2016 Publications

Argüeso, D., Di Luca, A., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Evans, J.P., 2016. Seasonal mean temperature changes control future heat waves: MEAN TEMPERATURE AND HEAT WAVE CHANGES. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 7653–7660. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2016GL069408

Berg, A., Findell, K., Lintner, B., Giannini, A., Seneviratne, S.I., van den Hurk, B., Lorenz, R., Pitman, A., Hagemann, S., Meier, A., Cheruy, F., Ducharne, A., Malyshev, S., Milly, P.C.D., 2016. Land–atmosphere feedbacks amplify aridity increase over land under global warming. Nature Climate Change 6, 869–874. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/nclimate3029

Bracegirdle, T.J., Bertler, N.A.N., Carleton, A.M., Ding, Q., Fogwill, C.J., Fyfe, J.C., Hellmer, H.H., Karpechko, A.Y., Kusahara, K., Larour, E., Mayewski, P.A., Meier, W.N., Polvani, L.M., Russell, J.L., Stevenson, S.L., Turner, J., van Wessem, J.M., van de Berg, W.J., Wainer, I., 2016. A Multidisciplinary Perspective on Climate Model Evaluation For Antarctica. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97, ES23-ES26. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00108.1

Choudhury, D., Sharma, A., Sen Gupta, A., Mehrotra, R., Sivakumar, B., 2016. Sampling biases in CMIP5 decadal forecasts: Sampling Biases in CMIP5 Decadal Experiments. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 3435–3445. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2016JD024804

Clarke, H., Pitman, A.J., Kala, J., Carouge, C., Haverd, V., Evans, J.P., 2016a. An investigation of future fuel load and fire weather in Australia. Climatic Change. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1808-9

Clarke, H., Pitman, A.J., Kala, J., Carouge, C., Haverd, V., Evans, J.P., 2016b. Erratum to: An investigation of future fuel load and fire weather in Australia. Climatic Change. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1823-x

Cooper, A., Turney, C., Hughen, K., 2016. Response to Comment on “Abrupt warming events drove Late Pleistocene Holarctic megafaunal turnover.” Science 351, 927–927. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1126/science.aad8016

Di Luca, A., Argüeso, D., Evans, J.P., de Elía, R., Laprise, R., 2016. Quantifying the overall added value of dynamical downscaling and the contribution from different spatial scales: OVERALL ADDED VALUE OF RCMS. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 1575–1590. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2015JD024009

Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., Herold, N., Dittus, A.J., 2016a. Temperature and precipitation extremes in century-long gridded observations, reanalyses, and atmospheric model simulations: EXTREMES IN CENTURY-LONG DATA SETS. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 11,174-11,189. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2016JD025480

Donat, M.G., Lowry, A.L., Alexander, L.V., O’Gorman, P.A., Maher, N., 2016b. More extreme precipitation in the world’s dry and wet regions. Nature Climate Change 6, 508–513. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/nclimate2941

Evans, J.P., Argueso, D., Olson, R., Di Luca, A., 2016. Bias-corrected regional climate projections of extreme rainfall in south-east Australia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s00704-016-1949-9

Flaounas, E., Di Luca, A., Drobinski, P., Mailler, S., Arsouze, T., Bastin, S., Beranger, K., Lebeaupin Brossier, C., 2016. Cyclone contribution to the Mediterranean Sea water budget. Climate Dynamics 46, 913–927. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2622-1

Fogwill, C.J., van Sebille, E., Cougnon, E.A., Turney, C.S.M., Rintoul, S.R., Clark, G.F., Marzinelli, E.M., Rainsley, E.B., Carter, L., 2016. Brief Communication: Evidence of a developing Polynya off Commonwealth Bay, East Antarctica, triggered by grounding of iceberg. The Cryosphere Discussions 1–13. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5194/tc-2016-19

Gibson, P.B., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Renwick, J.A., 2016a. Projected changes in synoptic weather patterns over New Zealand examined through self-organizing maps: PROJECTED CHANGES IN SYNOPTIC WEATHER PATTERNS OVER NEW ZEALAND. International Journal of Climatology 36, 3934–3948. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/joc.4604

Gibson, P.B., Uotila, P., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Alexander, L.V., Pitman, A.J., 2016b. Evaluating synoptic systems in the CMIP5 climate models over the Australian region. Climate Dynamics 47, 2235–2251. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2961-y

Gross, M.H., Alexander, L.V., Macadam, I., Green, D., Evans, J.P., 2016. The representation of health-relevant heatwave characteristics in a Regional Climate Model ensemble for New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory, Australia: REPRESENTING HEATWAVES USING REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL DATA. International Journal of Climatology. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/joc.4769

Herold, N., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., Contractor, S., Becker, A., 2016. How much does it rain over land?: HOW MUCH DOES IT RAIN? Geophysical Research Letters 43, 341–348. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2015GL066615

Herold, N., Kala, J., Alexander, L.V., 2016. The influence of soil moisture deficits on Australian heatwaves. Environmental Research Letters 11, 64003. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064003

Heyrana, K.J., Goh, B.C., Perilla, J.R., Nguyen, T.-L.N., England, M.R., Bewley, M.C., Schulten, K., Craven, R.C., 2016. Contributions of Charged Residues in Structurally Dynamic Capsid Surface Loops to Rous Sarcoma Virus Assembly. Journal of Virology 90, 5700–5714. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1128/JVI.00378-16

Hobday, A.J., Alexander, L.V., Perkins, S.E., Smale, D.A., Straub, S.C., Oliver, E.C.J., Benthuysen, J.A., Burrows, M.T., Donat, M.G., Feng, M., Holbrook, N.J., Moore, P.J., Scannell, H.A., Sen Gupta, A., Wernberg, T., 2016. A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves. Progress in Oceanography 141, 227–238. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2015.12.014

Hogg, A., Southon, J., Turney, C., Palmer, J., Bronk Ramsey, C., Fenwick, P., Boswijk, G., Friedrich, M., Helle, G., Hughen, K., Jones, R., Kromer, B., Noronha, A., Reynard, L., Staff, R., Wacker, L., 2016. Punctuated Shutdown of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation during Greenland Stadial 1. Scientific Reports 6, 25902. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/srep25902

Ji, F., Evans, J., Teng, J., Scorgie, Y., Argüeso, D., Di Luca, A., 2016. Evaluation of long-term precipitation and temperature Weather Research and Forecasting simulations for southeast Australia. Climate Research 67, 99–115. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.3354/cr01366

Jiang, N., Scorgie, Y., Hart, M., Riley, M.L., Crawford, J., Beggs, P.J., Edwards, G.C., Chang, L., Salter, D., Virgilio, G.D., 2016. Visualising the relationships between synoptic circulation type and air quality in Sydney, a subtropical coastal-basin environment: SYNOPTIC CIRCULATION TYPE AND AIR QUALITY IN SYDNEY. International Journal of Climatology. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/joc.4770

Johnson, C.N., Alroy, J., Beeton, N.J., Bird, M.I., Brook, B.W., Cooper, A., Gillespie, R., Herrando-Pérez, S., Jacobs, Z., Miller, G.H., Prideaux, G.J., Roberts, R.G., Rodríguez-Rey, M., Saltré, F., Turney, C.S.M., Bradshaw, C.J.A., 2016. What caused extinction of the Pleistocene megafauna of Sahul? Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 283, 20152399. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1098/rspb.2015.2399

Jones, J.M., Gille, S.T., Goosse, H., Abram, N.J., Canziani, P.O., Charman, D.J., Clem, K.R., Crosta, X., de Lavergne, C., Eisenman, I., England, M.H., Fogt, R.L., Frankcombe, L.M., Marshall, G.J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Morrison, A.K., Orsi, A.J., Raphael, M.N., Renwick, J.A., Schneider, D.P., Simpkins, G.R., Steig, E.J., Stenni, B., Swingedouw, D., Vance, T.R., 2016. Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate. Nature Climate Change 6, 917–926. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/nclimate3103

Jourdain, N.C., Lengaigne, M., Vialard, J., Izumo, T., Gupta, A.S., 2016. Further Insights on the Influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the Following Year’s ENSO from Observations and CMIP5 Models. Journal of Climate 29, 637–658. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0481.1

Kajtar, J.B., Santoso, A., England, M.H., Cai, W., 2016. Tropical climate variability: interactions across the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Oceans. Climate Dynamics. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3199-z

Kala, J., De Kauwe, M.G., Pitman, A.J., Medlyn, B.E., Wang, Y.-P., Lorenz, R., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., 2016. Impact of the representation of stomatal conductance on model projections of heatwave intensity. Scientific Reports 6, 23418. doi:10.1038/srep23418

Kiss, A.E., Frankcombe, L.M., 2016. The Influence of Periodic Forcing on the Time Dependence of Western Boundary Currents: Phase Locking, Chaos, and Mechanisms of Low-Frequency Variability*. Journal of Physical Oceanography 46, 1117–1136. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1175/JPO-D-15-0113.1

Li, Y., Jourdain, N.C., Taschetto, A.S., Gupta, A.S., Argüeso, D., Masson, S., Cai, W., 2016. Resolution dependence of the simulated precipitation and diurnal cycle over the Maritime Continent. Climate Dynamics. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3317-y

Lorenz, R., Argüeso, D., Donat, M.G., Pitman, A.J., van den Hurk, B., Berg, A., Lawrence, D.M., Chéruy, F., Ducharne, A., Hagemann, S., Meier, A., Milly, P.C.D., Seneviratne, S.I., 2016. Influence of land-atmosphere feedbacks on temperature and precipitation extremes in the GLACE-CMIP5 ensemble: CLIMATE EXTREMES IN GLACE-CMIP5. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 607–623. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2015JD024053

Lorenz, R., Pitman, A.J., Sisson, S.A., 2016. Does Amazonian deforestation cause global effects; can we be sure?: AMAZONIAN DEFORESTATION. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 5567–5584. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2015JD024357

Ma, S., Pitman, A.J., Lorenz, R., Kala, J., Srbinovsky, J., 2016. Earlier green-up and spring warming amplification over Europe: Warming Effects of Earlier Green-Up. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 2011–2018. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2016GL068062

Macadam, I., Argüeso, D., Evans, J.P., Liu, D.L., Pitman, A.J., 2016. The effect of bias correction and climate model resolution on wheat simulations forced with a regional climate model ensemble: FORCING WHEAT SIMULATIONS WITH REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL DATA. International Journal of Climatology n/a-n/a. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/joc.4653

McNeil, B.I., Sasse, T.P., 2016. Future ocean hypercapnia driven by anthropogenic amplification of the natural CO2 cycle. Nature 529, 383–386. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/nature16156

Metcalf, J.L., Turney, C., Barnett, R., Martin, F., Bray, S.C., Vilstrup, J.T., Orlando, L., Salas-Gismondi, R., Loponte, D., Medina, M., De Nigris, M., Civalero, T., Fernandez, P.M., Gasco, A., Duran, V., Seymour, K.L., Otaola, C., Gil, A., Paunero, R., Prevosti, F.J., Bradshaw, C.J.A., Wheeler, J.C., Borrero, L., Austin, J.J., Cooper, A., 2016. Synergistic roles of climate warming and human occupation in Patagonian megafaunal extinctions during the Last Deglaciation. Science Advances 2, e1501682–e1501682. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1126/sciadv.1501682

Murray-Tortarolo, G., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Jaramillo, V.J., Murguía-Flores, F., Anav, A., Liu, Y., Arneth, A., Arvanitis, A., Harper, A., Jain, A., Kato, E., Koven, C., Poulter, B., Stocker, B.D., Wiltshire, A., Zaehle, S., Zeng, N., 2016. The carbon cycle in Mexico: past, present and future of C stocks and fluxes. Biogeosciences 13, 223–238. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5194/bg-13-223-2016

 Murray-Tortarolo, G., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Seneviratne, S.I., Fletcher, I., Mueller, B., Greve, P., Anav, A., Liu, Y., Ahlström, A., Huntingford, C., Levis, S., Levy, P., Lomas, M., Poulter, B., Viovy, N., Zaehle, S., Zeng, N., 2016. The dry season intensity as a key driver of NPP trends: Dry Season and Vegetation Productivity. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 2632–2639. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2016GL068240

Olson, R., Evans, J., Di Luca, A., Argüeso, D., 2016. The NARCliM project: model agreement and significance of climate projections. Climate Research 69, 209–227. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.3354/cr01403

Pepler, A.S., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., Sherwood, S.C., 2016a. Zonal winds and southeast Australian rainfall in global and regional climate models. Climate Dynamics 46, 123–133. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2573-6

Pepler, A.S., Di Luca, A., Ji, F., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., Sherwood, S.C., 2016b. Projected changes in east Australian midlatitude cyclones during the 21st century: Future Midlatitude Cyclones in Australia. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 334–340. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2015GL067267

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., White, C.J., Alexander, L.V., Argüeso, D., Boschat, G., Cowan, T., Evans, J.P., Ekström, M., Oliver, E.C.J., Phatak, A., Purich, A., 2016. Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves. Climatic Change. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1650-0

Phipps, S.J., Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., 2016. Impacts of marine instability across the East Antarctic Ice Sheet on Southern Ocean dynamics. The Cryosphere Discussions 1–16. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5194/tc-2016-111

Purich, A., Cai, W., England, M.H., Cowan, T., 2016. Evidence for link between modelled trends in Antarctic sea ice and underestimated westerly wind changes. Nature Communications 7, 10409. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/ncomms10409

Putnam, A.E., Putnam, D.E., Andreu-Hayles, L., Cook, E.R., Palmer, J.G., Clark, E.H., Wang, C., Chen, F., Denton, G.H., Boyle, D.P., Bassett, S.D., Birkel, S.D., Martin-Fernandez, J., Hajdas, I., Southon, J., Garner, C.B., Cheng, H., Broecker, W.S., 2016. Little Ice Age wetting of interior Asian deserts and the rise of the Mongol Empire. Quaternary Science Reviews 131, 33–50. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.10.033

Rodríguez-Rey, M., Herrando-Pérez, S., Brook, B.W., Saltré, F., Alroy, J., Beeton, N., Bird, M.I., Cooper, A., Gillespie, R., Jacobs, Z., Johnson, C.N., Miller, G.H., Prideaux, G.J., Roberts, R.G., Turney, C.S.M., Bradshaw, C.J.A., 2016. A comprehensive database of quality-rated fossil ages for Sahul’s Quaternary vertebrates. Scientific Data 3, 160053. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/sdata.2016.53

Rouillard, A., Greenwood, P.F., Grice, K., Skrzypek, G., Dogramaci, S., Turney, C., Grierson, P.F., 2016. Interpreting vegetation change in tropical arid ecosystems from sediment molecular fossils and their stable isotope compositions: A baseline study from the Pilbara region of northwest Australia. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 459, 495–507. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2016.07.023

Rouillard, A., Skrzypek, G., Turney, C., Dogramaci, S., Hua, Q., Zawadzki, A., Reeves, J., Greenwood, P., O’Donnell, A.J., Grierson, P.F., 2016. Evidence for extreme floods in arid subtropical northwest Australia during the Little Ice Age chronozone (CE 1400–1850). Quaternary Science Reviews 144, 107–122. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.05.004

Saenko, O.A., Fyfe, J.C., Swart, N.C., Lee, W.G., England, M.H., 2016. Influence of tropical wind on global temperature from months to decades. Climate Dynamics 47, 2193–2203. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2958-6

Sen Gupta, A., McGregor, S., van Sebille, E., Ganachaud, A., Brown, J.N., Santoso, A., 2016. Future changes to the Indonesian Throughflow and Pacific circulation: The differing role of wind and deep circulation changes: Pacific Circulation Projections. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 1669–1678. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2016GL067757

Seneviratne, S.I., Donat, M.G., Pitman, A.J., Knutti, R., Wilby, R.L., 2016. Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets. Nature 529, 477–483. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/nature16542

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., 2016. The effect of low ancient greenhouse climate temperature gradients on the ocean’s overturning circulation. Climate of the Past 12, 543–552. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5194/cp-12-543-2016

Stockhecke, M., Timmermann, A., Kipfer, R., Haug, G.H., Kwiecien, O., Friedrich, T., Menviel, L., Litt, T., Pickarski, N., Anselmetti, F.S., 2016a. Corrigendum to “Millennial to orbital-scale variations of drought intensity in the Eastern Mediterranean” [Quat. Sci. Rev. 133 (2016) 77–95]. Quaternary Science Reviews 150, 312–314. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.07.019

Stockhecke, M., Timmermann, A., Kipfer, R., Haug, G.H., Kwiecien, O., Friedrich, T., Menviel, L., Litt, T., Pickarski, N., Anselmetti, F.S., 2016b. Millennial to orbital-scale variations of drought intensity in the Eastern Mediterranean. Quaternary Science Reviews 133, 77–95. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.12.016

Taschetto, A.S., Gupta, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2016. Can Australian Multiyear Droughts and Wet Spells Be Generated in the Absence of Oceanic Variability? Journal of Climate 29, 6201–6221. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0694.1

Taschetto, A.S., Rodrigues, R.R., Meehl, G.A., McGregor, S., England, M.H., 2016. How sensitive are the Pacific–tropical North Atlantic teleconnections to the position and intensity of El Niño-related warming? Climate Dynamics 46, 1841–1860. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x

Thomas, Z.A., 2016. Using natural archives to detect climate and environmental tipping points in the Earth System. Quaternary Science Reviews 152, 60–71. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.09.026

Thorne, P.W., Donat, M.G., Dunn, R.J.H., Williams, C.N., Alexander, L.V., Caesar, J., Durre, I., Harris, I., Hausfather, Z., Jones, P.D., Menne, M.J., Rohde, R., Vose, R.S., Davy, R., Klein-Tank, A.M.G., Lawrimore, J.H., Peterson, T.C., Rennie, J.J., 2016. Reassessing changes in diurnal temperature range: Intercomparison and evaluation of existing global data set estimates: DTR Data Set Intercomparison/Assessment. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 5138–5158. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2015JD024584

Tong, S., Berry, H.L., Ebi, K., Bambrick, H., Hu, W., Green, D., Hanna, E., Wang, Z., Butler, C.D., 2016. Climate change, food, water and population health in China. Bulletin of the World Health Organization 94, 759–765. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.2471/BLT.15.167031

Turney, C.S.M., Jones, R.T., Fogwill, C., Hatton, J., Williams, A.N., Hogg, A., Thomas, Z.A., Palmer, J., Mooney, S., Reimer, R.W., 2016. A 250-year periodicity in Southern Hemisphere westerly winds over the last 2600 years. Climate of the Past 12, 189–200. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5194/cp-12-189-2016

Turney, C.S.M., Jones, R.T., Lister, D., Jones, P., Williams, A.N., Hogg, A., Thomas, Z.A., Compo, G.P., Yin, X., Fogwill, C.J., Palmer, J., Colwell, S., Allan, R., Visbeck, M., 2016. Anomalous mid-twentieth century atmospheric circulation change over the South Atlantic compared to the last 6000 years. Environmental Research Letters 11, 64009. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064009

Turney, C.S.M., McGlone, M., Palmer, J., Fogwill, C., Hogg, A., Thomas, Z.A., Lipson, M., Wilmshurst, J.M., Fenwick, P., Jones, R.T., Hines, B., Clark, G.F., 2016. Intensification of Southern Hemisphere westerly winds 2000-1000 years ago: evidence from the subantarctic Campbell and Auckland Islands (52-50°S): HOLOCENE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE WESTERLY AIRFLOW, SW PACIFIC. Journal of Quaternary Science 31, 12–19. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/jqs.2828

Turney, C.S.M., Palmer, J., Bronk Ramsey, C., Adolphi, F., Muscheler, R., Hughen, K.A., Staff, R.A., Jones, R.T., Thomas, Z.A., Fogwill, C.J., Hogg, A., 2016. High-precision dating and correlation of ice, marine and terrestrial sequences spanning Heinrich Event 3: Testing mechanisms of interhemispheric change using New Zealand ancient kauri (Agathis australis). Quaternary Science Reviews 137, 126–134. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.02.005

Turney, C.S.M., Palmer, J., Hogg, A., Fogwill, C.J., Jones, R.T., Bronk Ramsey, C., Fenwick, P., Grierson, P., Wilmshurst, J., O’Donnell, A., Thomas, Z.A., Lipson, M., 2016. Multidecadal variations in Southern Hemisphere atmospheric ¹⁴ C: Evidence against a Southern Ocean sink at the end of the Little Ice Age CO ₂ anomaly: SOUTHERN OCEAN VENTILATION DURING LIA. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30, 211–218. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2015GB005257

Ukkola, A.M., Pitman, A.J., Decker, M., De Kauwe, M.G., Abramowitz, G., Kala, J., Wang, Y.-P., 2016. Modelling evapotranspiration during precipitation deficits: identifying critical processes in a land surface model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 20, 2403–2419. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5194/hess-20-2403-2016

van Marle, M.J.E., van der Werf, G.R., de Jeu, R.A.M., Liu, Y.Y., 2016. Annual South American forest loss estimates based on passive microwave remote sensing (1990–2010). Biogeosciences 13, 609–624. doi:10.5194/bg-13-609-2016

Walsh, K., White, C.J., McInnes, K., Holmes, J., Schuster, S., Richter, H., Evans, J.P., Di Luca, A., Warren, R.A., 2016. Natural hazards in Australia: storms, wind and hail. Climatic Change. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1737-7

Wang, B., Liu, D.L., Macadam, I., Alexander, L.V., Abramowitz, G., Yu, Q., 2016. Multi-model ensemble projections of future extreme temperature change using a statistical downscaling method in south eastern Australia. Climatic Change 138, 85–98. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1726-x

