2019 PUBLICATIONS

Abramowitz, G., Herger, N., Gutmann, E., Hammerling, D., Knutti, R., Leduc, M., Lorenz, R., Pincus, R., Schmidt, G.A., 2019. ESD Reviews: Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing. Earth System Dynamics 10, 91–105. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-91-2019

Hobeichi, S., Abramowitz, G., Evans, J., Beck, H.E., 2019. Linear Optimal Runoff Aggregate (LORA): a global gridded synthesis runoff product. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 23, 851–870. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-851-2019

2018 PUBLICATIONS

Abellán, E., McGregor, S., England, M.H., Santoso, A., 2018. Distinctive role of ocean advection anomalies in the development of the extreme 2015–16 El Niño. Climate Dynamics 51, 2191–2208. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4007-0

Allen, K.J., Villalba, R., Lavergne, A., Palmer, J.G., Cook, E.C., Fenwick, P., Drew, D.M., Turney, C.S.M., Baker, P.J., 2018. A comparison of some simple methods used to detect unstable temperature responses in tree-ring chronologies. Dendrochronologia 48, 52–73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dendro.2018.02.002

Bador, M., Donat, M.G., Geoffroy, O., Alexander, L.V., 2018. Assessing the Robustness of Future Extreme Precipitation Intensification in the CMIP5 Ensemble. Journal of Climate 31, 6505–6525. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0683.1

Bao, J., Sherwood, S.C., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., 2018. Comments on “temperature-extreme precipitation scaling: A two-way causality?” International Journal of Climatology 38, 4661–4663. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5665

Béranger, B., Duong, T., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Sisson, S.A., 2018. Tail density estimation for exploratory data analysis using kernel methods. Journal of Nonparametric Statistics 31, 144–174. https://doi.org/10.1080/10485252.2018.1537442

Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Barbero, R., Chan, S.C., Guerreiro, S.B., Kendon, E., Lenderink, G., Lewis, E., Li, X.-F., Westra, S., Alexander, L., Allan, R.P., Berg, P., Dunn, R.J.H., Ekström, M., Evans, J.P., Holland, G., Jones, R., Kjellström, E., Klein-Tank, A., Lettenmaier, D., Mishra, V., Prein, A.F., Sheffield, J., Tye, M.R., 2018. The INTENSE project: using observations and models to understand the past, present and future of sub-daily rainfall extremes. Advances in Science and Research 15, 117–126. https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-15-117-2018

Bull, C.Y.S., Kiss, A.E., van Sebille, E., Jourdain, N.C., England, M.H., 2018. The Role of the New Zealand Plateau in the Tasman Sea Circulation and Separation of the East Australian Current. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 123, 1457–1470. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013412

Burrell, A.L., Evans, J.P., Liu, Y., 2018. The impact of dataset selection on land degradation assessment. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 146, 22–37. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2018.08.017

Cetina-Heredia, P., van Sebille, E., Matear, R.J., Roughan, M., 2018. Nitrate Sources, Supply, and Phytoplankton Growth in the Great Australian Bight: An Eulerian-Lagrangian Modeling Approach. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 123, 759–772. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013542

Chaivaranont, W., Evans, J.P., Liu, Y.Y., Sharples, J.J., 2018. Estimating grassland curing with remotely sensed data. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 18, 1535–1554. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-1535-2018

Chen, X., Liu, Y.Y., Evans, J.P., Parinussa, R.M., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Yebra, M., 2018. Estimating fire severity and carbon emissions over Australian tropical savannahs based on passive microwave satellite observations. International Journal of Remote Sensing 39, 6479–6498. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2018.1460507

Clarke, H., Evans, J.P., 2018. Exploring the future change space for fire weather in southeast Australia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2507-4

Contractor, S., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., 2018. Intensification of the Daily Wet Day Rainfall Distribution Across Australia. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078875

Cooper, N., Green, D., Sullivan, M., Cohen, D., 2018. Environmental justice analyses may hide inequalities in Indigenous people’s exposure to lead in Mount Isa, Queensland. Environmental Research Letters 13, 084004. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aad295

CSIRO, Hobday, A., Oliver, E., Sen Gupta, A., Benthuysen, J., Burrows, M., Donat, M., Holbrook, N., Moore, P., Thomsen, M., Wernberg, T., Smale, D., 2018. Categorizing and Naming Marine Heatwaves. Oceanography 31. https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2018.205

Dean, A., Green, D., 2018. Climate change, air pollution and human health in Sydney, Australia: A review of the literature. Environmental Research Letters 13, 053003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac02a

Di Virgilio, Giovanni, Hart, M.A., Jiang, N., 2018. Meteorological controls on atmospheric particulate pollution during hazard reduction burns. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 18, 6585–6599. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-6585-2018

Di Virgilio, G., Wardell-Johnson, G.W., Robinson, T.P., Temple-Smith, D., Hesford, J., 2018. Characterising fine-scale variation in plant species richness and endemism across topographically complex, semi-arid landscapes. Journal of Arid Environments 156, 59–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2018.04.005

Dittus, A.J., Karoly, D.J., Donat, M.G., Lewis, S.C., Alexander, L.V., 2018. Understanding the role of sea surface temperature-forcing for variability in global temperature and precipitation extremes. Weather and Climate Extremes 21, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.06.002

Dixit, V., Geoffroy, O., Sherwood, S.C., 2018a. Control of ITCZ Width by Low-Level Radiative Heating From Upper-Level Clouds in Aquaplanet Simulations. Geophysical Research Letters 45, 5788–5797. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078292

Dixit, V., Sherwood, S., Geoffroy, O., Mantsis, D., 2018b. The Role of Nonlinear Drying above the Boundary Layer in the Mid-Holocene African Monsoon. Journal of Climate 31, 233–249. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0234.1

Donat, M.G., Pitman, A.J., Angélil, O., 2018. Understanding and Reducing Future Uncertainty in Midlatitude Daily Heat Extremes Via Land Surface Feedback Constraints. Geophysical Research Letters 45, 10,627-10,636. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079128

Downes, S.M., Spence, P., Hogg, A.M., 2018. Understanding variability of the Southern Ocean overturning circulation in CORE-II models. Ocean Modelling 123, 98–109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.01.005

Evans, J., Kay, M., Prasad, A., Pitman, A., 2018. The resilience of Australian wind energy to climate change. Environmental Research Letters 13. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa632

Feng, P., Liu, D.L., Wang, B., Waters, C., Zhang, M., Yu, Q., 2018a. Projected changes in drought across the wheat belt of southeastern Australia using a downscaled climate ensemble. International Journal of Climatology 39, 1041–1053. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5861

Feng, P., Wang, B., Liu, D.L., Xing, H., Ji, F., Macadam, I., Ruan, H., Yu, Q., 2018b. Impacts of rainfall extremes on wheat yield in semi-arid cropping systems in eastern Australia. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2170-x

Fischer, H., Meissner, K.J., Mix, A.C., Abram, N.J., Austermann, J., Brovkin, V., Capron, E., Colombaroli, D., Daniau, A.-L., Dyez, K.A., Felis, T., Finkelstein, S.A., Jaccard, S.L., McClymont, E.L., Rovere, A., Sutter, J., Wolff, E.W., Affolter, S., Bakker, P., Ballesteros-Cánovas, J.A., Barbante, C., Caley, T., Carlson, A.E., Churakova, O., Cortese, G., Cumming, B.F., Davis, B.A.S., de Vernal, A., Emile-Geay, J., Fritz, S.C., Gierz, P., Gottschalk, J., Holloway, M.D., Joos, F., Kucera, M., Loutre, M.-F., Lunt, D.J., Marcisz, K., Marlon, J.R., Martinez, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., Nehrbass-Ahles, C., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Raible, C.C., Risebrobakken, B., Goñi, M.F.S., Arrigo, J.S., Sarnthein, M., Sjolte, J., Stocker, T.F., Alvárez, P.A.V., Tinner, W., Valdes, P.J., Vogel, H., Wanner, H., Yan, Q., Yu, Z., Ziegler, M., Zhou, L., 2018a. Author Correction: Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 °C anthropogenic warming and beyond. Nature Geoscience 11, 615–615. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0196-3

Fischer, H., Meissner, K.J., Mix, A.C., Abram, N.J., Austermann, J., Brovkin, V., Capron, E., Colombaroli, D., Daniau, A.-L., Dyez, K.A., Felis, T., Finkelstein, S.A., Jaccard, S.L., McClymont, E.L., Rovere, A., Sutter, J., Wolff, E.W., Affolter, S., Bakker, P., Ballesteros-Cánovas, J.A., Barbante, C., Caley, T., Carlson, A.E., Churakova, O., Cortese, G., Cumming, B.F., Davis, B.A.S., de Vernal, A., Emile-Geay, J., Fritz, S.C., Gierz, P., Gottschalk, J., Holloway, M.D., Joos, F., Kucera, M., Loutre, M.-F., Lunt, D.J., Marcisz, K., Marlon, J.R., Martinez, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., Nehrbass-Ahles, C., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Raible, C.C., Risebrobakken, B., Sánchez Goñi, M.F., Arrigo, J.S., Sarnthein, M., Sjolte, J., Stocker, T.F., Velasquez Alvárez, P.A., Tinner, W., Valdes, P.J., Vogel, H., Wanner, H., Yan, Q., Yu, Z., Ziegler, M., Zhou, L., 2018b. Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 °C anthropogenic warming and beyond. Nature Geoscience 11, 474–485. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0146-0

Frankcombe, L.M., England, M.H., Kajtar, J.B., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., 2018. On the Choice of Ensemble Mean for Estimating the Forced Signal in the Presence of Internal Variability. Journal of Climate 31, 5681–5693. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0662.1

Goldstein, M.A., Lynch, A.H., Zsom, A., Arbetter, T., Chang, A., Fetterer, F., 2018. The step-like evolution of Arctic open water. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-35064-5

Goslin, J., Fruergaard, M., Sander, L., Gałka, M., Menviel, L., Monkenbusch, J., Thibault, N., Clemmensen, L.B., 2018. Holocene centennial to millennial shifts in North-Atlantic storminess and ocean dynamics. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-29949-8

Gross, M.H., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., Sisson, S.A., 2018. The Sensitivity of Daily Temperature Variability and Extremes to Dataset Choice. Journal of Climate 31, 1337–1359. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0243.1

