL RECORD FROM THE ODP 820 MARINE CORE. Journal of Quaternary Science 32, 704–716. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2977

Naughten, K.A., Galton-Fenzi, B.K., Meissner, K.J., England, M.H., Brassington, G.B., Colberg, F., Hattermann, T., Debernard, J.B., 2017. Spurious sea ice formation caused by oscillatory ocean tracer advection schemes. Ocean Modelling 116, 108–117. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2017.06.010

Nerem, R.S., Cazenave, A., Church, J., 2017. Sea-level rise: No chaos in the satellite-data record. Nature 549, 334–334. https://doi.org/10.1038/549334d

Niemeyer, D., Kemena, T.P., Meissner, K.J., Oschlies, A., 2017. A model study of warming-induced phosphorus–oxygen feedbacks in open-ocean oxygen minimum zones on millennial timescales. Earth System Dynamics 8, 357–367. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-357-2017

Nishant, N., Sherwood, S.C., 2017. A cloud-resolving model study of aerosol-cloud correlation in a pristine maritime environment: A CRM Study of Aerosol-Cloud Correlation. Geophysical Research Letters 44, 5774–5781. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073267

Oliver, E.C.J., Benthuysen, J.A., Bindoff, N.L., Hobday, A.J., Holbrook, N.J., Mundy, C.N., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., 2017. The unprecedented 2015/16 Tasman Sea marine heatwave. Nature Communications 8, 16101. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms16101

Olson, R., An, S.-I., Fan, Y., Evans, J.P., Caesar, L., 2017. North Atlantic observations sharpen meridional overturning projections. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3867-7

Palmer, J.G., Cook, E.R., Turney, C.S.M., Allen, K., Fenwick, P., Cook, B.I., O’Donnell, A., Lough, J., Grierson, P., Baker, P.J., 2017. Reply to Comment on ‘Drought variability in the eastern Australia and New Zealand summer drought atlas (ANZDA, CE 1500–2012) modulated by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation.’ Environmental Research Letters 12, 068002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7281

Parinussa, R., Wang, G., Liu, Y., Hagan, D., Lin, F., van der Schalie, R., de Jeu, R., 2017. The Evaluation of Single-Sensor Surface Soil Moisture Anomalies over the Mainland of the People’s Republic of China. Remote Sensing 9, 149. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs9020149

Pepler, A.S., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., Sherwood, S.C., 2017. The influence of topography on midlatitude cyclones on Australia’s east coast: Australian East Coast Lows and Topography. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 122, 9173–9184. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027345

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Fischer, E.M., Angélil, O., Gibson, P.B., 2017. The influence of internal climate variability on heatwave frequency trends. Environmental Research Letters 12, 044005. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa63fe

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Gibson, P.B., 2017. Changes in regional heatwave characteristics as a function of increasing global temperature. Scientific Reports 7. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-12520-2

Perry, S.J., McGregor, S., Gupta, A.S., England, M.H., 2017. Future Changes to El Niño-Southern Oscillation Temperature and Precipitation Teleconnections: Future Changes to Teleconnections. Geophysical Research Letters 44, 10,608-10,616. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074509

Prasad, A.A., 2017. Fluctuations in cloud-top height measured by CALIPSO from 2006-2015. p. 080005. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4975536

Prasad, A.A., Taylor, R.A., Kay, M., 2017. Assessment of solar and wind resource synergy in Australia. Applied Energy 190, 354–367. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.12.135

Reuter, M., Buchwitz, M., Hilker, M., Heymann, J., Bovensmann, H., Burrows, J.P., Houweling, S., Liu, Y.Y., Nassar, R., Chevallier, F., Ciais, P., Marshall, J., Reichstein, M., 2017. How Much CO 2 Is Taken Up by the European Terrestrial Biosphere? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 98, 665–671. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00310.1

Risser, M.D., Stone, D.A., Paciorek, C.J., Wehner, M.F., Angélil, O., 2017. Quantifying the effect of interannual ocean variability on the attribution of extreme climate events to human influence. Climate Dynamics 49, 3051–3073. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3492-x

Rocheta, E., Evans, J.P., Sharma, A., 2017. Can Bias Correction of Regional Climate Model Lateral Boundary Conditions Improve Low-Frequency Rainfall Variability? Journal of Climate 30, 9785–9806. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0654.1

Santoso, A., Mcphaden, M.J., Cai, W., 2017. The Defining Characteristics of ENSO Extremes and the Strong 2015/2016 El Niño: ENSO Extremes. Reviews of Geophysics 55, 1079–1129. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017RG000560

Schlegel, R.W., Oliver, E.C.J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Kruger, A., Smit, A.J., 2017. Predominant Atmospheric and Oceanic Patterns during Coastal Marine Heatwaves. Frontiers in Marine Science 4. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2017.00323

Sillmann, J., Thorarinsdottir, T., Keenlyside, N., Schaller, N., Alexander, L.V., Hegerl, G., Seneviratne, S.I., Vautard, R., Zhang, X., Zwiers, F.W., 2017. Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities. Weather and Climate Extremes 18, 65–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2017.10.003

Slangen, A.B.A., Meyssignac, B., Agosta, C., Champollion, N., Church, J.A., Fettweis, X., Ligtenberg, S.R.M., Marzeion, B., Melet, A., Palmer, M.D., Richter, K., Roberts, C.D., Spada, G., 2017. Evaluating Model Simulations of Twentieth-Century Sea Level Rise. Part I: Global Mean Sea Level Change. Journal of Climate 30, 8539–8563. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0110.1

Spence, P., Holmes, R.M., Hogg, A.M., Griffies, S.M., Stewart, K.D., England, M.H., 2017. Localized rapid warming of West Antarctic subsurface waters by remote winds. Nature Climate Change 7, 595–603. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3335

Stewart, K.D., Hogg, A.M., Griffies, S.M., Heerdegen, A.P., Ward, M.L., Spence, P., England, M.H., 2017. Vertical resolution of baroclinic modes in global ocean models. Ocean Modelling 113, 50–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2017.03.012

Thomas, C.M., Sharples, J.J., Evans, J.P., 2017a. Modelling the dynamic behaviour of junction fires with a coupled atmosphere–fire model. International Journal of Wildland Fire 26, 331. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF16079

Thomas, C.M., Sharples, J.J., Evans, J.P., 2017b. Evaluating the terminal-velocity assumption in simulations of long-range inert ember transport. Presented at the 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia, 3 to 8 December 2017, Hobart, Tasmania.

Tobler, R., Rohrlach, A., Soubrier, J., Bover, P., Llamas, B., Tuke, J., Bean, N., Abdullah-Highfold, A., Agius, S., O’Donoghue, A., O’Loughlin, I., Sutton, P., Zilio, F., Walshe, K., Williams, A.N., Turney, C.S.M., Williams, M., Richards, S.M., Mitchell, R.J., Kowal, E., Stephen, J.R., Williams, L., Haak, W., Cooper, A., 2017. Aboriginal mitogenomes reveal 50,000 years of regionalism in Australia. Nature 544, 180–184. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature21416

Tsushima, Y., Brient, F., Klein, S.A., Konsta, D., Nam, C.C., Qu, X., Williams, K.D., Sherwood, S.C., Suzuki, K., Zelinka, M.D., 2017. The Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project (CFMIP) Diagnostic Codes Catalogue – metrics, diagnostics and methodologies to evaluate, understand and improve the representation of clouds and cloud feedbacks in climate models. Geoscientific Model Development 10, 4285–4305. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4285-2017

Turney, C.S. ~M., Klekociuk, A., Fogwill, C.J., Zunz, V., Goosse, H., Parkinson, C.L., Compo, G., Lazzara, M., Keller, L., Allan, R., Palmer, J.G., Clark, G., Marzinelli, E., 2017. Brief communication: Changing mid-twentieth century Antarctic sea ice variability linked to tropical forcing. The Cryosphere Discussions 1–12. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2017-51

Turney, Chris S. M., Fogwill, C.J., Palmer, J.G., van Sebille, E., Thomas, Z., McGlone, M., Richardson, S., Wilmshurst, J.M., Fenwick, P., Zunz, V., Goosse, H., Wilson, K.-J., Carter, L., Lipson, M., Jones, R.T., Harsch, M., Clark, G., Marzinelli, E., Rogers, T., Rainsley, E., Ciasto, L., Waterman, S., Thomas, E.R., Visbeck, M., 2017a. Tropical forcing of increased Southern Ocean climate variability revealed by a 140-year subantarctic temperate reconstruction. Climate of the Past Discussions 1–24. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2016-114

Turney, Chris S. M., Jones, R.T., Phipps, S.J., Thomas, Z., Hogg, A., Kershaw, A.P., Fogwill, C.J., Palmer, J., Bronk Ramsey, C., Adolphi, F., Muscheler, R., Hughen, K.A., Staff, R.A., Grosvenor, M., Golledge, N.R., Rasmussen, S.O., Hutchinson, D.K., Haberle, S., Lorrey, A., Boswijk, G., Cooper, A., 2017b. Rapid global ocean-atmosphere response to Southern Ocean freshening during the last glacial. Nature Communications 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-00577-6

Turney, C.S.M., Wilmshurst, J.M., Jones, R.T., Wood, J.R., Palmer, J.G., Hogg, A.G., Fenwick, P., Crowley, S.F., Privat, K., Thomas, Z., 2017. Reconstructing atmospheric circulation over southern New Zealand: Establishment of modern westerly airflow 5500 years ago and implications for Southern Hemisphere Holocene climate change. Quaternary Science Reviews 159, 77–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.12.017

Ukkola, A.M., Haughton, N., De Kauwe, M.G., Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A.J., 2017. FluxnetLSM R package (v1.0): a community tool for processing FLUXNET data for use in land surface modelling. Geoscientific Model Development 10, 3379–3390. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-3379-2017

van der Kaars, S., Miller, G.H., Turney, C.S.M., Cook, E.J., Nürnberg, D., Schönfeld, J., Kershaw, A.P., Lehman, S.J., 2017. Humans rather than climate the primary cause of Pleistocene megafaunal extinction in Australia. Nature Communications 8, 14142. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14142

Walsh, K., Govekar, P., Babanin, A.V., Ghantous, M., Spence, P., Scoccimarro, E., 2017. The effect on simulated ocean climate of a parameterization of unbroken wave-induced mixing incorporated into the k-epsilon mixing scheme: WAVE-INDUCED MIXING. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 9, 735–758. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000707

Wang, B, Liu, D., Asseng, S., Macadam, I., Yang, X., Yu, Q., 2017. Spatiotemporal changes in wheat phenology, yield and water use efficiency under the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble projections in eastern Australia. Climate Research 72, 83–99. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01458

Wang, Bin, Liu, D.L., Asseng, S., Macadam, I., Yu, Q., 2017. Modelling wheat yield change under CO 2 increase, heat and water stress in relation to plant available water capacity in eastern Australia. European Journal of Agronomy 90, 152–161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2017.08.005

Wang, G., Cai, W., Santoso, A., 2017. Assessing the Impact of Model Biases on the Projected Increase in Frequency of Extreme Positive Indian Ocean Dipole Events. Journal of Climate 30, 2757–2767. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0509.1

Wartenburger, R., Hirschi, M., Donat, M.G., Greve, P., Pitman, A.J., Seneviratne, S.I., 2017. Changes in regional climate extremes as a function of global mean temperature: an interactive plotting framework. Geoscientific Model Development 10, 3609–3634. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-3609-2017

White, C.J., Carlsen, H., Robertson, A.W., Klein, R.J.T., Lazo, J.K., Kumar, A., Vitart, F., Coughlan de Perez, E., Ray, A.J., Murray, V., Bharwani, S., MacLeod, D., James, R., Fleming, L., Morse, A.P., Eggen, B., Graham, R., Kjellström, E., Becker, E., Pegion, K.V., Holbrook, N.J., McEvoy, D., Depledge, M., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Brown, T.J., Street, R., Jones, L., Remenyi, T.A., Hodgson-Johnston, I., Buontempo, C., Lamb, R., Meinke, H., Arheimer, B., Zebiak, S.E., 2017. Potential applications of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions: Potential applications of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions. Meteorological Applications 24, 315–325. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1654

Whitley, R., Beringer, J., Hutley, L.B., Abramowitz, G., De Kauwe, M.G., Evans, B., Haverd, V., Li, L., Moore, C., Ryu, Y., Scheiter, S., Schymanski, S.J., Smith, B., Wang, Y.-P., Williams, M., Yu, Q., 2017. Challenges and opportunities in land surface modelling of savanna ecosystems. Biogeosciences 14, 4711–4732. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4711-2017

Wu, D.L., Baum, B.A., Choi, Y.-S., Foster, M.J., Karlsson, K.-G., Heidinger, A., Poulsen, C., Pavolonis, M., Riedi, J., Roebeling, R., Sherwood, S., Thoss, A., Watts, P., 2017. Toward Global Harmonization of Derived Cloud Products. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 98, ES49–ES52. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0234.1

Wu, Q., Zhang, X., Church, J.A., Hu, J., 2017. Variability and change of sea level and its components in the Indo-Pacific region during the altimetry era: VARIABILITY AND CHANGE OF SEA LEVEL. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 122, 1862–1881. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JC012345

Zhang, X., Church, J.A., Monselesan, D., McInnes, K.L., 2017. Sea level projections for the Australian region in the 21st century: Sea Level Projections for Australia. Geophysical Research Letters 44, 8481–8491. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074176

2016 PUBLICATIONS

Abdullah, N.N., Idris, N.H., Maharaj, A., 2016. The retracked sea levels from SARAL/AltiKA satellite altimetry: The case study around the strait of Malacca and the South China Sea. International Journal of Geoinformatics 12, 33–39.

Abram, N.J., McGregor, H.V., Tierney, J.E., Evans, M.N., McKay, N.P., Kaufman, D.S., Thirumalai, K., Martrat, B., Goosse, H., Phipps, S.J., Steig, E.J., Kilbourne, K.H., Saenger, C.P., Zinke, J., Leduc, G., Addison, J.A., Mortyn, P.G., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., Sicre, M.-A., Selvaraj, K., Filipsson, H.L., Neukom, R., Gergis, J., Curran, M.A.J., Gunten, L. von, 2016. Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents. Nature 536, 411–418. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature19082

Ajami, H., sharma, A., Band, L.E., Evans, J.P., Tuteja, N.K., Amirthanathan, G.E., Bari, M.A., 2016. On the non-stationarity of hydrological response in anthropogenically unaffected catchments: An Australian perspective. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 1–28. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-353

Alexander, L.V., 2016. Global observed long-term changes in temperature and precipitation extremes: A review of progress and limitations in IPCC assessments and beyond. Weather and Climate Extremes 11, 4–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2015.10.007

Angélil, O., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Alexander, L.V., Stone, D., Donat, M.G., Wehner, M., Shiogama, H., Ciavarella, A., Christidis, N., 2016. Comparing regional precipitation and temperature extremes in climate model and reanalysis products. Weather and Climate Extremes 13, 35–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2016.07.001

Argüeso, D., Di Luca, A., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Evans, J.P., 2016. Seasonal mean temperature changes control future heat waves: MEAN TEMPERATURE AND HEAT WAVE CHANGES. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 7653–7660. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069408

Barlow, M., Zaitchik, B., Paz, S., Black, E., Evans, J., Hoell, A., 2016. A Review of Drought in the Middle East and Southwest Asia. Journal of Climate 29, 8547–8574. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00692.1

Beaumont, L.J., Duursma, D., Kemp, D.J., Wilson, P.D., Evans, J.P., 2016. Potential impacts of a future persistent El Niño or La Niña on three subspecies of Australian butterflies. Biotropica. https://doi.org/10.1111/btp.12356

Bellon, G., Geoffroy, O., 2016a. Stratocumulus radiative effect, multiple equilibria of the well-mixed boundary layer and transition to shallow convection: Multiple Equilibria and Sc-to-Cu Transition. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 142, 1685–1696. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2762

Bellon, G., Geoffroy, O., 2016b. How finely do we need to represent the stratocumulus radiative effect?: Spatial Structure of the Stratocumulus Radiative Effect. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 142, 2347–2358. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2828

Berg, A., Findell, K., Lintner, B., Giannini, A., Seneviratne, S.I., van den Hurk, B., Lorenz, R., Pitman, A., Hagemann, S., Meier, A., Cheruy, F., Ducharne, A., Malyshev, S., Milly, P.C.D., 2016. Land–atmosphere feedbacks amplify aridity increase over land under global warming. Nature Climate Change 6, 869–874. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3029

Birch, C.E., Webster, S., Peatman, S.C., Parker, D.J., Matthews, A.J., Li, Y., Hassim, M.E.E., 2016. Scale Interactions between the MJO and the Western Maritime Continent. Journal of Climate 29, 2471–2492. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0557.1

Blunden, J., Arndt, D.S., 2016. State of the Climate in 2015. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97, Si-S275. https://doi.org/10.1175/2016BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Bracegirdle, T.J., Bertler, N.A.N., Carleton, A.M., Ding, Q., Fogwill, C.J., Fyfe, J.C., Hellmer, H.H., Karpechko, A.Y., Kusahara, K., Larour, E., Mayewski, P.A., Meier, W.N., Polvani, L.M., Russell, J.L., Stevenson, S.L., Turner, J., van Wessem, J.M., van de Berg, W.J., Wainer, I., 2016. A Multidisciplinary Perspective on Climate Model Evaluation For Antarctica. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97, ES23–ES26. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00108.1

Chafik, L., Häkkinen, S., England, M.H., Carton, J.A., Nigam, S., Ruiz-Barradas, A., Hannachi, A., Miller, L., 2016. Global linkages originating from decadal oceanic variability in the subpolar North Atlantic: ATLANTIC-PACIFIC CONNECTIVITY. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 10,909-10,919. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071134

Chen, T., McVicar, T., Wang, G., Chen, X., de Jeu, R., Liu, Y., Shen, H., Zhang, F., Dolman, A., 2016a. Advantages of Using Microwave Satellite Soil Moisture over Gridded Precipitation Products and Land Surface Model Output in Assessing Regional Vegetation Water Availability and Growth Dynamics for a Lateral Inflow Receiving Landscape. Remote Sensing 8, 428. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs8050428

Chen, T., Wang, G., Yuan, W., Li, A., Liu, Y.Y., 2016b. Asymmetric NDVI trends of the two cropping seasons in the Huai River basin. Remote Sensing Letters 7, 61–70. https://doi.org/10.1080/2150704X.2015.1109156

Choudhury, D., Sen Gupta, A., Sharma, A., Taschetto, A.S., Mehrotra, R., Sivakumar, B., 2016a. Impacts of the tropical trans-basin variability on Australian rainfall. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3405-z

Choudhury, D., Sharma, A., Sen Gupta, A., Mehrotra, R., Sivakumar, B., 2016b. Sampling biases in CMIP5 decadal forecasts: Sampling Biases in CMIP5 Decadal Experiments. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 3435–3445. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD024804

Clarke, H., Pitman, A.J., Kala, J., Carouge, C., Haverd, V., Evans, J.P., 2016a. Erratum to: An investigation of future fuel load and fire weather in Australia. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1823-x

Clarke, H., Pitman, A.J., Kala, J., Carouge, C., Haverd, V., Evans, J.P., 2016b. An investigation of future fuel load and fire weather in Australia. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1808-9

Cook, B.I., Palmer, J.G., Cook, E.R., Turney, C.S.M., Allen, K., Fenwick, P., O’Donnell, A., Lough, J.M., Grierson, P.F., Ho, M., Baker, P.J., 2016. The paleoclimate context and future trajectory of extreme summer hydroclimate in eastern Australia: EXTREME HYDROCLIMATE IN EASTERN AUSTRALIA. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 12,820-12,838. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD024892

Cooper, A., Turney, C., Hughen, K., 2016. Response to Comment on “Abrupt warming events drove Late Pleistocene Holarctic megafaunal turnover.” Science 351, 927–927. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aad8016

Di Luca, Alejandro, Argüeso, D., Evans, J.P., de Elía, R., Laprise, R., 2016. Quantifying the overall added value of dynamical downscaling and the contribution from different spatial scales: OVERALL ADDED VALUE OF RCMS. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 1575–1590. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024009

Di Luca, A., Evans, J.P., Pepler, A., Alexander, L.V., Argueso, D., 2016. Evaluating the representation of Australian East Coast Lows in a regional climate model ensemble. JOURNAL OF SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE EARTH SYSTEMS SCIENCE 2016, 108–124.