Whitley, R., Beringer, J., Hutley, L.B., Abramowitz, G., De Kauwe, M.G., Duursma, R., Evans, B., Haverd, V., Li, L., Ryu, Y., Smith, B., Wang, Y.-P., Williams, M., Yu, Q., 2016. A model inter-comparison study to examine limiting factors in modelling Australian tropical savannas. Biogeosciences 13, 3245–3265. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5194/bg-13-3245-2016

Wilson, K.-J., Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., Blair, E., 2016. The impact of the giant iceberg B09B on population size and breeding success of Adélie penguins in Commonwealth Bay, Antarctica. Antarctic Science 28, 187–193. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1017/S0954102015000644

Winter, K., Woodward, J., Dunning, S.A., Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., Hein, A.S., Golledge, N.R., Bingham, R.G., Marrero, S.M., Sugden, D.E., Ross, N., 2016. Assessing the continuity of the blue ice climate record at Patriot Hills, Horseshoe Valley, West Antarctica: GPR assessment of Patriot Hills BIA. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 2019–2026. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2015GL066476

Wong, P.P.-Y., Lai, P.-C., Low, C.-T., Chen, S., Hart, M., 2016. The impact of environmental and human factors on urban heat and microclimate variability. Building and Environment 95, 199–208. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.09.024

Wood, J.R., Wilmshurst, J.M., Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., 2016. Palaeoecological signatures of vegetation change induced by herbivory regime shifts on subantarctic Enderby Island. Quaternary Science Reviews 134, 51–58. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.12.018

Yit Sen Bull, C., van Sebille, E., 2016. Sources, fate, and pathways of Leeuwin Current water in the Indian Ocean and Great Australian Bight: A Lagrangian study in an eddy-resolving ocean model: TRACKING SOURCES OF THE LEEUWIN CURRENT. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 121, 1626–1639. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2015JC011486

Ypma, S.L., van Sebille, E., Kiss, A.E., Spence, P., 2016. The separation of the East Australian Current: A Lagrangian approach to potential vorticity and upstream control: EAST AUSTRALIAN CURRENT SEPARATION. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 121, 758–774. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2015JC011133

Yu, J., Menviel, L., Jin, Z.D., Thornalley, D.J.R., Barker, S., Marino, G., Rohling, E.J., Cai, Y., Zhang, F., Wang, X., Dai, Y., Chen, P., Broecker, W.S., 2016. Sequestration of carbon in the deep Atlantic during the last glaciation. Nature Geoscience 9, 319–324. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/ngeo2657

Yue, R.P.H., Lee, H.F., Hart, M.A., 2016. Perceptions of visibility degradation in Hong Kong. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management 1–19. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1080/09640568.2016.1197826

Yue, R.P.H., Lee, H.F., Hart, M.A., 2016. The human dimension of visibility degradation in a compact city. Natural Hazards 82, 1683–1702. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s11069-016-2263-7

Zafar, M.U., Ahmed, M., Rao, M.P., Buckley, B.M., Khan, N., Wahab, M., Palmer, J., 2016. Karakorum temperature out of phase with hemispheric trends for the past five centuries. Climate Dynamics 46, 1943–1952. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2685-z

Zheng, X., Kao, S., Chen, Z., Menviel, L., Chen, H., Du, Y., Wan, S., Yan, H., Liu, Z., Zheng, L., Wang, S., Li, D., Zhang, X., 2016. Deepwater circulation variation in the South China Sea since the Last Glacial Maximum: South China Sea Deep Current. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 8590–8599. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1002/2016GL070342

2015 Publications

T. P. Roland, T. J. Daley, C. J. Caseldine, D. J. Charman, C. S. M. Turney, M. J. Amesbury, G. J. Thompson and E. J. Woodley 2015 The 5.2 ka climate event: Evidence from stable isotope and multi-proxy palaeoecological peatland records in Ireland Quaternary Science Reviews 124 209-223 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.07.026

C. Turney, R. Jones, C. Fogwill, J. Hatton, A. N. Williams, A. Hogg, Z. Thomas, J. Palmer and S. Mooney 2015 A 250 year periodicity in Southern Hemisphere westerly winds over the last 2600 years Clim. Past Discuss. 11 2159-2180 http://dx.doi/10.5194/cpd-11-2159-2015

A. Cooper, C. Turney, K. A. Hughen, B. W. Brook, H. G. McDonald and C. J. A. Bradshaw 2015 Abrupt warming events drove Late Pleistocene Holarctic megafaunal turnover Science 349 602-606 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aac4315

S. C. Sherwood, S. Bony, O. Boucher, C. Bretherton, P. M. Forster, J. M. Gregory and B. Stevens 2015 Adjustments in the Forcing-Feedback Framework for Understanding Climate Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96 217-228 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-13-00167.1

K. D. Stewart, P. Spence, S. Waterman, J. L. Sommer, J. M. Molines, J. M. Lilly and M. H. England 2015 Anisotropy of eddy variability in the global ocean Ocean Modelling 95 53-65 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2015.09.005

P. A. Mendoza, M. P. Clark, M. Barlage, B. Rajagopalan, L. Samaniego, G. Abramowitz and H. Gupta 2015 Are we unnecessarily constraining the agility of complex process-based models? Water Resources Research 51 716-728 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014wr015820

E. Freeman, L. C. Skinner, A. Tisserand, T. Dokken, A. Timmermann, L. Menviel and T. Friedrich 2015 An Atlantic–Pacific ventilation seesaw across the last deglaciation Earth and Planetary Science Letters 424 237-244 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2015.05.032

S. C. Sherwood and N. Nishant 2015 Atmospheric changes through 2012 as shown by iteratively homogenized radiosonde temperature and wind data (IUKv2) Environmental Research Letters 10 054007-054007 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054007

B. Dobbie and D. Green 2015 Australians are not equally protected from industrial air pollution Environmental Research Letters 10 055001-055001 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/055001

J. D. Zika, F. Laliberté, L. R. Mudryk, W. P. Sijp and A. J. G. Nurser 2015 Changes in ocean vertical heat transport with global warming Geophysical Research Letters 42 4940-4948 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015gl064156

D. Green and L. Webb 2015 Climate Change, Health and Well-being in Indigenous Australia Journal

G. Abramowitz and C. H. Bishop 2015 Climate Model Dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP Projections Journal of Climate 28 2332-2348 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00364.1

S. Sherwood 2015 Climate science: The Sun and the rain Nature 528 200-201 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/528200a

S. Bony, B. Stevens, D. M. W. Frierson, C. Jakob, M. Kageyama, R. Pincus, T. G. Shepherd, S. C. Sherwood, A. P. Siebesma, A. H. Sobel, M. Watanabe and M. J. Webb 2015 Clouds, circulation and climate sensitivity Nature Geoscience 8 261-268 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2398

M. F. Stuecker, F. F. Jin, A. Timmermann and S. McGregor 2015 Combination Mode Dynamics of the Anomalous Northwest Pacific Anticyclone* Journal of Climate 28 1093-1111 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00225.1

M. R. Grose, J. Bhend, D. Argueso Barriga, E. M, A. Dowdy, F. Hoffman, E. JP and B. Timbal 2015 Comparison of various climate change projections of eastern Australian rainfall Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 65

W. N. Huiskamp, K. J. Meissner and M. d’Orgeville 2015 Competition between ocean carbon pumps in simulations with varying Southern Hemisphere westerly wind forcing Climate Dynamics 1-18 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2781-0

W. Chang, M. Haran, R. Olson and K. Keller 2015 A composite likelihood approach to computer model calibration with high-dimensional spatial data Statistica Sinica 25 243-259 http://dx.doi.org/10.5705/ss.2013.219w

A. N. Williams, P. Veth, W. Steffen, S. Ulm, C. S. M. Turney, J. M. Reeves, S. J. Phipps and M. Smith 2015 A continental narrative: Human settlement patterns and Australian climate change over the last 35,000 years Quaternary Science Reviews 123 91-112 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.06.018

L. Menviel, P. Spence and M. H. England 2015 Contribution of enhanced Antarctic Bottom Water formation to Antarctic warm events and millennial-scale atmospheric CO2 increase Earth and Planetary Science Letters 413 37-50 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2014.12.050

M. Rodríguez-Rey, S. Herrando-Pérez, R. Gillespie, Z. Jacobs, F. Saltré, B. W. Brook, G. J. Prideaux, R. G. Roberts, A. Cooper, J. Alroy, G. H. Miller, M. I. Bird, C. N. Johnson, N. Beeton, C. S. M. Turney and C. J. A. Bradshaw 2015 Criteria for assessing the quality of Middle Pleistocene to Holocene vertebrate fossil ages Quaternary Geochronology 30, Part A 69-79http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quageo.2015.08.002

S. Gray 2015 Culture clash or ties that bind? What Australian academics think of professional staff Journal of Higher Education Policy and Management 37 545-557 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1360080X.2015.1079397

R. Jones, C. Turney, B. Lang, S. Brooks, M. Rundgren, S. Björck and D. Hammarlund 2015 Delayed European Climate Optimum During the Last Interglacial in Northern Europe EGU General Assembly 2015, held 12-17 April, 2015 17

D. J. Sailor, M. Georgescu, J. M. Milne and M. A. Hart 2015 Development of a national anthropogenic heating database with an extrapolation for international cities Atmospheric Environment 118 7-18 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.07.016

M. Decker, A. Pitman and J. Evans 2015 Diagnosing the seasonal land–atmosphere correspondence over northern Australia: dependence on soil moisture state and correspondence strength definition Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 19 3433-3447 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3433-2015

D. Green, H. Bambrick, P. Tait, J. Goldie, R. Schultz, L. Webb, L. Alexander and A. Pitman 2015 Differential Effects of Temperature Extremes on Hospital Admission Rates for Respiratory Disease between Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Australians in the Northern Territory International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 12 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph121214988

M. G. De Kauwe, S. X. Zhou, B. E. Medlyn, A. J. Pitman, Y. P. Wang, R. A. Duursma and I. C. Prentice 2015 Do land surface models need to include differential plant species responses to drought? Examining model predictions across a mesic-xeric gradient in Europe Biogeosciences 12 7503-7518 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-7503-2015

J. Palmer, E. R. Cook, C. Turney, K. Allen, P. Fenwick, B. I. Cook, A. O’Donnell, J. Lough, P. Grierson and P. Baker 2015 Drought variability in the eastern Australia and New Zealand summer drought atlas (ANZDA, CE 1500–2012) modulated by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation Environmental Research Letters 10 124002 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124002

Z. A. Thomas, F. Kwasniok, C. A. Boulton, P. M. Cox, R. T. Jones, T. M. Lenton and C. S. M. Turney 2015 Early warnings and missed alarms for abrupt monsoon transitions Clim. Past Discuss. 11 1313-1341 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cpd-11-1313-2015

D. Argüeso, J. P. Evans, A. J. Pitman and A. Di Luca 2015 Effects of City Expansion on Heat Stress under Climate Change Conditions PLOS ONE 10 e0117066-e0117066 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0117066

G. Clark, E. Marzinelli, C. J. Fogwill, C. S. M. Turney and E. Johnston 2015 Effects of sea-ice cover on marine benthic communities: a natural experiment in Commonwealth Bay, East Antarctica Polar Biology 38 1213-1222 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00300-015-1688-x

G. A. Meehl, H. Teng, N. Maher and M. H. England 2015 Effects of the Mount Pinatubo eruption on decadal climate prediction skill of Pacific sea surface temperatures Geophysical Research Letters 42 10,840-10,846 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066608

N. Maher, S. McGregor, M. H. England and A. S. Gupta 2015 Effects of volcanism on tropical variability Geophysical Research Letters 42 6024-6033 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015gl064751

W. Cai, A. Santoso, G. Wang, S.-W. Yeh, S.-I. An, K. M. Cobb, M. Collins, E. Guilyardi, F.-F. Jin, J.-S. Kug, M. Lengaigne, M. J. McPhaden, K. Takahashi, A. Timmermann, G. Vecchi, M. Watanabe and L. Wu 2015 ENSO and greenhouse warming Nature Clim. Change 5 849-859 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2743

A. Santoso, W. Cai, M. Collins, M. McPhaden, F. F. Jin, E. Guilyardi, G. Vecchi, D. Dommenget and G. Wang 2015 ENSO Extremes and Diversity: Dynamics, Teleconnections, and Impacts Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-15-00141.1

A. King, M. Donat, L. Alexander and D. Karoly 2015 The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5 Climate Dynamics 44 2623-2635 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8

A. Sen Gupta, J. N. Brown, N. Jourdain, E. van Sebille, A. Ganachaud and A. Vergés 2015 Episodic and non-uniform shifts of thermal habitats in a warming ocean Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 113 59-72 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2013.12.002

V. E. Cortés-Hernández, F. Zheng, J. Evans, M. Lambert, A. Sharma and S. Westra 2015 Evaluating regional climate models for simulating sub-daily rainfall extremes Climate Dynamics 1-16 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2923-4

J. Li, A. Sharma, F. Johnson and J. Evans 2015 Evaluating the effect of climate change on areal reduction factors using regional climate model projections Journal of Hydrology 528 419-434 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.06.067

K. F. Kvale, K. J. Meissner, D. P. Keller, M. Eby and A. Schmittner 2015 Explicit Planktic Calcifiers in the University of Victoria Earth System Climate Model, Version 2.9 Atmosphere-Ocean 53 332-350 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1049112

D. Fuchs, S. Sherwood and D. Hernandez 2015 An Exploration of Multivariate Fluctuation Dissipation Operators and Their Response to Sea Surface Temperature Perturbations Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72 472-486 dx.doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-14-0077.1

M. G. Donat, A. D. King, J. T. Overpeck, L. V. Alexander, I. Durre and D. J. Karoly 2015 Extraordinary heat during the 1930s US Dust Bowl and associated large-scale conditions Climate Dynamics 46 413-426 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2590-5

R. F. Denniston, G. Villarini, A. N. Gonzales, K.-H. Wyrwoll, V. J. Polyak, C. C. Ummenhofer, M. S. Lachniet, A. D. Wanamaker, W. F. Humphreys, D. Woods and J. Cugley 2015 Extreme rainfall activity in the Australian tropics reflects changes in the El Niño/Southern Oscillation over the last two millennia Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112 4576-4581

E. Van Sebille, C. Wilcox, L. Lebreton, N. Maximenko, B. Hardesty, J. van Franeker, A. , M. Eriksen, D. Siegel, F. Galgani and K. Law 2015 A global inventory of small floating plastic debris Environmental Research Letters 10 124006 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124006

A. N. Wiliams, S. Uim, C. Turney, D. Rohde and G. White 2015 Holocene Demographic Changes and the Emergence of Complex Societies in Prehistoric Australia PLOS One http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0128661

F. Johnson, C. J. White, A. Van Dijk, E. M, E. JP, D. Jakob, A. Kiem, M. Leonard, A. Rouillard and S. Westra 2015 How and why are floods changing in Australia? 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The art and science of water

C. C. Ummenhofer, A. Sen Gupta, M. H. England, A. S. Taschetto, P. R. Briggs and M. R. Raupach 2015 How did ocean warming affect Australian rainfall extremes during the 2010/2011 La Niña event? Geophysical Research Letters 42 9942-9951 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065948

J. Teng, N. J. Potter, F. H. S. Chiew, L. Zhang, B. Wang, J. Vaze and J. P. Evans 2015 How does bias correction of regional climate model precipitation affect modelled runoff? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19 711-728 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-711-2015

A. S. Taschetto, R. R. Rodrigues, G. A. Meehl, S. McGregor and M. H. England 2015 How sensitive are the Pacific–tropical North Atlantic teleconnections to the position and intensity of El Niño-related warming? Climate Dynamics 46 1841-1860 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x

S. Contractor, L. V. Alexander, M. G. Donat and N. Herold 2015 How Well Do Gridded Datasets of Observed Daily Precipitation Compare over Australia? Advances in Meteorology 2015 15 http://dx.doi.org/22w 10.1155/2015/325718

A. S. Pepler, A. Di Luca, F. Ji, L. V. Alexander, J. P. Evans and S. C. Sherwood 2015 Impact of Identification Method on the Inferred Characteristics and Variability of Australian East Coast Lows Monthly Weather Review 143 864-877 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-14-00188.1

L. Menviel, A. Mouchet, K. J. Meissner, F. Joos and M. H. England 2015 Impact of oceanic circulation changes on atmospheric δ13CO2 Global Biogeochemical Cycles 29 1944-1961 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GB005207

M. J. Webb, A. P. Lock, C. S. Bretherton, S. Bony, J. N. S. Cole, A. Idelkadi, S. M. Kang, T. Koshiro, H. Kawai, T. Ogura, R. Roehrig, Y. Shin, T. Mauritsen, S. C. Sherwood, J. Vial, M. Watanabe, M. D. Woelfle and M. Zhao 2015 The impact of parametrized convection on cloud feedback Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 373 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0414

A. Rouillard, G. Skrzypek, S. Dogramaci, C. Turney and P. F. Grierson 2015 Impacts of high inter-annual variability of rainfall on a century of extreme hydrologic regime of northwest Australia Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19 2057-2078 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2057-2015

H. Ajami, M. F. McCabe and J. P. Evans 2015 Impacts of model initialization on an integrated surface water-groundwater model Hydrological Processes http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10478

J. Kala, M. G. De Kauwe, A. J. Pitman, R. Lorenz, B. E. Medlyn, Y. P. Wang, Y. S. Lin and G. Abramowitz 2015 Implementation of an optimal stomatal conductance scheme in the Australian Community Climate Earth Systems Simulator (ACCESS1.3b) Geosci. Model Dev. 8 3877-3889 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3877-2015

W. Cai, G. Wang, A. Santoso, M. J. McPhaden, L. Wu, F. F. Jin, A. Timmermann, M. Collins, G. Vecchi, M. Lengaigne, M. H. England, D. Dommenget, K. Takahashi and E. Guilyardi 2015 Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming Nature Climate Change 5 132-137 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2492

A. D. King, M. T. Black, D. J. Karoly and M. G. Donat 2015 Increased Likelihood of Brisbane, Australia, G20 Heat Event Due to Anthropogenic Climate Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96 S141-S144 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-EEE_2014_ch28.1

S. E. Perkins and P. B. Gibson 2015 Increased Risk of the 2014 Australian May Heatwave Due to Anthropogenic Activity Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96 S154-S157 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-EEE_2014_ch31.1

R. M. Graham, A. M. De Boer, E. van Sebille, K. E. Kohfeld and C. Schlosser 2015 Inferring source regions and supply mechanisms of iron in the Southern Ocean from satellite chlorophyll data Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers 104 9-25 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2015.05.007

J. Kala, J. P. Evans and A. J. Pitman 2015 Influence of antecedent soil moisture conditions on the synoptic meteorology of the Black Saturday bushfire event in southeast Australia Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2596

R. Batehup, S. McGregor and A. J. E. Gallant 2015 The influence of non-stationary teleconnections on palaeoclimate reconstructions of ENSO variance using a pseudoproxy framework Clim. Past 11 1733-1749 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1733-2015

D. K. Hutchinson, M. H. England, A. M. Hogg and K. Snow 2015 Interhemispheric Asymmetry of Warming in an Eddy-Permitting Coupled Sector Model Journal of Climate 28 7385-7406 http://dx.doi/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0014.1

R. Lorenz, A. J. Pitman, A. L. Hirsch and J. Srbinovsky 2015 Intraseasonal versus Interannual Measures of Land–Atmosphere Coupling Strength in a Global Climate Model: GLACE-1 versus GLACE-CMIP5 Experiments in ACCESS1.3b Journal of Hydrometeorology 16 2276-2295 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0206.1

A. A. Prasad and M. J. Kay 2015 Investigation of DNI-cloud Connections Using Satellite Data 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2015)

M. Zafar, M. Ahmed, M. Rao, B. Buckley, N. Khan, M. Wahab and J. Palmer 2015 Karakorum temperature out of phase with hemispheric trends for the past five centuries Climate Dynamics 1-10 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2685-z

J. M. Wilmshurst, M. S. McGlone and C. S. M. Turney 2015 Long-term ecology resolves the timing, region of origin, and process of establishment for a disputed alien tree AoB Plants

K. J. Wilson, C. Turney, C. Fogwill and J. Hunter 2015 Low numbers and apparent long-term stability of South Polar Skuas Stercorarius maccormicki at Commonwealth Bay, Antarctica Marine Ornithology 43 103-106 http://www.marineornithology.org/cgi-bin/getpage.cgi?vol=43&no=1 

C. Fogwill, C. Turney, N. Golledge, D. Rood, K. Hippe, L. Wacker, R. Weiler, E. Rainsley and R. Jones 2015 Mechanisms Driving abrupt shifts inWest Antarctic ice stream direction during the Holocene EGU General Assembly 2015 17

A. L. Hirsch, A. J. Pitman, J. Kala, R. Lorenz and M. G. Donat 2015 Modulation of Land-Use Change Impacts on Temperature Extremes via Land–Atmosphere Coupling over Australia Earth Interactions 19 1-24 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/ei-d-15-0011.1

H. Yin, M. G. Donat, L. V. Alexander and Y. Sun 2015 Multi-dataset comparison of gridded observed temperature and precipitation extremes over China International Journal of Climatology 35 2809-2827 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4174

N. R. Golledge, D. E. Kowalewski, T. R. Naish, R. H. Levy, C. J. Fogwill and E. G. W. Gasson 2015 The multi-millennial Antarctic commitment to future sea-level rise Nature 526 421-425 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature15706