Harris, R.M.B., Beaumont, L.J., Vance, T.R., Tozer, C.R., Remenyi, T.A., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Mitchell, P.J., Nicotra, A.B., McGregor, S., Andrew, N.R., Letnic, M., Kearney, M.R., Wernberg, T., Hutley, L.B., Chambers, L.E., Fletcher, M.-S., Keatley, M.R., Woodward, C.A., Williamson, G., Duke, N.C., Bowman, D.M.J.S., 2018a. Biological responses to the press and pulse of climate trends and extreme events. Nature Climate Change 8, 579–587. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0187-9

Harris, R.M.B., Beaumont, L.J., Vance, T.R., Tozer, C.R., Remenyi, T.A., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Mitchell, P.J., Nicotra, A.B., McGregor, S., Andrew, N.R., Letnic, M., Kearney, M.R., Wernberg, T., Hutley, L.B., Chambers, L.E., Fletcher, M.-S., Keatley, M.R., Woodward, C.A., Williamson, G., Duke, N.C., Bowman, D.M.J.S., 2018b. Author Correction: Biological responses to the press and pulse of climate trends and extreme events. Nature Climate Change 8, 840–840. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0237-3

Haughton, N., Abramowitz, G., De Kauwe, M.G., Pitman, A.J., 2018a. Does predictability of fluxes vary between FLUXNET sites? Biogeosciences 15, 4495–4513. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-4495-2018

Haughton, N., Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A.J., 2018b. On the predictability of land surface fluxes from meteorological variables. Geoscientific Model Development 11, 195–212. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-195-2018

Herger, N., Abramowitz, G., Knutti, R., Angélil, O., Lehmann, K., Sanderson, B.M., 2018a. Selecting a climate model subset to optimise key ensemble properties. Earth System Dynamics 9, 135–151. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-135-2018

Herger, N., Angélil, O., Abramowitz, G., Donat, M., Stone, D., Lehmann, K., 2018b. Calibrating Climate Model Ensembles for Assessing Extremes in a Changing Climate. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123, 5988–6004. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028549

Hernandez-Deckers, D., Sherwood, S.C., 2018. On the Role of Entrainment in the Fate of Cumulus Thermals. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 75, 3911–3924. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0077.1

Herold, N., Ekström, M., Kala, J., Goldie, J., Evans, J.P., 2018. Australian climate extremes in the 21st century according to a regional climate model ensemble: Implications for health and agriculture. Weather and Climate Extremes 20, 54–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.01.001

Hobeichi, S., Abramowitz, G., Evans, J., Ukkola, A., 2018. Derived Optimal Linear Combination Evapotranspiration (DOLCE): a global gridded synthesis ET estimate. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 22, 1317–1336. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1317-2018

Holmes, R.M., de Lavergne, C., McDougall, T.J., 2018a. Ridges, Seamounts, Troughs, and Bowls: Topographic Control of the Dianeutral Circulation in the Abyssal Ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography 48, 861–882. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-17-0141.1

Holmes, R.M., McGregor, S., Santoso, A., England, M.H., 2018b. Contribution of tropical instability waves to ENSO irregularity. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4217-0

Ji, F., Evans, J.P., Di Luca, A., Jiang, N., Olson, R., Fita, L., Argüeso, D., Chang, L.T.-C., Scorgie, Y., Riley, M., 2018. Projected change in characteristics of near surface temperature inversions for southeast Australia. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4214-3

Jucker, M., Reichler, T., 2018. Dynamical Precursors for Statistical Prediction of Stratospheric Sudden Warming Events. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080691

King, A.D., Donat, M.G., Lewis, S.C., Henley, B.J., Mitchell, D.M., Stott, P.A., Fischer, E.M., Karoly, D.J., 2018. Reduced heat exposure by limiting global warming to 1.5 °C. Nature Climate Change 8, 549–551. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0191-0

Kobashi, T., Menviel, L., Jeltsch-Thömmes, A., Vinther, B.M., Box, J.E., Muscheler, R., Nakaegawa, T., Pfister, P.L., Döring, M., Leuenberger, M., Wanner, H., Ohmura, A., 2018. Author Correction: Volcanic influence on centennial to millennial Holocene Greenland temperature change. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-21307-y

Kondo, M., Ichii, K., Patra, P.K., Canadell, J.G., Poulter, B., Sitch, S., Calle, L., Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Saeki, T., Saigusa, N., Friedlingstein, P., Arneth, A., Harper, A., Jain, A.K., Kato, E., Koven, C., Li, F., Pugh, T.A.M., Zaehle, S., Wiltshire, A., Chevallier, F., Maki, T., Nakamura, T., Niwa, Y., Rödenbeck, C., 2018. Land use change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation drive decadal carbon balance shifts in Southeast Asia. Nature Communications 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-03374-x

Kosintsev, P., Mitchell, K.J., Devièse, T., van der Plicht, J., Kuitems, M., Petrova, E., Tikhonov, A., Higham, T., Comeskey, D., Turney, C., Cooper, A., van Kolfschoten, T., Stuart, A.J., Lister, A.M., 2018. Evolution and extinction of the giant rhinoceros Elasmotherium sibiricum sheds light on late Quaternary megafaunal extinctions. Nature Ecology & Evolution 3, 31–38. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-018-0722-0

Kvale, K.F., Turner, K.E., Keller, D.P., Meissner, K.J., 2018. Asymmetric dynamical ocean responses in warming icehouse and cooling greenhouse climates. Environmental Research Letters 13, 125011. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaedc3

Lawrence Livermore National Loboratory, Durack, P., Sen Gupta, A., Smedsrud, L., 2018. Introduction to the Special Issue on Ocean Warming. Oceanography 31, 28–31. https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2018.226

Li, J., Wasko, C., Johnson, F., Evans, J.P., Sharma, A., 2018. Can Regional Climate Modeling Capture the Observed Changes in Spatial Organization of Extreme Storms at Higher Temperatures? Geophysical Research Letters 45, 4475–4484. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077716

Lipson, M.J., Thatcher, M., Hart, M.A., Pitman, A., 2018. A building energy demand and urban land surface model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 144, 1572–1590. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3317

Liu, D.L., Wang, B., Evans, J., Ji, F., Waters, C., Macadam, I., Yang, X., Beyer, K., 2018. Propagation of climate model biases to biophysical modelling can complicate assessments of climate change impact in agricultural systems. International Journal of Climatology 39, 424–444. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5820

Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Miralles, D.G., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., de Jeu, R.A.M., Gentine, P., Huete, A., Parinussa, R.M., Wang, L., Guan, K., Berry, J., Restrepo-Coupe, N., 2018. Enhanced canopy growth precedes senescence in 2005 and 2010 Amazonian droughts. Remote Sensing of Environment 211, 26–37. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2018.03.035

Lorenz, R., Herger, N., Sedláček, J., Eyring, V., Fischer, E.M., Knutti, R., 2018. Prospects and Caveats of Weighting Climate Models for Summer Maximum Temperature Projections Over North America. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123, 4509–4526. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JD027992

Lorrey, A.M., Boswijk, G., Hogg, A., Palmer, J.G., Turney, C.S.M., Fowler, A.M., Ogden, J., Woolley, J.-M., 2018. The scientific value and potential of New Zealand swamp kauri. Quaternary Science Reviews 183, 124–139. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.12.019

Loughran, T.F., Pitman, A.J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., 2018. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation’s effect on summer heatwave development mechanisms in Australia. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4511-x

Ma, S., Pitman, A., Yang, J., Carouge, C., Evans, J.P., Hart, M., Green, D., 2018. Evaluating the Effectiveness of Mitigation Options on Heat Stress for Sydney, Australia. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 57, 209–220. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0061.1

Ma, Y., Sun, L., Liu, C., Yang, X., Zhou, W., Yang, B., Schwenke, G., Liu, D.L., 2018. A comparison of methane and nitrous oxide emissions from inland mixed-fish and crab aquaculture ponds. Science of The Total Environment 637–638, 517–523. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.040

Maher, N., England, M.H., Gupta, A.S., Spence, P., 2018. Correction to: Role of Pacific trade winds in driving ocean temperatures during the recent slowdown and projections under a wind trend reversal. Climate Dynamics 51, 337–337. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4245-9

McGregor, S., Stuecker, M.F., Kajtar, J.B., England, M.H., Collins, M., 2018. Model tropical Atlantic biases underpin diminished Pacific decadal variability. Nature Climate Change 8, 493–498. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0163-4

Menviel, L., Spence, P., Yu, J., Chamberlain, M.A., Matear, R.J., Meissner, K.J., England, M.H., 2018. Southern Hemisphere westerlies as a driver of the early deglacial atmospheric CO2 rise. Nature Communications 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04876-4

Mukkavilli, S.K., Prasad, A.A., Taylor, R.A., Huang, J., Mitchell, R.M., Troccoli, A., Kay, M.J., 2018. Assessment of atmospheric aerosols from two reanalysis products over Australia. Atmospheric Research 215, 149–164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.08.026

Mukkavilli, S. K., Prasad, A.A., Taylor, R.A., Troccoli, A., Kay, M.J., 2018. Mesoscale Simulations of Australian Direct Normal Irradiance, Featuring an Extreme Dust Event. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 57, 493–515. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0091.1

Naughten, K.A., Meissner, K.J., Galton-Fenzi, B.K., England, M.H., Timmermann, R., Hellmer, H.H., 2018a. Future Projections of Antarctic Ice Shelf Melting Based on CMIP5 Scenarios. Journal of Climate 31, 5243–5261. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0854.1

Naughten, K.A., Meissner, K.J., Galton-Fenzi, B.K., England, M.H., Timmermann, R., Hellmer, H.H., Hattermann, T., Debernard, J.B., 2018b. Intercomparison of Antarctic ice-shelf, ocean, and sea-ice interactions simulated by MetROMS-iceshelf and FESOM 1.4. Geoscientific Model Development 11, 1257–1292. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1257-2018

Oliver, E.C.J., Donat, M.G., Burrows, M.T., Moore, P.J., Smale, D.A., Alexander, L.V., Benthuysen, J.A., Feng, M., Sen Gupta, A., Hobday, A.J., Holbrook, N.J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Scannell, H.A., Straub, S.C., Wernberg, T., 2018a. Longer and more frequent marine heatwaves over the past century. Nature Communications 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-03732-9

Oliver, E.C.J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Holbrook, N.J., Bindoff, N.L., 2018b. Anthropogenic and Natural Influences on Record 2016 Marine Heat waves. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 99, S44–S48. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0093.1

Pepler, A.S., Di Luca, A., Evans, J.P., 2018. Independently assessing the representation of midlatitude cyclones in high-resolution reanalyses using satellite observed winds: ASSESSING MIDLATITUDE CYCLONES IN REANALYSES USING SATELLITE WINDS. International Journal of Climatology 38, 1314–1327. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5245

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Pitman, A., 2018. Extreme events in the context of climate change. Public Health Research & Practice 28. https://doi.org/10.17061/phrp2841825

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Donat, M.G., Dunn, R.J.H., 2018. Global Climate: land surface temperature extremes [in “State of the Climate in 2017”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 99, S15–S31. https://doi.org/10.1175/2018BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Gibson, P.B., 2018. Author Correction: Changes in regional heatwave characteristics as a function of increasing global temperature. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-23085-z

Prasad, A., Kay, M., 2018. Assessment of solar irradiance predictions using WRF on days of high intermittency.