Dittus, A.J., Karoly, D.J., Lewis, S.C., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., 2016a. A Multiregion Model Evaluation and Attribution Study of Historical Changes in the Area Affected by Temperature and Precipitation Extremes. Journal of Climate 29, 8285–8299. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0164.1

Dittus, A.J., Karoly, D.J., Lewis, S.C., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., 2016b. A Multiregion Model Evaluation and Attribution Study of Historical Changes in the Area Affected by Temperature and Precipitation Extremes. Journal of Climate 29, 8285–8299. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0164.1

Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., Herold, N., Dittus, A.J., 2016a. Temperature and precipitation extremes in century-long gridded observations, reanalyses, and atmospheric model simulations: EXTREMES IN CENTURY-LONG DATA SETS. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 11,174-11,189. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025480

Donat, M.G., Lowry, A.L., Alexander, L.V., O’Gorman, P.A., Maher, N., 2016b. More extreme precipitation in the world’s dry and wet regions. Nature Climate Change 6, 508–513. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2941

Evans, J.P., Argueso, D., Olson, R., Di Luca, A., 2016a. Bias-corrected regional climate projections of extreme rainfall in south-east Australia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1949-9

Evans, J.P., Meng, X., McCabe, M.F., 2016b. Land surface albedo and vegetation feedbacks enhanced the Millennium drought in south-east Australia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 1–22. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-439

Fita, L., Evans, J.P., Argüeso, D., King, A., Liu, Y., 2016. Evaluation of the regional climate response in Australia to large-scale climate modes in the historical NARCliM simulations. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3484-x

Flaounas, E., Di Luca, A., Drobinski, P., Mailler, S., Arsouze, T., Bastin, S., Beranger, K., Lebeaupin Brossier, C., 2016. Cyclone contribution to the Mediterranean Sea water budget. Climate Dynamics 46, 913–927. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2622-1

Fogwill, C.J., 2016. The transformation of organic carbon during river-groundwater exchange: An example from the Murray-Darling Basin. Presented at the AGU, San Francisco.

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Simpson, C.C., Sharples, J.J., Evans, J.P., 2016. Sensitivity of atypical lateral fire spread to wind and slope: SENSITIVITY OF LATERAL SPREAD TO WIND AND SLOPE. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 1744–1751. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067343

Stevens, B., Sherwood, S.C., Bony, S., Webb, M.J., 2016. Prospects for narrowing bounds on Earth’s equilibrium climate sensitivity: EARTH’S EQUILIBRIUM CLIMATE SENSITIVITY. Earth’s Future 4, 512–522. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000376

Stockhecke, M., Timmermann, A., Kipfer, R., Haug, G.H., Kwiecien, O., Friedrich, T., Menviel, L., Litt, T., Pickarski, N., Anselmetti, F.S., 2016a. Millennial to orbital-scale variations of drought intensity in the Eastern Mediterranean. Quaternary Science Reviews 133, 77–95. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.12.016

Stockhecke, M., Timmermann, A., Kipfer, R., Haug, G.H., Kwiecien, O., Friedrich, T., Menviel, L., Litt, T., Pickarski, N., Anselmetti, F.S., 2016b. Corrigendum to “Millennial to orbital-scale variations of drought intensity in the Eastern Mediterranean” [Quat. Sci. Rev. 133 (2016) 77–95]. Quaternary Science Reviews 150, 312–314. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.07.019

Sullivan, M., Green, D., 2016. Misled about lead: an assessment of online public health education material from Australia’s lead mining and smelting towns. Environmental Health 15, 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-015-0085-9

Taschetto, Andréa S., Gupta, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2016. Can Australian Multiyear Droughts and Wet Spells Be Generated in the Absence of Oceanic Variability? Journal of Climate 29, 6201–6221. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0694.1

Taschetto, A. S., Rodrigues, R.R., Meehl, G.A., McGregor, S., England, M.H., 2016. How sensitive are the Pacific–tropical North Atlantic teleconnections to the position and intensity of El Niño-related warming? Climate Dynamics 46, 1841–1860. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x

Thomas, Z.A., 2016. Using natural archives to detect climate and environmental tipping points in the Earth System. Quaternary Science Reviews 152, 60–71. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.09.026

Thorne, P.W., Donat, M.G., Dunn, R.J.H., Williams, C.N., Alexander, L.V., Caesar, J., Durre, I., Harris, I., Hausfather, Z., Jones, P.D., Menne, M.J., Rohde, R., Vose, R.S., Davy, R., Klein-Tank, A.M.G., Lawrimore, J.H., Peterson, T.C., Rennie, J.J., 2016. Reassessing changes in diurnal temperature range: Intercomparison and evaluation of existing global data set estimates: DTR Data Set Intercomparison/Assessment. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 5138–5158. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024584

Tian, F., Brandt, M., Liu, Y.Y., Rasmussen, K., Fensholt, R., 2016a. Mapping gains and losses in woody vegetation across global tropical drylands. Global Change Biology. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13464

Tian, F., Brandt, M., Liu, Y.Y., Verger, A., Tagesson, T., Diouf, A.A., Rasmussen, K., Mbow, C., Wang, Y., Fensholt, R., 2016b. Remote sensing of vegetation dynamics in drylands: Evaluating vegetation optical depth (VOD) using AVHRR NDVI and in situ green biomass data over West African Sahel. Remote Sensing of Environment 177, 265–276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2016.02.056

Tong, S., Berry, H.L., Ebi, K., Bambrick, H., Hu, W., Green, D., Hanna, E., Wang, Z., Butler, C.D., 2016a. Climate change, food, water and population health in China. Bulletin of the World Health Organization 94, 759–765. https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.15.167031

Tong, S., Berry, H.L., Ebi, K., Bambrick, H., Hu, W., Green, D., Hanna, E., Wang, Z., Butler, C.D., 2016b. Climate change, food, water and population health in China. Bulletin of the World Health Organization 94, 759–765. https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.15.167031

Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., Palmer, J.G., van Sebille, E., Thomas, Z., McGlone, M., Richardson, S., Wilmshurst, J.M., Fenwick, P., Zunz, V., Goosse, H., Wilson, K.-J., Carter, L., Lipson, M., Jones, R.T., Harsch, M., Clark, G., Marzinelli, E., Rogers, T., Rainsley, E., Ciasto, L., Waterman, S., Thomas, E.R., Visbeck, M., 2016. Tropical forcing of increased Southern Ocean climate variability revealed by a 140-year subantarctic temperate reconstruction. Climate of the Past Discussions 1–24. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2016-114

Turney, C. S. M., Jones, R.T., Fogwill, C., Hatton, J., Williams, A.N., Hogg, A., Thomas, Z.A., Palmer, J., Mooney, S., Reimer, R.W., 2016. A 250-year periodicity in Southern Hemisphere westerly winds over the last 2600 years. Climate of the Past 12, 189–200. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-189-2016

Turney, C.S.M., Jones, R.T., Lister, D., Jones, P., Williams, A.N., Hogg, A., Thomas, Z.A., Compo, G.P., Yin, X., Fogwill, C.J., Palmer, J., Colwell, S., Allan, R., Visbeck, M., 2016. Anomalous mid-twentieth century atmospheric circulation change over the South Atlantic compared to the last 6000 years. Environmental Research Letters 11, 064009. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064009

Turney, C.S.M., Jones, R.T., Thomas, Z.A., Palmer, J.G., Brown, D., 2016. Extreme wet conditions coincident with Bronze Age abandonment of upland areas in Britain. Anthropocene. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ancene.2016.02.002

Turney, C.S.M., McGlone, M., Palmer, J., Fogwill, C., Hogg, A., Thomas, Z.A., Lipson, M., Wilmshurst, J.M., Fenwick, P., Jones, R.T., Hines, B., Clark, G.F., 2016. Intensification of Southern Hemisphere westerly winds 2000-1000 years ago: evidence from the subantarctic Campbell and Auckland Islands (52-50°S): HOLOCENE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE WESTERLY AIRFLOW, SW PACIFIC. Journal of Quaternary Science 31, 12–19. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2828

Turney, C.S.M., Palmer, J., Bronk Ramsey, C., Adolphi, F., Muscheler, R., Hughen, K.A., Staff, R.A., Jones, R.T., Thomas, Z.A., Fogwill, C.J., Hogg, A., 2016. High-precision dating and correlation of ice, marine and terrestrial sequences spanning Heinrich Event 3: Testing mechanisms of interhemispheric change using New Zealand ancient kauri (Agathis australis). Quaternary Science Reviews 137, 126–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.02.005

Turney, C.S.M., Palmer, J., Hogg, A., Fogwill, C.J., Jones, R.T., Bronk Ramsey, C., Fenwick, P., Grierson, P., Wilmshurst, J., O’Donnell, A., Thomas, Z.A., Lipson, M., 2016. Multidecadal variations in Southern Hemisphere atmospheric 14 C: Evidence against a Southern Ocean sink at the end of the Little Ice Age CO 2 anomaly: SOUTHERN OCEAN VENTILATION DURING LIA. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30, 211–218. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GB005257

Ukkola, A. M., De Kauwe, M.G., Pitman, A.J., Best, M.J., Abramowitz, G., Haverd, V., Decker, M., Haughton, N., 2016. Land surface models systematically overestimate the intensity, duration and magnitude of seasonal-scale evaporative droughts. Environmental Research Letters 11, 104012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/104012

Ukkola, Anna M., Pitman, A.J., Decker, M., De Kauwe, M.G., Abramowitz, G., Kala, J., Wang, Y.-P., 2016. Modelling evapotranspiration during precipitation deficits: identifying critical processes in a land surface model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 20, 2403–2419. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2403-2016

van Marle, M.J.E., van der Werf, G.R., de Jeu, R.A.M., Liu, Y.Y., 2016. Annual South American forest loss estimates based on passive microwave remote sensing (1990&ndash;2010). Biogeosciences 13, 609–624. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-609-2016

Walsh, K., White, C.J., McInnes, K., Holmes, J., Schuster, S., Richter, H., Evans, J.P., Di Luca, A., Warren, R.A., 2016. Natural hazards in Australia: storms, wind and hail. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1737-7

Wang, B., Liu, D.L., Macadam, I., Alexander, L.V., Abramowitz, G., Yu, Q., 2016. Multi-model ensemble projections of future extreme temperature change using a statistical downscaling method in south eastern Australia. Climatic Change 138, 85–98. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1726-x

Whitley, R., Beringer, J., Hutley, L.B., Abramowitz, G., De Kauwe, M.G., Duursma, R., Evans, B., Haverd, V., Li, L., Ryu, Y., Smith, B., Wang, Y.-P., Williams, M., Yu, Q., 2016. A model inter-comparison study to examine limiting factors in modelling Australian tropical savannas. Biogeosciences 13, 3245–3265. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-3245-2016

Wilson, K.-J., Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., Blair, E., 2016. The impact of the giant iceberg B09B on population size and breeding success of Adélie penguins in Commonwealth Bay, Antarctica. Antarctic Science 28, 187–193. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0954102015000644

Winter, K., Woodward, J., Dunning, S.A., Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., Hein, A.S., Golledge, N.R., Bingham, R.G., Marrero, S.M., Sugden, D.E., Ross, N., 2016. Assessing the continuity of the blue ice climate record at Patriot Hills, Horseshoe Valley, West Antarctica: GPR assessment of Patriot Hills BIA. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 2019–2026. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066476

Wong, P.P.-Y., Lai, P.-C., Low, C.-T., Chen, S., Hart, M., 2016. The impact of environmental and human factors on urban heat and microclimate variability. Building and Environment 95, 199–208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.09.024

Wood, J.R., Wilmshurst, J.M., Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., 2016. Palaeoecological signatures of vegetation change induced by herbivory regime shifts on subantarctic Enderby Island. Quaternary Science Reviews 134, 51–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.12.018

Yang, Yanmin, Liu, D.L., Anwar, M.R., O’Leary, G., Macadam, I., Yang, Yonghui, 2016. Water use efficiency and crop water balance of rainfed wheat in a semi-arid environment: sensitivity of future changes to projected climate changes and soil type. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 123, 565–579. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1376-3

Yit Sen Bull, C., van Sebille, E., 2016. Sources, fate, and pathways of Leeuwin Current water in the Indian Ocean and Great Australian Bight: A Lagrangian study in an eddy-resolving ocean model: TRACKING SOURCES OF THE LEEUWIN CURRENT. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 121, 1626–1639. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC011486

Ypma, S.L., van Sebille, E., Kiss, A.E., Spence, P., 2016a. The separation of the East Australian Current: A Lagrangian approach to potential vorticity and upstream control: EAST AUSTRALIAN CURRENT SEPARATION. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 121, 758–774. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC011133

Ypma, S.L., van Sebille, E., Kiss, A.E., Spence, P., 2016b. The separation of the East Australian Current: A Lagrangian approach to potential vorticity and upstream control. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 121, 758–774. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC011133

Yu, J., Menviel, L., Jin, Z.D., Thornalley, D.J.R., Barker, S., Marino, G., Rohling, E.J., Cai, Y., Zhang, F., Wang, X., Dai, Y., Chen, P., Broecker, W.S., 2016. Sequestration of carbon in the deep Atlantic during the last glaciation. Nature Geoscience 9, 319–324. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2657

Yue, Ricci P.H., Lee, H.F., Hart, M.A., 2016. Perceptions of visibility degradation in Hong Kong. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/09640568.2016.1197826

Yue, Ricci P. H., Lee, H.F., Hart, M.A., 2016. The human dimension of visibility degradation in a compact city. Natural Hazards 82, 1683–1702. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2263-7

Zafar, M.U., Ahmed, M., Rao, M.P., Buckley, B.M., Khan, N., Wahab, M., Palmer, J., 2016. Karakorum temperature out of phase with hemispheric trends for the past five centuries. Climate Dynamics 46, 1943–1952. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2685-z

Zhang, Y., Peña-Arancibia, J.L., McVicar, T.R., Chiew, F.H.S., Vaze, J., Liu, C., Lu, X., Zheng, H., Wang, Y., Liu, Y.Y., Miralles, D.G., Pan, M., 2016. Multi-decadal trends in global terrestrial evapotranspiration and its components. Scientific Reports 6, 19124. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep19124

Zheng, X., Kao, S., Chen, Z., Menviel, L., Chen, H., Du, Y., Wan, S., Yan, H., Liu, Z., Zheng, L., Wang, S., Li, D., Zhang, X., 2016. Deepwater circulation variation in the South China Sea since the Last Glacial Maximum: South China Sea Deep Current. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 8590–8599. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070342

2015 PUBLICATIONS

Abellán, E., McGregor, S., 2015. The role of the southward wind shift in both, the seasonal synchronization and duration of ENSO events. Climate Dynamics 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2853-1

Abramowitz, G., Bishop, C.H., 2015. Climate Model Dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP Projections. Journal of Climate 28, 2332–2348. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00364.1

Aiken, C., Santoso, A., McGregor, S., England, M.H., 2015. Optimal forcing of ENSO either side of the 1970’s climate shift and its implications for predictability. Clim Dyn 45, 47–65. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2300-8

Ajami, H., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2015. Impacts of model initialization on an integrated surface water-groundwater model. Hydrological Processes. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10478

Alexander, K., Easterbrook, S.M., 2015. The software architecture of climate models: a graphical comparison of CMIP5 and EMICAR5 configurations. Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss. 8, 351–379. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmdd-8-351-2015

Alexander, K., J. Meissner, K., J. Bralower, T., 2015. Sudden spreading of corrosive bottom water during the Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. Nature Geosci 8, 458–461. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2430

Andrys, J., Lyons, T.J., Kala, J., 2015. Multidecadal Evaluation of WRF Downscaling Capabilities over Western Australia in Simulating Rainfall and Temperature Extremes. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 54, 370–394. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0212.1

Anwar, M.R., Liu, D.L., Farquharson, R., Macadam, I., Abadi, A., Finlayson, J., Wang, B., Ramilan, T., 2015. Climate change impacts on phenology and yields of five broadacre crops at four climatologically distinct locations in Australia. Agricultural Systems 132, 133–144. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2014.09.010

Argüeso, Daniel, Di Luca, A., Evans, J., 2015. Precipitation over urban areas in the western Maritime Continent using a convection-permitting model. Clim Dyn 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2893-6

Argüeso, D., Evans, J.P., Pitman, A.J., Di Luca, A., 2015. Effects of City Expansion on Heat Stress under Climate Change Conditions. PLOS ONE 10, e0117066–e0117066. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0117066

Bagniewski, W., Meissner, K.J., Menviel, L., Brennan, C.E., 2015. Quantification of factors impacting seawater and calcite δ18O during Heinrich Stadials 1 and 4. Paleoceanography 30, 895–911. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002751

Batehup, R., McGregor, S., Gallant, A.J.E., 2015. The influence of non-stationary teleconnections on palaeoclimate reconstructions of ENSO variance using a pseudoproxy framework. Clim. Past 11, 1733–1749. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1733-2015

Bates, B.C., Argueso Barriga, D., JP, E., Green, J., Griesser, A., Jakob, D., Seed, A., Lau, R., Lehmann, E., Phatack, A., Abbs, D., Lavender, S., Nguyen, K., Rafter, T., Thatcher, M., Zheng, F., Westra, S., Leonard, M., 2015. Preliminary Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Design Rainfall IFD Curves. Presented at the 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The art and science of water.

Best, M.J., Abramowitz, G., Johnson, H.R., Pitman, A.J., Balsamo, G., Boone, A., Cuntz, M., Decharme, B., Dirmeyer, P.A., Dong, J., Ek, M., Guo, Z., Haverd, V., van den Hurk, B.J.J., Nearing, G.S., Pak, B., Peters-Lidard, C., Santanello, J.A., Stevens, L., Vuichard, N., 2015. The Plumbing of Land Surface Models: Benchmarking Model Performance. Journal of Hydrometeorology 16, 1425–1442. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0158.1

Bony, S., Stevens, B., Frierson, D.M.W., Jakob, C., Kageyama, M., Pincus, R., Shepherd, T.G., Sherwood, S.C., Siebesma, A.P., Sobel, A.H., Watanabe, M., Webb, M.J., 2015. Clouds, circulation and climate sensitivity. Nature Geoscience 8, 261–268. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2398

Boucharel, J., Timmermann, A., Santoso, A., England, M.H., Jin, F.F., Balmaseda, M.A., 2015. A surface layer variance heat budget for ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl063843

Brown, J.N., Langlais, C., Sen Gupta, A., 2015. Projected sea surface temperature changes in the equatorial Pacific relative to the Warm Pool edge. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 113, 47–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.10.022

Cai, M.Y., Wang, L., Parkes, S.D., Strauss, J., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Griffiths, A.D., 2015. Stable water isotope and surface heat flux simulation using ISOLSM: Evaluation against in-situ measurements. Journal of Hydrology 523, 67–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.019

Cai, Wenju, Santoso, A., Wang, G., Yeh, S.-W., An, S.-I., Cobb, K.M., Collins, M., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Kug, J.-S., Lengaigne, M., McPhaden, M.J., Takahashi, K., Timmermann, A., Vecchi, G., Watanabe, M., Wu, L., 2015. ENSO and greenhouse warming. Nature Clim. Change 5, 849–859. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2743

Cai, W., Wang, G., Santoso, A., McPhaden, M.J., Wu, L., Jin, F.F., Timmermann, A., Collins, M., Vecchi, G., Lengaigne, M., England, M.H., Dommenget, D., Takahashi, K., Guilyardi, E., 2015. Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change 5, 132–137. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2492

Chang, W., Haran, M., Olson, R., Keller, K., 2015. A composite likelihood approach to computer model calibration with high-dimensional spatial data. Statistica Sinica 25, 243–259. https://doi.org/10.5705/ss.2013.219w

Ciasto, L.M., Simpkins, G.R., England, M.H., 2015. Teleconnections between Tropical Pacific SST Anomalies and Extratropical Southern Hemisphere Climate. Journal of Climate 28, 56–65. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00438.1

Clark, G., Marzinelli, E., Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., Johnston, E., 2015. Effects of sea-ice cover on marine benthic communities: a natural experiment in Commonwealth Bay, East Antarctica. Polar Biol 38, 1213–1222. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-015-1688-x

Contractor, S., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., Herold, N., 2015. How Well Do Gridded Datasets of Observed Daily Precipitation Compare over Australia? Advances in Meteorology 2015, 15. https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/325718

Cooper, A., Turney, C., Hughen, K.A., Brook, B.W., McDonald, H.G., Bradshaw, C.J.A., 2015. Abrupt warming events drove Late Pleistocene Holarctic megafaunal turnover. Science 349, 602–606. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aac4315

Cortés-Hernández, V.E., Zheng, F., Evans, J., Lambert, M., Sharma, A., Westra, S., 2015. Evaluating regional climate models for simulating sub-daily rainfall extremes. Climate Dynamics 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2923-4

Cowan, T., Cai, W., Ng, B., England, M., 2015. The Response of the Indian Ocean Dipole Asymmetry to Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases. Journal of Climate 28, 2564–2583. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00661.1

De Kauwe, M.G., Kala, J., Lin, Y.S., Pitman, A.J., Medlyn, B.E., Duursma, R.A., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.P., Miralles, D.G., 2015a. A test of an optimal stomatal conductance scheme within the CABLE land surface model. Geoscientific Model Development 8, 431–452. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-431-2015

De Kauwe, M.G., Zhou, S.X., Medlyn, B.E., Pitman, A.J., Wang, Y.P., Duursma, R.A., Prentice, I.C., 2015b. Do land surface models need to include differential plant species responses to drought? Examining model predictions across a mesic-xeric gradient in Europe. Biogeosciences 12, 7503–7518. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-7503-2015

Decker, M., Pitman, A., Evans, J., 2015. Diagnosing the seasonal land–atmosphere correspondence over northern Australia: dependence on soil moisture state and correspondence strength definition. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 19, 3433–3447. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3433-2015

Deng, L., McCabe, M.F., Stenchikov, G., Evans, J.P., Kucera, P.A., 2015. Simulation of Flash-Flood-Producing Storm Events in Saudi Arabia Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model*. Journal of Hydrometeorology 16, 615–630. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0126.1

Denniston, R.F., Villarini, G., Gonzales, A.N., Wyrwoll, K.-H., Polyak, V.J., Ummenhofer, C.C., Lachniet, M.S., Wanamaker, A.D., Humphreys, W.F., Woods, D., Cugley, J., 2015. Extreme rainfall activity in the Australian tropics reflects changes in the El Niño/Southern Oscillation over the last two millennia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112, 4576–4581. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1422270112

Di Luca, A., Evans, J.P., Pepler, A., Alexander, L., Argüeso, D., 2015. Resolution Sensitivity of Cyclone Climatology over Eastern Australia Using Six Reanalysis Products. Journal of Climate 28, 9530–9549. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00645.1

Dipayan, C., Ashish, S., Bellie, S., Alexander Sen, G., Rajeshwar, M., 2015. On the predictability of SSTA indices from CMIP5 decadal experiments. Environmental Research Letters 10, 074013. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/074013

Dittus, A.J., Karoly, D.J., Lewis, S.C., Alexander, L.V., 2015. A Multiregion Assessment of Observed Changes in the Areal Extent of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes. Journal of Climate 28, 9206–9220. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00753.1

Dobbie, B., Green, D., 2015. Australians are not equally protected from industrial air pollution. Environmental Research Letters 10, 055001–055001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/055001

Donat, M.G., King, A.D., Overpeck, J.T., Alexander, L.V., Durre, I., Karoly, D.J., 2015. Extraordinary heat during the 1930s US Dust Bowl and associated large-scale conditions. Climate Dynamics 46, 413–426. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2590-5

England, M.H., Kajtar, J.B., Maher, N., 2015. Robust warming projections despite the recent hiatus. Nature Climate Change 5, 394–396. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2575

Evans, J., Argueso Barriga, D., 2015. WRF simulations of future changes in rainfall IFD curves over Greater Sydney. Presented at the 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The art and science of water.