J. Evans, R. Olson, L. Fita Borrell, D. Argueso Barriga and A. Di Luca 2015 NARCliM model performance including teleconnections with climate modes 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, http://www.mssanz.org.au/modsim2015/G4/evans.pdf

Y.-P. Wang, Q. Zhang, A. Pitman and Y. J. Dai 2015 Nitrogen and phosphorous limitation reduces the effects of land use change on land carbon uptake or emission Environmental Research Letters 10 014001 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014001

B. Ng, W. Cai, K. Walsh and A. Santoso 2015 Nonlinear processes reinforce extreme Indian Ocean Dipole events Scientific Reports 5 11697 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep11697

C. Simpson, J. J. Sharples and E. JP 2015 Numerical modelling of wildland fire spread on the windward and leeward sides of a ridge 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation 22 - 28 http://www.mssanz.org.au/modsim2015/Keynote/simpson.pdf

C. J. Fogwill, C. S. M. Turney, D. K. Hutchinson, A. S. Taschetto and M. H. England 2015 Obliquity Control On Southern Hemisphere Climate During The Last Glacial Scientific Reports 5 11673 htpp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep11673

C. Fogwill, C. Turney, D. Hutchinson, A. S. Taschetto and M. England 2015 Obliquity driven ice sheet expansion across the Southern Hemisphere during the last glacial EGU General Assembly 2015 17 2570

C. Turney, Z. Thomas, D. Hutchinson, C. Bradshaw, B. Brook, M. England, C. Fogwill, R. Jones, J. Palmer, K. Hughen and A. Cooper 2015 Obliquity-driven expansion of North Atlantic sea ice controls structure of the last glacial EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 17 12940

C. S. M. Turney, Z. A. Thomas, D. K. Hutchinson, C. J. A. Bradshaw, B. W. Brook, M. H. England, C. J. Fogwill, R. T. Jones, J. Palmer, K. A. Hughen and A. Cooper 2015 Obliquity-driven expansion of North Atlantic sea ice during the last glacial Geophysical Research Letters 42 10,382–10,390 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015gl066344

E. van Sebille, P. Scussolini, J. V. Durgadoo, F. J. C. Peeters, A. Biastoch, W. Weijer, C. Turney, C. B. Paris and R. Zahn 2015 Ocean currents generate large footprints in marine palaeoclimate proxies Nature Communications 6 6521-6521 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms7521

E. van Sebille 2015 The oceans’ accumulating plastic garbage Physics Today 68 60-61 http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/PT.3.2697

C. Dipayan, S. Ashish, S. Bellie, G. Alexander Sen and M. Rajeshwar 2015 On the predictability of SSTA indices from CMIP5 decadal experiments Environmental Research Letters 10 074013 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/074013

C. Aiken, A. Santoso, S. McGregor and M. H. England 2015 Optimal forcing of ENSO either side of the 1970’s climate shift and its implications for predictability Climate Dynamics 45 47-65 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2300-8

K. Evans, J. W. Young, S. Nicol, D. Kolody, V. Allain, J. Bell, J. N. Brown, A. Ganachaud, A. J. Hobday, B. Hunt, J. Innes, A. S. Gupta, E. van Sebille, R. Kloser, T. Patterson and A. Singh 2015 Optimising fisheries management in relation to tuna catches in the western central Pacific Ocean: A review of research priorities and opportunities Marine Policy 59 94-104http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.05.003

D. Hu, L. Wu, W. Cai, A. S. Gupta, A. Ganachaud, B. Qiu, A. L. Gordon, X. Lin, Z. Chen, S. Hu, G. Wang, Q. Wang, J. Sprintall, T. Qu, Y. Kashino, F. Wang and W. S. Kessler 2015 Pacific western boundary currents and their roles in climate Nature 522 299-308 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature14504

E. van Sebille, S. Waterman, A. Barthel, R. Lumpkin, S. R. Keating, C. Fogwill and C. Turney 2015 Pairwise surface drifter separation in the western Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 120 6769-6781 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015jc010972

K. J. Meissner 2015 Palaeoclimate: The dynamics of cold events Nature Geosci 8 904-906 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2564

M. J. Best, G. Abramowitz, H. R. Johnson, A. J. Pitman, G. Balsamo, A. Boone, M. Cuntz, B. Decharme, P. A. Dirmeyer, J. Dong, M. Ek, Z. Guo, V. Haverd, B. J. J. van den Hurk, G. S. Nearing, B. Pak, C. Peters-Lidard, J. A. Santanello, L. Stevens and N. Vuichard 2015 The Plumbing of Land Surface Models: Benchmarking Model Performance Journal of Hydrometeorology 16 1425-1442http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0158.1

P. A. Mayewski, T. Bracegirdle, I. Goodwin, D. Schneider, N. A. N. Bertler, S. Birkel, A. Carleton, M. H. England, J. H. Kang, A. Khan, J. Russell, J. Turner and I. Velicogna 2015 Potential for Southern Hemisphere climate surprises Journal of Quaternary Science 30 391-395 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2794

K. F. Kvale, K. J. Meissner and D. P. Keller 2015 Potential increasing dominance of heterotrophy in the global ocean Environmental Research Letters 10 074009

G. A. Schmidt and S. Sherwood 2015 A practical philosophy of complex climate modelling European Journal for Philosophy of Science 5 149-169 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13194-014-0102-9

D. Argüeso, A. Di Luca and J. P. Evans 2015 Precipitation over urban areas in the western Maritime Continent using a convection-permitting model Climate Dynamics 1-17 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2893-6

B. C. Bates, D. Argueso Barriga, E. JP, J. Green, A. Griesser, D. Jakob, A. Seed, R. Lau, E. Lehmann, A. Phatack, D. Abbs, S. Lavender, K. Nguyen, T. Rafter, M. Thatcher, F. Zheng, S. Westra and M. Leonard 2015 Preliminary Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Design Rainfall IFD Curves 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The art and science of water

J. G. Palmer, C. S. M. Turney, A. G. Hogg, A. M. Lorrey and R. J. Jones 2015 Progress in refining the global radiocarbon calibration curve using New Zealand kauri (Agathis australis) tree-ring series from Oxygen Isotope Stage 3 Quaternary Geochronology 27 158-163 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quageo.2015.02.028

J. N. Brown, C. Langlais and A. Sen Gupta 2015 Projected sea surface temperature changes in the equatorial Pacific relative to the Warm Pool edge Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 113 47-58 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.10.022

C. M. Thomas, J. J. Sharples and J. P. Evans 2015 Pyroconvective interaction of two merged fire lines: curvature effects and dynamic fire spread MODSIM2015, 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation

W. Bagniewski, K. J. Meissner, L. Menviel and C. E. Brennan 2015 Quantification of factors impacting seawater and calcite δ18O during Heinrich Stadials 1 and 4 Paleoceanography 30 895-911 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002751

T. P. Sasse, B. I. McNeil, R. J. Matear and A. Lenton 2015 Quantifying the influence of CO2 seasonality on future aragonite undersaturation onset Biogeosciences 12 6017-6031 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-6017-2015

R. S. Jones, A. N. Mackintosh, K. P. Norton, N. R. Golledge, C. J. Fogwill, P. W. Kubik, M. Christl and S. L. Greenwood 2015 Rapid Holocene thinning of an East Antarctic outlet glacier driven by marine ice sheet instability Nat Commun 6 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms9910

D. Güttler, F. Adolphi, J. Beer, N. Bleicher, G. Boswijk, M. Christl, A. Hogg, J. Palmer, C. Vockenhuber, L. Wacker and J. Wunder 2015 Rapid increase in cosmogenic 14C in AD 775 measured in New Zealand kauri trees indicates short-lived increase in 14C production spanning both hemispheres Earth and Planetary Science Letters 411 290-297 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2014.11.048

Y. Y. Liu, A. I. J. M. van Dijk, R. A. M. de Jeu, J. G. Canadell, M. F. McCabe, J. P. Evans and G. Wang 2015 Recent reversal in loss of global terrestrial biomass Nature Climate Change 5 470-474 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2581

S. Multsch, J. F. Exbrayat, M. Kirby, N. R. Viney, H. G. Frede and L. Breuer 2015 Reduction of predictive uncertainty in estimating irrigation water requirement through multi-model ensembles and ensemble averaging Geosci. Model Dev. 8 1233-1244 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-1233-2015

J. P. Evans, K. Bormann, J. Katzfey, S. Dean and R. Arritt 2015 Regional climate model projections of the South Pacific Convergence Zone Climate Dynamics 1-13 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2873-x

P. B. Gibson and N. J. Cullen 2015 Regional Variability in New Zealand’s Wind Resource Linked to Synoptic-Scale Circulation: Implications for Generation Reliability Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 54 944-958 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-14-0273.1

S. E. Perkins, D. Argüeso and C. J. White 2015 Relationships between climate variability, soil moisture, and Australian heatwaves Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 120 8144-8164 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015JD023592

R. F. Denniston, G. Villarini, A. N. Gonzales, V. J. Polyak, C. C. Ummenhofer, M. S. Lachniet, A. D. Wanamaker, W. F. Humphreys, D. Woods and J. Cugley 2015 Reply to Nott: Assessing biases in speleothem records of flood events Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112 E4637-E4637 10.1073/pnas.1513354112

A. Di Luca, J. P. Evans, A. Pepler, L. Alexander and D. Argüeso 2015 Resolution Sensitivity of Cyclone Climatology over Eastern Australia Using Six Reanalysis Products Journal of Climate 28 9530-9549 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00645.1

A. K. Morrison, M. H. England and A. M. Hogg 2015 Response of Southern Ocean Convection and Abyssal Overturning to Surface Buoyancy Perturbations Journal of Climate 28 4263-4278 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00110.1

B. A. Steinman, L. M. Frankcombe, M. E. Mann, S. K. Miller and M. H. England 2015 Response to Comment on “Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures” Science 350 1326-1326 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aac5208

S. E. Perkins 2015 A review on the scientific understanding of heatwaves—Their measurement, driving mechanisms, and changes at the global scale Atmospheric Research 164–165 242-267 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.05.014

H. V. McGregor, M. N. Evans, H. Goosse, G. Leduc, B. Martrat, J. A. Addison, P. G. Mortyn, D. W. Oppo, M.-S. Seidenkrantz, M.-A. Sicre, S. J. Phipps, K. Selvaraj, K. Thirumalai, H. L. Filipsson and V. Ersek 2015 Robust global ocean cooling trend for the pre-industrial Common Era Nature Geosci 8 671-677 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2510

M. H. England, J. B. Kajtar and N. Maher 2015 Robust warming projections despite the recent hiatus Nature Climate Change 5 394-396 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2575

C. J. Fogwill, S. J. Phipps, C. S. M. Turney and N. R. Golledge 2015 Sensitivity of the Southern Ocean to enhanced regional Antarctic ice sheet meltwater input Earth's Future 3 317-329 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015ef000306

J. Kala, J. Andrys, T. J. Lyons, I. J. Foster and B. J. Evans 2015 Sensitivity of WRF to driving data and physics options on a seasonal time-scale for the southwest of Western Australia Climate Dynamics 44 633-659 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2160-2

L. M. Frankcombe, M. H. England, M. E. Mann and B. A. Steinman 2015 Separating Internal Variability from the Externally Forced Climate Response Journal of Climate 28 8184-8202 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0069.1

L. Deng, M. F. McCabe, G. Stenchikov, J. P. Evans and P. A. Kucera 2015 Simulation of Flash-Flood-Producing Storm Events in Saudi Arabia Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model* Journal of Hydrometeorology 16 615-630 dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0126.1

K. Alexander and S. M. Easterbrook 2015 The software architecture of climate models: a graphical comparison of CMIP5 and EMICAR5 configurations Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss. 8 351-379 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmdd-8-351-2015

L. Menviel, P. Spence, N. Golledge and M. England 2015 Southern Ocean Overturning Role in Modulating High Southern Latitude Climate and Atmospheric CO2 on Millennial Timescales Nova Acta Leopoldina 121 159-166

S. K. Jha, G. Mariethoz, J. Evans, M. F. McCabe and A. Sharma 2015 A space and time scale-dependent nonlinear geostatistical approach for downscaling daily precipitation and temperature Water Resources Research 51 6244-6261 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014wr016729

M. Y. Cai, L. Wang, S. D. Parkes, J. Strauss, M. F. McCabe, J. P. Evans and A. D. Griffiths 2015 Stable water isotope and surface heat flux simulation using ISOLSM: Evaluation against in-situ measurements Journal of Hydrology 523 67-78 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.019

K. Alexander, K. J. Meissner and T. J. Bralower 2015 Sudden spreading of corrosive bottom water during the Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum Nature Geosci 8 458-461 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2430

J. Boucharel, A. Timmermann, A. Santoso, M. H. England, F. F. Jin and M. A. Balmaseda 2015 A surface layer variance heat budget for ENSO Geophysical Research Letters http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015gl063843

P. B. Gibson and N. J. Cullen 2015 Synoptic and sub-synoptic circulation effects on wind resource variability – A case study from a coastal terrain setting in New Zealand Renewable Energy 78 253-263 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.01.004

L. M. Ciasto, G. R. Simpkins and M. H. England 2015 Teleconnections between Tropical Pacific SST Anomalies and Extratropical Southern Hemisphere Climate Journal of Climate 28 56-65 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00438.1

J. Goldie, S. C. Sherwood, D. Green and L. Alexander 2015 Temperature and Humidity Effects on Hospital Morbidity in Darwin, Australia Annals of Global Health 81 333-341 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aogh.2015.07.003

M. G. De Kauwe, J. Kala, Y. S. Lin, A. J. Pitman, B. E. Medlyn, R. A. Duursma, G. Abramowitz, Y. P. Wang and D. G. Miralles 2015 A test of an optimal stomatal conductance scheme within the CABLE land surface model Geoscientific Model Development 8 431-452 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-431-2015

A. D. King, M. G. Donat, E. M. Fischer, E. Hawkins, L. V. Alexander, D. J. Karoly, A. J. Dittus, S. C. Lewis and S. Perkins 2015 The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes Environmental Research Letters 10 094015 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094015

A. J. O'Donnell, E. R. Cook, J. G. Palmer, C. S. M. Turney, G. F. M. Page and P. F. Grierson 2015 Tree Rings Show Recent High Summer-Autumn Precipitation in Northwest Australia Is Unprecedented within the Last Two Centuries PLoS ONE 10 e0128533 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0128533

C. S. M. Turney, C. J. Fogwill, A. Klekociuk, T. D. van Ommen, M. A. J. Curran, A. D. Moy and J. G. Palmer 2015 Tropical and mid-latitude forcing of continental Antarctic temperatures The Cryosphere Discuss. 9 4019-4042 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/tcd-9-4019-2015

F. Saltré, B. W. Brook, M. Rodríguez-Rey, A. Cooper, C. N. Johnson, C. S. M. Turney and C. J. A. Bradshaw 2015 Uncertainties in dating constrain model choice for inferring extinction time from fossil records Quaternary Science Reviews 112 128-137 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.01.022

J. B. Gilmore 2015 Understanding the Influence of Measurement Uncertainty on the Atmospheric Transition in Rainfall and Column Water Vapor Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72 2041-2054 dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0211.1 

C. N. Johnson, S. Rule, S. G. Haberle, C. S. M. Turney, A. P. Kershaw and B. W. Brook 2015 Using dung fungi to interpret decline and extinction of megaherbivores: problems and solutions Quaternary Science Reviews 110 107-113 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.12.011

F. Ji, J. P. Evans, D. Argueso, L. Fita and A. Di Luca 2015 Using large-scale diagnostic quantities to investigate change in East Coast Lows Climate Dynamics http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2481-9

X. Qin, A. Sen Gupta and E. van Sebille 2015 Variability in the origins and pathways of Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent water Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 120 3113-3128 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014jc010549

J. Peña-Izquierdo, E. van Sebille, J. L. Pelegrí, J. Sprintall, E. Mason, P. J. Llanillo and F. Machín 2015 Water mass pathways to the North Atlantic oxygen minimum zone Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 120 3350-3372 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014jc010557

N. Haughton, G. Abramowitz, A. Pitman and S. J. Phipps 2015 Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates Climate Dynamics http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3

S. Gray Year What do Australian academics think of professional staff and what should we do about it? Tertiary Education Management Conference 2015 103-114

K. Evans, J. N. Brown, A. Sen Gupta, S. J. Nicol, S. Hoyle, R. Matear and H. Arrizabalaga 2015 When 1+1 can be >2: Uncertainties compound when simulating climate, fisheries and marine ecosystems Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 113 312-322 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.04.006

J. Evans and D. Argueso Barriga 2015 WRF simulations of future changes in rainfall IFD curves over Greater Sydney 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The art and science of water

C. Simpson, J. J. Sharples and E. JP 2015 WRF-Fire simulation of lateral fire spread in the Bendora Fire on 18 January 2003 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation 305-311

2014 Publications

Zhou, L., Tian, Y., Myneni, R. B., Ciais, P., Saatchi, S., Liu, Y. Y., Piao, S., Chen, H., Vermote, E. F., Song, C. and Hwang, T. (2014) Widespread decline of Congo rainforest greenness in the past decade Nature 509 86-90 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature13265

Zhang, Q., Wang, Y. P., Matear, R. J., Pitman, A. and Dai, Y. J. (2014) Nitrogen and phosphorous limitations significantly reduce future allowable CO2 emissions Geophysical Research Letters 41 632–637 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058352

Yu, J., Anderson, R. F., Jin, Z., Menviel, L., Zhang, F., Ryerson, F. J. and Rohling, E. J. (2014) Deep South Atlantic carbonate chemistry and increased interocean deep water exchange during last deglaciation Quaternary Science Reviews 90 80-89 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.02.018

Yilmaz, M. T., Anderson, M. C., Zaitchik, B., Hain, C. R., Crow, W. T., Ozdogan, M., Chun, J. A. and Evans, J. P. (2014) Comparison of prognostic and diagnostic surface flux modeling approaches over the Nile River basin Water Resources Research 50 386-408 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014194

Widlansky, M. J., Timmerman, A., Mcgregor, S., Stuecker, M. F. and Cai, W. (2014) An Interhemispheric Tropical Sea Level Seesaw due to El Niño Taimasa Journal of Climate 27 1070-1081 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00276.1

Whan, K., Alexander, L., Imielska, A., McGree, S., Jones, D., Ene, E., Finaulahi, S., Inape, K., Jacklick, L., Kumar, R., Laurent, V., Malala, H., Malsale, P., Pulehetoa-Mitiepo, R., Ngemaes, M., Peltier, A., Porteous, A., Seuseu, S., Skilling, E., Tahani, L., Toorua, U. and Vaiimene, M. (2014) Trends and variability of temperature extremes in the tropical Western Pacific International Journal of Climatology 34 2585-2603 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3861

Westra, S., Fowler, H. J., Evans, J. P., Alexander, L. V., Berg, P., Johnson, F., Kendon, E. J., Lenderink, G. and Roberts, N. M. (2014) Future changes to the intensity and frequency of short-duration extreme rainfall Reviews of Geophysics 52 522-555 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000464

Weijer, W. and Van Sebille, E. (2014) Impact of Agulhas Leakage on the Atlantic Overturning Circulation in the CCSM4 Journal of Climate 27 101–110 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00714.1

Weber, M. E., Sprenk, D., Clark, P. U., Kuhn, G., Zhang, X., Lohman, G., Timmerman, A., M.O., C., Friedrich, T., Gladstone, R., Menviel, L. and Ohlwein, C. (2014) Millennial-scale variability in Antarctic ice-sheet discharge during the last deglaciation Nature 510 134-138http://dx/doi.org/10.1038/nature13397

Webb, L., Bambrick, H., Tait, P., Green, D. L. and Alexander, L. (2014) Effect of Ambient Temperature on Australian Northern Territory Public Hospital Admissions for Cardiovascular Disease among Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Populations International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 11 1942-1959 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph110201942

Vergés, A., Steinberg, P. D., Hay, M. E., Poore, A. G. B., Campbell, A. H., Ballesteros, E., Heck, K. L., Booth, D. J., Coleman, M. A., Feary, D. A., Figueira, W., Langlois, T., Marzinelli, E. M., Mizerek, T., Mumby, P. J., Nakamura, Y., Roughan, M., Sen Gupta, A., Smale, D. A., Tomas, F., Wernberg, T. and Wilson, S. K. (2014) The tropicalization of temperate marine ecosystems: climate-mediated changes in herbivory and community phase shifts Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences 281 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2014.0846

van Sebille, E., Sprintall, J., Schwarzkopf, F. U., Sen Gupta, A., Santoso, A., England, M. H., Biastoch, A. and Böning, C. W. (2014) Pacific-to-Indian Ocean connectivity: Tasman leakage, Indonesian Throughflow, and the role of ENSO Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 119 1365-1382 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013JC009525

van Sebille, E. (2014) Adrift.org.au — A free, quick and easy tool to quantitatively study planktonic surface drift in the global ocean Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology 461 317-322 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jembe.2014.09.002

Turney, C., Canti, M., Branch, N. and Clark, P. U. (2014) Environmental Archaeology : Theoretical and Practical Approaches Taylor and Francis, http://public.eblib.com/choice/publicfullrecord.aspx?p=564565

Turney, C. (2014) This was no Antarctic pleasure cruise Nature 505 133 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/505133a

Toom, M. D., Dijkstra, H. A., Weijer, W., Hecht, M. W., Maltrud, M. E. and Van Sebille, E. (2014) Response of a Strongly Eddying Global Ocean to North Atlantic Freshwater Perturbations Journal of Physical Oceanography 44 464-481 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-12-0155.1