Prasad, A.A., Sherwood, S.C., Reeder, M., Lane, T., 2018. Analysis of convectively-generated gravity waves over Northern Australia in satellite observations and mesoscale model simulations, in: Analysis of Convectively-Generated Gravity Waves over Northern Australia in Satellite Observations and Mesoscale Model Simulations. Presented at the AMOS-ICSHMO, Sydney, Australia.

Purich, A., England, M.H., Cai, W., Sullivan, A., Durack, P.J., 2018. Impacts of Broad-Scale Surface Freshening of the Southern Ocean in a Coupled Climate Model. Journal of Climate 31, 2613–2632. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0092.1

Rainsley, E., Menviel, L., Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., Hughes, A.L.C., Rood, D.H., 2018. Greenland ice mass loss during the Younger Dryas driven by Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation feedbacks. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-29226-8

Robinson, T.P., Di Virgilio, G., Temple-Smith, D., Hesford, J., Wardell-Johnson, G.W., 2018. Characterisation of range restriction amongst the rare flora of Banded Ironstone Formation ranges in semiarid south-western Australia. Australian Journal of Botany. https://doi.org/10.1071/BT18111

Royston, S., Watson, C.S., Legrésy, B., King, M.A., Church, J.A., Bos, M.S., 2018. Sea-Level Trend Uncertainty With Pacific Climatic Variability and Temporally-Correlated Noise. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 123, 1978–1993. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013655

Ruan, H., Feng, P., Wang, B., Xing, H., O’Leary, G.J., Huang, Z., Guo, H., Liu, D.L., 2018. Future climate change projects positive impacts on sugarcane productivity in southern China. European Journal of Agronomy 96, 108–119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2018.03.007

School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, J.G., P., C.M.J., T., School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, P., Fogwill, School of Geography, Geology and the Environment, William Smith Building, Keele University, P., Fenwick, Z., T., M., L., R.T., J., B., B., S.J., R., J.M., W., 2018. Growth response of an invasive alien species to climate variations on subantarctic Campbell Island. New Zealand Journal of Ecology. https://doi.org/10.20417/nzjecol.42.2

Scutt Phillips, J., Sen Gupta, A., Senina, I., van Sebille, E., Lange, M., Lehodey, P., Hampton, J., Nicol, S., 2018. An individual-based model of skipjack tuna ( Katsuwonus pelamis ) movement in the tropical Pacific ocean. Progress in Oceanography 164, 63–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2018.04.007

Seneviratne, S.I., Phipps, S.J., Pitman, A.J., Hirsch, A.L., Davin, E.L., Donat, M.G., Hirschi, M., Lenton, A., Wilhelm, M., Kravitz, B., 2018. Land radiative management as contributor to regional-scale climate adaptation and mitigation. Nature Geoscience 11, 88–96. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-017-0057-5

Sherwood, S.C., 2018. How Important Is Humidity in Heat Stress? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123, 11,808-11,810. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028969

Sherwood, S.C., Dixit, V., Salomez, C., 2018. The global warming potential of near-surface emitted water vapour. Environmental Research Letters 13, 104006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aae018

Stone, D.A., Risser, M.D., Angélil, O.M., Wehner, M.F., Cholia, S., Keen, N., Krishnan, H., O’Brien, T.A., Collins, W.D., 2018. A basis set for exploration of sensitivity to prescribed ocean conditions for estimating human contributions to extreme weather in CAM5.1-1degree. Weather and Climate Extremes 19, 10–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2017.12.003

Stoney, L., Walsh, K.J.E., Thomas, S., Spence, P., Babanin, A.V., 2018. Changes in Ocean Heat Content Caused by Wave-Induced Mixing in a High-Resolution Ocean Model. Journal of Physical Oceanography 48, 1139–1150. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-17-0142.1

Thomas, Z., Jones, R.T., Fogwill, C., Hatton, J., Williams, A., Hogg, A., Mooney, S., Jones, P., Lister, D., Mayewski, P., Turney, C., 2018a. Evidence for increased expression of the Amundsen Sea Low over the South Atlantic during the late Holocene. Climate of the Past Discussions 1–25. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2018-11

Thomas, Z., Turney, C., Allan, R., Colwell, S., Kelly, G., Lister, D., Jones, P., Beswick, M., Alexander, L., Lippmann, T., Herold, N., Jones, R., 2018b. A New Daily Observational Record from Grytviken, South Georgia: Exploring Twentieth-Century Extremes in the South Atlantic. Journal of Climate 31, 1743–1755. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0353.1

Thompson, A.F., Stewart, A.L., Spence, P., Heywood, K.J., 2018. The Antarctic Slope Current in a Changing Climate. Reviews of Geophysics 56, 741–770. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018RG000624

Thran, A.C., Dutkiewicz, A., Spence, P., Müller, R.D., 2018. Controls on the global distribution of contourite drifts: Insights from an eddy-resolving ocean model. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 489, 228–240. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2018.02.044

Turney, C.S.M., Palmer, J., Maslin, M.A., Hogg, A., Fogwill, C.J., Southon, J., Fenwick, P., Helle, G., Wilmshurst, J.M., McGlone, M., Bronk Ramsey, C., Thomas, Z., Lipson, M., Beaven, B., Jones, R.T., Andrews, O., Hua, Q., 2018. Global Peak in Atmospheric Radiocarbon Provides a Potential Definition for the Onset of the Anthropocene Epoch in 1965. Scientific Reports 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20970-5

Tzedakis, P.C., Drysdale, R.N., Margari, V., Skinner, L.C., Menviel, L., Rhodes, R.H., Taschetto, A.S., Hodell, D.A., Crowhurst, S.J., Hellstrom, J.C., Fallick, A.E., Grimalt, J.O., McManus, J.F., Martrat, B., Mokeddem, Z., Parrenin, F., Regattieri, E., Roe, K., Zanchetta, G., 2018. Enhanced climate instability in the North Atlantic and southern Europe during the Last Interglacial. Nature Communications 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06683-3

Ukkola, A.M., Pitman, A.J., De Kauwe, M.G., Abramowitz, G., Herger, N., Evans, J.P., Decker, M., 2018a. Evaluating CMIP5 Model Agreement for Multiple Drought Metrics. Journal of Hydrometeorology 19, 969–988. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0099.1

Ukkola, A.M., Pitman, A.J., Donat, M.G., De Kauwe, M.G., Angélil, O., 2018b. Evaluating the Contribution of Land-Atmosphere Coupling to Heat Extremes in CMIP5 Models. Geophysical Research Letters 45, 9003–9012. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079102

Walker, A.P., Ye, M., Lu, D., De Kauwe, M.G., Gu, L., Medlyn, B.E., Rogers, A., Serbin, S.P., 2018. The multi-assumption architecture and testbed (MAAT v1.0): R code for generating ensembles with dynamic model structure and analysis of epistemic uncertainty from multiple sources. Geoscientific Model Development 11, 3159–3185. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3159-2018

Walz, M.A., Donat, M.G., Leckebusch, G.C., 2018. Large-Scale Drivers and Seasonal Predictability of Extreme Wind Speeds Over the North Atlantic and Europe. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123, 11,518-11,535. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JD027958

Wang, B., Liu, D.L., Waters, C., Yu, Q., 2018a. Quantifying sources of uncertainty in projected wheat yield changes under climate change in eastern Australia. Climatic Change 151, 259–273. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2306-z

Wang, B., Zheng, L., Liu, D.L., Clark, A., Yu, Q., 2018b. Using multi‐model ensembles of CMIP5 global climate models to reproduce observed monthly rainfall and temperature with machine learning methods in Australia. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5705

WCRP Global Sea Level Budget Group, Church, J.A., 2018. Global sea-level budget 1993–present. Earth System Science Data 10, 1551–1590. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-1551-2018

Williams, A.N., Ulm, S., Sapienza, T., Lewis, S., Turney, C.S.M., 2018. Sea-level change and demography during the last glacial termination and early Holocene across the Australian continent. Quaternary Science Reviews 182, 144–154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.11.030

Wilson, K.., Barthel, A., Lipson, M.J., Fogwill, C., Turney, C., 2018. New breeding records of seabirds at Carnley Harbour (Auckland Islands), Cossack Rock (Campbell Island) and south coast of The Snares. Notornis 65, 168–173.