Evans, J., Olson, R., Fita Borrell, L., Argueso Barriga, D., Di Luca, A., 2015. NARCliM model performance including teleconnections with climate modes. Presented at the 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation,. http://www.mssanz.org.au/modsim2015/G4/evans.pdf

Evans, J.P., Bormann, K., Katzfey, J., Dean, S., Arritt, R., 2015. Regional climate model projections of the South Pacific Convergence Zone. Clim Dyn 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2873-x

Evans, Karen, Brown, J.N., Sen Gupta, A., Nicol, S.J., Hoyle, S., Matear, R., Arrizabalaga, H., 2015. When 1+1 can be >2: Uncertainties compound when simulating climate, fisheries and marine ecosystems. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 113, 312–322. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.04.006

Evans, K., Young, J.W., Nicol, S., Kolody, D., Allain, V., Bell, J., Brown, J.N., Ganachaud, A., Hobday, A.J., Hunt, B., Innes, J., Gupta, A.S., van Sebille, E., Kloser, R., Patterson, T., Singh, A., 2015. Optimising fisheries management in relation to tuna catches in the western central Pacific Ocean: A review of research priorities and opportunities. Marine Policy 59, 94–104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.05.003

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Turney, C. S. M., Fogwill, C.J., Klekociuk, A., van Ommen, T.D., Curran, M.A.J., Moy, A.D., Palmer, J.G., 2015. Tropical and mid-latitude forcing of continental Antarctic temperatures. The Cryosphere Discuss. 9, 4019–4042. https://doi.org/10.5194/tcd-9-4019-2015

Turney, Chris S. M., Thomas, Z.A., Hutchinson, D.K., Bradshaw, C.J.A., Brook, B.W., England, M.H., Fogwill, C.J., Jones, R.T., Palmer, J., Hughen, K.A., Cooper, A., 2015. Obliquity-driven expansion of North Atlantic sea ice during the last glacial. Geophysical Research Letters 42, 10,382–10,390. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl066344

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A., England, M.H., Taschetto, A.S., Briggs, P.R., Raupach, M.R., 2015. How did ocean warming affect Australian rainfall extremes during the 2010/2011 La Niña event? Geophysical Research Letters 42, 9942–9951. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065948

van Sebille, E., 2015. The oceans’ accumulating plastic garbage. Physics Today 68, 60–61. https://doi.org/10.1063/PT.3.2697

van Sebille, E., Scussolini, P., Durgadoo, J.V., Peeters, F.J.C., Biastoch, A., Weijer, W., Turney, C., Paris, C.B., Zahn, R., 2015. Ocean currents generate large footprints in marine palaeoclimate proxies. Nature Communications 6, 6521–6521. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms7521

van Sebille, Erik, Waterman, S., Barthel, A., Lumpkin, R., Keating, S.R., Fogwill, C., Turney, C., 2015. Pairwise surface drifter separation in the western Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 120, 6769–6781. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015jc010972

Van Sebille, E., Wilcox, C., Lebreton, L., Maximenko, N., Hardesty, B., van Franeker, J., A., Eriksen, M., Siegel, D., Galgani, F., Law, K., 2015. A global inventory of small floating plastic debris. Environmental Research Letters 10, 124006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124006

Wang, B., Liu, D.L., Asseng, S., Macadam, I., Yu, Q., 2015. Impact of climate change on wheat flowering time in eastern Australia. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 209–210, 11–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.04.028

Wang, Y.-P., Zhang, Q., Pitman, A., Dai, Y.J., 2015. Nitrogen and phosphorous limitation reduces the effects of land use change on land carbon uptake or emission. Environmental Research Letters 10, 014001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014001

Webb, M.J., Lock, A.P., Bretherton, C.S., Bony, S., Cole, J.N.S., Idelkadi, A., Kang, S.M., Koshiro, T., Kawai, H., Ogura, T., Roehrig, R., Shin, Y., Mauritsen, T., Sherwood, S.C., Vial, J., Watanabe, M., Woelfle, M.D., Zhao, M., 2015. The impact of parametrized convection on cloud feedback. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 373. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0414

Williams, A.N., Ulm, S., Turney, C.S.M., Rohde, D., White, G., 2015a. Holocene Demographic Changes and the Emergence of Complex Societies in Prehistoric Australia. PLoS ONE 10, e0128661. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0128661

Williams, A.N., Veth, P., Steffen, W., Ulm, S., Turney, C.S.M., Reeves, J.M., Phipps, S.J., Smith, M., 2015b. A continental narrative: Human settlement patterns and Australian climate change over the last 35,000 years. Quaternary Science Reviews 123, 91–112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.06.018

Wilson, K.J., Turney, C., Fogwill, C., Hunter, J., 2015. Low numbers and apparent long-term stability of South Polar Skuas Stercorarius maccormicki at Commonwealth Bay, Antarctica. Marine Ornithology 43, 103–106. http://www.marineornithology.org/cgi-bin/getpage.cgi?vol=43&no=1

Yin, H., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., Sun, Y., 2015. Multi-dataset comparison of gridded observed temperature and precipitation extremes over China. International Journal of Climatology 35, 2809–2827. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4174

Zika, J.D., Laliberté, F., Mudryk, L.R., Sijp, W.P., Nurser, A.J.G., 2015. Changes in ocean vertical heat transport with global warming. Geophysical Research Letters 42, 4940–4948. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl064156

2014 PUBLICATIONS

Abram, N., Mulvaney, R., Vimeux, F., Phipps, S.J., Turner, J., England, M.H., 2014. Strengthening of the Southern Annular Mode over the past six centuries. Nature Climate Change 4, 564–569. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2235

Ajami, H., JP, E., McCabe, M.F., Stisen, S., 2014a. Technical Note: Reducing the spin-up time of integrated surface water-groundwater models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18, 5169–5179. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-5169-2014

Ajami, H., McCabe, M.F., JP, E., Stisen, S., 2014b. Assessing the impact of model spin-up on surface water-groundwater interactions using an integrated hydrologic model. Water Resources Research 50. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014258

Andersen, A., Beringer, J., Bull, C.M., Byrne, M., Cleugh, H., Christensen, R., French, K., Harch, B., Hoffmann, A., Lowe, A.J., Moltmann, T., Nicotra, A., Pitman, A., Phinn, S., Westoby, M., 2014. Foundations for the future: A long-term plan for Australian ecosystem science. Austral Ecology 39, 739–748. https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.12188

Argueso Barriga, D., Evans, J.P., Fita Borrell, L., Bormann, K., 2014. Temperature response to future urbanization and climate change. Climate Dynamics 42, 2183–2199. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1789-6

Ashok, K., Nagaraju, c., Sen Gupta, A., 2014. Decadal changes in the relationship between the Indian and Australian summer monsoons. Climate Dynamics 42. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1625-4

Bakker, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., Martrat, B., Charbit, S., Renssen, H., Gröger, M., Krebs-Kanzow, U., Lohman, G., Lunt, D.J., Pfeiffer, M., S. J. Phipps, M. Prange, Ritz, S.P., Schulz, M., Stenni, B., Stone, E.J., Varma, V., 2014. Temperature trends during the Present and Last interglacial periods - A multi-model-data comparison. Quaternary Science Reviews 99, 224–243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.06.031

Bentley, M., Ó Cofaigh, C., Anderson, J., Conway, H., Davies, B., Graham, A., Hillenbrand, C.-D., Hodgson, D., Jamieson, S., Larter, R., Mackintosh, A., Smith, J., Verleyen, E., Ackert, R., Bart, P., Berg, S., Brunstein, D., Canals, M., Colhoun, E., Crosta, X., Dickens, W., Domack, E., Dowdeswell, J., Dunbar, R., Ehrmann, W., Evans, J.P., Favier, V., Fink, D., Fogwill, C.J., Glasser, N., Gohl, K., Golledge, N., Goodwin, I., Gore, D., Greenwood, S., Hall, B., Hall, K., Hedding, D., Hein, A., Hocking, E., Jakobsson, M., Johnson, J., Jomelli, V., Jones, R., Klages, J., Kristoffersen, Y., Kuhn, G., Leventer, A., Licht, K., Lilly, K., Lindow, J., Livingstone, S., Massé, G., McGlone, M., McKay, R., Melles, M., Miura, H., Mulvaney, R., Nel, W., Nitsche, F., O’Brien, P., Post, A., Roberts, S., Saunders, K., Selkirk, P., Simms, A., Spiegel, C., Stolldorf, T., ugden, D., van der Putten, N., van Ommen, T., Verfaillie, D., Vyverman, W., Wagner, B., White, D., Witus, A., Zwartz, D., 2014. A community-based geological reconstruction of Antarctic Ice Sheet deglaciation since the Last Glacial Maximum. Quaternary Science Reviews 100, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.06.025

Borlace, S., Santoso, A., Cai, W., Collins, M., 2014. Extreme swings of the South Pacific Convergence Zone and the different types of El Niño events. Geophysical Research Letters 41, 4695–4703. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060551

Bormann, K., JP, E., McCabe, M.F., 2014. Constraining snowmelt in a temperature-index model using simulated snow densities. Journal of Hydrology 517. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.073

Boswijk G, Fowler AM, Palmer JG, Fenwick P, Hogg A, Lorrey A, J, W., 2014. The late Holocene kauri chronology: assessing the potential of a 4500-year record for palaeoclimate reconstruction. Quaternary Science Reviews 90, 128–142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.02.022

Boucher, O., Randall, D., Artaxo, P., Bretherton, C., Feingold, G., Forster, P., Kerminen, V.-M., Kondo, Y., Liao, H., Lohmann, U., Rasch, P., Satheesh, S.K., Sherwood, S., Stevens, B., Zhang, X.Y., 2014. Clouds and Aerosols, IPCC 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. UK, USA.

Bralower, T.J., Meissner, K.J., Alexander, K., Thomas, D.., 2014. The dynamics of global change at the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum: A data-model comparison. Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems 15, 3830–3848. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GC005474

Brookman, T., Steward, G., Palmer, J., Fenwick, P., Banks, A., Horton, T.W., 2014. Raised in the wild south: a dendrochronological and dendrochemical profile of a far-southern stand of kauri (Agathis australis) on the Taieri Plain, Otago. New Zealand Journal of Forestry Science 44, 14–14. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40490-014-0014-7

Cai, W., Borlace, S., Lengaigne, M., Van Rensch, P., Collins, M., Vecchi, G., Timmerman, A., Santoso, A., McPhaden, M., England, M.H., Wang, G., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.F., 2014a. Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change 4. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2100

Cai, W., Santoso, A., Wang, G., Weller, E., Wu, L., Ashok, K., Masumoto, Y., Yamagata, T., 2014b. Increased frequency of extreme Indian Ocean Dipole events due to greenhouse warming. Nature 510, 254–258. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13327

Caley, T., Peeters, F.J.C., Biastoch, A., Rossignol, L., van Sebille, E., Durgadoo, J., Malaizé, B., Giraudeau, J., Arthur, K., Zahn, R., 2014. Quantitative estimate of the paleo-Agulhas leakage. Geophysical Research Letters 41. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059278

Cetina-Heredia, P., Roughan, M., Van Sebille, E., Coleman, M.A., 2014. Long-term trends in the East Australian Current separation latitude and eddy driven transport. Journal of Geophysical Research 119, 4351–4366. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010071

Chakraborty, J., Green, D.L., 2014a. The relationship between industrial air pollution and social disadvantage in Australia: national and regional inequities. Air Quality and Climate Change Journal 48.

Chakraborty, J., Green, D.L., 2014b. Australia’s first national level quantitative environmental justice assessment of industrial air pollution. Environmental Research Letters 9. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/044010

Chen, T., De Jeu, R.A.M., Liu, Y.Y., van der Werf GR, AJ, D., 2014. Using satellite based soil moisture to quantify the water driven variability in NDVI: A case study over mainland Australia. Remote Sensing of Environment 140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2013.08.022

Chueng, C.S.C., Hart, M., 2014. Climate change and thermal comfort in Hong Kong. International Journal of Biometeorology 58, 137–148. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-012-0608-9

Decker, M., Pitman, A., JP, E., 2014. Applying Scaled Vegetation Greenness Metrics to Constrain Simulated Transpiration Anomalies: A Study over Australia. Journal of Hydrometeorology 15, 1607–1623. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-070.1

Dehghan, A., Prasad, A.A., Sherwood, S.C., Kay, M., 2014. Evaluation and improvement of TAPM in estimating solar irradiance in Eastern Australia. Solar Energy 107, 668–680. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.06.018

Di Luca, A., Flaounas, E., Drobinski, P., Brossier, C.L., 2014. The atmospheric component of the Mediterranean Sea water budget in a WRF multi-physics ensemble and observations. Climate Dynamics 43, 2349–2375. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2058-z

Donat, M.G., Peterson, T.C., Brunet, M., King, A.D., Almazroui, M., Kolli, R.K., Boucherf, D., Al-Mulla, A.Y., Nour, A.Y., Aly, A.A., Nada, T.A.A., Semawi, M.M., Dashti, H.A.A., Salhab, T.G., El Fadli, K.I., Muftah, M.K., Eida, S.D., Badi, W., Driouech, F., Rhaz, K.E., Abubaker, M.J.Y., Ghulam, A.S., Erayah, A.S., Mansour, M.B., Alabdouli, W.O., Dhanhani, J.S.A., Al Shekaili, M.N., 2014a. Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Arab region: long-term trends and variability related to ENSO and NAO. International Journal of Climatology 34, 581–592. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3707

Donat, M.G., Sillmann, J., Wild, S., Alexander, L., Lippmann, T., Zwiers, F.W., 2014b. Consistency of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes across Various Global Gridded In Situ and Reanalysis Datasets. Journal of Climate 27. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00405.1

Douglas, P.M.J., Affek, H.P., Ivany, L.C., Houben, A.J.P., Sijp, W.P., Sluijs, A., Schouten, S., Pagani, M., 2014. Pronounced zonal heterogeneity in Eocene southern high-latitude sea surface temperatures. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111, 6582–6587. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1321441111

Dunn, R.J.H., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., 2014. Investigating uncertainties in global gridded datasets of climate extremes. Climate of the Past 10, 2171–2199. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-2171-2014

England, M.H., McGregor, S., Spence, P., Meehl, G.A., Timmermann, A., Cai, W., Sen Gupta, A., McPhaden, M., Purich, A., Santoso, A., 2014. Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus. Nature Climate Change 4, 222–227. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2106

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M.F., JP, E., Chaney, N.W., Wood, E.F., 2014. Multi-site evaluation of terrestrial evaporation models using FLUXNET data. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 187, 46–61. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2013.11.008

Evans, J.P., Ji, F., Lee, C., Smith, P.L., Argueso Barriga, D., Fita Borrell, L., 2014. Design of a regional climate modelling projection ensemble experiment – NARCliM. Geoscientific Model Development 7, 621–629. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-621-2014

Exbrayat, J.F., Pitman, A., Abramowitz, G., 2014. Response of microbial decomposition to spin-up explains CMIP5 soil carbon range until 2100. Geoscientific Model Development 7, 2683–2692. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-2683-2014

Exbrayat, J. F., Pitman, A.J., Abramowitz, G., 2014. Disentangling residence time and temperature sensitivity of microbial decomposition in a global soil carbon model. Biogeosciences 11, 6999–7008. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-6999-2014

Fogwill, C., Bingham, R., Mackintosh, A., Marchant, D., 2014. Standing on the shoulders of giants. Antarctic Science 26 26, 601–602. https://doi.org/10.1017/S095410201400073X

Fogwill, C. J., Turney, C., Meissner, K.J., Golledge, N.R., Spence, P., Roberts, J.L., England, M.H., Jones, R.T., Carter, L., 2014a. Testing the sensitivity of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet to Southern Ocean dynamics: past changes and future implications. Journal of Quaternary Science 29, 91–98. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2683

Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., Golledge, N., Rood, D.H., Hippe, K., Wacker, L., Wieler, R., Rainsley, E.B., Jones, R., 2014. Drivers of abrupt Holocene shifts in West Antarctic ice stream direction determined from combined ice sheet modelling and geologic signatures. Antarctic Science 26, 674–686. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0954102014000613

Fogwill, C. J., Turney, C.S.M., Meissner, K.J., Golledge, N.R., Spence, P., Roberts, J.L., England, M.H., Jones, R.T., Carter, L., 2014b. Erratum to Testing the sensitivity of the East Antarctic ice sheet to southern ocean dynamics: Past changes and future implications [Journal of Quaternary Science, 29 91-98]. Journal of Quaternary Science 29, 508–508. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2700

Frankcombe, L., McGregor, S., England, M.H., 2014. Robustness of the modes of Indo-Pacific sea level variability. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2377-0

Froyland, G., Stuart, R., Van Sebille, E., 2014. How well-connected is the surface of the global ocean? Chaos 24, 033126. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4892530

Gilmore, J., 2014. How reliable are latitudinal energy balance models for habitability calculations when using Earth’s radiative properties? Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 440, 1435–1445. https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stu302

Golledge, N.R., Menviel, L., Carter, L., Fogwill, C., England, M.H., Cortese, G., Levy, R.H., 2014. Antarctic contribution to meltwater pulse 1A from reduced Southern Ocean overturning. Nature Communications 5, 5107–5107. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms6107

Green, D.L., Barros, V., 2014. Part B: Regional Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in: Part B: Regional Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 1133–1197.

Green, D.L., Minchin, L., 2014. Living on Climate-Changed Country: Indigenous Health, Well-Being and Climate Change in Remote Australian Communities. EcoHealth 11. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10393-013-0892-9

Grieger, J., Leckebusch, G.C., Donat, M.G., Schuster, M., Ulbrich, U., 2014. Southern Hemisphere winter cyclone activity under recent and future climate conditions in multi-model AOGCM simulations. International Journal of Climatology 34, 3400–3416. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3917

Grose, Michael R., Bhend, J., Narsey, S., Gupta, A.S., Brown, J.R., 2014. Can We Constrain CMIP5 Rainfall Projections in the Tropical Pacific Based on Surface Warming Patterns? Journal of Climate 27, 9123–9138. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00190.1

Grose, M.R., Brown, J.N., Narsey, S., Brown, J.R., Murphy, B., Langlais, C., Sen Gupta, A., Moise, A., Irving, D.B., 2014. Assessment of the CMIP5 global climate model simulations of the western tropical Pacific climate system and comparison to CMIP3. International Journal of Climatology 34, 3382–3399. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3916

Hartmann, D.L., Klein Tank, A.M.G., Rusticucci, M., Alexander, L.V., Brönnimann, S., Charabi, Y., Dentener, F.J., Dlugokencky, E.J., Easterling, D.R., Kaplan, A., Soden, B.J., Thorne, P.W., Wild, M., Zhai, P.M., 2014. Observations: Atmosphere and Surface, IPCC 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. UK, USA.