Taschetto, A. S., Sen Gupta, A., Jourdain, N., Santoso, A., Ummenhofer, C. C. and England, M. H. (2014) Cold Tongue and Warm Pool ENSO Events in CMIP5: Mean State and Future Projections Journal of Climate 27 2861-2885 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00437.1

Sugden, D. E., Hein, A. S., Kerr, A. R., Fogwill, C. J., Stuart, F. M. and Kubik, P. W. (2014) Emergence of the Shackleton Range from beneath the Antarctic Ice Sheet due to glacial erosion Geomorphology 208 190 - 199 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2013.12.004

Spence, P., Van Sebille, E., Saenko, O. A. and England, M. H. (2014) Using Eulerian and Lagrangian Approaches to Investigate Wind-Driven Changes in the Southern Ocean Abyssal Circulation Journal of Physical Oceanography 44 662-675 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-13-0108.1

Spence, P., Griffies, S., England, M. H., Hogg, A., Saenko, O. A. and Jourdain, N. (2014) Rapid subsurface warming and circulation changes of Antarctic coastal waters by poleward shifting winds Geophysical Research Letters 41 4601–4610 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060613

Simpson, C., Sharples, J. J. and JP, E. (2014) Resolving vorticity-driven lateral fire spread using the WRF-Fire coupled atmosphere-fire numerical model Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 14 2359-2371 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2359-2014

Simpkins, G. R., Mcgregor, S., Taschetto, A. S., England, M. H. and Ciasto, L. M. (2014) Tropical connections to climatic change in the extratropical Southern Hemisphere: The role of atlantic SST trends Journal of Climate 27 14 4923-4936 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI_D_13_00615.1

Sillmann, J., Kharin, V. V., Zwiers, F., Bronaugh, D., Zhang, X. and Donat, M. G. (2014) Evaluating model-simulated variability in temperature extremes using modified percentile indices International Journal of Climatology 34 3304-3311 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3899

Sillmann, J., Donat, M. G., Fyfe, J. C. and Zwiers, F. W. (2014) Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the recent warming hiatus Sillmann J, Donat MG, Fyfe JC, Zwiers FW 9 064023-064023 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064023

Sijp, W. P., von der Heydt, A. S., Dijkstra, H. A., Flögel, S., Douglas, P. M. J. and Bijl, P. K. (2014) The role of ocean gateways on cooling climate on long time scales Global and Planetary Change 119 1-22 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2014.04.004

Sijp, W., Zika, J., d'Orgeville, M. and England, M. H. (2014) Revisiting meridional overturing bistability using a minimal set of state variables: stochastic theory Climate Dynamics 43 1661-1676 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1992-5

Sherwood, S. C. and Fu, Q. (2014) A Drier Future Science 343 737 - 739 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1247620

Sherwood, S. C., Bony, S. and Dufresne, J. (2014) Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing Nature 505 37-42 http://dx.doi.org/1038/nature12829

Sheen, K. L., Naveira Garabato, A. C., Brearley, J. A., Meredith, M. P., Polzin, K. L., Smeed, D. A., Forryan, A., King, B. A., Sallee, J. B., St. Laurent, L., Thurnherr, A. M., Toole, J. M., Waterman, S. N. and Watson, A. J. (2014) Eddy-induced variability in Southern Ocean abyssal mixing on climatic timescales Nature Geosci 7 577-582 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2200

Shaw, E. C. and McNeil, B. I. (2014) Seasonal variability in carbonate chemistry and air–sea CO2 fluxes in the southern Great Barrier Reef Marine Chemistry 158 49-58 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marchem.2013.11.007

Seneviratne, S. I., Donat, M. G., Mueller, B. and Alexander, L. (2014) No pause in the increase of hot temperature extremes Nature Climate Change 4 161-163 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2145

Samson, G., Masson, S., Lengaigne, M., Keerthi, M., Vialard, J., Pous, S., Madec, G., Jourdain, N. C., Jullien S and al., e. (2014) The NOW regional coupled model: Application to the tropical Indian Ocean climate and tropical cyclone activity Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 6700–722 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014MS000324

Rosso, I., Hogg, A. M., Strutton, P. G., Kiss, A. E., Matear, R., Klocker, A. and van Sebille, E. (2014) Vertical transport in the ocean due to sub-mesoscale structures: Impacts in the Kerguelen region Ocean Modelling 80 10-23 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.05.001

Rossi, V., Sebille, E. V., Gupta, A. S., Garçon, V. and England, M. H. (2014) Corrigendum to "Multi-decadal projections of surface and interior pathways of the Fukushima cesium-137 radioactive plume" [Deep-Sea Res. I 80 (2013) 37-46] doi:10.1016/j.dsr.2013.05.015 Deep-Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers 93 162-164 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2014.08.007

Rosenfeld, D., Sherwood, S. C., Wood, R. and Donner, L. (2014) Climate Effects of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions Science 343 379-380 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1247490

Roland, T. P., Caseldine, C. J., Charman, D. J., Turney, C. S. M. and Amesbury, M. J. (2014) Was there a ‘4.2 ka event’ in Great Britain and Ireland? Evidence from the peatland record Quaternary Science Reviews 83 11-27 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.10.024

Rocheta, E., Sugiyanto, M., Johnson, F., JP, E. and Sharma, A. (2014) How well do general circulation models represent low-frequency rainfall variability? Water Resources Research 50 2108-2123 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2012WR013085

Rocheta, E., Evans, J. and Sharma, A. (2014) Assessing atmospheric bias correction for dynamical consistency using potential vorticity Environmental Research Letters 9 124010 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/12/124010

Ridder, N. and England, M. H. (2014) Sensitivity of ocean oxygenation to variations in tropical zonal wind stress magnitude Global Biogeochemical Cycles 28 909-926 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GB004708

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Perkins, S., Lewis, S. C., King, A. D. and Alexander, L. (2014) Increased simulated risk of the hot Australian summer of 2012/13 due to anthropogenic activity as measured by heat wave frequency and intensity Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 95 S34-S37

Parinussa, R. M., Wang, G., Holmes, T., Liu, Y. Y., Dolman, A., de Jeu, R., Jiang, T., Zhang, P. and Shi, J. (2014) Global surface soil moisture from the Microwave Radiation Imager onboard the Fengyun-3B satellite International Journal of Remote Sensing 35 7007-7029http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2014.960622

Palmer, J., Turney, C., Hogg, A., Hilliam, N., Watson, M., Van Sebille, E., Cowie, W., Jones, R. and Petchey, F. (2014) The discovery of New Zealand's oldest shipwreck – possible evidence of further Dutch exploration of the South Pacific Journal of Archaeological Science 42 435-441http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jas.2013.11.024

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Menviel, L., England, M. H., Meissner, K. J., Mouchet, A. and Yu, J. (2014) Atlantic-Pacific seesaw and its role in outgassing CO 2 during Heinrich events Paleoceanography 29 58-70 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013PA002542

Meng, X., JP, E. and McCabe, M. F. (2014) The Impact of Observed Vegetation Changes on Land–Atmosphere Feedbacks During Drought Journal of Hydrometeorology 15 759-776 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-0130.1

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Meissner, K. J., Bralower, T. J., Alexander, K., Jones, T. D., Sijp, W. and Ward, M. (2014) The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: How much carbon is enough? Paleoceanography 29 946-963 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002650

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McGregor, S., Spence, P., Schwarzkopf, F. U., England, M. H., Santoso, A., Kessler, W. S., Timmermann, A. and Böning, C. W. (2014) ENSO-driven interhemispheric Pacific mass transports Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 119 6221-6237 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010286

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Maher, P. and Sherwood, S. C. (2014) Disentangling the Multiple Sources of Large-Scale Variability in Australian Wintertime Precipitation Journal of Climate 27 6377-6392 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00659.1

Maher, N., Sen Gupta, A. and England, M. H. (2014) Drivers of decadal hiatus periods in the 20th and 21st centuries Geophysical Research Letters 41 5978-5986 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060527

Macadam, I., Pitman, A., Whetton, P. H., Liu, D. L. and JP, E. (2014) The use of uncorrected regional climate model output to force impact models: a case study for wheat simulations Climate Research 61 215-229 http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01258

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Lorenz, R. and Pitman, A. (2014) Effect of land-atmosphere coupling strength on impacts from Amazonian deforestation Geophysical Research Letters 41 5987-5995 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061017

King, A. D., Klingaman, N. P., Alexander, L. V., Donat, M. G., Jourdain, N. C. and Maher, P. (2014) Extreme Rainfall Variability in Australia: Patterns, Drivers, and Predictability* Journal of Climate 27 6035-6050 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00715.1

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King, A. C., Raiber, M., Cendón, D. I., Cox, M. E. and Hollins, S. E. (2014) Identifying flood recharge and inter-aquifer connectivity using multiple isotopes in subtropical Australia Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 11 3711-3756 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hessd-11-3711-2014

Kim, S. T., Cai, W., Jin, F.-F., Santoso, A., Wu, L., Guilyardi, E. and An, S.-I. (2014) Response of El Niño sea surface temperature variability to greenhouse warming Nature Climate Change 4 786-790 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2326

Kala, J., Evans, J. P., Pitman, A. J., Schaaf, C. B., Decker, M., Carouge, C., Mocko, D. and Sun, Q. (2014) Implementation of a soil albedo scheme in the CABLEv1.4b land surface model and evaluation against MODIS estimates over Australia Geoscientific Model Development 7 2121-2140http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-2121-2014

Kala, J., Evans, J. P., Pitman, A. J., Schaaf, C. B., Decker, M., Carouge, C., Mocko, D. and Sun, Q. (2014) Erratum: "Implementation of a soil albedo scheme in the CABLEv1.4b land surface model and evaluation against MODIS estimates over Australia" (Geosci. Model Dev. (2014) 7 (2121-2140)) Geoscientific Model Development 7 2501-2501 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-2501-2014

Kala, J., Decker, M., Exbrayat, J. F., Pitman, A., Carouge, C., Evans, J. P. and Abramowitz, G. (2014) Influence of Leaf Area Index Prescriptions on Simulations of Heat, Moisture, and Carbon Fluxes Journal of Hydrometeorology 15 489–503 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-063.1

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Hein, A. S., Sugden, D. E., Fogwill, C. J. and Xu, S. (2014) Geological scatter of cosmogenic-nuclide exposure ages in the Shackleton Range, Antarctica: Implications for glacial history Quaternary Geochronology 1 52–66 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quageo.2013.03.008

Hein, A. S., Fogwill, C. J., D.E., S. and Xu, S. (2014) Interpreting the scatter of cosmogenic-nuclide exposure ages in the Shackleton Range, Antarctica: implications for glacial history Quaternary Geochronology 19 52-66 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quageo.2013.03.008

Heikkila, U., Shi, X., Phipps, S. J. and Smith, A. M. (2014) 10Be in late deglacial climate simulated by ECHAM5-HAM – Part 2: Isolating the solar signal from 10Be deposition Climate of the Past 10 687-696 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-687-2014

Haughton, N., Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A. and Phipps, S. J. (2014) On the generation of climate model ensembles Climate Dynamics 43 2297-2308 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2054-3

Grose, M. R., Brown, J. N., Narsey, S., Brown, J. R., Murphy, B., Langlais, C., Sen Gupta, A., Moise, A. and Irving, D. B. (2014) Assessment of the CMIP5 global climate model simulations of the western tropical Pacific climate system and comparison to CMIP3 International Journal of Climatology 34 3382-3399 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3916

Grose, M. R., Bhend, J., Narsey, S., Gupta, A. S. and Brown, J. R. (2014) Can We Constrain CMIP5 Rainfall Projections in the Tropical Pacific Based on Surface Warming Patterns? Journal of Climate 27 9123-9138 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00190.1

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Green, D. L. and Minchin, L. (2014) Living on Climate-Changed Country: Indigenous Health, Well-Being and Climate Change in Remote Australian Communities EcoHealth 11 263-272 http://dx.doi.org.10.1007/s10393-013-0892-9

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Golledge, N. R., Menviel, L., Carter, L., Fogwill, C., England, M. H., Cortese, G. and Levy, R. H. (2014) Antarctic contribution to meltwater pulse 1A from reduced Southern Ocean overturning Nature Communications 5 5107-5107 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms6107

Gilmore, J. (2014) How reliable are latitudinal energy balance models for habitability calculations when using Earth's radiative properties? Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 440 1435-1445 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stu302

Froyland, G., Stuart, R. and Van Sebille, E. (2014) How well-connected is the surface of the global ocean? Chaos 24 033126 http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.4892530

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Exbrayat, J. F., Pitman, A. J. and Abramowitz, G. (2014) Disentangling residence time and temperature sensitivity of microbial decomposition in a global soil carbon model Biogeosciences 11 6999-7008 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-6999-2014

Exbrayat, J. F., Pitman, A. and Abramowitz, G. (2014) Response of microbial decomposition to spin-up explains CMIP5 soil carbon range until 2100 Geoscientific Model Development 7 2683-2692 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-2683-2014

Evans, J. P., Ji, F., Lee, C., Smith, P. L., Argueso Barriga, D. and Fita Borrell, L. (2014) Design of a regional climate modelling projection ensemble experiment – NARCliM Geoscientific Model Development 7 621-629 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-621-2014

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M. F., JP, E., Chaney, N. W. and Wood, E. F. (2014) Multi-site evaluation of terrestrial evaporation models using FLUXNET data Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 187 46-61 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2013.11.008

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Dunn, R. J. H., Donat, M. G. and Alexander, L. V. (2014) Investigating uncertainties in global gridded datasets of climate extremes Climate of the Past 10 2171-2199 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-2171-2014

Douglas, P. M. J., Affek, H. P., Ivany, L. C., Houben, A. J. P., Sijp, W. P., Sluijs, A., Schouten, S. and Pagani, M. (2014) Pronounced zonal heterogeneity in Eocene southern high-latitude sea surface temperatures Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 6582-6587http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1321441111

Donat, M. G., Sillmann, J., Wild, S., Alexander, L., Lippmann, T. and Zwiers, F. W. (2014) Consistency of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes across Various Global Gridded In Situ and Reanalysis Datasets Journal of Climate 27 5019–5035 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00405.1

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Di Luca, A., Flaounas, E., Drobinski, P. and Brossier, C. L. (2014) The atmospheric component of the Mediterranean Sea water budget in a WRF multi-physics ensemble and observations Climate Dynamics 43 2349-2375 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2058-z

Dehghan, A., Prasad, A. A., Sherwood, S. C. and Kay, M. (2014) Evaluation and improvement of TAPM in estimating solar irradiance in Eastern Australia Solar Energy 107 668-680 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.06.018

Decker, M., Pitman, A. and JP, E. (2014) Applying Scaled Vegetation Greenness Metrics to Constrain Simulated Transpiration Anomalies: A Study over Australia Journal of Hydrometeorology 15 1607-1623 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-070.1

Chueng, C. S. C. and Hart, M. (2014) Climate change and thermal comfort in Hong Kong International Journal of Biometeorology 58 137-148 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00484-012-0608-9

Chen, T., De Jeu, R. A. M., Liu, Y. Y., van der Werf GR and AJ, D. (2014) Using satellite based soil moisture to quantify the water driven variability in NDVI: A case study over mainland Australia Remote Sensing of Environment 140:330-338 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2013.08.022

Chakraborty, J. and Green, D. L. (2014) The relationship between industrial air pollution and social disadvantage in Australia: national and regional inequities Air Quality and Climate Change Journal 48 

Chakraborty, J. and Green, D. L. (2014) Australia’s first national level quantitative environmental justice assessment of industrial air pollution Environmental Research Letters 9 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/044010

Cetina-Heredia, P., Roughan, M., Van Sebille, E. and Coleman, M. A. (2014) Long-term trends in the East Australian Current separation latitude and eddy driven transport Journal of Geophysical Research 119 4351-4366 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010071

Caley, T., Peeters, F. J. C., Biastoch, A., Rossignol, L., van Sebille, E., Durgadoo, J., Malaizé, B., Giraudeau, J., Arthur, K. and Zahn, R. (2014) Quantitative estimate of the paleo-Agulhas leakage Geophysical Research Letters 41 1238–1246 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059278

Cai, W., Santoso, A., Wang, G., Weller, E., Wu, L., Ashok, K., Masumoto, Y. and Yamagata, T. (2014) Increased frequency of extreme Indian Ocean Dipole events due to greenhouse warming Nature 510 254-258 http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/nature13327

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Brookman, T., Steward, G., Palmer, J., Fenwick, P., Banks, A. and Horton, T. W. (2014) Raised in the wild south: a dendrochronological and dendrochemical profile of a far-southern stand of kauri (Agathis australis) on the Taieri Plain, Otago New Zealand Journal of Forestry Science 44 14-14http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40490-014-0014-7

Bralower, T. J., Meissner, K. J., Alexander, K. and Thomas, D. J. (2014) The dynamics of global change at the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum: A data-model comparison Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems 15 3830-3848 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GC005474

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Borlace, S., Santoso, A., Cai, W. and Collins, M. (2014) Extreme swings of the South Pacific Convergence Zone and the different types of El Niño events Geophysical Research Letters 41 4695–4703 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060551

Bentley, M., Ó Cofaigh, C., Anderson, J., Conway, H., Davies, B., Graham, A., Hillenbrand, C.-D., Hodgson, D., Jamieson, S., Larter, R., Mackintosh, A., Smith, J., Verleyen, E., Ackert, R., Bart, P., Berg, S., Brunstein, D., Canals, M., Colhoun, E., Crosta, X., Dickens, W., Domack, E., Dowdeswell, J., Dunbar, R., Ehrmann, W., Evans, J. P., Favier, V., Fink, D., Fogwill, C. J., Glasser, N., Gohl, K., Golledge, N., Goodwin, I., Gore, D., Greenwood, S., Hall, B., Hall, K., Hedding, D., Hein, A., Hocking, E., Jakobsson, M., Johnson, J., Jomelli, V., Jones, R., Klages, J., Kristoffersen, Y., Kuhn, G., Leventer, A., Licht, K., Lilly, K., Lindow, J., Livingstone, S., Massé, G., McGlone, M., McKay, R., Melles, M., Miura, H., Mulvaney, R., Nel, W., Nitsche, F., O'Brien, P., Post, A., Roberts, S., Saunders, K., Selkirk, P., Simms, A., Spiegel, C., Stolldorf, T., ugden, D., van der Putten, N., van Ommen, T., Verfaillie, D., Vyverman, W., Wagner, B., White, D., Witus, A. and Zwartz, D. (2014) A community-based geological reconstruction of Antarctic Ice Sheet deglaciation since the Last Glacial Maximum Quaternary Science Reviews 100 1-9http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.06.025

Bakker, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., Martrat, B., Charbit, S., Renssen, H., Gröger, M., Krebs-Kanzow, U., Lohman, G., Lunt, D. J., Pfeiffer, M., S. J. Phipps, M. Prange, Ritz, S. P., Schulz, M., Stenni, B., Stone, E. J. and Varma, V. (2014) Temperature trends during the Present and Last interglacial periods - A multi-model-data comparison Quaternary Science Reviews 99 224-243 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.06.031

Ashok, K., Nagaraju, c. and Sen Gupta, A. (2014) Decadal changes in the relationship between the Indian and Australian summer monsoons Climate Dynamics 42 1043-1052 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1625-4

Argueso Barriga, D., Evans, J. P., Fita Borrell, L. and Bormann, K. (2014) Temperature response to future urbanization and climate change Climate Dynamics 42 2183-2199 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1789-6

Andersen, A., Beringer, J., Bull, C. M., Byrne, M., Cleugh, H., Christensen, R., French, K., Harch, B., Hoffmann, A., Lowe, A. J., Moltmann, T., Nicotra, A., Pitman, A., Phinn, S. and Westoby, M. (2014) Foundations for the future: A long-term plan for Australian ecosystem science Austral Ecology 39 739-748 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aec.12188

Ajami, H., McCabe, M. F., JP, E. and Stisen, S. (2014) Assessing the impact of model spin-up on surface water-groundwater interactions using an integrated hydrologic model Water Resources Research 50 2636–2656 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014258

Ajami, H., JP, E., McCabe, M. F. and Stisen, S. (2014) Technical Note: Reducing the spin-up time of integrated surface water-groundwater models Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18 5169-5179 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-5169-2014

Aiken, C., Santoso, A., McGregor, S. and England, M. (2014) Optimal forcing of ENSO either side of the 1970’s climate shift and its implications for predictability Climate Dynamics 1-19 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2300-8

Abramowitz, G., Exbrayat, J. F. and Pitman, A. (2014) Disentangling residence time and temperature sensitivity of microbial decomposition in a global soil carbon model Biogeosciences 11 6999-7008 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-6999-2014

Abram, N. J., Mulvaney, R., Vimeux, F., Phipps, S. J., Turner, J. and England, M. H. (2014) Evolution of the Southern Annular Mode during the past millennium Nature Climate Change 4 564-569 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2235

Yang, Y., Yang, Y., Han, S., Macadam, I and Liu D.L. (2014), Prediction of cotton yield and water demand under climate change and future adaptation measures, Agricultural Water Management, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2014.06.001

Abram, N., Mulvaney, R., Vimeux, F., Phipps, S. J., Turner, J. and England, M. H. (2014) Strengthening of the Southern Annular Mode over the past six centuries Nature Climate Change 4 564-569 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2235

2013 Publications

Ackerley, D., et al. (2013) High-resolution modelling of mid-Holocene New Zealand climate at 6000 yr BP The Holocene 23 1272 - 1285  http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0959683613484612  