Wu, Q., Zhang, X., Church, J.A., Hu, J., 2018. ENSO-Related Global Ocean Heat Content Variations. Journal of Climate 32, 45–68. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0861.1

Xiao, D., Bai, H., Liu, D., 2018. Impact of Future Climate Change on Wheat Production: A Simulated Case for China’s Wheat System. Sustainability 10, 1277. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10041277

Yang, Yanmin, Zhou, X., Yang, Yonghui, Bi, S., Yang, X., Liu, D.L., 2018. Evaluating water-saving efficiency of plastic mulching in Northwest China using remote sensing and SEBAL. Agricultural Water Management 209, 240–248. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2018.07.011

Zhang, Y., Beggs, P.J., Bambrick, H., Berry, H.L., Linnenluecke, M.K., Trueck, S., Alders, R., Bi, P., Boylan, S.M., Green, D., Guo, Y., Hanigan, I.C., Hanna, E.G., Malik, A., Morgan, G.G., Stevenson, M., Tong, S., Watts, N., Capon, A.G., 2018. The MJA-Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: Australian policy inaction threatens lives. Medical Journal of Australia 209, 474–474. https://doi.org/10.5694/mja18.00789

Zscheischler, J., Westra, S., van den Hurk, B.J.J.M., Seneviratne, S.I., Ward, P.J., Pitman, A., AghaKouchak, A., Bresch, D.N., Leonard, M., Wahl, T., Zhang, X., 2018a. Future climate risk from compound events. Nature Climate Change 8, 469–477. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3

Zscheischler, J., Westra, S., van den Hurk, B.J.J.M., Seneviratne, S.I., Ward, P.J., Pitman, A., AghaKouchak, A., Bresch, D.N., Leonard, M., Wahl, T., Zhang, X., 2018b. Author Correction: Future climate risk from compound events. Nature Climate Change 8, 750–750. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0220-z

2017 PUBLICATIONS

Abellán, E., McGregor, S., England, M.H., 2017a. Analysis of the Southward Wind Shift of ENSO in CMIP5 Models. Journal of Climate 30, 2415–2435. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0326.1

Abellán, E., McGregor, S., England, M.H., Santoso, A., 2017b. Distinctive role of ocean advection anomalies in the development of the extreme 2015–16 El Niño. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4007-0

Ajami, H., Sharma, A., Band, L.E., Evans, J.P., Tuteja, N.K., Amirthanathan, G.E., Bari, M.A., 2017. On the non-stationarity of hydrological response in anthropogenically unaffected catchments: an Australian perspective. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21, 281–294. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-281-2017

Angélil, O., Stone, D., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Alexander, L.V., Wehner, M., Shiogama, H., Wolski, P., Ciavarella, A., Christidis, N., 2017. On the nonlinearity of spatial scales in extreme weather attribution statements. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3768-9

Badlan, R.L., Sharples, J.J., Evans, J.P., McRae, R.H.D., 2017. The role of deep flaming in violent pyroconvection. Presented at the 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia, 3 to 8 December 2017, Hobart, Tasmania. https://doi.org/978-0-9872143-7-9

Bador, M., Terray, L., Boé, J., Somot, S., Alias, A., Gibelin, A.-L., Dubuisson, B., 2017. Future summer mega-heatwave and record-breaking temperatures in a warmer France climate. Environmental Research Letters 12, 074025. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa751c

Bagniewski, W., Meissner, K.J., Menviel, L., 2017. Exploring the oxygen isotope fingerprint of Dansgaard-Oeschger variability and Heinrich events. Quaternary Science Reviews 159, 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.01.007

Bao, J., Sherwood, S.C., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., 2017a. Future increases in extreme precipitation exceed observed scaling rates. Nature Climate Change 7, 128–132. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3201

Bao, J., Sherwood, S.C., Colin, M., Dixit, V., 2017b. The Robust Relationship Between Extreme Precipitation and Convective Organization in Idealized Numerical Modeling Simulations: EXTREME RAIN AND CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 9, 2291–2303. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017MS001125

Bull, C.Y.S., Kiss, A.E., Jourdain, N.C., England, M.H., van Sebille, E., 2017. Wind Forced Variability in Eddy Formation, Eddy Shedding, and the Separation of the East Australian Current: WIND FORCED VARIABILITY IN THE EAC. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 122, 9980–9998. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013311

Burrell, A.L., Evans, J.P., Liu, Y., 2017. Detecting dryland degradation using Time Series Segmentation and Residual Trend analysis (TSS-RESTREND). Remote Sensing of Environment 197, 43–57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2017.05.018

Carson, M., Köhl, A., Stammer, D., Meyssignac, B., Church, J., Schröter, J., Wenzel, M., Hamlington, B., 2017. Regional Sea Level Variability and Trends, 1960-2007: A Comparison of Sea Level Reconstructions and Ocean Syntheses: SEA LEVEL RECONSTRUCTION COMPARISON. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 122, 9068–9091. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC012992

Chaivaranont, W., Evans, J.P., Liu, Y.Y., Sharples, J.J., 2017. Estimating Grassland Curing with Remotely Sensed Data. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Discussions 1–25. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2017-101

Chen, X., Zhang, X., Church, J.A., Watson, C.S., King, M.A., Monselesan, D., Legresy, B., Harig, C., 2017. The increasing rate of global mean sea-level rise during 1993–2014. Nature Climate Change 7, 492–495. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3325

Cheung, A.H., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Frankcombe, L.M., England, M.H., Miller, S.K., 2017a. Reply to “Comment on ‘Comparison of Low-Frequency Internal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Models and Observations.’” Journal of Climate 30, 9773–9782. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0531.1

Cheung, A.H., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Frankcombe, L.M., England, M.H., Miller, S.K., 2017b. Comparison of Low-Frequency Internal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Models and Observations. Journal of Climate 30, 4763–4776. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0712.1

Choudhury, D., Sen Gupta, A., Sharma, A., Mehrotra, R., Sivakumar, B., 2017a. An Assessment of Drift Correction Alternatives for CMIP5 Decadal Predictions: DRIFT CORRECTION OF DECADAL PREDICTIONS. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 122, 10,282-10,296. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD026900

Choudhury, D., Sen Gupta, A., Sharma, A., Taschetto, A.S., Mehrotra, R., Sivakumar, B., 2017b. Impacts of the tropical trans-basin variability on Australian rainfall. Climate Dynamics 49, 1617–1629. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3405-z

Coleman, M.A., Cetina-Heredia, P., Roughan, M., Feng, M., van Sebille, E., Kelaher, B.P., 2017. Anticipating changes to future connectivity within a network of marine protected areas. Global Change Biology 23, 3533–3542. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13634

Cooper, N., Green, D., Meissner, K., 2017. The Australian National Pollutant Inventory Fails to Fulfil Its Legislated Goals. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 14, 478. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph14050478

Courtois, P., Hu, X., Pennelly, C., Spence, P., Myers, P.G., 2017. Mixed layer depth calculation in deep convection regions in ocean numerical models. Ocean Modelling 120, 60–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2017.10.007

de Lavergne, C., Madec, G., Roquet, F., Holmes, R.M., McDougall, T.J., 2017. Abyssal ocean overturning shaped by seafloor distribution. Nature 551, 181–186. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature24472

Decker, M., Ma, S., Pitman, A., 2017a. Local land–atmosphere feedbacks limit irrigation demand. Environmental Research Letters 12, 054003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa65a6

Decker, M., Or, D., Pitman, A., Ukkola, A., 2017b. New turbulent resistance parameterization for soil evaporation based on a pore-scale model: Impact on surface fluxes in CABLE: CABLE SOIL EVAPORATION PARAMETERIZATION. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 9, 220–238. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000832

Di Luca, A., Evans, J.P., Ji, F., 2017. Australian snowpack in the NARCliM ensemble: evaluation, bias correction and future projections. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3946-9

Di Virgilio, G., Laffan, S.W., Nielsen, S.V., Chapple, D.G., 2017. Does range-restricted evolutionary history predict extinction risk? A case study in lizards. Journal of Biogeography 44, 605–614. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.12875

Donat, Markus G., Lowry, A.L., Alexander, L.V., O’Gorman, P.A., Maher, N., 2017. Erratum: More extreme precipitation in the world’s dry and wet regions. Nature Climate Change 7, 154–158. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3160

Donat, M. G., Pitman, A.J., Seneviratne, S.I., 2017. Regional warming of hot extremes accelerated by surface energy fluxes: Accelerated Warming of Hot Extremes. Geophysical Research Letters 44, 7011–7019. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073733

Donat-Magnin, M., Jourdain, N.C., Spence, P., Le Sommer, J., Gallée, H., Durand, G., 2017. Ice-Shelf Melt Response to Changing Winds and Glacier Dynamics in the Amundsen Sea Sector, Antarctica: ICE-SHELF MELT IN THE AMUNDSEN SEA. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 122, 10206–10224. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013059

Emile-Geay, J., McKay, N.P., Kaufman, D.S., von Gunten, L., Wang, J., Anchukaitis, K.J., Abram, N.J., Addison, J.A., Curran, M.A.J., Evans, M.N., Henley, B.J., Hao, Z., Martrat, B., McGregor, H.V., Neukom, R., Pederson, G.T., Stenni, B., Thirumalai, K., Werner, J.P., Xu, C., Divine, D.V., Dixon, B.C., Gergis, J., Mundo, I.A., Nakatsuka, T., Phipps, S.J., Routson, C.C., Steig, E.J., Tierney, J.E., Tyler, J.J., Allen, K.J., Bertler, N.A.N., Björklund, J., Chase, B.M., Chen, M.-T., Cook, E., de Jong, R., DeLong, K.L., Dixon, D.A., Ekaykin, A.A., Ersek, V., Filipsson, H.L., Francus, P., Freund, M.B., Frezzotti, M., Gaire, N.P., Gajewski, K., Ge, Q., Goosse, H., Gornostaeva, A., Grosjean, M., Horiuchi, K., Hormes, A., Husum, K., Isaksson, E., Kandasamy, S., Kawamura, K., Kilbourne, K.H., Koç, N., Leduc, G., Linderholm, H.W., Lorrey, A.M., Mikhalenko, V., Mortyn, P.G., Motoyama, H., Moy, A.D., Mulvaney, R., Munz, P.M., Nash, D.J., Oerter, H., Opel, T., Orsi, A.J., Ovchinnikov, D.V., Porter, T.J., Roop, H.A., Saenger, C., Sano, M., Sauchyn, D., Saunders, K.M., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., Severi, M., Shao, X., Sicre, M.-A., Sigl, M., Sinclair, K., St. George, S., St. Jacques, J.-M., Thamban, M., Kuwar Thapa, U., Thomas, E.R., Turney, C., Uemura, R., Viau, A.E., Vladimirova, D.O., Wahl, E.R., White, J.W.C., Yu, Z., Zinke, J., 2017. A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions of the Common Era. Scientific Data 4, 170088. https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2017.88

Evans, J P, Argueso, D., Di Luca, A., 2017. Future Heatwaves in NSW from the NARCliM ensemble. Presented at the 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia, 3 to 8 December 2017, Hobart.