Haughton, N., Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A., Phipps, S.J., 2014. On the generation of climate model ensembles. Climate Dynamics 43, 2297–2308. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2054-3

Heikkila, U., Shi, X., Phipps, S.J., Smith, A.M., 2014. 10Be in late deglacial climate simulated by ECHAM5-HAM – Part 2: Isolating the solar signal from 10Be deposition. Climate of the Past 10. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-687-2014

Hein, A.S., Sugden, D.E., Fogwill, C.J., Xu, S., 2014. Geological scatter of cosmogenic-nuclide exposure ages in the Shackleton Range, Antarctica: Implications for glacial history. Quaternary Geochronology 1, 52–66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quageo.2013.03.008

Hellweger, F.L., van Sebille, E., Fredrick, N.D., 2014. Biogeographic patterns in ocean microbes emerge in a neutral agent-based model. Science 345, 1346–1349. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1254421

Hillenbrand, C.-D., Bentley, M.J., Stolldorf, T.D., Hein, A.S., Kuhn, G., Graham, A.G.C., Fogwill, C.J., Kristoffersen, Y., Smith, J.A., Anderson, J.B., AL., et, 2014. Reconstruction of changes in the Weddell Sea sector of the Antarctic Ice Sheet since the Last Glacial Maximum. Quaternary Science Reviews 100, 111–136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.07.020

Hirsch, A.L., Kala, J., Pitman, A., Carouge, C., JP, E., Haverd, V., Mocko, D., 2014a. Impact of Land Surface Initialization Approach on Subseasonal Forecast Skill: A Regional Analysis in the Southern Hemisphere. Journal of Hydrometeorology 15, 300–319. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-05.1

Hirsch, A.L., Pitman, A., Kala, J., 2014b. The role of land cover change in modulating the soil moisture-temperature land-atmosphere coupling strength over Australia. Geophysical Research Letters 41, 5883–5890. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061179

Hirsch, A.L., Pitman, A., Seneviratne, S.I., Evans, J.P., Haverd, V., 2014c. Summertime maximum and minimum temperature coupling asymmetry over Australia determined using WRF. Geophysical Research Letters 41, 1546–1552. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL059055

Ji, F., Ekström, M., Teng, J., Evans, J., 2014. Evaluating rainfall patterns using physics scheme ensembles from a regional atmospheric model. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 115. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-013-0904-2

Jourdain, N., Barnier, B., Vialard, J., Menkes, C.E., Lengaigne, M., Ferry, N., Parent, L., 2014. Tropical cyclones in two atmospheric (re)analyses and their response in two oceanic reanalyses. Ocean Modelling 73, 108–122. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2013.10.007

Jullien, S., Marchesiello, P., Menkes, C.E., Lefèvre, J., Jourdain, N.C., Samson, G., Lengaigne, M., 2014. Ocean feedback to tropical cyclones: climatology and processes. Climate Dynamics 43, 2831–2854. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2096-6

Kala, J., Decker, M., Exbrayat, J.F., Pitman, A., Carouge, C., Evans, J.P., Abramowitz, G., 2014a. Influence of Leaf Area Index Prescriptions on Simulations of Heat, Moisture, and Carbon Fluxes. Journal of Hydrometeorology 15, 489–503. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-063.1

Kala, J., Evans, J.P., Pitman, A.J., Schaaf, C.B., Decker, M., Carouge, C., Mocko, D., Sun, Q., 2014b. Implementation of a soil albedo scheme in the CABLEv1.4b land surface model and evaluation against MODIS estimates over Australia. Geoscientific Model Development 7, 2121–2140. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-2121-2014

Kala, J., Evans, J.P., Pitman, A.J., Schaaf, C.B., Decker, M., Carouge, C., Mocko, D., Sun, Q., 2014c. Erratum: “Implementation of a soil albedo scheme in the CABLEv1.4b land surface model and evaluation against MODIS estimates over Australia” (Geosci. Model Dev. (2014) 7 (2121-2140)). Geoscientific Model Development 7, 2501–2501. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-2501-2014

Kim, S.T., Cai, W., Jin, F.-F., Santoso, A., Wu, L., Guilyardi, E., An, S.-I., 2014. Response of El Niño sea surface temperature variability to greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change 4, 786–790. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2326

King, A.C., Raiber, M., Cendón, D.I., Cox, M.E., Hollins, S.E., 2014. Identifying flood recharge and inter-aquifer connectivity using multiple isotopes in subtropical Australia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 11, 3711–3756. https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-11-3711-2014

King, A.D., Karoly, D.J., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., 2014a. Climate change turns Australia’s 2013 big dry into a year of record-breaking heat. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 95, S41–S45.

King, A.D., Klingaman, N.P., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., Jourdain, N.C., Maher, P., 2014b. Extreme Rainfall Variability in Australia: Patterns, Drivers, and Predictability*. Journal of Climate 27, 6035–6050. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00715.1

Lorenz, R., Pitman, A., 2014. Effect of land-atmosphere coupling strength on impacts from Amazonian deforestation. Geophysical Research Letters 41, 5987–5995. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061017

Lorenz, R., Pitman, A., Donat, M.G., Hirsch, A.L., Kala, J., Kowalczyk, E., Law, R.M., Srbinovsky, J., 2014. Representation of climate extreme indices in the ACCESS1.3b coupled atmosphere–land surface model. Geoscientific Model Development 7, 545–567. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-545-2014

Lough, J.M., Llewellyn, L.E., Lewis, S.E., Turney, C., Palmer, J., Cook, C., Hogg, A., 2014. Evidence for suppressed mid-Holocene northeastern Australian monsoon variability from coral luminescence. Palaeoceanography 29, 581–594. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002630

Macadam, I., Pitman, A., Whetton, P.H., Liu, D.L., JP, E., 2014. The use of uncorrected regional climate model output to force impact models: a case study for wheat simulations. Climate Research 61, 215–229. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01258

Maher, N., Sen Gupta, A., England, M.H., 2014. Drivers of decadal hiatus periods in the 20th and 21st centuries. Geophysical Research Letters 41, 5978–5986. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060527

Maher, P., Sherwood, S.C., 2014. Disentangling the Multiple Sources of Large-Scale Variability in Australian Wintertime Precipitation. Journal of Climate 27, 6377–6392. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00659.1

McGree, S., Whan, K., Jones, D., Alexander, L.V., Imielska, A., Diamond, H., Ene, E., Finaulahi, S., Inape, K., Jacklick, L., Kumar, R., Laurent, V., Malala, H., Malsale, P., Moniz, T., Ngemaes, M., Peltier, A., Porteous, A., Pulehetoa-Mitiepo, R., Seuseu, S., Skilling, E., Tahani, L., Teimitsi, F., Toorua, U., Vaiimene, M., 2014. An updated assessment of trends and variability in total and extreme rainfall in the western Pacific. International Journal of Climatology 34, 2775–2791. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3874

McGregor, S., Spence, P., Schwarzkopf, F.U., England, M.H., Santoso, A., Kessler, W.S., Timmermann, A., Böning, C.W., 2014a. ENSO-driven interhemispheric Pacific mass transports. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 119, 6221–6237. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010286

McGregor, S., Timmermann, A., Stuecker, M.F., England, M.H., M., M., Jin, F.-F., Chikamoto, Y., 2014b. Recent Walker circulation strengthening and Pacific cooling amplified by Atlantic warming. Nature Climate Change 4, 888–892. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2330

Mehrotra, R., JP, E., Sharma, A., Sivakumar, B., 2014. Evaluation of downscaled daily rainfall hindcasts over Sydney, Australia using statistical and dynamical downscaling approaches. Hydrology Research 45, 226–226. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2013.094

Meissner, K.J., Bralower, T.J., Alexander, K., Jones, T.D., Sijp, W., Ward, M., 2014. The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: How much carbon is enough? Paleoceanography 29, 946–963. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002650

Meng, X., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2014a. The influence of inter-annually varying albedo on regional climate and drought. Climate Dynamics 42, 787–803. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1790-0

Meng, X., JP, E., McCabe, M.F., 2014b. The Impact of Observed Vegetation Changes on Land–Atmosphere Feedbacks During Drought. Journal of Hydrometeorology 15, 759–776. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-0130.1

Menviel, L., England, M.H., Meissner, K.J., Mouchet, A., Yu, J., 2014a. Atlantic-Pacific seesaw and its role in outgassing CO 2 during Heinrich events. Paleoceanography 29, 58–70. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013PA002542

Menviel, L., Timmerman, A., Friedrich, T., England, M.H., 2014b. Hindcasting the continuum of Dansgaard–Oeschger variability: mechanisms, patterns and timing. Climate of the Past 10, 63–77. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-63-2014

Palmer, J., Turney, C., Hogg, A., Hilliam, N., Watson, M., Van Sebille, E., Cowie, W., Jones, R., Petchey, F., 2014. The discovery of New Zealand’s oldest shipwreck – possible evidence of further Dutch exploration of the South Pacific. Journal of Archaeological Science 42, 435–441. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jas.2013.11.024

Parinussa, R.M., Wang, G., Holmes, T., Liu, Y.Y., Dolman, A., de Jeu, R., Jiang, T., Zhang, P., Shi, J., 2014. Global surface soil moisture from the Microwave Radiation Imager onboard the Fengyun-3B satellite. International Journal of Remote Sensing 35, 7007–7029. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2014.960622

Perkins, S., Lewis, S.C., King, A.D., Alexander, L., 2014a. Increased simulated risk of the hot Australian summer of 2012/13 due to anthropogenic activity as measured by heat wave frequency and intensity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 95, S34–S37.

Perkins, S., Moise, A., Whetton, P.H., Katzfey, J., 2014b. Regional changes of climate extremes over Australia – a comparison of regional dynamical downscaling and global climate model simulations. International Journal of Climatology 34, 3456–3478. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3927

Poulter, B., Ciais, P., Broquet, G., Chevallier, F., Frank, D., Myneni, R.B., Bi, J., Andela, N., Van Der Werf, G.R., Canadell, J.G., Liu, Y.Y., Running, S.W., Sitch, S., 2014. Contribution of semi-arid ecosystems to interannual variability of the global carbon cycle. Nature 509, 600–603. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13376

Qin, X., Van Sebille, E., Sen Gupta, A., 2014. Quantification of errors induced by temporal resolution on Lagrangian particles in an eddy-resolving model. Ocean Modelling 76, 20–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.02.002

Ridder, N., England, M.H., 2014. Sensitivity of ocean oxygenation to variations in tropical zonal wind stress magnitude. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 28, 909–926. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GB004708

Rocheta, E., Evans, J., Sharma, A., 2014a. Assessing atmospheric bias correction for dynamical consistency using potential vorticity. Environmental Research Letters 9, 124010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/12/124010

Rocheta, E., Sugiyanto, M., Johnson, F., JP, E., Sharma, A., 2014b. How well do general circulation models represent low-frequency rainfall variability? Water Resources Research 50, 2108–2123. https://doi.org/10.1002/2012WR013085

Roland, T.P., Caseldine, C.J., Charman, D.J., Turney, C.S.M., Amesbury, M.J., 2014. Was there a ‘4.2 ka event’ in Great Britain and Ireland? Evidence from the peatland record. Quaternary Science Reviews 83, 11–27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.10.024

Rosenfeld, D., Sherwood, S.C., Wood, R., Donner, L., 2014. Climate Effects of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions. Science 343. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1247490

Rosso, I., Hogg, A.M., Strutton, P.G., Kiss, A.E., Matear, R., Klocker, A., van Sebille, E., 2014. Vertical transport in the ocean due to sub-mesoscale structures: Impacts in the Kerguelen region. Ocean Modelling 80, 10–23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.05.001

Samson, G., Masson, S., Lengaigne, M., Keerthi, M., Vialard, J., Pous, S., Madec, G., Jourdain, N.C., Jullien S, al., et, 2014. The NOW regional coupled model: Application to the tropical Indian Ocean climate and tropical cyclone activity. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 6, 700–722. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014MS000324

Seneviratne, S.I., Donat, M.G., Mueller, B., Alexander, L., 2014. No pause in the increase of hot temperature extremes. Nature Climate Change 4, 161–163. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2145

Shaw, E.C., McNeil, B.I., 2014. Seasonal variability in carbonate chemistry and air–sea CO2 fluxes in the southern Great Barrier Reef. Marine Chemistry 158, 49–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marchem.2013.11.007

Sheen, K.L., Naveira Garabato, A.C., Brearley, J.A., Meredith, M.P., Polzin, K.L., Smeed, D.A., Forryan, A., King, B.A., Sallee, J.B., St. Laurent, L., Thurnherr, A.M., Toole, J.M., Waterman, S.N., Watson, A.J., 2014. Eddy-induced variability in Southern Ocean abyssal mixing on climatic timescales. Nature Geosci 7, 577–582. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2200

Sherwood, S.C., Bony, S., Dufresne, J., 2014. Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing. Nature 505, 37–42. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12829

Sherwood, S.C., Fu, Q., 2014. A Drier Future. Science 343, 737–739. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1247620

Sijp, W., Zika, J., d’Orgeville, M., England, M.H., 2014. Revisiting meridional overturing bistability using a minimal set of state variables: stochastic theory. Climate Dynamics 43, 1661–1676. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1992-5

Sijp, W.P., von der Heydt, A.S., Dijkstra, H.A., Flögel, S., Douglas, P.M.J., Bijl, P.K., 2014. The role of ocean gateways on cooling climate on long time scales. Global and Planetary Change 119, 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2014.04.004

Sillmann, J., Donat, M.G., Fyfe, J.C., Zwiers, F.W., 2014a. Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the recent warming hiatus. Sillmann J, Donat MG, Fyfe JC, Zwiers FW 9, 064023–064023. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064023

Sillmann, J., Kharin, V.V., Zwiers, F., Bronaugh, D., Zhang, X., Donat, M.G., 2014b. Evaluating model-simulated variability in temperature extremes using modified percentile indices. International Journal of Climatology 34, 3304–3311. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3899

Simpkins, G.R., Mcgregor, S., Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., Ciasto, L.M., 2014. Tropical connections to climatic change in the extratropical Southern Hemisphere: The role of atlantic SST trends. Journal of Climate 27, 14. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI_D_13_00615.1

Simpson, C., Sharples, J.J., JP, E., 2014. Resolving vorticity-driven lateral fire spread using the WRF-Fire coupled atmosphere-fire numerical model. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 14, 2359–2371. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2359-2014

Spence, P., Griffies, S., England, M.H., Hogg, A., Saenko, O.A., Jourdain, N., 2014a. Rapid subsurface warming and circulation changes of Antarctic coastal waters by poleward shifting winds. Geophysical Research Letters 41, 4601–4610. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060613

Spence, P., Van Sebille, E., Saenko, O.A., England, M.H., 2014b. Using Eulerian and Lagrangian Approaches to Investigate Wind-Driven Changes in the Southern Ocean Abyssal Circulation. Journal of Physical Oceanography 44, 662–675. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-13-0108.1

Sugden, D.E., Hein, A.S., Kerr, A.R., Fogwill, C.J., Stuart, F.M., Kubik, P.W., 2014. Emergence of the Shackleton Range from beneath the Antarctic Ice Sheet due to glacial erosion. Geomorphology 208, 190–199. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2013.12.004

Taschetto, A.S., Sen Gupta, A., Jourdain, N., Santoso, A., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2014. Cold Tongue and Warm Pool ENSO Events in CMIP5: Mean State and Future Projections. Journal of Climate 27, 2861–2885. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00437.1

Toom, M.D., Dijkstra, H.A., Weijer, W., Hecht, M.W., Maltrud, M.E., Van Sebille, E., 2014. Response of a Strongly Eddying Global Ocean to North Atlantic Freshwater Perturbations. Journal of Physical Oceanography 44, 464–481. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-12-0155.1

Turney, C., 2014. This was no Antarctic pleasure cruise. Nature 505, 133. https://doi.org/10.1038/505133a

Turney, C., Canti, M., Branch, N., Clark, P.U., 2014. Environmental Archaeology : Theoretical and Practical Approaches, Key Issues in Environmental Change. Taylor and Francis.

van Sebille, E., 2014. Adrift.org.au — A free, quick and easy tool to quantitatively study planktonic surface drift in the global ocean. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology 461, 317–322. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jembe.2014.09.002

van Sebille, E., Sprintall, J., Schwarzkopf, F.U., Sen Gupta, A., Santoso, A., England, M.H., Biastoch, A., Böning, C.W., 2014. Pacific-to-Indian Ocean connectivity: Tasman leakage, Indonesian Throughflow, and the role of ENSO. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 119, 1365–1382. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JC009525

Vergés, A., Steinberg, P.D., Hay, M.E., Poore, A.G.B., Campbell, A.H., Ballesteros, E., Heck, K.L., Booth, D.J., Coleman, M.A., Feary, D.A., Figueira, W., Langlois, T., Marzinelli, E.M., Mizerek, T., Mumby, P.J., Nakamura, Y., Roughan, M., Sen Gupta, A., Smale, D.A., Tomas, F., Wernberg, T., Wilson, S.K., 2014. The tropicalization of temperate marine ecosystems: climate-mediated changes in herbivory and community phase shifts. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences 281. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2014.0846

Webb, L., Bambrick, H., Tait, P., Green, D.L., Alexander, L., 2014. Effect of Ambient Temperature on Australian Northern Territory Public Hospital Admissions for Cardiovascular Disease among Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Populations. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 11, 1942–1959. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph110201942

Weber, M.E., Sprenk, D., Clark, P.U., Kuhn, G., Zhang, X., Lohman, G., Timmerman, A., M.O., C., Friedrich, T., Gladstone, R., Menviel, L., Ohlwein, C., 2014. Millennial-scale variability in Antarctic ice-sheet discharge during the last deglaciation. Nature 510, 134–138. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13397

Weijer, W., Van Sebille, E., 2014. Impact of Agulhas Leakage on the Atlantic Overturning Circulation in the CCSM4. Journal of Climate 27, 101–110. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00714.1

Westra, S., Fowler, H.J., Evans, J.P., Alexander, L.V., Berg, P., Johnson, F., Kendon, E.J., Lenderink, G., Roberts, N.M., 2014. Future changes to the intensity and frequency of short-duration extreme rainfall. Reviews of Geophysics 52, 522–555. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000464

Whan, K., Alexander, L., Imielska, A., McGree, S., Jones, D., Ene, E., Finaulahi, S., Inape, K., Jacklick, L., Kumar, R., Laurent, V., Malala, H., Malsale, P., Pulehetoa-Mitiepo, R., Ngemaes, M., Peltier, A., Porteous, A., Seuseu, S., Skilling, E., Tahani, L., Toorua, U., Vaiimene, M., 2014. Trends and variability of temperature extremes in the tropical Western Pacific. International Journal of Climatology 34, 2585–2603. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3861

Widlansky, M.J., Timmerman, A., Mcgregor, S., Stuecker, M.F., Cai, W., 2014. An Interhemispheric Tropical Sea Level Seesaw due to El Niño Taimasa. Journal of Climate 27. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00276.1

Yilmaz, M.T., Anderson, M.C., Zaitchik, B., Hain, C.R., Crow, W.T., Ozdogan, M., Chun, J.A., Evans, J.P., 2014. Comparison of prognostic and diagnostic surface flux modeling approaches over the Nile River basin. Water Resources Research 50, 386–408. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014194

Yu, J., Anderson, R.F., Jin, Z., Menviel, L., Zhang, F., Ryerson, F.J., Rohling, E.J., 2014. Deep South Atlantic carbonate chemistry and increased interocean deep water exchange during last deglaciation. Quaternary Science Reviews 90, 80–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.02.018

Zhang, Q., Wang, Y.P., Matear, R.J., Pitman, A., Dai, Y.J., 2014. Nitrogen and phosphorous limitations significantly reduce future allowable CO2 emissions. Geophysical Research Letters 41, 632–637. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058352

Zhou, L., Tian, Y., Myneni, R.B., Ciais, P., Saatchi, S., Liu, Y.Y., Piao, S., Chen, H., Vermote, E.F., Song, C., Hwang, T., 2014. Widespread decline of Congo rainforest greenness in the past decade. Nature 509, 86–90. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13265

2013 PUBLICATIONS

Ackerley, D., Lorrey, A., Renwick, J.A., Phipps, S.J., Wagner, S., Fowler, A., 2013. High-resolution modelling of mid-Holocene New Zealand climate at 6000 yr BP. The Holocene 23, 1272–1285. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683613484612

Ahmed, M., Anchukaitis, K., Asrat, A., Borgaonkar, H.P., Braida, M., Buckley, B., Buntgen, U., Chase, B.M., Christie, D.A., Cook, E.R., Curran, M., Diaz, H.F., Esper, J., Fan, Z.X., Gaire, N.P., Ge, Q., Gergis, J., Gonzalez rouco, J. f., Goosse, H., Grab, S.W., Graham, N., Graham, R., Grosjean, M., Hanhijarvi, S.T., Kaufman, D.S., Kiefer, T., Kimura, K., Korhola, A.A., Krusic, P.J., Lara, A., Lezine, A.M., Ljungqvist, C., Lorrey, A., Luterbacher, J., Masson delmotte, V., Mccarroll, D., Mcconnell, J.R., Mckay, N.P., Morales, M., Moy, A., Mulvaney, R., Mundo, I., Nakatsuka, T., Nuekom, R., Nicholson, S., Oerter, H., Palmer, J.G., Phipps, S.J., Rivera, A., Severi, M., Shanahan, T., Shao, X., Shi, F., Sigl, M., Smerdon, J., Solomina, O.N., Steig, E.J., Stenni, B., Thanban, M., Trouet, V., Turney, C., Umer, M., van Ommen, T., Verschuren, D., Viau, A.E., Villalba, R., Vinther, B.M., von Gunten, L., Wagner, S., Wahl, E.R., Wanner, H., Werner, J., White, J.W.C., Yasue, K., Zorita, E., 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience 6, 339–346. https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO1797

Aiken, C., Santoso, A., McGregor, S., England, M.H., 2013. The 1970’s shift in ENSO dynamics: A linear inverse model perspective. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 8. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50264

Alexander, L., Perkins, S., 2013. Debate heating up over changes in climate variability. Environmental Research Letters 8, 041001–041001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/041001

Andela, N., Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A., de Jeu, R.A.M., McVicar, T.R., Andela, N., Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A., de Jeu, R.A.M., McVicar, T.R., 2013. Global changes in dryland vegetation dynamics (1988-2008) assessed by satellite remote sensing: comparing a new passive microwave vegetation density record with reflective greenness data. Biogeosciences 10, 6657–6676. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-6657-2013

Anwar, M.R., Liu, D.L., Macadam, I., Kelly, G., 2013. Adapting agriculture to climate change: a review. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 133, 225–245. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0780-1

Argueso Barriga, D., Evans, J.P., Fita Borrell, L., 2013a. Precipitation bias correction of very high resolution regional climate models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 17, 4379–4388. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-4379-2013

Argueso Barriga, D., Evans JP, Fita Borrell, L., Bormann, K., 2013b. Simulated impact of urban expansion on the future temperature heatwaves in Sydney. Presented at the Water Resources Research, pp. 2772–2778.