Ahmed, M., et al. (2013) Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia Nature Geoscience 6 339 -346  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/NGEO1797  

Aiken, C., Santoso, A., McGregor, S. and England, M. H. (2013) The 1970's shift in ENSO dynamics: A linear inverse model perspective Geophysical Research Letters 40 8 1612 - 1617 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50264  

Alexander, L. and Perkins, S. (2013) Debate heating up over changes in climate variability Environmental Research Letters 8 041001-041001  http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/041001  

Andela, N., et al. (2013) Global changes in dryland vegetation dynamics (1988-2008) assessed by satellite remote sensing: comparing a new passive microwave vegetation density record with reflective greenness data Biogeosciences 10 6657-6676  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-6657-2013  

Anwar, M. R., Liu, D. L., Macadam, I. and Kelly, G. (2013) Adapting agriculture to climate change: a review Theoretical and Applied Climatology 133 225-245 225-245 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0780-1  

Argueso Barriga, D., Evans, J. P. and Fita Borrell, L. (2013) Precipitation bias correction of very high resolution regional climate models Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 17 4379-4388  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-4379-2013   

Arzel, O. and England, M. H. (2013) Wind-stress feedback amplification of abrupt millennial-scale climate changes Climate Dynamics 40 983 - 995  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1288-1  

Baker, A., Bradley, C. and Phipps, S. J. (2013) Hydrological modeling of stalagmite δ18O response to glacial-interglacial transitions Geophysical Research Letters 40 3207 - 3212  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50555  

Bell, J., et al. (2013) Mixed responses of tropical Pacific fisheries and aquaculture to climate change Nature Climate Change 3 591 - 599  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1838  

Boex, J., et al. (2013) Rapid thinning of the late Pleistocene Patagonian Ice Sheet followed migration of the Southern Westerlies. Nature Scientific Reports 3  2118 http://dx.doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1038%2Fsrep02118  

Bony, S., et al. (2013) Robust direct effect of carbon dioxide on tropical circulation and regional precipitation Nature Geoscience 6 447 - 451  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1799  

Borlace, S., et al. (2013) Multidecadal ENSO Amplitude Variability in a 1000-yr Simulation of a Coupled Global Climate Model: Implications for Observed ENSO Variability J. Clim. 26 9399-9407  http://dx.doi.org/0.1175/jcli-d-13-00281.1   

Boucher, O., et al. (2013) Clouds and Aerosols C. U. Press 571-658, http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg1/

http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/earth-and-environmental-science/climatology-and-climate-change/climate-change-2013-physical-science-basis-working-group-i-contribution-fifth-assessment-report-intergovernmental-panel-climate-change  

Brennan, C. E., et al. (2013) Impact of sea ice variability on the oxygen isotope content of seawater under glacial and interglacial conditions Paleoceanography 28 388-400  http://dx.doi.org.10.1002/palo.20036  

Breuer, L., et al. (2013) Global Climate Change Impacts on Local Climate and Hydrology Book Global Climate Change Impacts on Local Climate and Hydrology 221 265 - 274 Springer http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38137-9  

Brown, J. N., et al. (2013) Exploring qualitative regional climate projections: a case study for Nauru Climate Research 58 165-182  http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01190  

Clarke, H. G., Evans, J. P. and Pitman, A. (2013) Fire weather simulation skill by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model over south-east Australia from 1985 to 2009 International Journal of Wildland Fire 22 739-756  http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/

Cook, C. G., Turney, C. and Jones, R. T. (2013) Catchment instability and Asian summer monsoon variability during the early Holocene in southwestern China Boreas 42 224 - 235, 

Cook, E. R., et al. (2013) Five centuries of Upper Indus River flow from tree rings Journal of Hydrology 486  365–375 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.02.004  

Cowan, T., et al. (2013) Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean" Scientific Reports 3   http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep02245  

Cuoto, A., Holbrook, N. J. and Maharaj, A. (2013) Unravelling Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific ENSO Contributions in South Pacific Chlorophyll-a Variability through Remote Sensing Remote Sensing of Environment 2013 4067 - 4087  http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.3390/rs5084067  

Decker, M., Evans, J. P. and Pitman, A. (2013) Groundwater constraints on simulated transpiration variability over Southeastern Australian forests Journal of Hydrometeorology 14 543 - 559  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-12-058.1  

Donat, M. G. (2013) Projection and prediction: Local noise and global confidence. Nature Climate Change 3 1018 - 1019  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2061   

Donat, M. G., et al. (2013)  Global land-based datasets for monitoring climatic extremes Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94 997 - 1006.  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00109.1  

Donat, M. G., et al. (2013) Updated analyses of temperature and precipitation extreme indices since the beginning of the twentieth century: The HadEX2 dataset Journal of Geophysical Research 118 2098 - 2118  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50150  

England, M. H., Karoly, D. J. and Steffen, W. (2013) Off the charts: Extreme Australian summer heat C. Commission  http://climatecommission.gov.au/report/off-charts-extreme-january-heat-2013/  

Ershadi, A., et al. (2013) A Bayesian analysis of sensible heat flux estimation: quantifying uncertainty in meteorological forcing to improve model prediction Water Resources Research 49 2343 - 2358 2343-2358 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20231  

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M. F., Evans, J. P. and Walker, J. P. (2013) Effects of spatial aggregation on the multi-scale estimation of evapotranspiration Remote Sensing of Environment 131 51 - 62  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.12.007  

Evans, J. P., Abramowitz, G., Ji, F. and Ekström, M. (2013) Optimally choosing small ensemble members to produce robust climate simulations Environmental Research Letters 8   http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/044050

 

Evans, J. P. and McCabe, M. F. (2013) Effect of model resolution on a regional climate model simulation over southeast Australia Climate Research 56 2  http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01151  

Exbrayat, J. F., Pitman, A., Abramowitz, G. and Wang, Y. P. (2013) Sensitivity of net ecosystem exchange and heterotrophic respiration to parameterization uncertainty Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 118 1640 - 1651  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018122  

Exbrayat, J. F., et al. (2013) Examining soil carbon uncertainty in a global model: response of microbial decomposition to temperature, moisture and nutrient limitation Biogeosciences 10 7095 - 7108  http://dx.doi:10.5194/bg-10-7095-2013  

Exbrayat, J. F., Viney, N. R., Frede, H. and Breuer, L. (2013) Using multi-model averaging to improve the reliability of catchment scale nitrogen predictions Geoscientific Model Development 6 117 - 125  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-6-117-2013  

Farrel, H., Brett, S., Ajani, P. and Murray, S. A. (2013) Distribution of the genus Alexandrium (Halim) and paralytic shellfish toxins along the coastline of New South Wales, Australia Marine Pollution Bulletin 72 133 -145  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2013.04.009    

Fernández-Donado, L., et al. (2013) Large-scale temperature response to external forcing in simulations and reconstructions of the last millennium Climate of the Past 9 393 - 421  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-393-2013  

Frankcombe, L., et al. (2013) Sea level changes forced by Southern Ocean winds Geophysical Research Letters 40 5710-5715  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058104  

Gallant, A. J. E., et al. (2013) Non-stationary Australasian Teleconnections and Implications for Paleoclimate Reconstructions Journal of Climate 26  8827-8849 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00338.1  

Ganachaud, A., et al. (2013) Projected changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean of importance to tuna fisheries Climatic Change 119 163 - 179  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0631-1  

Gilmore, J., Kelleher, A., Cooper, D. and Murray, J. (2013) Explaining the determinants of first phase HIV decay dynamics through the effects of stage-dependent drug action PLoS Computational Biology 9   http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002971  

Golledge NR, M. R., Maas SM, Levy RH, Fogwill CJ, White DA, Graham AGC, Smith JA, Hillenbrand C-D, et al. (2013) Glaciology and geological signature of the Last Glacial Maximum Antarctic ice sheet Quaternary Science Reviews 78 225–247  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.11.019  

Goodwin, I., et al. (2013) A Reconstruction Of Extratropical Indo-Pacific Sea-Level Pressure Patterns During The Medieval Climate Anomaly Climate Dynamics Online  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1899-1  

Hall, M., et al. (2013) Which are the most important parameters for modelling carbon assimilation in boreal Norway spruce under elevated [CO2] and temperature conditions?" Tree Physiology 33 1156-1176 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/treephys/tpt014  

Hamylton, S. M., Silverman, J. and Shaw, E. C. (2013) The use of remote sensing to scale up measures of carbonate production on reef systems: a comparison of hydrochemical and census-based estimation methods International Journal of Remote Sensing http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2013.800654

Hartmann, D. L., et al. (2013) Observations: Atmosphere and Surface C. U. Press 571-658, http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg1/

http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/earth-and-environmental-science/climatology-and-climate-change/climate-change-2013-physical-science-basis-working-group-i-contribution-fifth-assessment-report-intergovernmental-panel-climate-change  

Heikkila, U., Phipps, S. J. and Smith, A. M. (2013) 10Be in last deglacial climate simulated by ECHAM5-HAM Part 1: Climatological influences on 10Be deposition Climate of the Past Discussions 9 3681 - 3709  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cpd-9-3681-2013  

Held, H., et al. (2013) Projections of global warming-induced impacts on winter storm losses in the German private household sector Climatic Change 121 195 -207  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0872-7  

Hogg, A., et al. (2013) Back to the previous page Is there any Evidence for Regional Atmospheric 14C Offsets in the Southern Hemisphere? Radiocarbon 55  2029-2034 http://dx.doi.org/10.2458/azu_js_rc.v55i2.16104  

Hogg, A. G., et al. (2013) SHCal13 Southern Hemisphere Calibration, 0–50,000 Years cal BP Radiocarbon 55   http://dx.doi.org/10.2458/azu_js_rc.55.16783  

Hutchinson, D., England, M. H., Santoso, A. and Hogg, A. (2013) Interhemispheric asymmetry in transient global warming: The role of the Drake Passage Geophysical Research Letters 40 1587 - 1593  http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com./doi/10.1002/grl.50341/abstract;jsessionid=1A130D2B52FAFED27387548D794B133F.d04t02  

Jex, C. N., Phipps, S. J., Baker, A. and Bradley, C. (2013) Reducing uncertainty in the climatic interpretations of speleothem d18O Geophysical Research Letters 40 2259 - 2264  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50467  

Jha, S. K., et al. (2013) Demonstration of a geostatistical approach to physically consistent downscaling of climate modeling simulations Water Resour. Res. 49 245-259  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012wr012602   

Jourdain, N., et al. (2013) Observation-Based Estimates of Surface Cooling Inhibition by Heavy Rainfall under Tropical Cyclones Journal of Physical Oceanography 43 205-221  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-12-085.1  

Jourdain, N., et al. (2013) The Indo-Australian monsoon and its relationship to ENSO and IOD in reanalysis data and the CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations Climate Dynamics 41   http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1676-1  

Kathryn J. Bormann, Seth Westra, Jason P. Evans and McCabe, M. F. (2013) Spatial and temporal variability in seasonal snow density Journal of Hydrology 484  63-73 HTTP://DX.DOI.ORG/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.01.032  

Kidston, J., Cairns, C. W. and Paga, P. (2013) Variability in the width of the tropics and the annular modes" Geophysical Research Letters 40 2328-2332  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054165  

King, A. D., Alexander, L. and Donat, M. G. (2013) The efficacy of using gridded data to examine extreme rainfall characteristics: a case study for Australia International Journal of Climatology 33 2376 - 2387  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3588  

King, A. D., Donat, M. G. and Alexander, L. (2013) Asymmetry in the response of Eastern Australia extreme rainfall to low-frequency Pacific variability Geophysical Research Letters 40 2271 - 227  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50427  

King, A. D., et al. (2013) Limited Evidence of Anthropogenic Influence on the 2011-12 Extreme Rainfall over Southeast Australia. [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective”] Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94 S55 - S58  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1  

Landschützer, P., et al. (2013) A neural network-based estimate of the seasonal to inter-annual variability of the Atlantic Ocean carbon sink Biogeosciences 10  7793 - 7815 http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5194/bg-10-7793-2013  

Lenton, A., et al. (2013) Sea-air CO2 fluxes in the Southern Ocean for the period 1990-2009 Biogeosciences 10 4037-4054  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-4037-2013  

Liu, Y. Y., et al. (2013) Changing Climate and Overgrazing Are Decimating Mongolian Steppes PLoS ONE 8   http://dx.doi.10.1371/journal.pone.0057599.g001  

Liu, Y. Y., et al. (2013) Global vegetation biomass change (1988-2008) and attribution to environmental and human drivers Global Ecology and Biogeography 22 692 - 705  http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/geb.12024  

Lorrey, A., et al. (2013) The Little Ice Age climate of New Zealand reconstructed from Southern Alps cirque glaciers: a synoptic type approach Climate Dynamics http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1876-8  

Lunt, D. J., et al. (2013) A multi-model assessment of the last interglacial temperatures Climate of the Past 9 699 - 717  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-699-2013  

Matsumoto, K. and McNeil, B. I. (2013) Decoupled response of ocean acidification to variations in climate sensitivity Journal of Climate 26 1764 - 1771  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00290.1  

McGregor, S., et al. (2013) Meridional movement of wind anomalies during ENSO events and their role in event termination Geophysical Research Letters 40 1 - 6  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50136   

McGregor, S., et al. (2013) Inferred changes in El Nino-Southern Oscillation variance over the past six centuries Climate of the Past 9 2929 - 2966  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cpd-9-2929-2013  

McInnes, K., Macadam, I., Hubbert, G. and O'Grady, J. (2013) An assessment of current and future vulnerability to coastal inundation due to sea level extremes in Victoria, southeast Australia International Journal of Climatology 33 33 - 47  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3405  

Meinen, C., et al. (2013) Variability of the Deep Western Boundary Current at 26.5¿N during 2004-2009 Deep - Sea Research Part II - Topical Studies in Oceanography 85 154 - 168  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2012.07.036  

Paris, C., Helgers, J., Van Sebille, E. and Srinivasan, A. (2013) Connectivity Modeling System: A probabilistic modeling tool for the multi-scale tracking of biotic and abiotic variability in the ocean Environmental Modelling and Software 42 47 - 54 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.12.006  

Perkins, S. and Alexander, L. (2013) On the Measurement of Heat Waves Journal of Climate 26 4500-4517 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00383.1    

Perkins, S. and Fischer, M. J. (2013) The usefulness of different realizations for the model evaluation of regional trends in heat waves Geophysical Research Letters 40 5793–5797  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GL057833  

Phipps, S. J., et al. (2013) Paleoclimate data-model comparison and the role of climate forcings over the past 1500 years Journal of Climate 26 6915 - 6936  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00108.1.

PJ, R., et al. (2013) IntCal13 and Marine13 Radiocarbon Age Calibration Curves 0–50,000 Years cal BP Radiocarbon 55  1869-1887, https://journals.uair.arizona.edu/index.php/radiocarbon/article/view/16947  

Pook, M., et al. (2013) The seasonal cycle of blocking and associated physical mechanisms in the Australian region and relationship with rainfall Monthly Weather Review http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00040.1  

Ramesh, N. and Murtugudde, R. G. (2013) All flavours of El Nino have similar early subsurface origins Nature Climate Change 3 42 - 46  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1600  

Reeves, J., et al. (2013) Climate variability over the last 35,000 years recorded in marine and terrestrial archives in the Australian region: an OZ-INTIMATE compilation Quaternary Science Reviews 74 21 - 34  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.01.001  

Reimer, P., et al. (2013) IntCal13 and Marine13 radiocarbon age calibration curves 0-50,000 years cal BP RADIOCARBON 55 1869-1887  http://dx.doi.org/10.2458/azu_js_rc.55.16947  

Reimer, P. J., et al. (2013) Selection and Treatment of Data for Radiocarbon Calibration: An Update to the International Calibration (IntCal) Criteria Radiocarbon 55 1923-1945  http://dx.doi.org/10.2458/azu_js_rc.55.16955  

Ridder, N., Meissner, K. J. and England, M. H. (2013) Sensitivity of the oceanic carbon reservoir to tropical surface wind stress variations Geophysical Research Letters 40 2188-2223  http://dx.doi.org.10.1002/grl.50498

Ritz, S. P., et al. (2013) Estimated strength of the Atlantic overturning circulation during the last deglaciation Nature Geoscience 6 208 -212  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1723  

Robinson, F. J., Patterson, M. and Sherwood, S. C. (2013) A numerical modeling study of the propagation of idealized sea-breeze density currents Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70 653 - 668  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0113.1  

Rosenfield, D., Wood, R., Donner, L. J. and Sherwood, S. C. (2013) Aerosol Cloud-Mediated Radiative Forcing: Highly Uncertain and Opposite Effects from Shallow and Deep Clouds Book Aerosol Cloud-Mediated Radiative Forcing: Highly Uncertain and Opposite Effects from Shallow and Deep Clouds  105 -149 Springer http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-6692-1_5  

Rossi, V., et al. (2013) Corrigendum to ‘Multi-decadal projections of surface and interior pathways of the Fukushima Cesium-137 radioactive plume Deep-Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers 82 72 -72  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2013.08.005  

Rossi, V., et al. (2013) Multi-decadal projections of surface and interior pathways of the Fukushima Cesium-137 radioactive plume Deep-Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers 80 37–46  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2013.05.015  

Rotstayn, L. D., et al. (2013) Anthropogenic effects on the subtropical jet in the Southern Hemisphere: Aerosols versus long-lived greenhouse gases Environmental Research Letters 8  014030-014030 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014030  

Santoso A, M. S., Jin F-F, Cai W, An S-I, England MH, McPhaden MJ, Guilyardi E (2013) Late-twentieth-century emergence of the El Nií±o propagation asymmetry and future projections Nature 504 126-130  http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/nature12683  

Sasse, T., McNeil, B. I. and Abramowitz, G. (2013) A new constraint on global air-sea CO2 fluxes using bottle carbon data Geophysical Research Letters 40  1594 - 1599 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50342  

Sasse, T., McNeil, B. I. and Abramowitz, G. (2013) A novel method for diagnosing seasonal to inter-annual surface ocean carbon dynamics from bottle data using neural networks Biogeosciences 10  4319-4340 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-4319-2013  

Scussolini, P. and Van Sebille, E. (2013) Paleo Agulhas rings enter the subtropical gyre during the penultimate deglaciation Climate of the Past Discussions 9 2095 - 2114  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cpd-9-2095-2013  

Sen Gupta, A., et al. (2013) Implications of CMIP3 model biases and uncertainties for climate projections in the western tropical Pacific Climatic Change 119 147 - 161  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0603-5  

Sen Gupta, A., Jourdain, N., Brown, J. N. and Monselesan, D. (2013) Climate Drift in the CMIP5 Models* Journal of Climate 26 8597-8615  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00312.1  

Shaw, E. C., et al. (2013) Anthropogenic changes to seawater buffer capacity combined with natural reef metabolism induce extreme future coral reef CO2 conditions Global Change Biology 19 1632 - 1641  http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12154  

Sherwood, S. C. (2013) Where do winds come from? Nature Education Knowledge 4 5 - 5, http://www.nature.com/scitable/knowledge/library/where-do-winds-come-from-100578316  

Sherwood, S. C., et al. (2013) Climate Processes: Clouds, Aerosols and Dynamics Book Climate Processes: Clouds, Aerosols and Dynamics  73 - 103 Springer http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-6692-1_4  

Sherwood, S. C., Hernandez-Deckers, D., Colin, M. and Robinson, F. (2013) Slippery thermals and the cumulus entrainment paradox Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70 2426 - 2442  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0220.1  

Sherwood, S. C. and Risi, C. (2013) The HDO/H2O relationship in tropospheric water vapor in an idealized "last-saturation" model Journal of Geophysical Research : Atmospheres 117   http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018068  

Shurer, A., et al. (2013) Separating forced from chaotic climate variability over the past millennium Journal of Climate 26  6954 - 6973 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00826.1  

Sijp, W., Zika, J., d'Orgeville, M. and England, M. H. (2013) Revisiting meridional overturing bistability using a minimal set of state variables: stochastic theory Climate Dynamics  1-16  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1992-5  

Simpkins, G. R., Ciasto, L. M. and England, M. H. (2013) Observed variations in multi-decadal Antarctic sea ice trends during 1979-2012 Geophysical Research Letters 40 3643 - 3648  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50715  

Simpson, C., Sharples, J. J., Evans, J. P. and McCabe, M. F. (2013) Large eddy simulation of atypical wildland fire spread on leeward slopes International Journal of Wildland Fire 22 599 - 614, http://www.publish.csiro.au/?paper=WF12072  

Siu, L. W. and Hart, M. (2013) Quantifying urban heat island intensity in Hong Kong SAR, China Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 185 4383-4398  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10661-012-2876-6  

Skansi, M. D. L. M., et al. (2013) Warming and wetting signals emerging from analysis of changes in climate extreme indices over South America Global and Planetary Change 100 295-307  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.11.004  

Speer, M. S. (2013) Dust storm frequency and impact over eastern Australia determined by state of Pacific climate system. Weather & Climate Extremes 2 16-21  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2013.10.004  

Spence, P., Saenko, O. A., Sijp, W. and England, M. H. (2013) High resolution simulations of the North Atlantic climate response to Lake Agassiz drainage Journal of Climate 26 2651 - 2667  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00683.1  

Spence, P., Saenko, O. A., Sijp, W. and England, M. H. (2013) North Atlantic climate response to lake Agassiz drainage at coarse and ocean eddy-permitting resolutions Journal of Climate 26 2651 - 2667  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00683.1  