Evans, Jason P., Argueso, D., Olson, R., Di Luca, A., 2017a. Bias-corrected regional climate projections of extreme rainfall in south-east Australia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 130, 1085–1098. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1949-9

Evans, Jason P., Meng, X., McCabe, M.F., 2017b. Land surface albedo and vegetation feedbacks enhanced the millennium drought in south-east Australia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21, 409–422. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-409-2017

Everett, J.D., van Sebille, E., Taylor, M.D., Suthers, I.M., Setio, C., Cetina-Heredia, P., Smith, J.A., 2017. Dispersal of Eastern King Prawn larvae in a western boundary current: New insights from particle tracking. Fisheries Oceanography 26, 513–525. https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12213

Fan, Y., Olson, R., Evans, J.P., 2017. A Bayesian posterior predictive framework for weighting ensemble regional climate models. Geoscientific Model Development 10, 2321–2332. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-2321-2017

Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., Golledge, N.R., Etheridge, D.M., Rubino, M., Thornton, D.P., Baker, A., Woodward, J., Winter, K., van Ommen, T.D., Moy, A.D., Curran, M.A.J., Davies, S.M., Weber, M.E., Bird, M.I., Munksgaard, N.C., Menviel, L., Rootes, C.M., Ellis, B., Millman, H., Vohra, J., Rivera, A., Cooper, A., 2017a. Antarctic ice sheet discharge driven by atmosphere-ocean feedbacks at the Last Glacial Termination. Scientific Reports 7, 39979. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep39979

Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., Golledge, N.R., Etheridge, D.M., Rubino, M., Thornton, D.P., Baker, A., Woodward, J., Winter, K., van Ommen, T.D., Moy, A.D., Curran, M.A.J., Davies, S.M., Weber, M.E., Bird, M.I., Munksgaard, N.C., Menviel, L., Rootes, C.M., Ellis, B., Millman, H., Vohra, J., Rivera, A., Cooper, A., 2017b. Antarctic ice sheet discharge driven by atmosphere-ocean feedbacks at the Last Glacial Termination. Scientific Reports 7, 39979. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep39979

Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., Golledge, N.R., Etheridge, D.M., Rubino, M., Thornton, D.P., Baker, A., Woodward, J., Winter, K., van Ommen, T.D., Moy, A.D., Curran, M.A.J., Davies, S.M., Weber, M.E., Bird, M.I., Munksgaard, N.C., Menviel, L., Rootes, C.M., Ellis, B., Millman, H., Vohra, J., Rivera, A., Cooper, A., 2017c. Antarctic ice sheet discharge driven by atmosphere-ocean feedbacks at the Last Glacial Termination. Scientific Reports 7, 39979. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep39979

Geoffroy, O., Sherwood, S.C., Fuchs, D., 2017. On the role of the stratiform cloud scheme in the inter-model spread of cloud feedback: THE ROLE OF THE STRATIFORM CLOUD SCHEME. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 9, 423–437. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000846

Gibson, P.B., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Alexander, L.V., Fischer, E.M., 2017a. Comparing Australian heat waves in the CMIP5 models through cluster analysis: Australian Heat Waves in CMIP5. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025878

Gibson, P.B., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Uotila, P., Pepler, A.S., Alexander, L.V., 2017b. On the use of self-organizing maps for studying climate extremes: SOMS AND CLIMATE EXTREMES. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 122, 3891–3903. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD026256

Gibson, P.B., Pitman, A.J., Lorenz, R., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., 2017c. The Role of Circulation and Land Surface Conditions in Current and Future Australian Heat Waves. Journal of Climate 30, 9933–9948. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0265.1

Goldie, J., Alexander, L., Lewis, S.C., Sherwood, S., 2017a. Comparative evaluation of human heat stress indices on selected hospital admissions in Sydney, Australia. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health 41, 381–387. https://doi.org/10.1111/1753-6405.12692

Goldie, J., Alexander, L., Lewis, S.C., Sherwood, S.C., Bambrick, H., 2017b. Changes in relative fit of human heat stress indices to cardiovascular, respiratory, and renal hospitalizations across five Australian urban populations. International Journal of Biometeorology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-017-1451-9

Golledge, N.R., Thomas, Z.A., Levy, R.H., Gasson, E.G.W., Naish, T.R., McKay, R.M., Kowalewski, D.E., Fogwill, C.J., 2017. Antarctic climate and ice sheet configuration during a peak-warmth Early Pliocene interglacial. Climate of the Past Discussions 1–27. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2016-123

Green, D., Pitman, A., Barnett, A., Kaldor, J., Doherty, P., Stanley, F., 2017a. Advancing Australia’s role in climate change and health research. Nature Climate Change 7, 103–106. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3182

Green, D., Sullivan, M., Cooper, N., Dean, A., Marquez, C., 2017b. A Pilot Study of Children’s Blood Lead Levels in Mount Isa, Queensland. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 14, 1567. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph14121567

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White, C.J., Carlsen, H., Robertson, A.W., Klein, R.J.T., Lazo, J.K., Kumar, A., Vitart, F., Coughlan de Perez, E., Ray, A.J., Murray, V., Bharwani, S., MacLeod, D., James, R., Fleming, L., Morse, A.P., Eggen, B., Graham, R., Kjellström, E., Becker, E., Pegion, K.V., Holbrook, N.J., McEvoy, D., Depledge, M., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Brown, T.J., Street, R., Jones, L., Remenyi, T.A., Hodgson-Johnston, I., Buontempo, C., Lamb, R., Meinke, H., Arheimer, B., Zebiak, S.E., 2017. Potential applications of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions: Potential applications of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions. Meteorological Applications 24, 315–325. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1654

Whitley, R., Beringer, J., Hutley, L.B., Abramowitz, G., De Kauwe, M.G., Evans, B., Haverd, V., Li, L., Moore, C., Ryu, Y., Scheiter, S., Schymanski, S.J., Smith, B., Wang, Y.-P., Williams, M., Yu, Q., 2017. Challenges and opportunities in land surface modelling of savanna ecosystems. Biogeosciences 14, 4711–4732. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4711-2017

Wu, D.L., Baum, B.A., Choi, Y.-S., Foster, M.J., Karlsson, K.-G., Heidinger, A., Poulsen, C., Pavolonis, M., Riedi, J., Roebeling, R., Sherwood, S., Thoss, A., Watts, P., 2017. Toward Global Harmonization of Derived Cloud Products. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 98, ES49–ES52. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0234.1

Wu, Q., Zhang, X., Church, J.A., Hu, J., 2017. Variability and change of sea level and its components in the Indo-Pacific region during the altimetry era: VARIABILITY AND CHANGE OF SEA LEVEL. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 122, 1862–1881. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JC012345

Zhang, X., Church, J.A., Monselesan, D., McInnes, K.L., 2017. Sea level projections for the Australian region in the 21st century: Sea Level Projections for Australia. Geophysical Research Letters 44, 8481–8491. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074176

2016 PUBLICATIONS

Abdullah, N.N., Idris, N.H., Maharaj, A., 2016. The retracked sea levels from SARAL/AltiKA satellite altimetry: The case study around the strait of Malacca and the South China Sea. International Journal of Geoinformatics 12, 33–39.

Abram, N.J., McGregor, H.V., Tierney, J.E., Evans, M.N., McKay, N.P., Kaufman, D.S., Thirumalai, K., Martrat, B., Goosse, H., Phipps, S.J., Steig, E.J., Kilbourne, K.H., Saenger, C.P., Zinke, J., Leduc, G., Addison, J.A., Mortyn, P.G., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., Sicre, M.-A., Selvaraj, K., Filipsson, H.L., Neukom, R., Gergis, J., Curran, M.A.J., Gunten, L. von, 2016. Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents. Nature 536, 411–418. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature19082

Ajami, H., sharma, A., Band, L.E., Evans, J.P., Tuteja, N.K., Amirthanathan, G.E., Bari, M.A., 2016. On the non-stationarity of hydrological response in anthropogenically unaffected catchments: An Australian perspective. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 1–28. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-353

Alexander, L.V., 2016. Global observed long-term changes in temperature and precipitation extremes: A review of progress and limitations in IPCC assessments and beyond. Weather and Climate Extremes 11, 4–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2015.10.007

Angélil, O., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Alexander, L.V., Stone, D., Donat, M.G., Wehner, M., Shiogama, H., Ciavarella, A., Christidis, N., 2016. Comparing regional precipitation and temperature extremes in climate model and reanalysis products. Weather and Climate Extremes 13, 35–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2016.07.001

Argüeso, D., Di Luca, A., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Evans, J.P., 2016. Seasonal mean temperature changes control future heat waves: MEAN TEMPERATURE AND HEAT WAVE CHANGES. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 7653–7660. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069408

Barlow, M., Zaitchik, B., Paz, S., Black, E., Evans, J., Hoell, A., 2016. A Review of Drought in the Middle East and Southwest Asia. Journal of Climate 29, 8547–8574. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00692.1

Beaumont, L.J., Duursma, D., Kemp, D.J., Wilson, P.D., Evans, J.P., 2016. Potential impacts of a future persistent El Niño or La Niña on three subspecies of Australian butterflies. Biotropica. https://doi.org/10.1111/btp.12356

Bellon, G., Geoffroy, O., 2016a. Stratocumulus radiative effect, multiple equilibria of the well-mixed boundary layer and transition to shallow convection: Multiple Equilibria and Sc-to-Cu Transition. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 142, 1685–1696. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2762

Bellon, G., Geoffroy, O., 2016b. How finely do we need to represent the stratocumulus radiative effect?: Spatial Structure of the Stratocumulus Radiative Effect. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 142, 2347–2358. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2828

Berg, A., Findell, K., Lintner, B., Giannini, A., Seneviratne, S.I., van den Hurk, B., Lorenz, R., Pitman, A., Hagemann, S., Meier, A., Cheruy, F., Ducharne, A., Malyshev, S., Milly, P.C.D., 2016. Land–atmosphere feedbacks amplify aridity increase over land under global warming. Nature Climate Change 6, 869–874. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3029

Birch, C.E., Webster, S., Peatman, S.C., Parker, D.J., Matthews, A.J., Li, Y., Hassim, M.E.E., 2016. Scale Interactions between the MJO and the Western Maritime Continent. Journal of Climate 29, 2471–2492. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0557.1