Arzel, O., England, M.H., 2013. Wind-stress feedback amplification of abrupt millennial-scale climate changes. Climate Dynamics 40, 983–995. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1288-1

Baker, A., Bradley, C., Phipps, S.J., 2013. Hydrological modeling of stalagmite δ18O response to glacial-interglacial transitions. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 3207–3212. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50555

Bell, J., Ganachaud, A., Hobday, A., Johnson, J., Sen Gupta, A., Matear, R.J., Pratchett, M.S., 2013. Mixed responses of tropical Pacific fisheries and aquaculture to climate change. Nature Climate Change 3, 591–599. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1838

Bishop, C.H., Abramowitz, G., 2013. Climate model dependence and the replicate Earth paradigmClimate Dynamics. Climate Dynamics 41, 885–900. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1610-y

Boex, J., Fogwill, C.J., Glasser, N.F., Hein, A., Schnabel, C., Xu, S., Harrison, S., 2013. Rapid thinning of the late Pleistocene Patagonian Ice Sheet followed migration of the Southern Westerlies. Nature Scientific Reports 3. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep02118

Bony, S., Bellon, G., Klocke, D., Sherwood, S.C., Fermepin, S., Denvil, S., 2013. Robust direct effect of carbon dioxide on tropical circulation and regional precipitation. Nature Geoscience 6, 447–451. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1799

Borlace, S., Cai, W.J., Santoso, A., Borlace, S., Cai, W.J., Santoso, A., 2013. Multidecadal ENSO Amplitude Variability in a 1000-yr Simulation of a Coupled Global Climate Model: Implications for Observed ENSO Variability. J. Clim. 26, 9399–9407. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00281.1

Brennan, C.E., Meissner, K.J., Eby, M., Hillaire-Marcel, C., Weaver, A., 2013. Impact of sea ice variability on the oxygen isotope content of seawater under glacial and interglacial conditions. Paleoceanography 28, 388–400. https://doi.org/10.1002/palo.20036

Breuer, L., Exbrayat, J.F., Plesca, I., Buytaert, W., Ehmann, T., Peters, T., Timbe, E., Trachte, K., Windhorst, D., 2013. Global Climate Change Impacts on Local Climate and Hydrology, in: A Tropical Mountain Ecosystem of South Ecuador: Ecosystem Services, Biodiversity and Environmental. Springer, Berlin, pp. 265–274.

Brown, J.N., Brown, J.R., Langlais, C., Colman, R., Risbey, J.S., Murphy, B.F., Moise, A., Sen Gupta, A., al., S.I. et, 2013. Exploring qualitative regional climate projections: a case study for Nauru. Climate Research 58, 165–182. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01190

Clarke, H.G., Evans, J.P., Pitman, A., 2013. Fire weather simulation skill by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model over south-east Australia from 1985 to 2009. International Journal of Wildland Fire 22, 739–756. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF12048

Cook, C.G., Turney, C., Jones, R.T., 2013. Catchment instability and Asian summer monsoon variability during the early Holocene in southwestern China. Boreas 42, 224–235. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1502-3885.2012.00287.x

Cook, E.R., Palmer, J., Ahmed, M., Woodhouse, C.A., Fenwick, P., Zafar, M.U., Wahab, M., Khan, N., 2013. Five centuries of Upper Indus River flow from tree rings. Journal of Hydrology 486. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.02.004

Cowan, T., Cai, W., Purich, A., Rotstayn, L.D., England, M.H., 2013. Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean". Scientific Reports 3. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep02245

Cuoto, A., Holbrook, N.J., Maharaj, A., 2013. Unravelling Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific ENSO Contributions in South Pacific Chlorophyll-a Variability through Remote Sensing. Remote Sensing of Environment 2013, 4067–4087. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs5084067

Decker, M., Evans, J.P., Pitman, A., 2013. Groundwater constraints on simulated transpiration variability over Southeastern Australian forests. Journal of Hydrometeorology 14, 543–559. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-12-058.1

Donat, M.G., 2013. Projection and prediction: Local noise and global confidence. Nature Climate Change 3, 1018–1019. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2061

Donat, M.G., Alexander, L., Yang, H., Durre, I., Vose, R., Caesar, J., 2013a. Global land-based datasets for monitoring climatic extremes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94, 997-1006. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00109.1

Donat, M.G., Alexander, L., Yang, H., Vose, R., Willett, K.M., Aguilar, E., Caesar, J., Hewitson, B., Klein Tank, A., Marengo, S., Peterson, T.C., Rusticucci, M., Srivastava, A., Trewin, B., Zhai, P., 2013b. Updated analyses of temperature and precipitation extreme indices since the beginning of the twentieth century: The HadEX2 dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research 118, 2098–2118. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50150

England, M.H., Karoly, D.J., Steffen, W., 2013. Off the charts: Extreme Australian summer heat. Canberra.

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Mariethoz, G., Kavetski, D., 2013a. A Bayesian analysis of sensible heat flux estimation: quantifying uncertainty in meteorological forcing to improve model prediction. Water Resources Research 49, 2343–2358. https://doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20231

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Walker, J.P., 2013b. Effects of spatial aggregation on the multi-scale estimation of evapotranspiration. Remote Sensing of Environment 131, 51–62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.12.007

Evans, J., Fita L, Argueso D, Y, L., 2013. Initial NARCliM evaluation. Presented at the MODSIM2013, 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, pp. 2765–2771. https://doi.org/0D84A52D-D707-4E0C-855E-2D5B7DB79F16

Evans, J.P., Abramowitz, G., Ji, F., Ekström, M., 2013. Optimally choosing small ensemble members to produce robust climate simulations. Environmental Research Letters 8. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/044050

Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2013. Effect of model resolution on a regional climate model simulation over southeast Australia. Climate Research 56, 2. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01151

Exbrayat, J.F., Pitman, A., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.P., 2013a. Sensitivity of net ecosystem exchange and heterotrophic respiration to parameterization uncertainty. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 118, 1640–1651. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018122

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Westra, S., Evans, J.P., Mehrotra, R., Sharma, A., 2013b. A conditional disaggregation algorithm for generating fine time-scale rainfall data in a warmer climate. Journal of Hydrology 479. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.033

Widlansky, M.J., Timmerman, A., Stein, K., McGregor, S., Schneider, N., England, M.H., Lengaigne, M., Cai, W., 2013. Changes in South Pacific rainfall bands in a warming climate. Nature Climate Change 3, 417–423. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1726

Wilkins, D., van Sebille, E., Rintoul, S.R., Lauro, F.M., Cavicchioli, R., 2013. Advection shapes Southern Ocean microbial assemblages independent of distance and environment effects,. Nature Communications 4. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms3457

Wohlfart, T., Exbrayat, J.F., Schelde, K., Christen, B., Dalgaard, T., Frede, H., Breuer, L., 2013. Spatial distribution of soils determines export of nitrogen and dissolved organic carbon from an intensively managed agricultural landscape. Biogeosciences 9, 4513–4525. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-4513-2012

Wong, P., Lai, P.C., Hart, M., 2013. Microclimate Variations between Semi-enclosed and Open Sections of a Marathon Route. Advances in Meteorology 2013. https://doi.org/10.1155/2013/287934

Zhang, Q., Pitman, A., Wang, Y.P., Dai, Y.J., Lawrence, P.J., 2013. The impact of nitrogen and phosphorous limitation on the estimated terrestrial carbon balance and warming of land use change over the last 156 yr. EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS 4, 333–345. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-333-2013

Zika, J., Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2013. Vertical Heat Transport by the Ocean Circulation and the Role of Mechanical and Haline Forcing. Journal of Physical Oceanography 43, 2095–2112. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-12-0179.1

2012 PUBLICATIONS

Abramowitz, G., 2012. Towards a public, standardized, diagnostic benchmarking system for land surface models. Geoscientific Model Development 5, 819–827. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-5-819-2012

Abramowitz, G., Pouyanne, L., Ajami, H., 2012. On the information content of surface meteorology for downward atmospheric long-wave radiation synthesis. Geophysical Research Letters 39, L04808. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL050726

Alexander, L.V., Tebaldi, C., 2012. Weather and climate extremes: Observations, modelling and projections, in: The Future of the World’s Climate. Elsevier Science, pp. 253–288.

Allen, R.J., Sherwood, S.C., Norris, J., Zender, C., 2012. The equilibrium response to idealized thermal forcings in a comprehensive GCM: Implications for recent tropical expansion. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 11, 4795–4816. https://doi.org/10.5194/acpd-11-31643-2011

Arblaster, J.M., Alexander, L.V., Arblaster, J.M., Alexander, L.V., 2012. The impact of the El Nio-Southern Oscillation on maximum temperature extremes. Geophysical Research Letters 39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053409

Argueso, D., Hidalgo-Munoz, J.M., Gamiz-Fortis, S.R., Esteban-Parra, M.J., Castro-Diez, Y., Argueso, D., Hidalgo-Munoz, J.M., Gamiz-Fortis, S.R., Esteban-Parra, M.J., Castro-Diez, Y., 2012. Evaluation of WRF Mean and Extreme Precipitation over Spain: Present Climate (1970-99). J. Clim. 25, 4883–4897. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-11-00276.1

Arzel, O., England, M.H., Verdiere, A.C. de, Huck, T., 2012. Abrupt millennial variability and interdecadal-interstadial oscillations in a global coupled model: sensitivity to the background climate state. Climate Dynamics 39, 259–275. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1117-y

Avila, F.B., Pitman, A.J., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., Abramowitz, G., 2012. Climate model simulated changes in temperature extremes due to land cover change. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 117, D04108. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016382

Baker, A., Bradley, C., Phipps, S.J., Fischer, M.L., Wynn, P., Fuller, L., Spoetl, C., Azcurra, C., 2012. Millennial-length forward models and pseudoproxies of stalagmite ƒÔ18O: an example from NW Scotland. Climate of the Past Discussions 8, 869–907. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-8-869-2012

Bates, M.L., Griffies, S., England, M.H., 2012. A dynamic, embedded Lagrangian model for ocean climate models. Part I: Theory and implementation. Ocean Modelling 59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.05.004

Blockley, S., Lane, C., Hardiman, M., Rasmussen, S., Seierstad, I., Steffensen, J., Svensson, A., Lotter, A., Turney, C., Bronk Ramsey, C., 2012. Synchronisation of palaeoenvironmental records over the last 60,000 years, and an extended INTIMATE1 event stratigraphy to 48,000 b2k. Quaternary Science Reviews 36, 2–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.09.017

Blockley, S.P.E., Lane, C., Turney, C., Bronk Ramsey, C., 2012. The INTegration of Ice core, MArine and TErrestrial records of the last termination (INTIMATE)60,000 to 8000 BP. Quaternary Science Reviews 36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.10.001

Boisier, J.P., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Pitman, A.J., Cruz, F.T., Delire, C., van den Hurk, B., van der Molen, M.K., Muller, C., Voldoire, A., Boisier, J.P., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Pitman, A.J., Cruz, F.T., Delire, C., van den Hurk, B., van der Molen, M.K., Muller, C., Voldoire, A., 2012. Attributing the impacts of land-cover changes in temperate regions on surface temperature and heat fluxes to specific causes: Results from the first LUCID set of simulations. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos. 117. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011jd017106

Bormann, K., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2012. Satellite based observations for seasonal snow cover detection and characterisation in Australia. Remote Sensing of Environment 123, 57–71. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.03.003

Bradshaw, C., Cooper, A., Turney, C., Brook, B., 2012. Robust estimates of extinction time in the geological record. Quaternary Science Reviews 33, 14–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.11.021

Brennan, C.E., Weaver, A.J., Eby, M., Meissner, K.J., 2012. Modelling oxygen isotopes in the University of Victoria Earth System Climate Model for Pre-industrial and Last Glacial Maximum Conditions. Atmosphere - Ocean. https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2012.707611

Chamberlain, M.A., Sun, C., Matear, R. j., Feng, M., Phipps, S.J., 2012. Downscaling the climate change for oceans around Australia. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 5, 425–458. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmdd-5-425-2012

Clarke, H.G., Lucas, C., Smith, P.L., 2012. Changes in Australian fire weather between 1973 and 2010. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3480

Cook, C.G., Jones, R.T., 2012. Palaeoclimate dynamics in continental Southeast Asia over the last ~30,000 Cal yrs BP. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Paleoecology 339, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2012.03.025

Cook, C.G., Leng, M.J., Jones, R.T., Langdon, P.G., Zhang, E., 2012. Lake ecosystem dynamics and links to climate change inferred from a stable isotope and organic palaeorecord from a mountain lake in southwestern China (ca. 22.6-10.5 cal ka BP). Quaternary Research 77, 132–137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yqres.2011.09.011

De Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Boisier, J.-P., Pitman, A., Bonan, G.B.., Brovkin, V.., Cruz, F., Delire, C.., Gayler, V.., Van Den Hurk, B.J.J.M.., Lawrence, P.J.., Van Der Molen, M.K.., Müller, C.., Reick, C.H.., Strengers, B.J.., Voldoire, A., 2012. Determining robust impacts of land-use-induced land cover changes on surface climate over North America and Eurasia: Results from the first set of LUCID experiments. Journal of Climate 25, 3261–3281. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00338.1

Decker, M., Brunke, M.A., Wang, Z., Sakaguchi, K., Zeng, X., Bosilovich, M.G., 2012. Evaluation of the reanalysis products from GSFC, NCEP, and ECMWF using flux tower observations. Journal of Climate 6, 1916–1944. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00004.1

Evans, J.P., Boyer-Souchet, I., 2012. Local sea surface temperatures add to extreme precipitation in northeast Australia during La Niña. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl052014

Fernández-Donado, L., J. F. González-Rouco, C. C. Raible, C. M. Ammann, D. Barriopedro, E. García-Bustamante, J. H. Jungclaus, S. J. Lorenz, J. Luterbacher, S. J. Phipps, J. Servonnat, D. Swingedouw, S. F. B. Tett, S. Wagner, Yiou, P., Zorita, E., 2012. Temperature response to external forcing in simulations and reconstructions of the last millennium. Climate of the Past 8, 4003–4073. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-8-4003-2012

Fogwill, C.J., Hein, A., Bentley, M.J., Sugden, D.E., 2012. Do blue-ice moraines in the Heritage Range show the West Antarctic Ice Sheet survived the last interglacial? Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 335–336. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2011.01.027

Froyland, G., Horenkamp, C., Rossi, V., Santitissadeekorn, N., Gupta, A.S., Froyland, G., Horenkamp, C., Rossi, V., Santitissadeekorn, N., Gupta, A.S., 2012. Three-dimensional characterization and tracking of an Agulhas Ring. Ocean Modelling 52–53, 69–75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.05.001

Gang, G., Garcia, D., Liu, Y.Y., de Jeu, R.A.M., Johanees Dolman, A., 2012. A three-dimensional gap filling method for large geophysical datasets: Application to global satellite soil moisture observations. Environmental Modelling and Software 30, 139–142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.10.015

García-Díez, M., Fernández, J., Fita, L., Yagüe, C., 2012. Seasonal dependence of WRF model biases and sensitivity to PBL schemes over Europe. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.1976

Gergis, J., Gallant, A.J.E., Braganza, K., Karoly, D.J., Allen, K., Cullen, L., D’Arrigo, R., Goodwin, I., Grierson, P., McGregor, S., 2012. On the long-term context of the 1997-2009 “Big Dry” in south-eastern Australia: insights from a 206-year multi-proxy rainfall reconstruction. Climatic Change 111, 923. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0263-x

Green, D.L., Niall, S., Morrison, J., 2012. Bridging the gap between theory and practice in climate change vulnerability assessments for remote Indigenous communities in northern Australia. Local Environment: The International Journal of Justice and Sustainability 17, 295–315. https://doi.org/10.1080/13549839.2012.665857

Gupta, H., M. Clark, J. Vrugt, G. Abramowitz, Ye, M., 2012. Towards a comprehensive assessment of model structural adequacy. Water Resources Research 48, W08301. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR011044

Hughes, A., Rainsley, E.B., Tavi, M.T., Fogwill, C.J., Schnabel, C., Xu, S., 2012. Rapid response of Helheim Glacier, South-east Greenland to early Holocene climate warming. Geology 40, 427–430. https://doi.org/10.1130/G32730.1

Huiskamp, W., Meissner, K.J., 2012. Oceanic carbon and water masses during the Mystery Interval: A model-data comparison study. Paleoceanography 27. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012PA002368

Jones, R., Cook, C.G., Zhang, E., Langdon, P., Jordan, J., Turney, C., 2012. Holocene environmental change at Lake Shudu, Yunnan Province, southwestern China. Hydrobiologia. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-012-1124-y

Kidston, J., Vallis, G.K., Kidston, J., Vallis, G.K., 2012. The Relationship between the Speed and the Latitude of an Eddy-Driven Jet in a Stirred Barotropic Model. J. Atmos. Sci. 69, 3251–3263. https://doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-11-0300.1

Kvale, K.F., Zickfeld, K., Bruckner, T., Meissner, K.J., Tanaka, K., Weaver, A.J., 2012. Carbon dioxide emission pathways avoiding dangerous ocean impacts. Weather, Climate, and Society. https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00030.1

Li, Y., Jourdain, N.C., Taschetto, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., Ashok, K., Sen Gupta, A., Li, Y., Jourdain, N.C., Taschetto, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., Ashok, K., Sen Gupta, A., 2012. Evaluation of monsoon seasonality and the tropospheric biennial oscillation transitions in the CMIP models. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053322

Liu, Y.Y., Dorigo, W., Parinussa, R., De Jeu, R.A.M., Wagner, W., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., 2012. Trend-preserving blending of passive and active microwave soil moisture retrievals. Remote Sensing of Environment 123, 280–297. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.03.014

Luo, Y.Q., Randerson, J., Abramowitz, G., Bacour, C., Blyth, E., Carvalhais, N., Ciais, P., Dalmonech, D., Fisher, J., Fisher, R., Friedlingstein, P., Hibbard, K., Hoffman, F., Huntzinger, D., Jones, C., Koven, C., Lawrence, D., Li, D., Mahecha, M., Niu, S., Norby, R., Piao, S., Qi, X., Peylin, P., Prentice, I., Riley, W., Reichstein, M., Schwalm, C., Wang, Y., Xia, J., Zaehle, S., Zhou, X., 2012a. A framework of benchmarking land models. Biogeosciences Discussions 9, 1899–1944. https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-9-1899-2012

Luo, Y.Q., Randerson, J.T., Abramowitz, G., Bacour, C., Blyth, E., Carvalhais, N., Ciais, P., Dalmonech, D., Fisher, J.B., Fisher, R., Friedlingstein, P., Hibbard, K., Hoffman, F., Huntzinger, D., Jones, C.D., Koven, C., Lawrence, D., Li, D.J., Mahecha, M., Niu, S.L., Norby, R., Piao, S.L., Qi, X., Peylin, P., Prentice, I.C., Riley, W., Reichstein, M., Schwalm, C., Wang, Y.P., Xia, J.Y., Zaehle, S., Zhou, X.H., Luo, Y.Q., Randerson, J.T., Abramowitz, G., Bacour, C., Blyth, E., Carvalhais, N., Ciais, P., Dalmonech, D., Fisher, J.B., Fisher, R., Friedlingstein, P., Hibbard, K., Hoffman, F., Huntzinger, D., Jones, C.D., Koven, C., Lawrence, D., Li, D.J., Mahecha, M., Niu, S.L., Norby, R., Piao, S.L., Qi, X., Peylin, P., Prentice, I.C., Riley, W., Reichstein, M., Schwalm, C., Wang, Y.P., Xia, J.Y., Zaehle, S., Zhou, X.H., 2012b. A framework for benchmarking land models. Biogeosciences 9, 3857–3874. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-3857-2012

McGregor, S., Sen Gupta, A., England, M.H., McGregor, S., Sen Gupta, A., England, M.H., 2012. Constraining Wind Stress Products with Sea Surface Height Observations and Implications for Pacific Ocean Sea Level Trend Attribution. J. Clim. 25, 8164–8176. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00105.1

McNeil, B.I., Matear, R.J., 2012. The non-steady state oceanic CO2 signal: its importance, magnitude and a novel way to detect it. Biogeosciences Discussions 9, 13161–13186. https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-9-13161-2012

Meissner, K. J., Lippmann, T., Sen Gupta, A., 2012. Large-scale stress factors affecting coral reefs: open ocean sea surface temperature and surface seawater aragonite saturation over the next 400 years. Coral Reefs 31, 309–319. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00338-011-0866-8

Meissner, K.J., McNeil, B.I., Eby, M., Wiebe, E.C., 2012. The importance of the terrestrial weathering feedback for multimillennial coral reef habitat recovery. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 26. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GB004098