Stevenson, S., McGregor, H. V., Phipps, S. J. and Fox-Kemper, B. (2013) Quantifying errors in coral-based ENSO estimates: Toward improved forward modeling of δ18O Paleoceanography 28 633-649  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/palo.20059  

Stevenson, S., et al. (2013) Quantifying errors in coral-based ENSO estimates: Toward improved forward modeling of delta O-18 Paleoceanography 28 633-649  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/palo.20059  

Stuecker, M. F., et al. (2013) A combination mode of the annual cycle and the El Niño/Southern Oscillation Nature Geoscience 6 540 - 544 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1826  

Taschetto, A. S., et al. (2013) Corrigendum: The contribution of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies on Australian summer rainfall during El Ni~no J. Climate 26  9727-9728 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00513.1  

Tennant, R. K., et al. (2013) A new flow cytometry method enabling rapid purification of fossil pollen from terrestrial sediments for AMS radiocarbon dating Journal of Quaternary Science 28 229 - 236  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2606  

Turney, C., et al. (2013) Late Pleistocene and early Holocene change in the Weddell Sea: A new climate record from the Patriot Hills, Ellsworth Mountains, West Antarctica Journal of Quaternary Science 28 697-704  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2668   

Ulbrich, U., Leckebusch, G. and Donat, M. (2013) Windstorms, the Most Costly Natural Hazard in Europe Book Windstorms, the Most Costly Natural Hazard in Europe   Cambridge University Press http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511845710.015  

Ummenhofer, C. C., et al. (2013) Links between Indo-Pacific climate variability and drought in the Monsoon Asia Drought Atlas Climate Dynamics 40 1319 - 1334  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1458-1  

Ummenhofer, C. C., McIntosh, P., Pook, M. and Risbey, J. (2013) Impact of Surface Forcing on Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocking in the Australia–New Zealand Sector Journal of Climate 26 8476–8494  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00860.1  

Ummenhofer, C. C., et al. (2013) Pacific Ocean contribution to the asymmetry in eastern Indian Ocean variability Journal of Climate 26 1152 - 1171  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00673.1  

Van Sebille, E., et al. (2013) Abyssal connections of Antarctic Bottom Water in a Southern Ocean State Estimate Geophysical Research Letters 40 2177 - 2182  http://dx.doi/10.1002/grl.50483/  

Vargas, R., et al. (2013) Drought Influences the Accuracy of Simulated Ecosystem Fluxes: A Model-Data Meta-analysis for Mediterranean Oak Woodlands Ecosystems 16  749-764 HTTP://DX.DOI.ORG/10.1007/s10021-013-9648-1  

Westra, S., Alexander, L. and Zwiers, F. W. (2013) Global Increasing Trends in Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation Journal of Climate 26 3904-3918  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00502.1  

Westra, S., Evans, J. P., Mehrotra, R. and Sharma, A. (2013) A conditional disaggregation algorithm for generating fine time-scale rainfall data in a warmer climate Journal of Hydrology 479  86 - 99 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.033  

Widlansky, M. J., et al. (2013) Changes in South Pacific rainfall bands in a warming climate Nature Climate Change 3 417 - 423  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1726  

Wilkins, D., et al. (2013) Advection shapes Southern Ocean microbial assemblages independent of distance and environment effects, Nature Communications 4   http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms3457  

Wohlfart, T., et al. (2013) Spatial distribution of soils determines export of nitrogen and dissolved organic carbon from an intensively managed agricultural landscape Biogeosciences 9 4513 - 4525  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-4513-2012    

Wong, P., Lai, P. C. and Hart, M. (2013) Microclimate Variations between Semi-enclosed and Open Sections of a Marathon Route Advances in Meteorology 2013  1-10 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/287934   

Zhang, Q., et al. (2013) The impact of nitrogen and phosphorous limitation on the estimated terrestrial carbon balance and warming of land use change over the last 156 yr EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS 4 333-345  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-333-2013  

Zika, J., Sijp, W. and England, M. H. (2013) Vertical Heat Transport by the Ocean Circulation and the Role of Mechanical and Haline Forcing Journal of Physical Oceanography 43 2095 - 2112  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-12-0179.1  

Bishop, C. H. and Abramowitz, G. (2013 ) Climate model dependence and the replicate Earth paradigmClimate Dynamics Climate Dynamics 41 885 - 900 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1610-y  

Mcgregor, H. V., et al. (2013 ) A weak El Nino-Southern Oscillation with delayed seasonal growth around 4,300 years ago Nature Geoscience 6  949 - 953 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo193  

 

2012 Publications

Abramowitz, G. (2012) Towards a public, standardized, diagnostic benchmarking system for land surface models Geoscientific Model Development 5 819-827  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-5-819-2012  

Abramowitz, G., Pouyanne, L. and Ajami, H. (2012) On the information content of surface meteorology for downward atmospheric long-wave radiation synthesis Geophysical Research Letters 39 L04808  http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1029/2011GL050726  

Alexander, L. V. and Tebaldi, C. (2012) Weather and climate extremes: Observations, modelling and projections Book Weather and climate extremes: Observations, modelling and projections  253-288 Elsevier Science http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-386917-3.00010-5   

Allen, R. J., Sherwood, S. C., Norris, J. and Zender, C. (2012) The equilibrium response to idealized thermal forcings in a comprehensive GCM: Implications for recent tropical expansion Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 11 4795-4816 31643-31688 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acpd-11-31643-2011  

Arblaster, J. M., Alexander, L. V., Arblaster, J. M. and Alexander, L. V. (2012) The impact of the El Nio-Southern Oscillation on maximum temperature extremes Geophysical Research Letters 39   http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053409  

Argueso, D., et al. (2012) Evaluation of WRF Mean and Extreme Precipitation over Spain: Present Climate (1970-99) J. Clim. 25 4883-4897  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-11-00276.1  

Arzel, O., England, M. H., Verdiere, A. C. d. and Huck, T. (2012) Abrupt millennial variability and interdecadal-interstadial oscillations in a global coupled model: sensitivity to the background climate state Climate Dynamics 39 259-275  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1117-y 

Avila, F. B., et al. (2012) Climate model simulated changes in temperature extremes due to land cover change Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 117 D04108  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016382  

Baker, A., et al. (2012) Millennial-length forward models and pseudoproxies of stalagmite ƒÔ18O: an example from NW Scotland Climate of the Past Discussions 8 869-907  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cpd-8-869-2012  

Bates, M. L., Griffies, S. and England, M. H. (2012) A dynamic, embedded Lagrangian model for ocean climate models. Part I: Theory and implementation Ocean Modelling 59  41-59 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.05.004  

Blockley, S., et al. (2012) Synchronisation of palaeoenvironmental records over the last 60,000 years, and an extended INTIMATE1 event stratigraphy to 48,000 b2k Quaternary Science Reviews 36 2-10  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.09.017  

Blockley, S. P. E., Lane, C., Turney, C. and Bronk Ramsey, C. (2012) The INTegration of Ice core, MArine and TErrestrial records of the last termination (INTIMATE)60,000 to 8000 BP Quaternary Science Reviews 36   http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.10.001  

Boisier, J. P., et al. (2012) Attributing the impacts of land-cover changes in temperate regions on surface temperature and heat fluxes to specific causes: Results from the first LUCID set of simulations J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos. 117   http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011jd017106  

Bormann, K., McCabe, M. F. and Evans, J. P. (2012) Satellite based observations for seasonal snow cover detection and characterisation in Australia Remote Sensing of Environment 123 57-71    http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.03.003  

Bradshaw, C., Cooper, A., Turney, C. and Brook, B. (2012) Robust estimates of extinction time in the geological record Quaternary Science Reviews 33 14 - 19  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.11.021  

Brennan, C. E., Weaver, A. J., Eby, M. and Meissner, K. J. (2012) Modelling oxygen isotopes in the University of Victoria Earth System Climate Model for Pre-industrial and Last Glacial Maximum Conditions Atmosphere - Ocean    http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2012.707611  

Chamberlain, M. A., et al. (2012) Downscaling the climate change for oceans around Australia Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 5 425-458  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmdd-5-425-2012  

Clarke, H. G., Lucas, C. and Smith, P. L. (2012) Changes in Australian fire weather between 1973 and 2010 International Journal of Climatology http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3480  

Cook, C. G. and Jones, R. T. (2012) Palaeoclimate dynamics in continental Southeast Asia over the last ~30,000 Cal yrs BP Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Paleoecology 339 1-11  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2012.03.025  

Cook, C. G., et al. (2012) Lake ecosystem dynamics and links to climate change inferred from a stable isotope and organic palaeorecord from a mountain lake in southwestern China (ca. 22.6-10.5 cal ka BP) Quaternary Research 77 132-137  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.yqres.2011.09.011  

De Noblet-Ducoudré, N., et al. (2012) Determining robust impacts of land-use-induced land cover changes on surface climate over North America and Eurasia: Results from the first set of LUCID experiments Journal of Climate 25 3261-3281  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00338.1  

Decker, M., et al. (2012) Evaluation of the reanalysis products from GSFC, NCEP, and ECMWF using flux tower observations Journal of Climate 6 1916 - 1944  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00004.1  

Evans, J. P. and Boyer-Souchet, I. (2012) Local sea surface temperatures add to extreme precipitation in northeast Australia during La Niña GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 39   http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1029/2012gl052014  

Fernández-Donado, L., et al. (2012) Temperature response to external forcing in simulations and reconstructions of the last millennium Climate of the Past 8 4003-4073  http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5194/cpd-8-4003-2012  

Froyland, G., et al. (2012) Three-dimensional characterization and tracking of an Agulhas Ring Ocean Modelling 52-53 69-75  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.05.001  

Gang, G., et al. (2012) A three-dimensional gap filling method for large geophysical datasets: Application to global satellite soil moisture observations Environmental Modelling and Software 30 139 - 142  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.10.015   

García-Díez, M., Fernández, J., Fita, L. and Yagüe, C. (2012) Seasonal dependence of WRF model biases and sensitivity to PBL schemes over Europe Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society    http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.1976  

Gergis, J., et al. (2012) On the long-term context of the 1997-2009 'Big Dry' in south-eastern Australia: insights from a 206-year multi-proxy rainfall reconstruction Climatic Change 111 923 944, 

Green, D. L., Niall, S. and Morrison, J. (2012) Bridging the gap between theory and practice in climate change vulnerability assessments for remote Indigenous communities in northern Australia Local Environment: The International Journal of Justice and Sustainability 17 295-315  http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13549839.2012.665857  

Gupta, H., et al. (2012) Towards a comprehensive assessment of model structural adequacy Water Resources Research 48 W08301  http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1029/2011WR011044  

Hughes, A., et al. (2012) Rapid response of Helheim Glacier, South-east Greenland to early Holocene climate warming Geology 40 427-430  http://dx.doi.org/10.1130/G32730.1  

Huiskamp, W. and Meissner, K. J. (2012) Oceanic carbon and water masses during the Mystery Interval: A model-data comparison study Paleoceanography 27   http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012PA002368  

Jones, R., et al. (2012) Holocene environmental change at Lake Shudu, Yunnan Province, southwestern China Hydrobiologia http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10750-012-1124-y  

Kidston, J., Vallis, G. K., Kidston, J. and Vallis, G. K. (2012) The Relationship between the Speed and the Latitude of an Eddy-Driven Jet in a Stirred Barotropic Model J. Atmos. Sci. 69 3251-3263  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-11-0300.1  

Kvale, K. F., et al. (2012) Carbon dioxide emission pathways avoiding dangerous ocean impacts Weather, Climate, and Society http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00030.1  

Li, Y., et al. (2012) Evaluation of monsoon seasonality and the tropospheric biennial oscillation transitions in the CMIP models Geophys. Res. Lett. 39   http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053322  

Liu, Y. Y., et al. (2012) Trend-preserving blending of passive and active microwave soil moisture retrievals Remote Sensing of Environment 123 280-297   http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.03.014   

Luo, Y. Q., et al. (2012) A framework of benchmarking land models Biogeosciences Discussions 9 1899 - 1944  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bgd-9-1899-2012 http://dx.doi.org/

Luo, Y. Q., et al. (2012) A framework for benchmarking land models Biogeosciences 9 3857-3874  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-3857-2012  

McGregor, S., et al. (2012) Constraining Wind Stress Products with Sea Surface Height Observations and Implications for Pacific Ocean Sea Level Trend Attribution J. Clim. 25 8164-8176  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00105.1  

McNeil, B. I. and Matear, R. J. (2012) The non-steady state oceanic CO2 signal: its importance, magnitude and a novel way to detect it Biogeosciences Discussions 9 13161-13186  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bgd-9-13161-2012  

Meissner, K. J., Lippmann, T. and Sen Gupta, A. (2012) Large-scale stress factors affecting coral reefs: open ocean sea surface temperature and surface seawater aragonite saturation over the next 400 years Coral Reefs 31 309-319 309-319 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00338-011-0866-8  

Meissner, K. J., McNeil, B. I., Eby, M. and Wiebe, E. C. (2012) The importance of the terrestrial weathering feedback for multimillennial coral reef habitat recovery Global Biogeochemical Cycles 26  GB3017 2012 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GB004098  

Menviel, L., et al. (2012) Simulating atmospheric CO2, C-13 and the marine carbon cycle during the Last Glacial-Interglacial cycle: possible role for a deepening of the mean remineralization depth and an increase in the oceanic nutrient inventory Quat. Sci. Rev. 56 46-68  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.09.012   

Michael L. Bates, Stephen M. Griffies and England, M. H. (2012) A dynamic, embedded Lagrangian model for ocean climate models. Part II: Idealised overflow tests Ocean Modelling 59  60 -76 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.08.003  

O'Neill, C., Green, D. L. and Lui, W. (2012) How to make climate change research relevant for Indigenous communities in Torres Strait, Australia Local Environment: The International Journal of Justice and Sustainability 1-17  http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13549839.2012.716405  

Pagani, M., et al. (2012) The role of carbon dioxide during the onset of antarctic glaciation Science 334 6060 1261-1264 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1203909  

Perkins, S., Pitman, A. and Sisson, S. A. (2012) Systematic differences in future 20-year temperature extremes in AR4 model projections over Australia as a function of model skill International Journal of Climatology

Perkins, S. E., et al. (2012) Increasing frequency, intensity and duration of observed global heatwaves and warm spells Geophys. Res. Lett. 39   http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053361  

Phipps, S. J., et al. (2012) The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model version 1.0-Part 2: Response to external forcings Geosci. Model Dev. 5 649-682  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-5-649-2012   

Pitman, A., Arneth, A. and Ganzeveld, L. (2012) Regionalizing global climate models International Journal of Climatology 32 321 - 337  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.2279  

Pitman, A. J., et al. (2012) Effects of land cover change on temperature and rainfall extremes in multi-model ensemble simulations Earth Syst. Dynam. 3 213-231  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-3-213-2012  

Pui, A., A. Sharma, A. Santoso and Westra, S. (2012) Impact of the El Nino Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode on daily to sub-daily rainfall characteristics in East Australia. Monthly Weather Review 140 1665-1682, http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00238.1  

Rule, S., et al. (2012) The aftermath of megafaunal extinction: Ecosystem transformation in Pleistocene Australia Science 335 1483-1486  http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1214261  

Saenko, O. A., Sen Gupta, A. and Spence, P. (2012) On challenges in predicting bottom water transport in the Southern Ocean Journal of Climate 25 1349-1356  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00040.1  

Santoso, A., England, M. H. and Cai, W. (2012) Impact of Indo-Pacific feedback interactions on ENSO dynamics diagnosed using ensemble climate simulations Journal of Climate 25  7743-7763 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00287.1  

Saul, B., et al. (2012) Climate Change and Australia: Warming to the Global Challenge Federation Press Australia http://www.federationpress.com.au/bookstore/book.asp?isbn=9781862878723  

Sen Gupta, A., et al. (2012) Drivers of the projected changes to the Pacific Ocean equatorial circulation Geophysical Research Letters 39 L09605  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051447  

Sen Gupta, A., Muir, L., Brown, J. N. and Phipps, S. J. (2012) Climate drift in the CMIP3 models Journal of Climate 25 4621-4640  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00312.1  

Shaw, E. C., McNeil, B. I. and Tilbrook, B. (2012) Impacts of ocean acidification in naturally variable coral reef flat ecosystems Journal of Geophysical Research C: Oceans 117 C03038  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007655  

Sijp, W. and England, M. H. (2012) Precise calculations of the existence of multiple AMOC equilibria in coupled climate models. Part II: Transient behavior Journal of Climate

 25 299 - 306  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4246.1  

Sijp, W., Gregory, J., Tailleux, R. and Spence, P. (2012) The key role of the western boundary in linking the AMOC strength to the north-south pressure gradient Journal of Physical Oceanography 42 628-643  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-11-0113.1  

Sijp, W. P., England, M. H. and Gregory, J. (2012) Precise calculations of the existence of multiple AMOC equilibria in coupled climate models. Part I: Equilibrium states Journal of Climate 25 282 - 298  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4245.1  

Sijp, W. P. and Sijp, W. P. (2012) Characterising meridional overturning bistability using a minimal set of state variables Clim. Dyn. 39 2127-2142  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1249-0  

Simpkins, G. R., et al. (2012) Seasonal Relationships between Large-Scale Climate Variability and Antarctic Sea Ice Concentration J. Clim. 25 5451-5469  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-11-00367.1  

Simpkins, G. R. and Karpechko, A. Y. (2012) Sensitivity of the southern annular mode to greenhouse gas emission scenarios Climate Dynamics 38 563-572  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1121-2  

Spence, P., et al. (2012) Mechanisms Maintaining Southern Ocean Meridional Heat Transport under Projected Wind Forcing J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42 1923-1931  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-12-03.1  

Spence, P., et al. (2012) Mechanisms of the meridional heat transport response in the Southern Ocean to projected wind changes Journal of Physical Oceanography 42  1923-1931 Http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-12-03.1  

Spence, P., et al. (2012) The Role of Bottom Pressure Torques on the Interior Pathways of North Atlantic Deep Water J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42 110-125  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011jpo4584.1  

Taschetto, A. S. and Ambrizzi, T. (2012) Can Indian Ocean SST anomalies influence South American rainfall? Climate Dynamics 38 1615-1628  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s0032-011-1165-3  

Tokinaga, H., et al. (2012) Regional Patterns of Tropical Indo-Pacific Climate Change: Evidence of the Walker Circulation Weakening Journal of Climate 25  1689 - 1710, 

Turney, C. (2012) Surface ∂13C in Australia: A quantified measure of annual precipitation? Terra Australis 34 34 435-443, http://epress.anu.edu.au/titles/terra-australis/peopled-landscapes-terra-australis-34  

Van Den Hurk, B., et al. (2012) Acceleration of land surface model development over a decade of GLASS State of the Climate 92 1593-1600  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00007.1  

Van Sebille, E., et al. (2012) Origin, dynamics and evolution of ocean garbage patches from observed surface drifters Environmental Research Letters 7   http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044040    

Van Sebille, E., England, M. H., Zika, J. and Sloyan, B. M. (2012) Tasman leakage in a fine-resolution ocean model Geophysical Research Letters 39 L06601  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051004  

Van Sebille, E., Johns, W. and Beal, L. (2012) Does the vorticity flux from Agulhas rings control the zonal pathway of NADW across the South Atlantic? Journal of Geophysical Research C: Oceans 117 C05037  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007684  

von Storch, J. S., et al. (2012) An Estimate of the Lorenz Energy Cycle for the World Ocean Based on the 1/10 degrees STORM/NCEP Simulation J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42 2185-2205  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-12-079.1   

Walker, M., et al. (2012) Lateglacial and early Holocene palaeoenvironmental 'events' in Sluggan Bog, Northern Ireland: Comparisons with the Greenland NGRIP GICC05 event stratigraphy Quaternary Science Reviews 36 124 - 138  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.09.008  

Wang, L., et al. (2012) Dryland ecohydrology and climate change: Critical issues and technical advances Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 9 4777-4825  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hessd-9-4777-2012

Wania, R., et al. (2012) Carbon-nitrogen feedbacks in the UVic ESCM Geoscientific Model Development 5 1137-1160  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmdd-5-67-2012

Weijer, W., et al. (2012) The Southern Ocean and Its Climate in CCSM4 Journal of Climate 25 2652-2675  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00302.1  

Willett, K. M., Sherwood, S., Willett, K. M. and Sherwood, S. (2012) Exceedance of heat index thresholds for 15 regions under a warming climate using the wet-bulb globe temperature Int. J. Climatol. 32 161-177  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.2257  

Willett, K. M. and Sherwood, S. C. (2012) Exceedance of heat index thresholds for 15 regions under a warming climate using the wet bulb globe temperature International Journal of Climatology 32  161-177 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.2257.  