Blunden, J., Arndt, D.S., 2016. State of the Climate in 2015. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97, Si-S275. https://doi.org/10.1175/2016BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Bracegirdle, T.J., Bertler, N.A.N., Carleton, A.M., Ding, Q., Fogwill, C.J., Fyfe, J.C., Hellmer, H.H., Karpechko, A.Y., Kusahara, K., Larour, E., Mayewski, P.A., Meier, W.N., Polvani, L.M., Russell, J.L., Stevenson, S.L., Turner, J., van Wessem, J.M., van de Berg, W.J., Wainer, I., 2016. A Multidisciplinary Perspective on Climate Model Evaluation For Antarctica. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97, ES23–ES26. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00108.1

Chafik, L., Häkkinen, S., England, M.H., Carton, J.A., Nigam, S., Ruiz-Barradas, A., Hannachi, A., Miller, L., 2016. Global linkages originating from decadal oceanic variability in the subpolar North Atlantic: ATLANTIC-PACIFIC CONNECTIVITY. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 10,909-10,919. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071134

Chen, T., McVicar, T., Wang, G., Chen, X., de Jeu, R., Liu, Y., Shen, H., Zhang, F., Dolman, A., 2016a. Advantages of Using Microwave Satellite Soil Moisture over Gridded Precipitation Products and Land Surface Model Output in Assessing Regional Vegetation Water Availability and Growth Dynamics for a Lateral Inflow Receiving Landscape. Remote Sensing 8, 428. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs8050428

Chen, T., Wang, G., Yuan, W., Li, A., Liu, Y.Y., 2016b. Asymmetric NDVI trends of the two cropping seasons in the Huai River basin. Remote Sensing Letters 7, 61–70. https://doi.org/10.1080/2150704X.2015.1109156

Choudhury, D., Sen Gupta, A., Sharma, A., Taschetto, A.S., Mehrotra, R., Sivakumar, B., 2016a. Impacts of the tropical trans-basin variability on Australian rainfall. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3405-z

Choudhury, D., Sharma, A., Sen Gupta, A., Mehrotra, R., Sivakumar, B., 2016b. Sampling biases in CMIP5 decadal forecasts: Sampling Biases in CMIP5 Decadal Experiments. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 3435–3445. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD024804

Clarke, H., Pitman, A.J., Kala, J., Carouge, C., Haverd, V., Evans, J.P., 2016a. Erratum to: An investigation of future fuel load and fire weather in Australia. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1823-x

Clarke, H., Pitman, A.J., Kala, J., Carouge, C., Haverd, V., Evans, J.P., 2016b. An investigation of future fuel load and fire weather in Australia. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1808-9

Cook, B.I., Palmer, J.G., Cook, E.R., Turney, C.S.M., Allen, K., Fenwick, P., O’Donnell, A., Lough, J.M., Grierson, P.F., Ho, M., Baker, P.J., 2016. The paleoclimate context and future trajectory of extreme summer hydroclimate in eastern Australia: EXTREME HYDROCLIMATE IN EASTERN AUSTRALIA. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 12,820-12,838. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD024892

Cooper, A., Turney, C., Hughen, K., 2016. Response to Comment on “Abrupt warming events drove Late Pleistocene Holarctic megafaunal turnover.” Science 351, 927–927. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aad8016

Di Luca, Alejandro, Argüeso, D., Evans, J.P., de Elía, R., Laprise, R., 2016. Quantifying the overall added value of dynamical downscaling and the contribution from different spatial scales: OVERALL ADDED VALUE OF RCMS. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 1575–1590. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024009

Di Luca, A., Evans, J.P., Pepler, A., Alexander, L.V., Argueso, D., 2016. Evaluating the representation of Australian East Coast Lows in a regional climate model ensemble. JOURNAL OF SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE EARTH SYSTEMS SCIENCE 2016, 108–124.

Dittus, A.J., Karoly, D.J., Lewis, S.C., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., 2016a. A Multiregion Model Evaluation and Attribution Study of Historical Changes in the Area Affected by Temperature and Precipitation Extremes. Journal of Climate 29, 8285–8299. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0164.1

Dittus, A.J., Karoly, D.J., Lewis, S.C., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., 2016b. A Multiregion Model Evaluation and Attribution Study of Historical Changes in the Area Affected by Temperature and Precipitation Extremes. Journal of Climate 29, 8285–8299. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0164.1

Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., Herold, N., Dittus, A.J., 2016a. Temperature and precipitation extremes in century-long gridded observations, reanalyses, and atmospheric model simulations: EXTREMES IN CENTURY-LONG DATA SETS. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 11,174-11,189. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025480

Donat, M.G., Lowry, A.L., Alexander, L.V., O’Gorman, P.A., Maher, N., 2016b. More extreme precipitation in the world’s dry and wet regions. Nature Climate Change 6, 508–513. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2941

Evans, J.P., Argueso, D., Olson, R., Di Luca, A., 2016a. Bias-corrected regional climate projections of extreme rainfall in south-east Australia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1949-9

Evans, J.P., Meng, X., McCabe, M.F., 2016b. Land surface albedo and vegetation feedbacks enhanced the Millennium drought in south-east Australia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 1–22. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-439

Fita, L., Evans, J.P., Argüeso, D., King, A., Liu, Y., 2016. Evaluation of the regional climate response in Australia to large-scale climate modes in the historical NARCliM simulations. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3484-x

Flaounas, E., Di Luca, A., Drobinski, P., Mailler, S., Arsouze, T., Bastin, S., Beranger, K., Lebeaupin Brossier, C., 2016. Cyclone contribution to the Mediterranean Sea water budget. Climate Dynamics 46, 913–927. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2622-1

Fogwill, C.J., 2016. The transformation of organic carbon during river-groundwater exchange: An example from the Murray-Darling Basin. Presented at the AGU, San Francisco.

Fogwill, C.J., van Sebille, E., Cougnon, E.A., Turney, C.S.M., Rintoul, S.R., Clark, G.F., Marzinelli, E.M., Rainsley, E.B., Carter, L., 2016a. Brief Communication: Evidence of a developing Polynya off Commonwealth Bay, East Antarctica, triggered by grounding of iceberg. The Cryosphere Discussions 1–13. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2016-19

Fogwill, C.J., van Sebille, E., Cougnon, E.A., Turney, C.S.M., Rintoul, S.R., Galton-Fenzi, B.K., Clark, G.F., Marzinelli, E.M., Rainsley, E.B., Carter, L., 2016b. Brief communication: Impacts of a developing polynya off Commonwealth Bay, East Antarctica, triggered by grounding of iceberg B09B. The Cryosphere 10, 2603–2609. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2603-2016

Fogwill, C.J., van Sebille, E., Cougnon, E.A., Turney, C.S.M., Rintoul, S.R., Galton-Fenzi, B.K., Clark, G.F., Marzinelli, E.M., Rainsley, E.B., Carter, L., 2016c. Brief communication: Impacts of a developing polynya off Commonwealth Bay, East Antarctica, triggered by grounding of iceberg B09B. The Cryosphere 10, 2603–2609. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2603-2016

Fuchs, D., Sherwood, S., 2016. Practical Approximations to Seasonal Fluctuation–Dissipation Operators Given a Limited Sample. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 73, 2529–2545. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0279.1

Gibson, P.B., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Renwick, J.A., 2016a. Projected changes in synoptic weather patterns over New Zealand examined through self-organizing maps: PROJECTED CHANGES IN SYNOPTIC WEATHER PATTERNS OVER NEW ZEALAND. International Journal of Climatology 36, 3934–3948. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4604

Gibson, P.B., Uotila, P., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Alexander, L.V., Pitman, A.J., 2016b. Evaluating synoptic systems in the CMIP5 climate models over the Australian region. Climate Dynamics 47, 2235–2251. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2961-y

Gimeno, L., Dominguez, F., Nieto, R., Trigo, R., Drumond, A., Reason, C.J.C., Taschetto, A.S., Ramos, A.M., Kumar, R., Marengo, J., 2016. Major Mechanisms of Atmospheric Moisture Transport and Their Role in Extreme Precipitation Events. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 41, 117–141. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-110615-085558

Golledge, N.R., Thomas, Z.A., Levy, R.H., Gasson, E.G.W., Naish, T.R., McKay, R.M., Kowalewski, D.E., Fogwill, C.J., 2016. Antarctic climate and ice sheet configuration during a peak-warmth Early Pliocene interglacial. Climate of the Past Discussions 1–27. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2016-123

Green, Donna, 2016. The spatial distribution of extreme climate events, another climate inequity for the world’s most vulnerable people. Environmental Research Letters 11, 091002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/091002

Green, D., 2016. Is it too late to do something about climate change in the Torres Strait?, in: Crate, S.A., Nuttall, M. (Eds.), Anthropology and Climate Change: From Actions to Transformations. Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group, New York.

Green, D., Dean, A., 2016. Compound injustice: the impacts of climate finance on Kiribati, in: Stratford, E. (Ed.), Island Geographies: Essays and Conversations, Routledge Studies in Human Geography. Routledge, New York, NY.