Menviel, L., Joos, F., Ritz, S.P., Menviel, L., Joos, F., Ritz, S.P., 2012. Simulating atmospheric CO2, C-13 and the marine carbon cycle during the Last Glacial-Interglacial cycle: possible role for a deepening of the mean remineralization depth and an increase in the oceanic nutrient inventory. Quat. Sci. Rev. 56, 46–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.09.012

Michael L. Bates, Stephen M. Griffies, England, M.H., 2012. A dynamic, embedded Lagrangian model for ocean climate models. Part II: Idealised overflow tests. Ocean Modelling 59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.08.003

O’Neill, C., Green, D.L., Lui, W., 2012. How to make climate change research relevant for Indigenous communities in Torres Strait, Australia. Local Environment: The International Journal of Justice and Sustainability 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1080/13549839.2012.716405

Pagani, M., Huber, M., Liu, Z., Bohaty, S.M., Henderiks, J., Sijp, W.P., Krishnan, S., Deconto, R.M., 2012. The role of carbon dioxide during the onset of antarctic glaciation. Science 334, 6060. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1203909

Perkins, S., Pitman, A., Sisson, S.A., 2012. Systematic differences in future 20-year temperature extremes in AR4 model projections over Australia as a function of model skill. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3500

Perkins, S.E., Alexander, L.V., Nairn, J.R., Perkins, S.E., Alexander, L.V., Nairn, J.R., 2012. Increasing frequency, intensity and duration of observed global heatwaves and warm spells. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053361

Phipps, S.J., Rotstayn, L.D., Gordon, H.B., Roberts, J.L., Hirst, A.C., Budd, W.F., Phipps, S.J., Rotstayn, L.D., Gordon, H.B., Roberts, J.L., Hirst, A.C., Budd, W.F., 2012. The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model version 1.0-Part 2: Response to external forcings. Geosci. Model Dev. 5, 649–682. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-5-649-2012

Pitman, A., Arneth, A., Ganzeveld, L., 2012. Regionalizing global climate models. International Journal of Climatology 32, 321–337. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2279

Pitman, A.J., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Avila, F.B., Alexander, L.V., Boisier, J.P., Brovkin, V., Delire, C., Cruz, F., Donat, M.G., Gayler, V., van den Hurk, B., Reick, C., Voldoire, A., Pitman, A.J., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Avila, F.B., Alexander, L.V., Boisier, J.P., Brovkin, V., Delire, C., Cruz, F., Donat, M.G., Gayler, V., van den Hurk, B., Reick, C., Voldoire, A., 2012. Effects of land cover change on temperature and rainfall extremes in multi-model ensemble simulations. Earth Syst. Dynam. 3, 213–231. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-3-213-2012

Pui, A., A. Sharma, A. Santoso, Westra, S., 2012. Impact of the El Nino Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode on daily to sub-daily rainfall characteristics in East Australia. Monthly Weather Review 140, 1665–1682. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00238.1

Rule, S., Brook, B., Haberle, S., Turney, C., Kershaw, A., Johnson, C., 2012. The aftermath of megafaunal extinction: Ecosystem transformation in Pleistocene Australia. Science 335, 1483–1486. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1214261

Saenko, O.A., Sen Gupta, A., Spence, P., 2012. On challenges in predicting bottom water transport in the Southern Ocean. Journal of Climate 25, 1349–1356. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00040.1

Santoso, A., England, M.H., Cai, W., 2012. Impact of Indo-Pacific feedback interactions on ENSO dynamics diagnosed using ensemble climate simulations. Journal of Climate 25. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00287.1

Saul, B., Sherwood, S.C., McAdam, J., Stephens, T., Slezak, J., 2012. Climate Change and Australia: Warming to the Global Challenge. Federation Press, Australia.

Sen Gupta, A., Ganachaud, A., McGregor, S., Brown, J.N., Muir, L., 2012. Drivers of the projected changes to the Pacific Ocean equatorial circulation. Geophysical Research Letters 39, L09605. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051447

Shaw, E.C., McNeil, B.I., Tilbrook, B., 2012. Impacts of ocean acidification in naturally variable coral reef flat ecosystems. Journal of Geophysical Research C: Oceans 117, C03038. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007655

Sherwood, S.C., Risi, C., 2012. The HDO/H2O relationship in tropospheric water vapor in an idealized “last-saturation” model. Journal of Geophysical Research : Atmospheres 117. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018068

Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2012. Precise calculations of the existence of multiple AMOC equilibria in coupled climate models. Part II: Transient behavior. Journal of Climate 25, 299–306. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4246.1

Sijp, W., Gregory, J., Tailleux, R., Spence, P., 2012. The key role of the western boundary in linking the AMOC strength to the north-south pressure gradient. Journal of Physical Oceanography 42, 628–643. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-11-0113.1

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., Gregory, J., 2012. Precise calculations of the existence of multiple AMOC equilibria in coupled climate models. Part I: Equilibrium states. Journal of Climate 25, 282–298. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4245.1

Sijp, W.P., Sijp, W.P., 2012. Characterising meridional overturning bistability using a minimal set of state variables. Clim. Dyn. 39, 2127–2142. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1249-0

Simpkins, G.R., Ciasto, L.M., Thompson, D.W.J., England, M.H., Simpkins, G.R., Ciasto, L.M., Thompson, D.W.J., England, M.H., 2012. Seasonal Relationships between Large-Scale Climate Variability and Antarctic Sea Ice Concentration. J. Clim. 25, 5451–5469. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-11-00367.1

Simpkins, G.R., Karpechko, A.Y., 2012. Sensitivity of the southern annular mode to greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Climate Dynamics 38, 563–572. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1121-2

Spence, P., Saenko, O.A., Dufour, C.O., Le Sommer, J., England, M.H., Spence, P., Saenko, O.A., Dufour, C.O., Le Sommer, J., England, M.H., 2012a. Mechanisms Maintaining Southern Ocean Meridional Heat Transport under Projected Wind Forcing. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42, 1923–1931. https://doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-12-03.1

Spence, P., Saenko, O.A., Sijp, W., England, M.H., Spence, P., Saenko, O.A., Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2012b. The Role of Bottom Pressure Torques on the Interior Pathways of North Atlantic Deep Water. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42, 110–125. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011jpo4584.1

Taschetto, A.S., Ambrizzi, T., 2012. Can Indian Ocean SST anomalies influence South American rainfall? Climate Dynamics 38, 1615–1628. https://doi.org/10.1007/s0032-011-1165-3

Tokinaga, H., Xie, S.P., Timmerman, A., McGregor, S., Ogata, T., Kubota, H., Okumura, Y.M., 2012. Regional Patterns of Tropical Indo-Pacific Climate Change: Evidence of the Walker Circulation Weakening. Journal of Climate 25. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00263.1

Turney, C., 2012. Surface ∂13C in Australia: A quantified measure of annual precipitation? Terra Australis 34 34, 435–443.

Van Den Hurk, B., Best, M., Dirmeyer, P.A., Pitman, A.J., Polcher, J., Santanello, J., 2012. Acceleration of land surface model development over a decade of GLASS. State of the Climate 92, 1593–1600. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00007.1

Van Sebille, E., England, M.H., Froyland, G., Van Sebille, E., England, M.H., Froyland, G., 2012a. Origin, dynamics and evolution of ocean garbage patches from observed surface drifters. Environmental Research Letters 7. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044040

Van Sebille, E., England, M.H., Zika, J., Sloyan, B.M., 2012b. Tasman leakage in a fine-resolution ocean model. Geophysical Research Letters 39, L06601. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051004

Van Sebille, E., Johns, W., Beal, L., 2012c. Does the vorticity flux from Agulhas rings control the zonal pathway of NADW across the South Atlantic? Journal of Geophysical Research C: Oceans 117, C05037. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007684

von Storch, J.S., Eden, C., Fast, I., Haak, H., Hernandez-Deckers, D., Maier-Reimer, E., Marotzke, J., Stammer, D., von Storch, J.S., Eden, C., Fast, I., Haak, H., Hernandez-Deckers, D., Maier-Reimer, E., Marotzke, J., Stammer, D., 2012. An Estimate of the Lorenz Energy Cycle for the World Ocean Based on the 1/10 degrees STORM/NCEP Simulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42, 2185–2205. https://doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-12-079.1

Walker, M., Lowe, J.J., Blockley, S.P.E., Bryant, C.J., Coombes, P., Davies, S.M., Hardiman, M., Turney, C., Watson, J.E., 2012. Lateglacial and early Holocene palaeoenvironmental “events” in Sluggan Bog, Northern Ireland: Comparisons with the Greenland NGRIP GICC05 event stratigraphy. Quaternary Science Reviews 36, 124–138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.09.008

Wang, L., D’Odorico, P., Evans, J.P., Eldridge, D., McCabe, M.F., Caylor, K.K., King, E.G., 2012. Dryland ecohydrology and climate change: Critical issues and technical advances. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 9, 4777–4825. https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-9-4777-2012

Wania, R., Meissner, K.J., Eby, M., Arora, V., Ross, I., Weaver, A.J., 2012. Carbon-nitrogen feedbacks in the UVic ESCM. Geoscientific Model Development 5, 1137–1160. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmdd-5-67-2012

Weijer, W., Sloyan, B.M., Maltrud, M., Jeffery, N., Hecht, M.W., Hartin, C.A., Van Sebille, E., Wainer, I., Landrum, L., 2012. The Southern Ocean and Its Climate in CCSM4. Journal of Climate 25, 2652–2675. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00302.1

Willett, K.M., Sherwood, S., Willett, K.M., Sherwood, S., 2012. Exceedance of heat index thresholds for 15 regions under a warming climate using the wet-bulb globe temperature. Int. J. Climatol. 32, 161–177. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2257

Young, P.J., Rosenlof, K.H., Solomon, S., Sherwood, S.C., Fu, Q., Lamarque, J.F., 2012. Changes in stratospheric temperatures and their implications for changes in the Brewer-Dobson circulation, 1979-2005. Journal of Climate 25, 1759–1772. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4048.1

Zika, J.D., England, M.H., Sijp, W.P., Zika, J.D., England, M.H., Sijp, W.P., 2012. The Ocean Circulation in Thermohaline Coordinates. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42, 708–724. https://doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-11-0139.1

2011 PUBLICATIONS

Ackerley, D., Lorrey, A., Renwick, J.A., Phipps, S.J., Wagner, S., Dean, S., Singarayer, J., Valdes, P., Abe-Ouchi, A., Ohgaito, R., Jones, J.M., 2011. Using synoptic type analysis to understand New Zealand climate during the Mid-Holocene. Climate of the Past Discussions 7, 1301–1337. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-7-1301-2011

Ajami, H., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J., 2011a. Comparison of simulated snow cover from the weather research and forcast (WRF) regional climate model with satellite-based and in-situ observations. Presented at the IAHS Lead Symposia.

Ajami, H., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Stisen, S., 2011b. Toward Improved Estimation of Groundwater Recharge and Evapotranspiration Using Coupled vs. Integrated Hydrologic Models. Presented at the IUGG 2011. http://www.iugg2011.com/program.asp

Ajami, H., McCabe, M.F., Stisen, S., Evans, J., 2011c. On the performance of integrated hydrologic models in simulating catchment scale land surface fluxes. Presented at the EGU General Assembly 2011, Geophysical Research Abstracts, pp. EGU2011-5520. http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2011/EGU2011-5520.pdf

Alexander, L.V., 2011. Extreme heat rooted in dry soils. Nature Geoscience 4, 12–13. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1045

Alexander, L.V., Wang, X.L., Trewin, B., 2011. Significant decline in storminess over south-east Australia since the late 19th century. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 61, 23–30. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1045

Allen, R.J., Sherwood, S.C., 2011. The impact of natural versus anthropogenic aerosols on atmospheric circulation in the Community Atmosphere Model. Climate Dynamics 36, 1959–1978. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0898-8

Allison, I., Bindoff, N.L...Bindschadler, R.A...Cox, P.M...de Noblet, N...England, M.H...Francis, J.E.., Gruber, N., Haywood, A.M...Karoly, D.J...Kaser, G...Le Quere, C...Lenton, T.M...Mann, M.E.., McNeil, B.I., Pitman, A.J...Rahmstorf, S...Rignot, E...Schellnhuber, H.J...Schneider, S.H.., Sherwood, S.C., Somerville, R.C.J...Steffen, K...Steig, E.J...Visbeck, Martin and Weaver, A.J., 2011. The Copenhagen Diagnosis: Updating the World on the Latest Climate Science. Elsevier, London UK.

Arzel, O., England, M.H., Saenko, O.A., 2011. The Impact of Wind Stress Feedback on the Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Journal of Climate 24, 1965–1984. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3137.1

Ashe, B., McAneney, J., Pitman, A.J., 2011. Is the allocation of resources towards mitigation and response to fire in Australia optimal? Journal of Risk Research 14, 381–393. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2010.541561

Avis, C.A., Weaver, A., Meissner, K.J., 2011. Reduction in areal extent of high-latitude wetlands in response to permafrost thaw. Nature Geoscience 4, 444–448. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1160

Azcurra, C.S., Hughes, C.E., Parkes, S., Hollins, S.E., Gibson, J.J., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2011. A comparison between direct and pan-derived measurements of the isotopic composition of atmospheric waters. Presented at the MODSIM2011 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation., Accepted.

Baker, A., Azcurra, C., Bradley, C., McCabe, M.F., Fairchild, I.J., Evans, J.P., 2011. Forward modelling of the speleothem oxygen isotope paleoclimate proxy. Presented at the XVIII International Union for Quaternary Research Congress.

Beaumont, L., Pitman, A.J., Perkins, S.E., Zimmerman, N.E., Yoccoz, N.G., Thuiller, W., 2011. Impacts of climate change on the world’s most exceptional ecoregions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America - Biological Sciences 108, 2306–2311. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1007217108

Bormann, K., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2011. A New Approach to Snow Detection in Australia using MODIS & Landsat TM. Presented at the 34th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment, Accepted.

Caesar, J., Alexander, L.V., Trewin, B., Tse-ring, K., Sorany, L., Vuniyayawa, V., Keosavang, N., Shimana, A., Htay, M.M., Karmacharya, J., Jayasinghearachchi, D.A., Sakkamart, J., Soares, E., Hung, L.T., Thuong, L.T., Hue, C.T., Dung, N.T.T., Hung, P.V., Cuong, H.D., Cuong, N.M., Siribaha, S., 2011. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Indo-Pacific region from 1971 to 2005. International Journal of Climatology 31, 791–801. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2118

Cai, W., Cowan, T., Sullivan, A.M., Ribbe, J., Shi, G., 2011. Are anthropogenic aerosols responsible for the northwest Australia summer rainfall increase? A CMIP3 perspective and implications. Journal of Climate 24, 2556–2564. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3832.1

Cai, Y., Strauss, J., Parkes, S., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Griffiths, A.D., 2011. Stable water isotopes in land surface modeling: comparison with in-situ isotopic measurements. Presented at the 11th Australasian Environmental Isotope Conference & 4th Australasian Hydrogeology Research Conference.

Chae, J.H., Wu, D.L., Read, W.G., Sherwood, S.C., 2011. The role of tropical deep convective clouds on temperature, water vapor, and dehydration in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 10, 8963–8994. https://doi.org/10.5194/acpd-10-8963-2010

Ciasto, L.M., Alexander, M.A., Deser, C., England, M., 2011. On the persistence of cold-season SST anomalies associated with the Annular Modes. Journal of Climate 24, 2500–2515. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3535.1

Ciasto, L.M., England, M.H., 2011. Observed ENSO teleconnections to Southern Ocean SST anomalies diagnosed from a surface mixed layer heat budget. Geophysical Research Letters 38, L09701. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL046895

Clarke, H.C., Smith, P.L., Pitman, A.J., 2011. Regional signatures of future fire weather over Eastern Australia from Global Climate Models. International Journal of Wildland Fire 20, 550–562. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF10070

Collins, D., Sen Gupta, A., Power, S., Braganza, K., Brown, J.N., Brown, J.R., Cai, W., Church, J., Colman, R., Dowdy, A., Durack, P., Jones, D., Kuchinke, Y., Kuleshov, Y., Lorrey, A., Lucas, C., McGree, S., McInnes, K., Moise, A., Muir, L., Murphy, B., Phipps, S.J., Smith, I., Tilbrook, B., White, N., 2011. Chapter 3: Observed Climate Variability and Trends (R1), Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research. Australian Burea of Meteorology and CSIRO, Canberra.

Cook, C.G., Jones, R.T., Langdon, P.G., Leng, M.J., Zhang, E., 2011. New insights on Late Quarternary Asian palaeomonsoon variability and timing of the Last Glacial Maximum in southwestern China. Quarternary Science Reviews 30, 808–820. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.01.003

Cowan, T., Cai, W., 2011. The impact of Asian and non-Asian anthropogenic aerosols on 20th century Asian summer monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters 38, 5pp. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047268

d’Orgeville, M., England, M.H., Sijp, W.P., 2011. Buffered versus non-buffered ocean carbon reservoir variations: Application to the sensitivity of atmospheric pCO2 to ocean circulation changes. Geophysical Research Letters 38. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049823

Damien B. Irving, Sarah E. Perkins, Josephine R. Brown, Alex Sen Gupta, Aurel F. Moise, Bradley F. Murphy, Les C. Muir, Robert A. Colman, Scott B. Power, Francois P. Delage, Brown, J.N., 2011. Evaluating global climate models for the Pacific island region. Climate Research 49, 169–187. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01028

D’Arrigo, R., Abram, N., Ummenhofer, C.C., Palmer, J., Mudelsee, M., 2011a. Reconstructed streamflow for Citarum River, Java, Indonesia: linkages to tropical climate dynamics. Climate Dynamics 36, 451–462. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0717-2

D’Arrigo, R., Palmer, J., Ummenhofer, C.C., Kyaw, N.N., Krusic, P., 2011b. Three centuries of Myanmar monsoon climate variability inferred from teak tree rings. Geophysical Research Letters 38, L24705. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049927

Donat, M.G., Leckebusch, G.C., Wild, S., Ulbrich, U., 2011. Future changes in European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds in multi-model GCM and RCM simulations. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 11, 1351–1370. https://doi.org/10.594/nhess-11-1351-2011

Donat, M. G., Pardowitz, T., Leckebusch, G.C., Ulbrich, U., Burghoff, O., 2011a. High-resolution refinement of a storm loss model and estimation of return periods of loss-intensive storms over Germany. Natural Hazards Earth System Science 11, 2821–2833.

Donat, M. G., Renggli, D., Wild, S., Alexander, L.V., Leckebusch, G.C., Ulbrich, U., 2011b. Reanalysis suggests long-term upward trends in European storminess since 1871. Geophysical Research Letters 38, L14703. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047995

Dufour, C.O., Le Sommer, J., Penduff, T., Barnier, B., England, M.H., 2011. Structure and Causes of the Pulsation Mode in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current South of Australia. Journal of Physical Oceanography 41, 253–268. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JPO4193.1

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2011a. Estimating surface heat fluxes from remote sensing, process models and regional climate simulations. Presented at the EGU General Assembly 2011.

Ershadi, A, McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2011a. Surface heat fluxes from remote sensing, process models and regional climate simulations. Presented at the European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2011, p. XY311.

Ershadi, A, McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2011b. Issues of scale in surface heat flux retrieval using multi-resolution, multi-temporal satellite imagery. Presented at the XXV IUGG General Assembly; Earth on the Edge: Science for a Sustainable Planet.

Ershadi, A, McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Walker, J.P., 2011c. Evaluation of energy balance, combination, and complementary schemes for estimation of evaporation. Presented at the Hydro-climatology - Variability and Change Symposium, part of the 25th International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics General, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, Accepted, pp. 52–56.

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Walker, J.P., Pipunic, R., 2011b. Estimation of evaporation using the surface energy balance system (SEBS) and numerical models. Presented at the 34th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment, n/a.

Evans, J.P., 2011a. Regional scale projections - the NARCLIM Project. Presented at the Climate 11 - Impacts and adaptations.

Evans, J.P., 2011b. Regional climate projections for NSW. Presented at the Terrestrial Biodiversity and Climate Change adaptation in New South Wales Management and Policy, NCARF workshop.

Evans, J.P., 2011c. Dynamical downscaling across South East Australia. Presented at the South East Australia Climate Initiative annual workshop.

Evans, J.P., 2011d. CORDEX - An international climate downscaling initiative, in: Chan, F., Marinova, D., Anderssen, R.S. (Eds.), . Presented at the MODSIM2011, 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Accepted, pp. 2705–2711.

Evans, J.P., 2011e. CMIP5 Dynamic Downscaling. Presented at the CMIP5 Workshop.

Evans, J.P., Alsamawi, A., 2011. The Importance of the Zagros Mountains Barrier Jet to Future Precipitation in the Fertile Crescent. The Open Atmospheric Science Journal, 5, 87-95. https://doi.org/10.2174/1874282301105010087

Evans, J.P., Ekstrom, M., . F.J., 2011. A physical ensemble investigation of the 8 July 2007 Newcastle storm. Presented at the Joint conference on Extreme Weather,.

Evans, J. P., M. Ekström, Ji, F., 2011a. Evaluating the performance of a WRF physics ensemble over South-East Australia. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1244-5

Evans, J. P., Pitman, A.J., Cruz, F.T., 2011b. Coupled atmospheric and land surface dynamics over southeast Australia: a review, analysis and identification of future research priorities. International Journal of Climatology 31, 1758–1772. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2206

Evans, J.P.M.F.M. and X.H.M., 2011. Modelling drought in south-east Australia using a regional climate model. Presented at the EGU General Assembly 2011.