Young, P. J., et al. (2012) Changes in stratospheric temperatures and their implications for changes in the Brewer-Dobson circulation, 1979-2005 Journal of Climate 25 1759–1772  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4048.1  

Zika, J. D., et al. (2012) The Ocean Circulation in Thermohaline Coordinates J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42 708-724  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-11-0139.1  

Kriticos, D., Webber, B.L., Leriche, A., Ota, N., Macadam, I., Bathols, J. and Scott, J.K. (2012), CliMond: global high-resolution historical and future scenario climate surfaces for bioclimatic modelling, Methods in Ecology and Evolution,  http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2011.00134.x

Fogwill, C. J., Hein, A., Bentley, M. J. and Sugden, D. E. (2012 - Not UNSW) Do blue-ice moraines in the Heritage Range show the West Antarctic Ice Sheet survived the last interglacial? Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 335-336  61 - 70 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2011.01.027

 

2011 Publications

Ackerley, D., et al. (2011) Using synoptic type analysis to understand New Zealand climate during the Mid-Holocene Climate of the Past Discussions 7 1301-1337 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cpd-7-1301-2011  

Alexander, L. V. (2011) Extreme heat rooted in dry soils Nature Geoscience 4 12-13 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1045  

Alexander, L. V., Wang, X. L. and Trewin, B. (2011) Significant decline in storminess over south-east Australia since the late 19th century. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 61 23-30  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1045  

Allen, R. J. and Sherwood, S. C. (2011) The impact of natural versus anthropogenic aerosols on atmospheric circulation in the Community Atmosphere Model Climate Dynamics 36 1959-1978 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0898-8  

Allison, I., Bindoff, N. L., Bindschadler, R. A., Cox, P. M., de Noblet, N., England, M. H., Francis, J. E.,, Gruber, N., Haywood, A. M., Karoly, D. J., Kaser, G., Le Quere, C., Lenton, T. M., Mann, M. E.,, McNeil, B. I., Pitman, A. J., Rahmstorf, S., Rignot, E., Schellnhuber, H. J., Schneider, S. H., and Sherwood, S. C., Somerville, R. C. J., Steffen, K., Steig, E. J., Visbeck, Martin and Weaver, A. J. (2011) The Copenhagen Diagnosis: Updating the World on the Latest Climate Science Elsevier London UK, http://store.elsevier.com/product.jsp?isbn=9780123869999  

Arzel, O., England, M. H. and Saenko, O. A. (2011) The Impact of Wind Stress Feedback on the Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Journal of Climate 24 1965–1984 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3137.1  

Ashe, B., McAneney, J. and Pitman, A. J. (2011) Is the allocation of resources towards mitigation and response to fire in Australia optimal? Journal of Risk Research 14 381-393  http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2010.541561  

Avis, C. A., Weaver, A. and Meissner, K. J. (2011) Reduction in areal extent of high-latitude wetlands in response to permafrost thaw Nature Geoscience 4 444-448  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1160  

Beaumont, L., et al. (2011) Impacts of climate change on the world's most exceptional ecoregions Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America - Biological Sciences 108 2306-2311  http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1007217108  

Caesar, J., et al. (2011) Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Indo-Pacific region from 1971 to 2005 International Journal of Climatology 31 791-801 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.2118  

Cai, W., et al. (2011) Are anthropogenic aerosols responsible for the northwest Australia summer rainfall increase? A CMIP3 perspective and implications            Journal of Climate 24 2556 - 2564 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3832.1  

Chae, J. H., Wu, D. L., Read, W. G. and Sherwood, S. C. (2011) The role of tropical deep convective clouds on temperature, water vapor, and dehydration in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 10 8963-8994  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acpd-10-8963-2010  

Ciasto, L. M., Alexander, M. A., Deser, C. and England, M. (2011) On the persistence of cold-season SST anomalies associated with the Annular Modes Journal of Climate 24 2500-2515 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3535.1  

Ciasto, L. M. and England, M. H. (2011) Observed ENSO teleconnections to Southern Ocean SST anomalies diagnosed from a surface mixed layer heat budget Geophysical Research Letters 38 L09701 L09701 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL046895   

Clarke, H. C., Smith, P. L. and Pitman, A. J. (2011) Regional signatures of future fire weather over Eastern Australia from Global Climate Models International Journal of Wildland Fire 20 550-562 http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF10070  

Collins, D., et al. (2011) Chapter 3: Observed Climate Variability and Trends  51-77, http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/publications.html  

Cook, C. G., et al. (2011) New insights on Late Quarternary Asian palaeomonsoon variability and timing of the Last Glacial Maximum in southwestern China Quarternary Science Reviews 30 808-820 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.01.003  

Cowan, T. and Cai, W. (2011) The impact of Asian and non-Asian anthropogenic aerosols on 20th century Asian summer monsoon Geophysical Research Letters 38 5pp L11703 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047268   

D'Arrigo, R., et al. (2011) Reconstructed streamflow for Citarum River, Java, Indonesia: linkages to tropical climate dynamics Climate Dynamics 36 451-462 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0717-2  

D'Arrigo, R., et al. (2011) Three centuries of Myanmar monsoon climate variability inferred from teak tree rings Geophysical Research Letters 38 L24705 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049927  

d'Orgeville, M., England, M. H. and Sijp, W. P. (2011) Buffered versus non-buffered ocean carbon reservoir variations: Application to the sensitivity of atmospheric pCO2 to ocean circulation changes Geophysical Research Letters 38  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049823  

Damien B. Irving, et al. (2011) Evaluating global climate models for the Pacific island region Climate Research 49 169-187 http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01028  

Donat, M. G., Leckebusch, G. C., Wild, S. and Ulbrich, U. (2011) Future changes in European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds in multi-model GCM and RCM simulations Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 11 1351-1370 http://dx.doi.org/10.594/nhess-11-1351-2011  

Donat, M. G., et al. (2011) High-resolution refinement of a storm loss model and estimation of return periods of loss-intensive storms over Germany Natural Hazards Earth System Science 11 2821-2833, 

Donat, M. G., et al. (2011) Reanalysis suggests long-term upward trends in European storminess since 1871 Geophysical Research Letters 38 L14703 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047995   

Dufour, C. O., et al. (2011) Structure and Causes of the Pulsation Mode in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current South of Australia Journal of Physical Oceanography 41 253–268 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JPO4193.1  

Evans, J. P. and Alsamawi, A. (2011) The Importance of the Zagros Mountains Barrier Jet to Future Precipitation in the Fertile Crescent. The Open Atmospheric Science Journal, 5 87-95.  http://dx.doi.org/10.2174/1874282301105010087  

Evans, J. P., M. Ekström and Ji, F. (2011) Evaluating the performance of a WRF physics ensemble over South-East Australia Climate Dynamics   http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1244-5    

Evans, J. P., Pitman, A. J. and Cruz, F. T. (2011) Coupled atmospheric and land surface dynamics over southeast Australia: a review, analysis and identification of future research priorities International Journal of Climatology 31 1758-1772 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.2206  

Ganachaud, A., et al. (2011) Observed and expected changes to the pacific ocean Book Observed and expected changes to the pacific ocean   Secretariat of the Pacific Community, 

Garcia-Garcia, D., Ummenhofer, C. C. and Zlotnicki, V. (2011) Australian water mass variations from GRACE data linked to Indo-Pacific climate variability Remote Sensing of Environment 115 2175-2183 http://dx.doi.org/10.116/j.rse.2011.04.007  

Green, D. L. (2011) What legal recourse do non-state Islands have to obtain resources to adapt to climate change? Macquarie Journal of International and Comparative Environmental Law 7 69-91  http://www.law.mq.edu.au/research/law_journals/macquarie_journal_of_international_and_comparative_environmental_law/  

Hein, A. S., Fogwill, C. J., Sugden, D. E. and Xu, S. (2011) Glacial/interglacial ice-stream stability in the Weddell Sea embayment, Antarctica Earth and Planetary Science Letters 307(1-2) 211-221 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2011.04.037  

Hill, K., Taschetto, A. and England, M. (2011) Sensitivity of South American summer rainfall to tropical Pacific Ocean SST anomalies Geophysical Research Letters 38 6pp L01701 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GL04557  

Hogg, A., Palmer, J., Boswijk, G. and Turney, C. (2011) High-precision radiocarbon measurements of the tree-ring dated wood from New Zealand: 200 BC-AD 950 Radiocarbon 53 529-542, https://journals.uair.arizona.edu/index.php/radiocarbon/article/view/12341  

Holbrook, N. J., et al. (2011) ENSO to multi-decadal time scale changes in East Australian Current transports and Fort Denison sea level: oceanic Rossby waves as the connecting mechanism Deep - Sea Research Part II - Topical Studies in Oceanography 58 547-558  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.06.007  

Johnson, F., Westra, S., Sharma, A. and Pitman, A. J. (2011) An Assessment of GCM Skill in Simulating Persistence across Multiple Time Scales Journal of Climate 24 3609-3623 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI3732.1  

Kidston, J., Taschetto, A. S., Thompson, D. W. J. and England, M. H. (2011) The influence of Southern Hemisphere sea-ice extent on the latitude of the mid-latitude jet stream Geophysical Research Letters 38 L15804  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048056  

Kvale, K. F., et al. (2011) The combined impact of CO2-dependent parameterisations of Redfield and Rain ratios on ocean carbonate saturation Biogeosciences Discussions 8 6265 6280 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bgd-8-6265-2011  

Liu, Y. Y., et al. (2011) Global long-term passive microwave satellite-based retrievals of vegetation optical depth Geophysical Research Letters 38   http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048684  

Liu, Y. Y., et al. (2011) Developing an improved soil moisture dataset by blending passive and active microwave satellite-based retrievals Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 15 425-436  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-425-2011  

Mao, J., et al. (2011) The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model v1.0 coupled to the CABLE land surface scheme v1.4b: Evaluation of the control climatology Geoscientific Model Development 4 1115-1131 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-1115-2011  

Mao, J., et al. (2011) Global and regional coupled climate sensitivity to the parameterization of rainfall interception Climate Dynamics 37 171-186 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0862-7  

McGregor, S. and Timmermann, A. (2011) The effect of explosive tropical volcanism on ENSO Journal of Climate 24 2178-2191 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3990.1  

McNeil, B. I., Sweeney, C. and Gibson, J. A. E. (2011) Natural seasonal variability of aragonite saturation state within two Antarctic coastal ocean sites Antarctic Science 23 1-2 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0954102011000204  

Montenegro, A., et al. (2011) Climate simulations of the Permian-Triassic boundary: Ocean acidification and the extinction event Paleoceanography 26  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010PA002058  

Phipps, S. J., et al. (2011) The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model version 1.0 - Part 1: Description and evaluation Geoscientific Model Development 4 483-509 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-483-2011  

Pielke, R. A., et al. (2011) Land use/land cover changes and climate: Modelling analysis and obeservational evidence Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews, 

Pitman, A. J., et al. (2011) Importance of background climate in determining impact of land-cover change on regional climate Nat. Clim. Chang. 1 472-475 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1294   

Robinson, F. J., et al. (2011) Exploring the land-ocean contrast in convective vigor using islands Journal of the Atmospheric Science 68 602-618 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3558.1  

Saenko, O. A., Yang, X.-Y., England, M. H. and Lee, W. G. (2011) Subduction and Transport in the Indian and Pacific Oceans in a 2 X CO2 Climate Journal of Climate 24 1821-1838 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3880.1  

Santoso, A., Cai, W., England, M. H. and Phipps, S. J. (2011) The role of the Indonesian Throughflow on ENSO dynamics in a coupled climate model. Journal of Climate 24 585-601  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3745.1  

Sen Gupta, A. (2011) The Pacific Community, fisheries, aquaculture and climate change: an introduction. Book The Pacific Community, fisheries, aquaculture and climate change: an introduction.   Secretariat of the Pacific Community

Sen Gupta, A. and McNeil, B. I. (2011) Variability and Change in the Ocean Book Variability and Change in the Ocean   Elsevier Science http://store.elsevier.com/The-Future-of-the-Worlds-Climate/isbn-9780123869173/  

Sijp, W. P., England, M. H. and Huber, M. (2011) Effect of the deepening of the Tasman Gateway on the global ocean Paleoceanography 26 PA4207 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011PA002143  

Speer, M. S., Phillips, J. A. and Hanstrum, B. N. (2011) Meteorological aspects of the 31 March 2009 Coffs Harbour flash flood Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 61 201-210, http://www.bom.gov.au/amoj/papers.php?year=2011  

Taschetto, A. S., et al. (2011) The contribution of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies on Australian summer rainfall during El Nino events Journal of Climate 24 3734-3747 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI3885.1  

Thompson, D. W., et al. (2011) Signatures of the Antarctic ozone hole in Southern Hemisphere surface climate change Nature Geoscience 4 741-749 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1296  

Thorne, P. W., et al. (2011) A quantification of uncertainties in historical tropical tropospheric temperature trends from radiosondes Journal of Geophysical Research 116 D12116 D12116 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015487   

Turney, C., K. Richardson, Steffen, W. and Liverman, D. (2011) Going back to the future: Sea-level rise in the past. Book Going back to the future: Sea-level rise in the past. 57-58 Cambridge University Press, . http://www.cambridge.org/asia/catalogue/catalogue.asp?isbn=9780521198363  

Turney, C. S. M. and Jones, R. T. (2011) Response to Comment on ‘Does the Agulhas Current amplify global temperatures during super-interglacials? Journal of Quaternary Science 26 870-871  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jqs.1556  

Ummenhofer, C. C., et al. (2011) Indian and Pacific Ocean influences on Southeast Australian drought and soil moisture Journal of Climate 24 1313-1336  Y. Y., et al. (2011) Developing an improved soil moisture dataset by blending passive and active microwave satellite-based retrievals Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 15 425-436  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-425-2011  

Mao, J., et al. (2011) The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model v1.0 coupled to the CABLE land surface scheme v1.4b: Evaluation of the control climatology Geoscientific Model Development 4 1115-1131  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-1115-2011  

Mao, J., et al. (2011) Global and regional coupled climate sensitivity to the parameterization of rainfall interception Climate Dynamics 37 171-186  http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0862-7  

McGregor, S. and Timmermann, A. (2011) The effect of explosive tropical volcanism on ENSO Journal of Climate 24 2178-2191  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3990.1  

McNeil, B. I., Sweeney, C. and Gibson, J. A. E. (2011) Natural seasonal variability of aragonite saturation state within two Antarctic coastal ocean sites Antarctic Science 23 1-2  http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0954102011000204  

Montenegro, A., et al. (2011) Climate simulations of the Permian-Triassic boundary: Ocean acidification and the extinction event Paleoceanography 26   http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010PA002058  

Phipps, S. J., et al. (2011) The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model version 1.0 - Part 1: Description and evaluation Geoscientific Model Development 4 483-509  http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-483-2011  

Pielke, R. A., et al. (2011) Land use/land cover changes and climate: Modelling analysis and obeservational evidence Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews, 

Pitman, A. J., et al. (2011) Importance of background climate in determining impact of land-cover change on regional climate Nat. Clim. Chang. 1 472-475  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1294   

Robinson, F. J., et al. (2011) Exploring the land-ocean contrast in convective vigor using islands Journal of the Atmospheric Science 68 602-618  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3558.1  

Saenko, O. A., Yang, X.-Y., England, M. H. and Lee, W. G. (2011) Subduction and Transport in the Indian and Pacific Oceans in a 2 X CO2 Climate Journal of Climate 24 1821-1838  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3880.1  

Santoso, A., Cai, W., England, M. H. and Phipps, S. J. (2011) The role of the Indonesian Throughflow on ENSO dynamics in a coupled climate model. Journal of Climate 24 585-601  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3745.1  

Sen Gupta, A. (2011) The Pacific Community, fisheries, aquaculture and climate change: an introduction. Book The Pacific Community, fisheries, aquaculture and climate change: an introduction.   Secretariat of the Pacific Community

Sen Gupta, A. and McNeil, B. I. (2011) Variability and Change in the Ocean Book Variability and Change in the Ocean   Elsevier Science http://store.elsevier.com/The-Future-of-the-Worlds-Climate/isbn-9780123869173/  

Sijp, W. P., England, M. H. and Huber, M. (2011) Effect of the deepening of the Tasman Gateway on the global ocean Paleoceanography 26 PA4207  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011PA002143  

Speer, M. S., Phillips, J. A. and Hanstrum, B. N. (2011) Meteorological aspects of the 31 March 2009 Coffs Harbour flash flood Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 61 201-210, http://www.bom.gov.au/amoj/papers.php?year=2011  

Taschetto, A. S., et al. (2011) The contribution of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies on Australian summer rainfall during El Nino events Journal of Climate 24 3734-3747  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI3885.1  

Thompson, D. W., et al. (2011) Signatures of the Antarctic ozone hole in Southern Hemisphere surface climate change Nature Geoscience 4 741-749  http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1296  

Thorne, P. W., et al. (2011) A quantification of uncertainties in historical tropical tropospheric temperature trends from radiosondes Journal of Geophysical Research 116 D12116 D12116 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015487  

Turney, C., K. Richardson, Steffen, W. and Liverman, D. (2011) Going back to the future: Sea-level rise in the past. Book Going back to the future: Sea-level rise in the past. 57-58 Cambridge University Press, . http://www.cambridge.org/asia/catalogue/catalogue.asp?isbn=9780521198363  

Turney, C. S. M. and Jones, R. T. (2011) Response to Comment on ‘Does the Agulhas Current amplify global temperatures during super-interglacials? Journal of Quaternary Science 26 870-871  http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jqs.1556  

Ummenhofer, C. C., et al. (2011) Indian and Pacific Ocean influences on Southeast Australian drought and soil moisture Journal of Climate 24 1313-1336  http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034006   

Ummenhofer, C. C., et al. (2011) Multi-decadal modulation of the El Nino-Indian monsoon relationship by Indian Ocean variability. Environmental Research Letters 6  034006 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034006  

Ummenhofer, C. C., et al. (2011) Corrigendum Journal of Climate 24 3796-3796  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00229.1  

Wang, Y.-P., et al. (2011) Diagnosing errors in a land surface model (CABLE) in the time and frequency domains Journal of Geophysical Research 116 G01034 G01034 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010JG001385

Zhang, Q., Wang, Y.-P., Pitman, A. J. and Dai, Y. J. (2011) Limitations of nitrogen and phosphorus on the terrestrial carbon uptake in the 20th century Geophysical Research Letters 38 L22701  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049244  

Zhang, X., et al. (2011) Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034006  

Ummenhofer, C. C., et al. (2011) Multi-decadal modulation of the El Nino-Indian monsoon relationship by Indian Ocean variability. Environmental Research Letters 6  034006 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034006   

Ummenhofer, C. C., et al. (2011) Corrigendum Journal of Climate 24 3796-3796  http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00229.1  

Wang, Y.-P., et al. (2011) Diagnosing errors in a land surface model (CABLE) in the time and frequency domains Journal of Geophysical Research 116 G01034 G01034 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010JG001385   

Zhang, Q., Wang, Y.-P., Pitman, A. J. and Dai, Y. J. (2011) Limitations of nitrogen and phosphorus on the terrestrial carbon uptake in the 20th century Geophysical Research Letters 38 L22701 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049244  

Zhang, X., et al. (2011) Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2 851-870 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wcc.147  

Kala, J., Lyons, T. J. and Nair, U. S. (2011#) Numerical Simulations of the Impacts of Land-Cover Change on Cold Fronts in South-West Western Australia Boundary-Layer Meteorol 138 121 138 1 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10546-010-9547-3   

Le Brocq, A. M., et al. (2011#) Reconstructing The Last Glacial Maximum Ice Sheet In The Weddell Sea Embayment, Antarctica, Using Numerical Modelling Constrained By Field Evidence. Quaternary Science Reviews 30 2422-2432 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.05.009

Nair, U. S., et al. (2011#) The role of land use change on the development and evolution of the west coast trough, convective clouds, and precipitation in southwest Australia JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH 116 D07103  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014950  

Van Sebille, E., et al. (2011#) Propagation pathways of classical Labrador Sea water from its source region to 26N Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 116 C12027  http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007171

 

2010 Publications

Abramowitz, G. (2010) Model independence in multi-model ensemble prediction Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 59 3-6, 

Allen, R. J. and Sherwood, S. C. (2010) Aerosol-cloud semi-direct effect and land-sea temperature contrast in a GCM Geophysical Research Letters 37 L07702 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GL042759  

Arzel, O., de Verdière, A. C. and England, M. H. (2010) The role of oceanic heat transport and wind stress forcing in abrupt millennial-scale climate transitions Journal of Climate 23 2233-2256 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3227.1  

Bentley, M. J., Fogwill, C.J., Le Brocq, A.M., Hubbard, A., Sugden D.E., Dunai, T. and Freeman, S., (2010) Deglacial history of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in the Weddell Sea embayment: Constraints on past ice volume change Geology 38 411-414, http://geology.geoscienceworld.org/content/38/5/411.full  

Bentley, M. J., et al. (2010) Deglaciation of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in the Weddell Sea precludes a major contribution to Meltwater Pulse1A. A Reply Geology 39 240  http://dx.doi.org/10.1130/​G32140Y.1  

Cruz, F. T., Pitman, A. J. and McGregor, J. (2010) Probabilistic simulations of the impact of increasing leaf-level atmospheric carbon dioxide on the global land surface Climate Dynamics 34 361-379 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0497-0  

Cruz, F. T., Pitman, A. J., McGregor, J. and Evans, J. P. (2010) Contrasting regional responses to increasing leaf-level atmospheric carbon dioxide over Australia Journal of Hydrometeorology 11 296-314 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009JHM1175.1  

Cruz, F. T., Pitman, A. J. and Wang, Y.-P. (2010) Can the stomatal response to higher atmospheric carbon dioxide explain the unusual temperatures during the 2002 Murray-Darling Basin drought? Journal of Geophysical Research 115 1 D02101.1 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009JD012767  

d'Orgeville, M., Sijp, W. P., England, M. H. and Meissner, K. J. (2010) On the control of glacial-interglacial atmospheric CO2 variations by the Southern Hemisphere westerlies Geophysical Research Letters 37 5 L21703 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GL045261   

Evans, J. P. (2010) Global warming impact on the dominant precipitation process in the Middle East Theoretical and Applied Climatology 99 389-402 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0151-8  