Green, D., Martin, D., 2016. Maintaining the Healthy Country–Healthy People Nexus through Sociocultural and Environmental Transformations: challenges for the Wik Aboriginal people of Aurukun, Australia. Australian Geographer 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1080/00049182.2016.1220898

Gross, M.H., Alexander, L.V., Macadam, I., Green, D., Evans, J.P., 2016. The representation of health-relevant heatwave characteristics in a Regional Climate Model ensemble for New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory, Australia: REPRESENTING HEATWAVES USING REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL DATA. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4769

Harrington, L.J., Gibson, P.B., Dean, S.M., Mitchell, D., Rosier, S.M., Frame, D.J., 2016. Investigating event-specific drought attribution using self-organizing maps: DROUGHT ATTRIBUTION USING SOMS. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 12,766-12,780. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025602

Hernandez-Deckers, D., Sherwood, S.C., 2016. A Numerical Investigation of Cumulus Thermals. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 73, 4117–4136. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0385.1

Herold, N., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., Contractor, S., Becker, A., 2016. How much does it rain over land?: HOW MUCH DOES IT RAIN? Geophysical Research Letters 43, 341–348. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066615

Herold, N, Kala, J., Alexander, L.V., 2016. The influence of soil moisture deficits on Australian heatwaves. Environmental Research Letters 11, 064003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064003

Heyrana, K.J., Goh, B.C., Perilla, J.R., Nguyen, T.-L.N., England, M.R., Bewley, M.C., Schulten, K., Craven, R.C., 2016. Contributions of Charged Residues in Structurally Dynamic Capsid Surface Loops to Rous Sarcoma Virus Assembly. Journal of Virology 90, 5700–5714. https://doi.org/10.1128/JVI.00378-16

Hirsch, A.L., Pitman, A.J., Haverd, V., 2016. Evaluating Land–Atmosphere Coupling Using a Resistance Pathway Framework. Journal of Hydrometeorology 17, 2615–2630. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-15-0204.1

Hobday, A.J., Alexander, L.V., Perkins, S.E., Smale, D.A., Straub, S.C., Oliver, E.C.J., Benthuysen, J.A., Burrows, M.T., Donat, M.G., Feng, M., Holbrook, N.J., Moore, P.J., Scannell, H.A., Sen Gupta, A., Wernberg, T., 2016. A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves. Progress in Oceanography 141, 227–238. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2015.12.014

Hogg, A., Southon, J., Turney, C., Palmer, J., Bronk Ramsey, C., Fenwick, P., Boswijk, G., Friedrich, M., Helle, G., Hughen, K., Jones, R., Kromer, B., Noronha, A., Reynard, L., Staff, R., Wacker, L., 2016a. Punctuated Shutdown of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation during Greenland Stadial 1. Scientific Reports 6, 25902. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep25902

Hogg, A., Southon, J., Turney, C., Palmer, J., Ramsey, C.B., Fenwick, P., Boswijk, G., Büntgen, U., Friedrich, M., Helle, G., Hughen, K., Jones, R., Kromer, B., Noronha, A., Reinig, F., Reynard, L., Staff, R., Wacker, L., 2016b. Decadally Resolved Lateglacial Radiocarbon Evidence from New Zealand Kauri. Radiocarbon 58, 709–733. https://doi.org/10.1017/RDC.2016.86

Holgate, C.., De Jeu, R.A.M., van Dijk, A.I.J.., Liu, Y.., Renzullo, L.J., Vinodkumar, Dharssi, I., Parinussa, R.M., Van Der Schalie, R., Gevaert, A., Walker, J., McJannet, D., Cleverly, J., Haverd, V., Trudinger, C.M., Briggs, P.R., 2016. Comparison of remotely sensed and modelled soil moisture data sets across Australia. Remote Sensing of Environment 186, 479–500. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2016.09.015

Ji, F., Evans, J., Teng, J., Scorgie, Y., Argüeso, D., Di Luca, A., 2016. Evaluation of long-term precipitation and temperature Weather Research and Forecasting simulations for southeast Australia. Climate Research 67, 99–115. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01366

Jiang, N., Scorgie, Y., Hart, M., Riley, M.L., Crawford, J., Beggs, P.J., Edwards, G.C., Chang, L., Salter, D., Virgilio, G.D., 2016. Visualising the relationships between synoptic circulation type and air quality in Sydney, a subtropical coastal-basin environment: SYNOPTIC CIRCULATION TYPE AND AIR QUALITY IN SYDNEY. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4770

Johnson, C.N., Alroy, J., Beeton, N.J., Bird, M.I., Brook, B.W., Cooper, A., Gillespie, R., Herrando-Pérez, S., Jacobs, Z., Miller, G.H., Prideaux, G.J., Roberts, R.G., Rodríguez-Rey, M., Saltré, F., Turney, C.S.M., Bradshaw, C.J.A., 2016. What caused extinction of the Pleistocene megafauna of Sahul? Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 283, 20152399. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2015.2399

Johnson, F., White, C.J., van Dijk, A., Ekstrom, M., Evans, J.P., Jakob, D., Kiem, A.S., Leonard, M., Rouillard, A., Westra, S., 2016. Natural hazards in Australia: floods. Climatic Change 139, 21–35. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1689-y

Jones, J.M., Gille, S.T., Goosse, H., Abram, N.J., Canziani, P.O., Charman, D.J., Clem, K.R., Crosta, X., de Lavergne, C., Eisenman, I., England, M.H., Fogt, R.L., Frankcombe, L.M., Marshall, G.J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Morrison, A.K., Orsi, A.J., Raphael, M.N., Renwick, J.A., Schneider, D.P., Simpkins, G.R., Steig, E.J., Stenni, B., Swingedouw, D., Vance, T.R., 2016. Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate. Nature Climate Change 6, 917–926. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3103

Jourdain, N.C., Lengaigne, M., Vialard, J., Izumo, T., Gupta, A.S., 2016. Further Insights on the Influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the Following Year’s ENSO from Observations and CMIP5 Models. Journal of Climate 29, 637–658. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0481.1

Kajtar, J.B., Santoso, A., England, M.H., Cai, W., 2016. Tropical climate variability: interactions across the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Oceans. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3199-z

Kala, J., De Kauwe, M.G., Pitman, A.J., Medlyn, B.E., Wang, Y.-P., Lorenz, R., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., 2016. Impact of the representation of stomatal conductance on model projections of heatwave intensity. Scientific Reports 6, 23418. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep23418

Kiem, A.S., Johnson, F., Westra, S., van Dijk, A., Evans, J.P., O’Donnell, A., Rouillard, A., Barr, C., Tyler, J., Thyer, M., Jakob, D., Woldemeskel, F., Sivakumar, B., Mehrotra, R., 2016. Natural hazards in Australia: droughts. Climatic Change 139, 37–54. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1798-7

Kiss, A.E., Frankcombe, L.M., 2016. The Influence of Periodic Forcing on the Time Dependence of Western Boundary Currents: Phase Locking, Chaos, and Mechanisms of Low-Frequency Variability*. Journal of Physical Oceanography 46, 1117–1136. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-15-0113.1

Li, J., Sharma, A., Evans, J., Johnson, F., 2016. Addressing the mischaracterization of extreme rainfall in regional climate model simulations – A synoptic pattern based bias correction approach. Journal of Hydrology. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.04.070

Li, Y., Jourdain, N.C., Taschetto, A.S., Gupta, A.S., Argüeso, D., Masson, S., Cai, W., 2016. Resolution dependence of the simulated precipitation and diurnal cycle over the Maritime Continent. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3317-y

Lipson, M.J., Hart, M.A., Thatcher, M., 2016. Efficiently modelling urban heat storage: an interface conduction scheme in the aTEB urban land surface model. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 1–28. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2016-240

Lorenz, Ruth, Argüeso, D., Donat, M.G., Pitman, A.J., van den Hurk, B., Berg, A., Lawrence, D.M., Chéruy, F., Ducharne, A., Hagemann, S., Meier, A., Milly, P.C.D., Seneviratne, S.I., 2016. Influence of land-atmosphere feedbacks on temperature and precipitation extremes in the GLACE-CMIP5 ensemble: CLIMATE EXTREMES IN GLACE-CMIP5. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 607–623. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024053

Lorenz, R., Pitman, A.J., Sisson, S.A., 2016. Does Amazonian deforestation cause global effects; can we be sure?: AMAZONIAN DEFORESTATION. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 5567–5584. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024357

Loughran, T.F., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Alexander, L.V., 2016. Understanding the spatio-temporal influence of climate variability on Australian heatwaves: VARIABILITY OF AUSTRALIAN HEATWAVES. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4971

Ma, S, Churkina, G., Gessler, A., Wieland, R., Bellocchi, G., 2016. Yield gap of winter wheat in Europe and sensitivity of potential yield to climate factors. Climate Research 67, 179–190. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01367

Ma, Shaoxiu, Pitman, A.J., Lorenz, R., Kala, J., Srbinovsky, J., 2016a. Earlier green-up and spring warming amplification over Europe: Warming Effects of Earlier Green-Up. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 2011–2018. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068062

Ma, Shaoxiu, Pitman, A.J., Lorenz, R., Kala, J., Srbinovsky, J., 2016b. Earlier green-up and spring warming amplification over Europe: Warming Effects of Earlier Green-Up. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 2011–2018. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068062

Macadam, I., Argüeso, D., Evans, J.P., Liu, D.L., Pitman, A.J., 2016. The effect of bias correction and climate model resolution on wheat simulations forced with a regional climate model ensemble: FORCING WHEAT SIMULATIONS WITH REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL DATA. International Journal of Climatology n/a-n/a. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4653

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Maher, W., Maher, N., Taylor, A., Krikowa, F., Ubrihien, R., Mikac, K.M., 2016. The use of the marine gastropod, Cellana tramoserica, as a biomonitor of metal contamination in near shore environments. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 188. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-016-5380-6

McNeil, B.I., Sasse, T.P., 2016. Future ocean hypercapnia driven by anthropogenic amplification of the natural CO2 cycle. Nature 529, 383–386. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature16156

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Miralles, D.G., Nieto, R., McDowell, N.G., Dorigo, W.A., Verhoest, N.E., Liu, Y.Y., Teuling, A.J., Dolman, A.J., Good, S.P., Gimeno, L., 2016. Contribution of water-limited ecoregions to their own supply of rainfall. Environmental Research Letters 11, 124007. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124007

Moalafhi, D.B., Evans, J.P., Sharma, A., 2016a. Influence of reanalysis datasets on dynamically downscaling the recent past. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3378-y

Moalafhi, D.B., Evans, J.P., Sharma, A., 2016b. Evaluating global reanalysis datasets for provision of boundary conditions in regional climate modelling. Climate Dynamics 47, 2727–2745. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-2994-x

Murray-Tortarolo, G., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Jaramillo, V.J., Murguía-Flores, F., Anav, A., Liu, Y., Arneth, A., Arvanitis, A., Harper, A., Jain, A., Kato, E., Koven, C., Poulter, B., Stocker, B.D., Wiltshire, A., Zaehle, S., Zeng, N., 2016. The carbon cycle in Mexico: past, present and future of C stocks and fluxes. Biogeosciences 13, 223–238. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-223-2016