Ganachaud, A., Sen Gupta, A.R., Orrell, J., Wijffels, S., Ridgway, K., Hermer, M., Maes, C., Steinberg, C., Tribollet, A., Qiu, B., Kruger, J., 2011. Observed and expected changes to the pacific ocean, in: Bell, J., Johnson, J., Hobday, A. (Eds.), Vulnerability of Fisheries and Aquaculture in the Pacific to Climate Change. Secretariat of the Pacific Community, New Caledonia.

Garcia-Garcia, D., Ummenhofer, C.C., Zlotnicki, V., 2011. Australian water mass variations from GRACE data linked to Indo-Pacific climate variability. Remote Sensing of Environment 115, 2175–2183. https://doi.org/10.116/j.rse.2011.04.007

Green, D.L., 2011. What legal recourse do non-state Islands have to obtain resources to adapt to climate change? Macquarie Journal of International and Comparative Environmental Law 7, 69–91. http://www.law.mq.edu.au/research/law_journals/macquarie_journal_of_international_and_comparative_environmental_law/

Hein, A.S., Fogwill, C.J., Sugden, D.E., Xu, S., 2011. Glacial/interglacial ice-stream stability in the Weddell Sea embayment, Antarctica. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 307(1–2), 211–221. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2011.04.037

Hill, K., Taschetto, A., England, M., 2011. Sensitivity of South American summer rainfall to tropical Pacific Ocean SST anomalies. Geophysical Research Letters 38, 6pp. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL045571

Hogg, A., Palmer, J., Boswijk, G., Turney, C., 2011. High-precision radiocarbon measurements of the tree-ring dated wood from New Zealand: 200 BC-AD 950. Radiocarbon 53, 529–542. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0033822200034639

Holbrook, N.J., Goodwin, I.D., McGregor, S., Molina, E., Power, S., 2011. ENSO to multi-decadal time scale changes in East Australian Current transports and Fort Denison sea level: oceanic Rossby waves as the connecting mechanism. Deep - Sea Research Part II - Topical Studies in Oceanography 58, 547–558. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.06.007

Ji, F., Evans, J.P., Ekstrom, M., 2011. Using dynamical downscaling to simulate rainfall for east coast low events. Presented at the MODSIM2011 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation.

Johnson, F., Westra, S., Sharma, A., Pitman, A.J., 2011. An Assessment of GCM Skill in Simulating Persistence across Multiple Time Scales. Journal of Climate 24, 3609–3623. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI3732.1

Kala, J., Lyons, T.J., Nair, U.S., 2011. Numerical Simulations of the Impacts of Land-Cover Change on Cold Fronts in South-West Western Australia. Boundary-Layer Meteorol 138, 121. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-010-9547-3

Kidston, J., Taschetto, A.S., Thompson, D.W.J., England, M.H., 2011. The influence of Southern Hemisphere sea-ice extent on the latitude of the mid-latitude jet stream. Geophysical Research Letters 38, L15804. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048056

Kvale, K.F., Meissner, K.J., d’Orgeville, M., Matear, R.J., McNeil, B.I., England, M.H., 2011. The combined impact of CO2-dependent parameterisations of Redfield and Rain ratios on ocean carbonate saturation. Biogeosciences Discussions 8, 6265. https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-8-6265-2011

Le Brocq, A.M., Bentley, M.J., Hubbard, A., Fogwill, C.J., Sugden, D.E., Whitehouse, P.L., 2011. Reconstructing The Last Glacial Maximum Ice Sheet In The Weddell Sea Embayment, Antarctica, Using Numerical Modelling Constrained By Field Evidence. Quaternary Science Reviews 30, 2422–2432. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.05.009

Liu, Y.Y., De Jeu, R.A.M., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., 2011a. Satellite‐based estimates of global change in vegetation moisture over mainland Australia (1988‐2008). Presented at the IUGG 2011.

Liu, Y.Y., De Jeu, R.A.M., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., 2011b. Global long-term passive microwave satellite-based retrievals of vegetation optical depth. Geophysical Research Letters 38. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048684

Liu, Y.Y., De Jeu, R.A.M., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., 2011c. Comparing Optical and Microwave Remote Sensing‐based Vegetation Density over Mongolia for 1988‐2006. Presented at the 34th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment.

Liu, Y.Y., McCabe, M.F., De Jeu, R.A.M., Evans, J.P., 2011d. Discriminating between climate and human-induced land degradation in Mongolia. Presented at the 34th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment, n/a.

Liu, Y.Y., Parinussa, R., Dorigo, W., de Jeu, R.A.M., Wagner, W., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J., 2011e. Developing an improved soil moisture dataset by blending passive and active microwave satellite-based retrievals. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 15, 425–436. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-425-2011

Mao, J., Phipps, S.J., Pitman, A.J., Wang, Y.P., Abramowitz, G., Pak, B., 2011a. The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model v1.0 coupled to the CABLE land surface scheme v1.4b: Evaluation of the control climatology. Geoscientific Model Development 4, 1115–1131. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-1115-2011

Mao, J., Pitman, A.J., Phipps, S.J., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.-P., 2011b. Global and regional coupled climate sensitivity to the parameterization of rainfall interception. Climate Dynamics 37, 171–186. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0862-7

McGregor, S., Timmermann, A., 2011. The effect of explosive tropical volcanism on ENSO. Journal of Climate 24, 2178–2191. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3990.1

McNeil, B.I., Sweeney, C., Gibson, J.A.E., 2011. Natural seasonal variability of aragonite saturation state within two Antarctic coastal ocean sites. Antarctic Science 23, 1–2. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0954102011000204

Meng, X., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2011. Numerical modelling and land-atmosphere feedback of drought in south-east Australia. Presented at the XXV IUGG General Assembly; Earth on the Edge: Science for a Sustainable Planet, IUGG2011, Accepted, pp. 144–149.

Montenegro, A., Spence, P., Meissner, K.J., Eby, M., Melchin, M.J., Johnston, S.T., 2011. Climate simulations of the Permian-Triassic boundary: Ocean acidification and the extinction event. Paleoceanography 26. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010PA002058

Nair, U.S., Wu, Y., Kala, J., Lyons, T.J., Pielke, R.A., Hacker, J.M., 2011. The role of land use change on the development and evolution of the west coast trough, convective clouds, and precipitation in southwest Australia. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH 116, D07103. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014950

Phipps, S.J., Rotstayn, L.D., Gordon, H.B., Roberts, J.L., Hirst, A.C., Budd, W.F., 2011. The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model version 1.0 - Part 1: Description and evaluation. Geoscientific Model Development 4, 483–509. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-483-2011

Pielke, R.A., Pitman, A.J., Niyogi, D., Mahmood, R., McAlpine, C., Hossain, F., Goldewijk, K.K., Udaysanker, N., Betts, R., Fall, S., Reichstein, M., Kabat, P., De Noblet-Ducourdre, N., 2011. Land use/land cover changes and climate: Modelling analysis and obeservational evidence. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.144

Pitman, A.J., Avila, F.B., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.P., Phipps, S.J., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Pitman, A.J., Avila, F.B., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.P., Phipps, S.J., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., 2011. Importance of background climate in determining impact of land-cover change on regional climate. Nat. Clim. Chang. 1, 472–475. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1294

Robinson, F.J., Sherwood, S.C., Gerstle, D., Liu, C., Kirshbaum, D.J., 2011. Exploring the land-ocean contrast in convective vigor using islands. Journal of the Atmospheric Science 68, 602–618. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3558.1

Saenko, O.A., Yang, X.-Y., England, M.H., Lee, W.G., 2011. Subduction and Transport in the Indian and Pacific Oceans in a 2 X CO2 Climate. Journal of Climate 24, 1821–1838. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3880.1

Santoso, A., Cai, W., England, M.H., Phipps, S.J., 2011. The role of the Indonesian Throughflow on ENSO dynamics in a coupled climate model. Journal of Climate 24, 585–601. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3745.1

Sen Gupta, A., 2011. The Pacific Community, fisheries, aquaculture and climate change: an introduction., in: Bell, J., Johnson, J., Hobday, A. (Eds.), Vulnerability of Fisheries and Aquaculture in the Pacific to Climate Change. Secretariat of the Pacific Community, Noumea.

Sen Gupta, A., McNeil, B.I., 2011. Variability and Change in the Ocean, in: Henderson-Sellers, A. and M., K. (Ed.), The Future of the World’s Climate. Elsevier Science.

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., Huber, M., 2011. Effect of the deepening of the Tasman Gateway on the global ocean. Paleoceanography 26, PA4207. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011PA002143

Speer, M.S., Phillips, J.A., Hanstrum, B.N., 2011. Meteorological aspects of the 31 March 2009 Coffs Harbour flash flood. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 61, 201–210.

Taschetto, A.S., Sen Gupta, A., Hendon, H.H., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2011. The contribution of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies on Australian summer rainfall during El Nino events. Journal of Climate 24, 3734–3747. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI3885.1

Thompson, D.W., Solomon, S., Kushner, P.J., England, M.H., Grise, K.M., Karoly, D.J., 2011. Signatures of the Antarctic ozone hole in Southern Hemisphere surface climate change. Nature Geoscience 4, 741–749. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1296

Thorne, P.W., Brohan, P., Titchner, H.A., McCarthy, M.P., Sherwood, S.C., Peterson, T.C., Haimberger, L., Parker, D.E., Tett, S.F.B., Santer, B.D., Fereday, D.R., Kennedy, J.J., 2011. A quantification of uncertainties in historical tropical tropospheric temperature trends from radiosondes. Journal of Geophysical Research 116, D12116. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015487

Turney, C., K. Richardson, Steffen, W., Liverman, D., 2011. Going back to the future: Sea-level rise in the past., in: Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges and Decisions. Cambridge University Press, ., UK, pp. 57–58.

Turney, C.S.M., Jones, R.T., 2011. Response to Comment on ‘Does the Agulhas Current amplify global temperatures during super-interglacials? Journal of Quaternary Science 26, 870–871. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.1556

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A., Briggs, P., England, M.H., McIntosh, P., Meyers, G., Pook, M., Raupach, M., Risbey, J., 2011a. Indian and Pacific Ocean influences on Southeast Australian drought and soil moisture. Journal of Climate 24, 1313–1336. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034006

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A., Li, Y., Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2011b. Multi-decadal modulation of the El Nino-Indian monsoon relationship by Indian Ocean variability. Environmental Research Letters 6. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034006

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A.R., Briggs, P.R., England, M.H., McIntosh, P.C., Meyers, G.A., Pook, M., Raupach, M.R., Risbey, J.S., 2011c. Corrigendum. Journal of Climate 24, 3796–3796. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00229.1

Van Sebille, E., Baringer, M.O., Johns, W., Meinen, C., Beal, L., De Jong, M.F., Van Aken, H., 2011. Propagation pathways of classical Labrador Sea water from its source region to 26N. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 116, C12027. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007171

Wang, Y.-P., Kowalczyk, E., Leuning, R., Abramowitz, G., Raupach, M., Pak, B., van Gorsel, E., Luhar, A., 2011. Diagnosing errors in a land surface model (CABLE) in the time and frequency domains. Journal of Geophysical Research 116, G01034. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JG001385

Zhang, Q., Wang, Y.-P., Pitman, A.J., Dai, Y.J., 2011. Limitations of nitrogen and phosphorus on the terrestrial carbon uptake in the 20th century. Geophysical Research Letters 38, L22701. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049244

Zhang, X., Alexander, L., Hegerl, G.C., Jones, P., Tank, A.K., Peterson, T.C., Trewin, B., Zwiers, F.W., 2011. Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2, 851–870. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.147

2010 PUBLICATIONS

Abramowitz, G., 2010. Model independence in multi-model ensemble prediction. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 59, 3–6.

Alexander, L.V., Uotila, P., Nicholls, N., Lynch, A., 2010. A new daily pressure dataset for Australia and its application to the assessment of changes in synoptic patterns during the last century. Journal of Climate 23, 1111–1126. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2972.1

Allen, R.J., Sherwood, S.C., 2010. Aerosol-cloud semi-direct effect and land-sea temperature contrast in a GCM. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L07702. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL042759

Arzel, O., de Verdière, A.C., England, M.H., 2010. The role of oceanic heat transport and wind stress forcing in abrupt millennial-scale climate transitions. Journal of Climate 23, 2233–2256. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3227.1

Bentley, M.J., Fogwill, C.J., Sugden D.E., Le Brocq, A.M., Hubbard, A., Dunai, T., Freeman, S., 2010. Deglaciation of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in the Weddell Sea precludes a major contribution to Meltwater Pulse1A. A Reply. Geology 39, 240. https://doi.org/10.1130/G32140Y.1

Bentley, M.J., Fogwill, C.J...Le Brocq, A.M...Hubbard, A...Sugden D.E...Dunai, T. and Freeman, S.., 2010. Deglacial history of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in the Weddell Sea embayment: Constraints on past ice volume change. Geology 38, 411–414. https://doi.org/10.1130/G30754.1

Chae, J.H., Sherwood, S.C., 2010. Insights into cloud-top height and dynamics from seasonal cycle of cloud-top heights observed by MISR in the west Pacific region. Journal of the Atmospheric Science 67, 248. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS3099.1

Cruz, F.T., Pitman, A.J., McGregor, J., 2010a. Probabilistic simulations of the impact of increasing leaf-level atmospheric carbon dioxide on the global land surface. Climate Dynamics 34, 361–379. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0497-0

Cruz, F.T., Pitman, A.J., McGregor, J., Evans, J.P., 2010b. Contrasting regional responses to increasing leaf-level atmospheric carbon dioxide over Australia. Journal of Hydrometeorology 11, 296–314. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JHM1175.1

Cruz, F.T., Pitman, A.J., Wang, Y.-P., 2010c. Can the stomatal response to higher atmospheric carbon dioxide explain the unusual temperatures during the 2002 Murray-Darling Basin drought? Journal of Geophysical Research 115, 1. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD012767

d’Orgeville, M., Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., Meissner, K.J., 2010. On the control of glacial-interglacial atmospheric CO2 variations by the Southern Hemisphere westerlies. Geophysical Research Letters 37, 5. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL045261

Evans, J.P., 2010. Global warming impact on the dominant precipitation process in the Middle East. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 99, 389–402. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0151-8

Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2010. Regional climate simulation over Australia’s Murray-Darling basin: A multitemporal assessment. Journal of Geophysical Research 115. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD013816

Evans, J. P., McCabe, M.F., 2010. Evaluating a regional climate model’s ability to simulate the climate of the South-east coast of Australia., in: Burns, B.A., Davis, C., Kiss, A.E., Taylor, J.R. (Eds.), . Presented at the 17th National Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, IOP Conf. Ser: Earth Environ. Sci., p. 012004.

Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., Meng, X., 2010. Impact of dynamic albedo and vegetation fraction on the simulation of drought in south-east Australia using a regional climate model. Presented at the Remote Sensing and Hydrology 2010.

Fyke, J.G., Carter, L., Macintosh, A., Weaver, A., Meissner, K.J., 2010. Surface Melting over Ice Shelves and Ice Sheets as Assessed from Modeled Surface Air Temperatures. Journal of Climate 23, 1929–1936. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3122.1

Green, D., Minchin, L., 2010. Screw Light Bulbs: Smarter Solutions to Tackling Climate Change. Scribe, Melbourne.

Green, D. L., Alexander, L.V., McInnes, K., Church, J., Nicholls, N., White, N., 2010. An assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation for the Torres Strait Islands, Australia. Climatic Change 102, 405–433. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9756-2

Green, D.L., Billy, J., Tapim, A., 2010. Indigenous Australians’ knowledge of weather and climate. Climatic Change 100, 337–354. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9803-z

Green, D.L., Raygorodetsky, G., 2010. Indigenous knowledge of a changing climate. Climatic Change 100, 239–242. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9804-y

Knutti, R., Abramowitz, G., Collins, M., Eyring, V., Gleckler, P.J., Hewitson, B., Mearns, L., 2010. Good Practice Guidance Paper on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections (R2), Meeting Report of the IPCC Working Group I Technical Support Unit. University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.

Liu, Y., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., de Jeu, R.A.M., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., 2010. Comparing Passive Microwave Satellite Estimated and Regional Climate Model Simulated Soil Moisture over Murray Darling Basin in Australia (1988-2008). Presented at the The Fourth International Workshop on Catchment-scale Hydrological Modeling and Data Assimilation. http://ceop-cahmda.westgis.ac.cn/cahmda-iv/CAHMDA4%20Program.pdf

Liu, Y.Y., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., de Jeu, R.A.M., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Su, H., 2010a. Influence of cracking clays on satellite estimated and model simulated soil moisture. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 14, 979–990. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-14-979-2010

Liu, Y.Y., Parinussa, R., Dorigo, W., de Jeu, R.A.M., Wagner, W., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Van dijk, A.I.J.M., 2010b. Improving Satellite Soil Moisture Estimates by Combining Passive and Active Microwave Observations (1992-2008). Presented at the Remote Sensing and Hydrology 2010 Symposium.

Luffman, J.J., Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2010. Global and regional climate response to late twentieth-century warming over the Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate 23, 1660–1674. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3086.1

Macadam, I., Pitman, A.J., Whetton, P.H., Abramowitz, G., 2010. Ranking climate models by performance using actual values and anomalies: Implications for climate change impact assessments. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L16704. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL043877

McNeil, B.I., 2010a. Diagnosing coastal ocean CO2 interannual variability from a 40 year hydrographic time series station off the east coast of Australia. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 24, GB4034. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GB003870

McNeil, B.I., 2010b. A multi-decadal delay in the onset of corrosive “acidified” waters in the Ross Sea of Antarctica due to strong air-sea CO2 disequilibrium. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L19607. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044597

Meng, X., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2010. Impact of satellite-derived albedo on water cycle simulations over Australia’s Murray-Darling Basin with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Presented at the The Fourth International Workshop on Catchment-scale Hydrological Modeling and Data Assimilation.

Newell, B.R., Pitman, A.J., 2010. The psychology of global warming: improving the fit between the science and the message. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91, 1003–1014. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2957.1

Nicholls, N., Uotila, P., Alexander, L.V., 2010. Synoptic influences on seasonal, interannual and decadal temperature variations in Melbourne, Australia. International Journal of Climatology 30, 1372–1381. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1965

Phipps, S.J., 2010. Technical Report: The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model v1.2. Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre.

Phipps, S.J., Brown, J.N., 2010. Understanding ENSO dynamics through the exploration of past climates. Presented at the PAGES 1st Young Scientists Meeting “Retrospective views on our planet’s future,” p. 012010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/9/1/012010

Rangan, H., Kull, C., Alexander, L.V., 2010. Forest plantations, water availability and regional climate change: controversies surrounding Acacia mearnsii plantations in the upper Palnis Hills, southern India. Regional Environmental Change 10, 103–117. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-009-0098-4

Raupach, M., Briggs, P., Haverd, V., Whan, K., Ummenhofer, C.C., 2010. Chapter 4: Impact of climate variability and change on the water balance in Program Annaul Report 2009/10, South Eastern Australian Climate Inititative (SEACI). CSIRO.

Roubicek, A.J., VanDerWal, J., Beaumont, L.J., Pitman, A.J., Wilson, P., Hughes, L., 2010. Does the choice of climate baseline matter in ecological niche modelling? Ecological Modelling 221, 2280–2286. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.06.021

Santoso, A., Sen Gupta, A.R., England, M.H., 2010. Genesis of Indian Ocean mixed layer temperature anomalies: a heat budget analysis. Journal of Climate 23, 5375–5403. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3072.1

Shaw, E.C., Gabric, A.J., McTainsh, G.H., 2010. Response to comment on ‘Impacts of aeolian dust deposition on phytoplankton dynamics in Queensland coastal waters.’ Marine and Freshwater Research 61. https://doi.org/10.1071/MF09192

Sherwood, S.C., 2010. Direct versus indirect effects of tropospheric humidity changes on the hydrologic cycle. Environmental Research Letters 5, 025206. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/025206

Sherwood, S.C., Huber, M., 2010. An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107, 9552–9555. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0913352107

Sherwood, S.C., Ingram, W., Tsushima, Y., Satoh, M., Roberts, M., Vidale, P.L., O’Gorman, P.A., 2010a. Relative humidity changes in a warmer climate. Journal of Geophysical Research 115, D09104. https://doi.org/10.1023/2009JD012585

Sherwood, S.C., Kjellstrom, T., Green, D.L., 2010b. Heat Stress in a Warming World. Australian Science 31.

Sherwood, S.C., Roca, R., Weckworth, T.M., Andronova, N., 2010c. Tropospheric water vapor, convection, and climate. Reviews of Geophysics 48, RG2001. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009RG000301

Spence, P., Fyfe, J., Montenegro, A., Weaver, A., 2010. Southern ocean response to strengthening winds in an eddy-permitting global climate model. Journal of Climate 23, 5332–5343. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3098.1

Taschetto, A.S., Haarsma, R.J., Sen Gupta, A., Ummenhofer, C.C., Hill, K.J., England, M.H., 2010a. Australian monsoon variability driven by a Gill-Matsuno type response to central-west Pacific warming. Journal of Climate 23, 4717–4736. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3474.1

Taschetto, A.S., Haarsma, R.J., Sen Gupta, A.R., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2010b. Teleconnections associated with the intensification of the Australian monsoon during El Niño Modoki events. IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci 11. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/11/1/012031

Ummenhofer, C.C., 2010. Southern Hemisphere regional precipitation and climate variability: Extremes, trends, and prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 23, 48–50.