Evans, J. P. and McCabe, M. F. (2010) Regional climate simulation over Australia's Murray-Darling basin: A multitemporal assessment Journal of Geophysical Research 115  D14114 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010JD013816   

Green, D. and Minchin, L. (2010) Screw Light Bulbs: Smarter Solutions to Tackling Climate Change Scribe Melbourne, 

Green, D. L., et al. (2010) An assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation for the Torres Strait Islands, Australia Climatic Change 102 405-433 405 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9756-2   

Green, D. L., Billy, J. and Tapim, A. (2010) Indigenous Australians' knowledge of weather and climate Climatic Change 100 337-354 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9803-z   

Green, D. L. and Raygorodetsky, G. (2010) Indigenous knowledge of a changing climate Climatic Change 100 239-242 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9804-y  

Knutti, R., et al. (2010) Good Practice Guidance Paper on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections  13, 

Liu, Y. Y., et al. (2010) Influence of cracking clays on satellite estimated and model simulated soil moisture Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 14 979-990 http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-14-979-2010  

Luffman, J. J., Taschetto, A. S. and England, M. H. (2010) Global and regional climate response to late twentieth-century warming over the Indian Ocean Journal of Climate 23 1660-1674 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3086.1  

Macadam, I., Pitman, A. J., Whetton, P. H. and Abramowitz, G. (2010) Ranking climate models by performance using actual values and anomalies: Implications for climate change impact assessments Geophysical Research Letters 37 L16704 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GL043877   

McNeil, B. I. (2010) Diagnosing coastal ocean CO2 interannual variability from a 40 year hydrographic time series station off the east coast of Australia Global Biogeochemical Cycles 24 GB4034 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GB003870  

McNeil, B. I. (2010) A multi-decadal delay in the onset of corrosive 'acidified' waters in the Ross Sea of Antarctica due to strong air-sea CO2 disequilibrium Geophysical Research Letters 37 L19607 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044597  

Newell, B. R. and Pitman, A. J. (2010) The psychology of global warming: improving the fit between the science and the message Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91 1003-1014 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2957.1  

Phipps, S. J. (2010) Technical Report: The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model v1.2  121, 

Raupach, M., et al. (2010) Chapter 4: Impact of climate variability and change on the water balance in Program Annaul Report 2009/10  39-49, 

Roubicek, A. J., et al. (2010) Does the choice of climate baseline matter in ecological niche modelling? Ecological Modelling 221 2280-2286 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.06.021  

Santoso, A., Sen Gupta, A. R. and England, M. H. (2010) Genesis of Indian Ocean mixed layer temperature anomalies: a heat budget analysis Journal of Climate 23 5375-5403 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3072.1  

Shaw, E. C., Gabric, A. J. and McTainsh, G. H. (2010) Response to comment on ‘Impacts of aeolian dust deposition on phytoplankton dynamics in Queensland coastal waters’ Marine and Freshwater Research 61  http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/MF09192  

Sherwood, S. C. (2010) Direct versus indirect effects of tropospheric humidity changes on the hydrologic cycle Environmental Research Letters 5 025206 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/025206  

Sherwood, S. C. and Huber, M. (2010) An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107 9552-9555 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0913352107   

Sherwood, S. C., et al. (2010) Relative humidity changes in a warmer climate Journal of Geophysical Research 115 D09104 http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/2009JD012585  

Sherwood, S. C., Kjellstrom, T. and Green, D. L. (2010) Heat Stress in a Warming World Australian Science 31, 

Sherwood, S. C., Roca, R., Weckworth, T. M. and Andronova, N. (2010) Tropospheric water vapor, convection, and climate Reviews of Geophysics 48 RG2001 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009RG000301  

Spence, P., Fyfe, J., Montenegro, A. and Weaver, A. (2010) Southern ocean response to strengthening winds in an eddy-permitting global climate model Journal of Climate 23 5332 - 5343 5332 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3098.1   

Taschetto, A. S., et al. (2010) Australian monsoon variability driven by a Gill-Matsuno type response to central-west Pacific warming Journal of Climate 23 4717-4736 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3474.1  

Taschetto, A. S., et al. (2010) Teleconnections associated with the intensification of the Australian monsoon during El Niño Modoki events IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci 11  012031 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/11/1/012031   

Ummenhofer, C. C. (2010) Southern Hemisphere regional precipitation and climate variability: Extremes, trends, and prediction Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 23 48-50, 

Willett, K. M., Alexander, L. V. and Thorne, P. W. (2010) State of the Climate in 2009 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91 S19-S51, 

Zika, J., McDougall, T. J. and Sloyan, B. M. (2010) A tracer-contour inverse method for estimating ocean circulation and mixing Journal of Physical Oceanography 40 26-47 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009JPO4208.1  

Zika, J., McDougall, T. J. and Sloyan, B. M. (2010) Weak mixing in the eastern North Atlantic: An application of the tracer-contour inverse method Journal of Physical Oceanography 40 1881-1893 http://dx.doi.org/10.1172/2010JPO4360.1  

Alexander, L. V., Uotila, P., Nicholls, N. and Lynch, A. (2010#) A new daily pressure dataset for Australia and its application to the assessment of changes in synoptic patterns during the last century Journal of Climate 23 1111-1126 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2972.1  

Chae, J. H. and Sherwood, S. C. (2010#) Insights into cloud-top height and dynamics from seasonal cycle of cloud-top heights observed by MISR in the west Pacific region Journal of the Atmospheric Science 67 248 261 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS3099.1   

Fyke, J. G., et al. (2010#) Surface Melting over Ice Shelves and Ice Sheets as Assessed from Modeled Surface Air Temperatures Journal of Climate 23 1929-1936 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3122.1  

Nicholls, N., Uotila, P. and Alexander, L. V. (2010#) Synoptic influences on seasonal, interannual and decadal temperature variations in Melbourne, Australia International Journal of Climatology 30 1372-1381 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1965  

Rangan, H., Kull, C. and Alexander, L. V. (2010#) Forest plantations, water availability and regional climate change: controversies surrounding Acacia mearnsii plantations in the upper Palnis Hills, southern India Regional Environmental Change 10 103-117 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-009-0098-4

 

2009 Publications

Alexander, L. V. and Arblaster, J. (2009) Assessing trends in observed and modelled climate extremes over Australia in relation to future projections International Journal of Climatology 29 417-435, 

Alexander, L. V. and Power, S. (2009) Severe storms inferred from 150 years of sub-daily pressure observations along Victoria's "Shipwreck Coast" Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 58 129-133, 

Ashe, B., McAneney, K. and Pitman, A. J. (2009) Total cost of fire in Australia Journal of Risk Research 12 121-136, 

Bennett, N. M., Ummenhofer, C. and Moran, R. (2009) Peculiarities of Murray Valley Encephalitis (MVE) epidemics in southeastern Australia: The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) as a predictor for epidemics Victorian Infectious Disease Bulletin 12 112-115, 

Dellnitz, M., et al. (2009) Seasonal variability of the subpolar gyres in the Southern Ocean: a numerical investigation based on transfer operators Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 16 655-663, 

Dessler, A. and Sherwood, S. C. (2009) Atmospheric Science: a matter of humidity Science 323 1020-1021, 

England, M. H., Sen Gupta, A. R. and Pitman, A. J. (2009) Constraining future greenhouse gas emissions by a cumulative target Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106 16539-16540, 

Evans, J. P. (2009) 21st Century climate change in the Middle East Climatic Change 92 417-432 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9438-5  

Findell, K., Pitman, A. J., England, M. H. and Pegion, P. (2009) Regional and global impacts of land over change and sea surface temperature anomalies Journal of Climate 22 3248-3269, 

Gitler, A., et al. (2009) α-Synuclein is part of a diverse and highly conserved interaction network that includes PARK9 and manganese toxicity Nature Genetics 41 308-315, 

Gitler, A. D., et al. (2009) α-Synuclein is part of a diverse and highly conserved interaction network that includes PARK9 and manganese toxicity Nature Genetics 41 308-315 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ng.300  

Green, D. L. (2009) Opal waters, rising seas: how sociocultural inequality reduces resilience to climate change among indigenous Australians Book Opal waters, rising seas: how sociocultural inequality reduces resilience to climate change among indigenous Australians   Left Coast Press, 

Green, D. L., King, U. and Morrison, J. (2009) Disproportionate burdens: the multidimensional impacts of climate change on the health of indigenous Australians Medical Journal of Australia 190 4-5, 

Green, D. L. and Ruddock, K. (2009) Is climate litigation the answer to the problems faced by Torres Strait Islanders? Sustainable Development Law and Policy IX 23-31, 

Green, D. L. and Ruddock, K. (2009) Climate change impacts in the Torres Strait, Australia Indigenous Law Bulletin 7 8, 

Griffies, S., et al. (2009) Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments (COREs) Ocean Modelling 26 1-46, 

Hill, K. J., Santoso, A. and England, M. H. (2009) Interannual Tasmanian rainfall variability associated with large-scale climate modes Journal of Climate 22 4383-4397, 

Hill, K. J., Taschetto, A. S. and England, M. H. (2009) South American rainfall impacts associated with inter-El Nino variations Geophysical Research Letters 36 L19702 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009GL040164  

Kiktev, D., Caesar, J. and Alexander, L. V. (2009) Temperature and precipitation extremes in the second half of the twentieth century from numerical modeling results and observational data Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics 45 284-293, 

Lamb, P. J., Leslie, L. M., Timmer, R. P. and Speer, M. S. (2009) Multidecadal Variability of Eastern Australian Dust and Northern New Zealand Sunshine: Associations with Pacific Climate System Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 114 D09106 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2008JD011184  

Marchesiello, P. and Estrade, P. (2009) Eddy activity and mixing in the upwelling systems: a comparative study of northwest Africa and California regions International Journal of Earth Sciences 98 299-308, 

McAneney, J., Chen, K. and Pitman, A. J. (2009) 100-years of Australian bushfire property losses: Is the risk significant and is it increasing? Journal of Environmental Management 90 2819-2833, 

McGregor, S., Sen Gupta, A. R., Neil, J. and Power, S. (2009) The modulation of ENSO variability in CCSM3 by extratropical Rossby waves Journal of Climate 22 5839-5853, 

McNeil, B. I. (2009) The Clean Industrial Revolution: Growing Australian Prosperity in a Greenhouse Age Allen and Unwin, 

McNeil, B. I. and Tilbrook, B. (2009) A seasonal carbon budget for the sub-Antarctic Ocean, south of Australia Marine Chemistry 115 196-215, 

Moles, A., et al. (2009) Global patterns in plant height Journal of Ecology 97 923-932, 

Perkins, S. E. and Pitman, A. J. (2009) Do weak AR4 models bias projections of future climate changes over Australia? Climatic Change 93 527-558, 

Perkins, S. E., Pitman, A. J. and Sisson, S. A. (2009) Smaller projected increases in 20-year temperature returns over Australia in skill-selected climate models Geophysical Research Letters 36 L06710, 

Phipps, S. J. (2009) Conference Report: Science meets Parliament, Canberra, Australia, 17-18 March 2009 Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society 22 68-69, 

Phipps, S. J., Gergis, J. and Petherick, L. (2009) Report: PAGES 1st Young Scientists Meeting and 3rd Open Science Meeting, Corvallis, Oregon, USA, 6-11 July 2009 Quaternary Australasia 26 8-9., 

Pitman, A. J., et al. (2009) Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study Geophysical Research Letters 36 L14814, 

Pitman, A. J. and Perkins, S. E. (2009) Global and regional comparison of daily 2-m and 1000-hPa maximum and minimum temperatures in three global reanalyses Journal of Climate 22 4667-4681, 

Pook, M., et al. (2009) The Autumn break for cropping in Southeast Australia: trends, synoptic influences and impacts on wheat yields International Journal of Climatology 29 2012-2026, 

Risbey, J., et al. (2009) Characteristics and variability of synoptic features associated with cool season rainfall in southeastern Australia International Journal of Climatology 29 1595-1613, 

Sen Gupta, A. R., et al. (2009) Projected changes to the Southern Hemisphere ocean and sea-ice in the IPCC AR4 climate models Journal of Climate 22 3047-3078, 

Sherwood, S. C., Andronova, N., Fetzer, E. and Kursinski, E. (2009) What can water vapor reveal about past and future climate change? EOS Transactions American Geophysical Union 90 122, 

Sijp, W. and England, M. H. (2009) Atmospheric moisture transport determines climatic response to the opening of the Drake Passage Journal of Climate 22 2483-2493, 

Sijp, W. and England, M. H. (2009) Southern Hemisphere westerly wind control over the ocean's thermohaline circulation Journal of Climate 22 6639-6652, 

Sijp, W. P. and England, M. H. (2009) The control of polar haloclines by along-isopycnal diffusion in climate models Journal of Climate 22 486-498, 

Sijp, W. P., England, M. H. and Toggweiler, J. R. (2009) Effect of ocean gateway changes under greenhouse warmth Journal of Climate 22 6639-6652, 

Speer, M. S., Leslie, L. M. and Fierro, A. O. (2009) Australian east coast rainfall decline related to large scale climate drivers Climate Dynamics   http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0726-1  

Speer, M. S., Wiles, P. and Pepler, A. (2009) Low pressure systems off the New South Wales coast and associated hazardous weather: establishment of a database Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 50 29-39, 

Taschetto, A. S. and England, M. H. (2009) El Niño Modoki impacts on Australian rainfall Journal of Climate 22 3167-3174, 

Taschetto, A. S. and England, M. H. (2009) An analysis of late 20th Century trends in Australian rainfall International Journal of Climatology 29 791-807, 

Taschetto, A. S., Sen Gupta, A. R., Ummenhofer, C. C. and England, M. H. (2009) How does El Niño Modoki affect the Australian monsoon? Clivar Exchanges 14 35-47, 

Taschetto, A. S., Ummenhofer, C. C., Sen Gupta, A. R. and England, M. H. (2009) Effect of anomalous warming in the central Pacific on the Australian monsoon Geophysical Research Letters 36 L12704 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009GL038416  

Ummenhofer, C. C., et al. (2009) What causes southeast Australia's worst droughts? Geophysical Research Letters 36 L04706 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2008GL036801  

Ummenhofer, C. C., Sen Gupta, A. R. and England, M. H. (2009) Causes of late-twentieth century trends in New Zealand precipitation Journal of Climate 22 3-19, 

Ummenhofer, C. C., Sen Gupta, A. R., England, M. H. and Reason, C. J. C. (2009) Contributions of Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures to enhanced East African rainfall Journal of Climate 22 993-1013 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2493.1  

Ummenhofer, C. C., Sen Gupta, A. R., Taschetto, A. S. and England, M. H. (2009) Modulation of Australian precipitation by meridional gradients in east Indian Ocean sea surface temperature Journal of Climate 22 5597-5610, 

Zika, J., Sloyan, B. and McDougall, T. (2009) Diagnosing the Southern Ocean overturning from tracer fields Journal of Physical Oceanography 39 2926-2940, 

Alexander, L. V., et al. (2009#) Climate Extremes: Progress and Future Directions. Editorial for Special Issue of International Journal of Climatology International Journal of Climatology 29 317-319, 

Alexander, L. V., Uotila, P. and Nicholls, N. (2009#) Influence of sea surface temperature variability on global temperature and precipitation extremes Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 114 D18116 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009JD012301  

Allan, R., Tett, S. and Alexander, L. V. (2009#) Fluctuations in autumn-winter severe storms over the British Isles: 1920 to present International Journal of Climatology 29 357-371, 

Ciasto, L. M. and Thompson, D. W. J. (2009#) Observational Evidence of Reemergence in the Extratropical Southern Hemisphere Journal of Climate 22 1446-1453, 

d'Orgeville, M. and Peltier, W. R. (2009#) Implications of Both Statistical Equilibrium and Global Warming Simulations with CCSM3. Part I: On the Decadal Variability in the North Pacific Basin Journal of Climate 22 5277-5297, 

d'Orgeville, M. and Peltier, W. R. (2009#) Implications of Both Statistical Equilibrium and Global Warming Simulations with CCSM3. Part II: On the Multidecadal Variability in the North Atlantic Basin. Journal of Climate 22 5289-5318,

 

2008 Publications

Abramowitz, G. and Gupta, H. (2008) Toward a model space and model independence metric Geophysical Research Letters 35 L05705 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032834  

Abramowitz, G., Leuning, R., Clark, M. and Pitman, A. J. (2008) Evaluating the performance of land surface models Journal of Climate 21 5468-5481 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2378.1  

Aiken, C. and England, M. H. (2008) Sensitivity of the present-day climate to freshwater forcing associated with Antarctic sea-ice loss Journal of Climate 21 3936-3946 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1901.1  

Arzel, O., England, M. H. and Sijp, W. (2008) Reduced stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation due to wind-stress feedback during glacial times Journal of Climate 21 6260-6282 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2291.1  

Arzel, O., Fichefet, T., Goosse, H. and Dufresne, J. (2008) Causes and impacts of changes in the Arctic freshwater budget during the twentieth and twenty-first centuries in the AOGCM Climate Dynamics 30 37-58, 

Beaumont, L. J., Hughes, L. and Pitman, A. J. (2008) Why is the choice of future climate scenarios for species distribution modelling important? Ecology Letters 11 1135-1146, 

Drost, F. and England, M. H. (2008) Twentieth century trends in moisture advection over Australia Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 100 243-256, 

England, M. H. (2008) Water mass variability and change in the Southern Ocean Trans. Roy. Soc. Vic. 120 i-iv, 

Evans, J. P. and Zaitchik, B. (2008) Modelling the large scale water balance impact of different irrigation systems Water Resources Research 44 W08448 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007WR006671  

Green, D. L. (2008) Climate Change and Health: Impacts on Remote Indigenous Communities in Northern Australia Book Climate Change and Health: Impacts on Remote Indigenous Communities in Northern Australia   Icfai University Press: India, 

McNeil, B. I. (2008) Global Ecology of the Oceans and Coasts Book Global Ecology of the Oceans and Coasts  27-51, 

McNeil, B. I. and Mataer, R. (2008) Southern Ocean acidification: a tipping point at 450ppm atmospheric CO₂Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 105 18860-18864, 

Moles, A., et al. (2008) Is there a latitudinal gradient in seed production Journal of Ecography 32 78-82, 

Pitman, A. J. and Perkins, S. E. (2008) Regional projections of future seasonal and annual changes in rainfall Earth Interactions 12 1-50 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008EI260.1  

Santoso, A. and England, M. H. (2008) Antarctic Bottom Water Variability in a Coupled Climate Model Journal of Physical Oceanography 38 1870-1893 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008JPO3741.1  

Sijp, W. and England, M. H. (2008) The effect of a northward shift in the southern hemisphere westerlies on the global ocean Progress in Oceanography 79 1-19, 

Speer, M. (2008) On the late twentieth century decrease in Australian east coat rainfall extremes Atmospheric Science Letters 9 160-170, 

Taschetto, A. S. and England, M. (2008) Estimating ensemble size requirements of AGCM simulations Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 100 23-26, 

Taschetto, A. S. and Wainer, I. (2008) Reproducibility of South American precipitation due to subtropical South Atlantic SSTs Journal of Climate 21 2835-2851 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1865.1  

Taschetto, A. S. and Wainer, I. (2008) The impact of subtropical South Atlantic SST of South American precipitation Annales Geophysicae 26 3457-3476, 

Tong, S., et al. (2008) Global climate change: time to mainstream health risks and their prevention on the medical research and policy agenda Internal Medicine Journal 38 445-447, 

Trevena, J., Sijp, W. and England, M. H. (2008) North Atlantic deep water collapse triggered by Southern Ocean meltwater pulse in a glacial state Geophysical Research Letters 35 L09704 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2008GL033236  

Trevena, J., Sijp, W. and England, M. H. (2008) Stability of Antarctic bottom water formation to freshwater fluxes and implications for global climate Journal of Climate 21 3310-3326, 

Ummenhofer, C. C., Sen Gupta, A. R., Pook, M. and England, M. H. (2008) Anomalous rainfall over Southwest Western Australia forced by Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures Journal of Climate 21 5113-5134, 

Wainer, I. and Taschetto, A. S. (2008) Climatologia dos parametros de superficie marinha da regiao sudeste da costa brasileira: enfase na regiao de Sao Sebastiao Book Climatologia dos parametros de superficie marinha da regiao sudeste da costa brasileira: enfase na regiao de Sao Sebastiao  41-58 EDUSP., 

Zika, J. and McDougall, T. J. (2008) Vertical and lateral mixing processes deducted from the Mediterranean Journal of Physical Oceanography 38 164-176,

 

2007 Publications

Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A., Abramowitz, G. and Pitman, A. (2007) Systematic bias in land surface models J. Hydrometeorol. 8 989-1001 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm628.1  

Alloway, B. V., et al. (2007) Towards a climate event stratigraphy for New Zealand over the past 30 000 years (NZ-INTIMATE project) Journal of Quaternary Science 22 9-35 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jqs.1079  

Arzel, O., et al. (2007) On the origin of interdecadal oscillations in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model Tellus Ser. A-Dyn. Meteorol. Oceanol. 59 367-383 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2007.00227.x  

Baird, M. E., Suthers, I. M., Baird, M. E. and Suthers, I. M. (2007) A size-resolved pelagic ecosystem model Ecol. Model. 203 185-203 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.11.025  

Beaumont, L., Pitman, A. J., Hughes, L. and Poulsen, M. (2007) Where will species go? Incorporating new advances in climate modelling into projections of species distributions Global Change Biology 13 1368-1385 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j. 1365-2486.2007.01357.x  

Impact of climate change on wheat flowering time in eastern Australia

doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2014.06.001