Willett, K.M., Alexander, L.V., Thorne, P.W., 2010. State of the Climate in 2009. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91, S19–S51.

Zika, J., McDougall, T.J., Sloyan, B.M., 2010a. Weak mixing in the eastern North Atlantic: An application of the tracer-contour inverse method. Journal of Physical Oceanography 40, 1881–1893. https://doi.org/10.1172/2010JPO4360.1

Zika, J., McDougall, T.J., Sloyan, B.M., 2010b. A tracer-contour inverse method for estimating ocean circulation and mixing. Journal of Physical Oceanography 40, 26–47. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JPO4208.1

2009 PUBLICATIONS

Alexander, L.V., Arblaster, J., 2009. Assessing trends in observed and modelled climate extremes over Australia in relation to future projections. International Journal of Climatology 29, 417–435.

Alexander, L.V., Power, S., 2009. Severe storms inferred from 150 years of sub-daily pressure observations along Victoria’s “Shipwreck Coast.” Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 58, 129–133.

Alexander, L.V., Tapper, N., Zhang, X., Lynch, A., Fowler, H., Taebaldi, C., Lynch, A., 2009a. Climate Extremes: Progress and Future Directions. Editorial for Special Issue of International Journal of Climatology. International Journal of Climatology 29, 317–319.

Alexander, L.V., Uotila, P., Nicholls, N., 2009b. Influence of sea surface temperature variability on global temperature and precipitation extremes. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 114, D18116. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD012301

Allan, R., Tett, S., Alexander, L.V., 2009. Fluctuations in autumn-winter severe storms over the British Isles: 1920 to present. International Journal of Climatology 29, 357–371. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1765

Ashe, B., McAneney, K., Pitman, A.J., 2009. Total cost of fire in Australia. Journal of Risk Research 12, 121–136. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669870802648528

Bennett, N.M., Ummenhofer, C., Moran, R., 2009. Peculiarities of Murray Valley Encephalitis (MVE) epidemics in southeastern Australia: The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) as a predictor for epidemics. Victorian Infectious Disease Bulletin 12, 112–115.

Ciasto, L.M., Thompson, D.W.J., 2009. Observational Evidence of Reemergence in the Extratropical Southern Hemisphere. Journal of Climate 22, 1446–1453. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2545.1

d’Orgeville, M., Peltier, W.R., 2009. Implications of Both Statistical Equilibrium and Global Warming Simulations with CCSM3. Part I: On the Decadal Variability in the North Pacific Basin. Journal of Climate 22, 5277–5297. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2428.1

d’Orgeville, M, Peltier, W.R., 2009. Implications of Both Statistical Equilibrium and Global Warming Simulations with CCSM3. Part II: On the Multidecadal Variability in the North Atlantic Basin. Journal of Climate 22, 5289–5318. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2775.1

Dellnitz, M., Froyland, G., Horenkamp, C., Padberg-Gehle, K., Sen Gupta, A.R., 2009. Seasonal variability of the subpolar gyres in the Southern Ocean: a numerical investigation based on transfer operators. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 16, 655–663. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-16-655-2009

Dessler, A., Sherwood, S.C., 2009. Atmospheric Science: a matter of humidity. Science 323, 1020–1021.

England, M.H., Sen Gupta, A.R., Pitman, A.J., 2009. Constraining future greenhouse gas emissions by a cumulative target. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106, 16539–16540. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0908197106

Evans, J.P., 2009a. Water Balance in the Murray-Darling Basin and the recent drought as modelled with WRF, in: Anderssen, R.S., Braddock, R.D., Newham, L.T.H. (Eds.), . Presented at the 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand and International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, pp. 2790–2797.

Evans, J.P., 2009b. 21st Century climate change in the Middle East. Climatic Change 92, 417–432. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9438-5

Evans, J. P., 2009. Modelling Droughts and ENSO Cycles in the Murray-Darling Basin with a Regional Climate Model. Presented at the Proceedings of H2O 09: 32nd Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, Newcastle : Adapting to Change, Engineers Australia, Accepted, pp. 24–35. http://search.informit.com.au/documentSummary;dn=637248598644460;res=IELENG

Findell, K., Pitman, A.J., England, M.H., Pegion, P., 2009. Regional and global impacts of land over change and sea surface temperature anomalies. Journal of Climate 22, 3248–3269. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2580.1

Gitler, A., Chesi, A., Geddies, M., Strathearn, K., Hamamichi, S., Hill, K.J., Caldwell, K., Caldwell, G., Cooper, A., Rochet, J., Lindquist, S., 2009. α-Synuclein is part of a diverse and highly conserved interaction network that includes PARK9 and manganese toxicity. Nature Genetics 41, 308–315. https://doi.org/10.1038/ng.300

Green, D.L., 2009. Opal waters, rising seas: how sociocultural inequality reduces resilience to climate change among indigenous Australians, in: Crate, S., Nuttal, M. (Eds.), Anthropology and Climate Change. Left Coast Press, Walnut Creek, CA, USA.

Green, D.L., King, U., Morrison, J., 2009. Disproportionate burdens: the multidimensional impacts of climate change on the health of indigenous Australians. Medical Journal of Australia 190, 4–5.

Green, D.L., Ruddock, K., 2009a. Climate change impacts in the Torres Strait, Australia. Indigenous Law Bulletin 7, 8.

Green, D.L., Ruddock, K., 2009b. Is climate litigation the answer to the problems faced by Torres Strait Islanders? Sustainable Development Law and Policy IX, 23–31.

Griffies, S., Biastoch, A., Boening, C., Bryan, F., Chassignet, E., England, M.H., Gerdes, R., Haak, H., Hallberg, R., Hazeleger, W., Jungclaus, J., Large, W., Madec, G., Samuels, B., Scheinert, M., Sen Gupta, A.R., Severijns, C., Simmons, H., Treguier, A.-M., Winton, M., Yeager, S., Yin, J., 2009. Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments (COREs). Ocean Modelling 26, 1–46. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2008.08.007

Hill, K.J., Santoso, A., England, M.H., 2009a. Interannual Tasmanian rainfall variability associated with large-scale climate modes. Journal of Climate 22, 4383–4397. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2769.1

Hill, K.J., Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2009b. South American rainfall impacts associated with inter-El Nino variations. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L19702. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL040164

Kiktev, D., Caesar, J., Alexander, L.V., 2009. Temperature and precipitation extremes in the second half of the twentieth century from numerical modeling results and observational data. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics 45, 284–293.

Lamb, P.J., Leslie, L.M., Timmer, R.P., Speer, M.S., 2009. Multidecadal Variability of Eastern Australian Dust and Northern New Zealand Sunshine: Associations with Pacific Climate System. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 114, D09106. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD011184

Liu, Y.Y., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Dijk, A.I.J.M.V., Jeu, R.A.M. de, Su, H., 2009. Comparison of soil moisture in GLDAS model simulations and satellite observations over the Murray Darling Basin, in: Anderssen, R.S., Braddock, R.D., Newham, L.T.H. (Eds.), . Presented at the 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand and International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, pp. 2798–2804.

Marchesiello, P., Estrade, P., 2009. Eddy activity and mixing in the upwelling systems: a comparative study of northwest Africa and California regions. International Journal of Earth Sciences 98, 299–308. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00531-007-0235-6

McAneney, J., Chen, K., Pitman, A.J., 2009. 100-years of Australian bushfire property losses: Is the risk significant and is it increasing? Journal of Environmental Management 90, 2819–2833. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2009.03.013

McCabe, M.F., Liu, Y.Y., Vinukollu, R., Su, H., Evans, J.P., Wood, E.F., 2009. Comparison of latent heat flux estimates over Australia, in: Anderssen, R.S., Braddock, R.D., Newham, L.T.H. (Eds.), . Presented at the 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand and International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, pp. 2805–2811.

McGregor, S., Sen Gupta, A.R., Neil, J., Power, S., 2009. The modulation of ENSO variability in CCSM3 by extratropical Rossby waves. Journal of Climate 22, 5839–5853. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2922.1

McNeil, B.I., 2009. The Clean Industrial Revolution: Growing Australian Prosperity in a Greenhouse Age. Allen and Unwin.

McNeil, B.I., Tilbrook, B., 2009. A seasonal carbon budget for the sub-Antarctic Ocean, south of Australia. Marine Chemistry 115, 196–215. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marchem.2009.08.006

Moles, A., Warton, D., Warman, L., Swenson, N., Laffan, S.W., Zanne, A., Pitman, A.J., Hemmings, F.A., Leishman, M., 2009. Global patterns in plant height. Journal of Ecology 97, 923–932. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2745.2009.01526.x

Perkins, S.E., Pitman, A.J., 2009. Do weak AR4 models bias projections of future climate changes over Australia? Climatic Change 93, 527–558. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9502-1

Perkins, S.E., Pitman, A.J., Sisson, S.A., 2009. Smaller projected increases in 20-year temperature returns over Australia in skill-selected climate models. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L06710. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL037293

Phipps, S.J., 2009. Conference Report: Science meets Parliament, Canberra, Australia, 17-18 March 2009. Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society 22, 68–69.

Phipps, S.J., Gergis, J., Petherick, L., 2009. Report: PAGES 1st Young Scientists Meeting and 3rd Open Science Meeting, Corvallis, Oregon, USA, 6-11 July 2009. Quaternary Australasia 26, 8-9.

Pitman, A.J., De Noblet-Ducourdre, N., Cruz, F., Davin, E.L., Bonan, G.B., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Delire, C., Ganzeveld, L., Gayler, V., Hurk, B.J.J.M. van den, Lawrence, P.J., Molen, M.K. van der, Mueller, C., Reick, C.H., Seneviratne, S.I., Strengers, B., Voldoire, A., 2009. Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L14814.

Pitman, A.J., Perkins, S.E., 2009. Global and regional comparison of daily 2-m and 1000-hPa maximum and minimum temperatures in three global reanalyses. Journal of Climate 22, 4667–4681. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00122.1

Pook, M., Lisson, S., Risbey, J., Ummenhofer, C.C., McIntosh, P., Rebbeck, M., 2009. The Autumn break for cropping in Southeast Australia: trends, synoptic influences and impacts on wheat yields. International Journal of Climatology 29, 2012–2026. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1833

Risbey, J., Pook, M.J., McIntosh, P.C., Ummenhofer, C.C., Meyers, G., 2009. Characteristics and variability of synoptic features associated with cool season rainfall in southeastern Australia. International Journal of Climatology 29, 1595–1613. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1775

Sen Gupta, A.R., Santoso, A., Taschetto, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., Trevena, J., England, M.H., 2009. Projected changes to the Southern Hemisphere ocean and sea-ice in the IPCC AR4 climate models. Journal of Climate 22, 3047–3078. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2827.1

Sherwood, S.C., Andronova, N., Fetzer, E., Kursinski, E., 2009. What can water vapor reveal about past and future climate change? EOS Transactions American Geophysical Union 90, 122.

Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2009a. Southern Hemisphere westerly wind control over the ocean’s thermohaline circulation. Journal of Climate 22, 6639–6652. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2310.1

Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2009b. Atmospheric moisture transport determines climatic response to the opening of the Drake Passage. Journal of Climate 22, 2483–2493. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2476.1

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., 2009. The control of polar haloclines by along-isopycnal diffusion in climate models. Journal of Climate 22, 486–498. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2513.1

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., Toggweiler, J.R., 2009. Effect of ocean gateway changes under greenhouse warmth. Journal of Climate 22, 6639–6652. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3003.1

Speer, M.S., Leslie, L.M., Fierro, A.O., 2009a. Australian east coast rainfall decline related to large scale climate drivers. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0726-1

Speer, M.S., Wiles, P., Pepler, A., 2009b. Low pressure systems off the New South Wales coast and associated hazardous weather: establishment of a database. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 50, 29–39.

Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2009a. El Niño Modoki impacts on Australian rainfall. Journal of Climate 22, 3167–3174. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2589.1

Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2009b. An analysis of late 20th Century trends in Australian rainfall. International Journal of Climatology 29, 791–807. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1736

Taschetto, A.S., Sen Gupta, A.R., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2009a. How does El Niño Modoki affect the Australian monsoon? Clivar Exchanges 14, 35–47.

Taschetto, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A.R., England, M.H., 2009b. Effect of anomalous warming in the central Pacific on the Australian monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L12704. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL038416

Ummenhofer, Caroline C., England, M.H., Sen Gupta, A.R., Taschetto, A.S., Pook, M., Risbey, J., McIntosh, P.C., Meyers, G., 2009a. What causes southeast Australia’s worst droughts? Geophysical Research Letters 36, L04706. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL036801

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A.R., England, M.H., 2009. Causes of late-twentieth century trends in New Zealand precipitation. Journal of Climate 22, 3–19.

Ummenhofer, C. C., Sen Gupta, A.R., England, M.H., Reason, C.J.C., 2009b. Contributions of Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures to enhanced East African rainfall. Journal of Climate 22, 993–1013. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2493.1

Ummenhofer, C. C., Sen Gupta, A.R., Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2009c. Modulation of Australian precipitation by meridional gradients in east Indian Ocean sea surface temperature. Journal of Climate 22, 5597–5610.

Zika, J., Sloyan, B., McDougall, T., 2009. Diagnosing the Southern Ocean overturning from tracer fields. Journal of Physical Oceanography 39, 2926–2940. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JPO4052.1

2008 PUBLICATIONS

Abramowitz, G., Gupta, H., 2008. Toward a model space and model independence metric. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L05705. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032834

Abramowitz, G., Leuning, R., Clark, M., Pitman, A.J., 2008. Evaluating the performance of land surface models. Journal of Climate 21, 5468–5481. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2378.1

Aiken, C., England, M.H., 2008. Sensitivity of the present-day climate to freshwater forcing associated with Antarctic sea-ice loss. Journal of Climate 21, 3936–3946. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1901.1

Arzel, O., England, M.H., Sijp, W., 2008a. Reduced stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation due to wind-stress feedback during glacial times. Journal of Climate 21, 6260–6282. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2291.1

Arzel, O., Fichefet, T., Goosse, H., Dufresne, J., 2008b. Causes and impacts of changes in the Arctic freshwater budget during the twentieth and twenty-first centuries in the AOGCM. Climate Dynamics 30, 37–58. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0258-5

Beaumont, L.J., Hughes, L., Pitman, A.J., 2008. Why is the choice of future climate scenarios for species distribution modelling important? Ecology Letters 11, 1135–1146. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01231.x

Drost, F., England, M.H., 2008. Twentieth century trends in moisture advection over Australia. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 100, 243–256. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-008-0307-6

England, M.H., 2008. Water mass variability and change in the Southern Ocean. Trans. Roy. Soc. Vic. 120, i–iv.

Evans, J.P., Zaitchik, B., 2008. Modelling the large scale water balance impact of different irrigation systems. Water Resources Research 44, W08448. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007WR006671

Green, D.L., 2008. Climate Change and Health: Impacts on Remote Indigenous Communities in Northern Australia, in: Climate Change and Human Health: Global Perspectives. Icfai University Press: India.

McNeil, B.I., 2008. Global Ecology of the Oceans and Coasts, in: Patterson, M., Glavovic, B. (Eds.), Ecological Economics of the Oceans and Coasts. pp. 27–51.

McNeil, B.I., Mataer, R., 2008. Southern Ocean acidification: a tipping point at 450ppm atmospheric CO2. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 105, 18860–18864. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1307/6/46/462002

Moles, A., Pitman, A.J., Wright, I.J., Murray, B.R., Westoby, M., 2008. Is there a latitudinal gradient in seed production. Journal of Ecography 32, 78–82. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2008.05613.x

Pitman, A.J., Perkins, S.E., 2008. Regional projections of future seasonal and annual changes in rainfall. Earth Interactions 12, 1–50. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008EI260.1

Santoso, A., England, M.H., 2008. Antarctic Bottom Water Variability in a Coupled Climate Model. Journal of Physical Oceanography 38, 1870–1893. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JPO3741.1

Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2008. The effect of a northward shift in the southern hemisphere westerlies on the global ocean. Progress in Oceanography 79, 1–19.

Speer, M., 2008. On the late twentieth century decrease in Australian east coat rainfall extremes. Atmospheric Science Letters 9, 160–170. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.191

Taschetto, A.S., England, M., 2008. Estimating ensemble size requirements of AGCM simulations. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 100, 23–26. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-008-0293-8

Taschetto, A.S., Wainer, I., 2008a. The impact of subtropical South Atlantic SST of South American precipitation. Annales Geophysicae 26, 3457–3476.

Taschetto, A.S., Wainer, I., 2008b. Reproducibility of South American precipitation due to subtropical South Atlantic SSTs. Journal of Climate 21, 2835–2851. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1865.1

Tong, S., Mackenzie, J., Pitman, A.J., Fitzgerald, G., Nicholls, N., Selvey, L., 2008. Global climate change: time to mainstream health risks and their prevention on the medical research and policy agenda. Internal Medicine Journal 38, 445–447. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1445-5994.2008.01688.x

Trevena, Jessica, Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2008. North Atlantic deep water collapse triggered by Southern Ocean meltwater pulse in a glacial state. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L09704. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL033236

Trevena, J, Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2008. Stability of Antarctic bottom water formation to freshwater fluxes and implications for global climate. Journal of Climate 21, 3310–3326. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI2212.1

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A.R., Pook, M., England, M.H., 2008. Anomalous rainfall over Southwest Western Australia forced by Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures. Journal of Climate 21, 5113–5134. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2227.1

Wainer, I., Taschetto, A.., 2008. Climatologia dos parametros de superficie marinha da regiao sudeste da costa brasileira: enfase na regiao de Sao Sebastiao, in: Vanin, A.M.S.P. (Ed.), Oceanografia de Um Ecossistema Subtropical: Platforma de Sao Sebastiao, SP. EDUSP., pp. 41–58.

Zika, J., McDougall, T.J., 2008. Vertical and lateral mixing processes deducted from the Mediterranean. Journal of Physical Oceanography 38, 164–176. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JPO3507.1

2007 PUBLICATIONS

Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A., Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A., 2007. Systematic bias in land surface models. J. Hydrometeorol. 8, 989–1001. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm628.1

Alloway, B.V., Lowe, D.J., Barrell, D.J.A., Newnham, R.M., Almond, P.C., Augustinus, P.C., Bertler, N.A.N., Carter, L., Litchfield, N.J., McGlone, M.S., Shulmeister, J., Vandergoes, M.J., Williams, P.W., Anderson, B., Brackley, H., Burge, P., Carter, J., Cochran, U., Cooke, P., Crampton, J., Crouch, E., Crundwell, M., Deng, Y., Drost, F., Graham, I., Harper, M., Hayward, B., Hendy, C., Hollis, C., Hughes, M., Kennedy, D., Kennedy, L., King, D., Mackintosh, A., Manighetti, B., Marra, M., Mildenhall, D., Morgenstern, U., Naish, T., Neil, H., Nobes, D., Page, M., Palmer, A., Prior, C., Rieser, U., Rother, H., Shane, P., Strong, P., Suggate, P., Thomson, J., Tonkin, P., Trustrum, N., Van Dissen, R., Vucetich, C., Wilmshurst, J., Woodward, C., Zondervan, A., Alloway, B.V., Lowe, D.J., Barrell, D.J.A., Newnham, R.M., Almond, P.C., Augustinus, P.C., Bertler, N.A.N., Carter, L., Litchfield, N.J., McGlone, M.S., Shulmeister, J., Vandergoes, M.J., Williams, P.W., Anderson, B., Brackley, H., Burge, P., Carter, J., Cochran, U., Cooke, P., Crampton, J., Crouch, E., Crundwell, M., Deng, Y., Drost, F., Graham, I., Harper, M., Hayward, B., Hendy, C., Hollis, C., Hughes, M., Kennedy, D., Kennedy, L., King, D., Mackintosh, A., Manighetti, B., Marra, M., Mildenhall, D., Morgenstern, U., Naish, T., Neil, H., Nobes, D., Page, M., Palmer, A., Prior, C., Rieser, U., Rother, H., Shane, P., Strong, P., Suggate, P., Thomson, J., Tonkin, P., Trustrum, N., Van Dissen, R., Vucetich, C., Wilmshurst, J., Woodward, C., Zondervan, A., 2007. Towards a climate event stratigraphy for New Zealand over the past 30 000 years (NZ-INTIMATE project). Journal of Quaternary Science 22, 9–35. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.1079

Arzel, O., de Verdiere, A.C., Huck, T., Arzel, O., de Verdiere, A.C., Huck, T., 2007. On the origin of interdecadal oscillations in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Tellus Ser. A-Dyn. Meteorol. Oceanol. 59, 367–383. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2007.00227.x

Baird, M.E., Suthers, I.M., Baird, M.E., Suthers, I.M., 2007. A size-resolved pelagic ecosystem model. Ecol. Model. 203, 185–203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.11.025

Beaumont, L., Pitman, A.J., Hughes, L., Poulsen, M., 2007. Where will species go? Incorporating new advances in climate modelling into projections of species distributions. Global Change Biology 13, 1368–1385. https://doi.org/10.1111/j

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Climate Change Research Centre (CCRC)

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Climate and Physics

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