Murray-Tortarolo, Guillermo, Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Seneviratne, S.I., Fletcher, I., Mueller, B., Greve, P., Anav, A., Liu, Y., Ahlström, A., Huntingford, C., Levis, S., Levy, P., Lomas, M., Poulter, B., Viovy, N., Zaehle, S., Zeng, N., 2016. The dry season intensity as a key driver of NPP trends: Dry Season and Vegetation Productivity. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 2632–2639. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068240

Nishant, N., Sherwood, S.C., Geoffroy, O., 2016. Radiative driving of shallow return flows from the ITCZ: RADIATIVE DRIVING OF SHALLOW FLOWS. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 8, 831–842. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000606

Olson, R, Evans, J., Di Luca, A., Argüeso, D., 2016. The NARCliM project: model agreement and significance of climate projections. Climate Research 69, 209–227. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01403

Olson, Roman, Fan, Y., Evans, J.P., 2016. A simple method for Bayesian model averaging of regional climate model projections: Application to southeast Australian temperatures: BMA OF REGIONAL CLIMATE PROJECTIONS. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 7661–7669. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069704

Palmer, J.G., Turney, C.S.M., Cook, E.R., Fenwick, P., Thomas, Z., Helle, G., Jones, R., Clement, A., Hogg, A., Southon, J., Bronk Ramsey, C., Staff, R., Muscheler, R., Corrège, T., Hua, Q., 2016. Changes in El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions during the Greenland Stadial 1 (GS-1) chronozone revealed by New Zealand tree-rings. Quaternary Science Reviews 153, 139–155. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.10.003

Pepler, A.S., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., Sherwood, S.C., 2016a. Zonal winds and southeast Australian rainfall in global and regional climate models. Climate Dynamics 46, 123–133. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2573-6

Pepler, A.S., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., Sherwood, S.C., 2016b. The influence of local sea surface temperatures on Australian east coast cyclones: SSTS AND AUSTRALIAN EAST COAST CYCLONES. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 13,352-13,363. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025495

Pepler, A.S., Di Luca, A., Ji, F., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., Sherwood, S.C., 2016c. Projected changes in east Australian midlatitude cyclones during the 21st century: Future Midlatitude Cyclones in Australia. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 334–340. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067267

Pepler, A.S., Fong, J., Alexander, L.V., 2016d. Australian east coast mid-latitude cyclones in the 20th Century Reanalysis ensemble: AUSTRALIAN EAST COAST CYCLONES IN THE 20TH CENTURY REANALYSIS. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4812

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., White, C.J., Alexander, L.V., Argüeso, D., Boschat, G., Cowan, T., Evans, J.P., Ekström, M., Oliver, E.C.J., Phatak, A., Purich, A., 2016. Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1650-0

Phipps, S.J., Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., 2016. Impacts of marine instability across the East Antarctic Ice Sheet on Southern Ocean dynamics. The Cryosphere Discussions 1–16. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2016-111

Pitman, A.J., Lorenz, R., 2016. Scale dependence of the simulated impact of Amazonian deforestation on regional climate. Environmental Research Letters 11, 094025. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094025

Pontes, G.M., Sen Gupta, A., Taschetto, A.S., 2016. Projected changes to South Atlantic boundary currents and confluence region in the CMIP5 models: the role of wind and deep ocean changes. Environmental Research Letters 11, 094013. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094013

Prasad, A.A., 2016a. Spatio-temporal synergy between solar and wind energy resources in Australia. Presented at the AMOS/ARCCSS National Conference 2016.

Prasad, A.A., 2016b. Fluctuations in cloud-top height measured by CALIPSO from 2006-2015, in: Understanding Climate Using Satellite Data Datasets for Climate Studies:  Evaluation & Climate Change Studies. Presented at the IRS 2016 International Radiation Symposium, Auckland, New Zealand.

Prasad, A.A., Sherwood, S.C., 2016. Assessment of simulated roll clouds associated with low-level convergence. Presented at the AMOS/ARCCSS National Conference 2016, Melbourne, Australia.

Purich, A., Cai, W., England, M.H., Cowan, T., 2016a. Evidence for link between modelled trends in Antarctic sea ice and underestimated westerly wind changes. Nature Communications 7, 10409. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms10409

Purich, A., England, M.H., Cai, W., Chikamoto, Y., Timmermann, A., Fyfe, J.C., Frankcombe, L., Meehl, G.A., Arblaster, J.M., 2016b. Tropical Pacific SST Drivers of Recent Antarctic Sea Ice Trends. Journal of Climate 29, 8931–8948. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0440.1

Putnam, A.E., Putnam, D.E., Andreu-Hayles, L., Cook, E.R., Palmer, J.G., Clark, E.H., Wang, C., Chen, F., Denton, G.H., Boyle, D.P., Bassett, S.D., Birkel, S.D., Martin-Fernandez, J., Hajdas, I., Southon, J., Garner, C.B., Cheng, H., Broecker, W.S., 2016. Little Ice Age wetting of interior Asian deserts and the rise of the Mongol Empire. Quaternary Science Reviews 131, 33–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.10.033

Qin, X., Menviel, L., Sen Gupta, A., van Sebille, E., 2016. Iron sources and pathways into the Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent: EUC Iron Sources and Pathways. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 9843–9851. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070501

Rodríguez-Rey, M., Herrando-Pérez, S., Brook, B.W., Saltré, F., Alroy, J., Beeton, N., Bird, M.I., Cooper, A., Gillespie, R., Jacobs, Z., Johnson, C.N., Miller, G.H., Prideaux, G.J., Roberts, R.G., Turney, C.S.M., Bradshaw, C.J.A., 2016. A comprehensive database of quality-rated fossil ages for Sahul’s Quaternary vertebrates. Scientific Data 3, 160053. https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2016.53

Rouillard, Alexandra, Greenwood, P.F., Grice, K., Skrzypek, G., Dogramaci, S., Turney, C., Grierson, P.F., 2016. Interpreting vegetation change in tropical arid ecosystems from sediment molecular fossils and their stable isotope compositions: A baseline study from the Pilbara region of northwest Australia. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 459, 495–507. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2016.07.023

Rouillard, A., Skrzypek, G., Turney, C., Dogramaci, S., Hua, Q., Zawadzki, A., Reeves, J., Greenwood, P., O’Donnell, A.J., Grierson, P.F., 2016. Evidence for extreme floods in arid subtropical northwest Australia during the Little Ice Age chronozone (CE 1400–1850). Quaternary Science Reviews 144, 107–122. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.05.004

Saenko, O.A., Fyfe, J.C., Swart, N.C., Lee, W.G., England, M.H., 2016a. Influence of tropical wind on global temperature from months to decades. Climate Dynamics 47, 2193–2203. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2958-6

Saenko, O.A., Fyfe, J.C., Swart, N.C., Lee, W.G., England, M.H., 2016b. Influence of tropical wind on global temperature from months to decades. Climate Dynamics 47, 2193–2203. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2958-6

Sen Gupta, A., McGregor, S., van Sebille, E., Ganachaud, A., Brown, J.N., Santoso, A., 2016. Future changes to the Indonesian Throughflow and Pacific circulation: The differing role of wind and deep circulation changes: Pacific Circulation Projections. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 1669–1678. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL067757

Seneviratne, S.I., Donat, M.G., Pitman, A.J., Knutti, R., Wilby, R.L., 2016. Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets. Nature 529, 477–483. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature16542

Sharples, J.J., Cary, G.J., Fox-Hughes, P., Mooney, S., Evans, J.P., Fletcher, M.-S., Fromm, M., Grierson, P.F., McRae, R., Baker, P., 2016. Natural hazards in Australia: extreme bushfire. Climatic Change 139, 85–99. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1811-1

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., 2016. The effect of low ancient greenhouse climate temperature gradients on the ocean’s overturning circulation. Climate of the Past 12, 543–552. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-543-2016

Simpson, C.C., Sharples, J.J., Evans, J.P., 2016. Sensitivity of atypical lateral fire spread to wind and slope: SENSITIVITY OF LATERAL SPREAD TO WIND AND SLOPE. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 1744–1751. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067343

Stevens, B., Sherwood, S.C., Bony, S., Webb, M.J., 2016. Prospects for narrowing bounds on Earth’s equilibrium climate sensitivity: EARTH’S EQUILIBRIUM CLIMATE SENSITIVITY. Earth’s Future 4, 512–522. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000376

Stockhecke, M., Timmermann, A., Kipfer, R., Haug, G.H., Kwiecien, O., Friedrich, T., Menviel, L., Litt, T., Pickarski, N., Anselmetti, F.S., 2016a. Millennial to orbital-scale variations of drought intensity in the Eastern Mediterranean. Quaternary Science Reviews 133, 77–95. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.12.016

Stockhecke, M., Timmermann, A., Kipfer, R., Haug, G.H., Kwiecien, O., Friedrich, T., Menviel, L., Litt, T., Pickarski, N., Anselmetti, F.S., 2016b. Corrigendum to “Millennial to orbital-scale variations of drought intensity in the Eastern Mediterranean” [Quat. Sci. Rev. 133 (2016) 77–95]. Quaternary Science Reviews 150, 312–314. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.07.019

Sullivan, M., Green, D., 2016. Misled about lead: an assessment of online public health education material from Australia’s lead mining and smelting towns. Environmental Health 15, 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-015-0085-9

Taschetto, Andréa S., Gupta, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2016. Can Australian Multiyear Droughts and Wet Spells Be Generated in the Absence of Oceanic Variability? Journal of Climate 29, 6201–6221. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0694.1

Taschetto, A. S., Rodrigues, R.R., Meehl, G.A., McGregor, S., England, M.H., 2016. How sensitive are the Pacific–tropical North Atlantic teleconnections to the position and intensity of El Niño-related warming? Climate Dynamics 46, 1841–1860. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x

Thomas, Z.A., 2016. Using natural archives to detect climate and environmental tipping points in the Earth System. Quaternary Science Reviews 152, 60–71. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.09.026

Thorne, P.W., Donat, M.G., Dunn, R.J.H., Williams, C.N., Alexander, L.V., Caesar, J., Durre, I., Harris, I., Hausfather, Z., Jones, P.D., Menne, M.J., Rohde, R., Vose, R.S., Davy, R., Klein-Tank, A.M.G., Lawrimore, J.H., Peterson, T.C., Rennie, J.J., 2016. Reassessing changes in diurnal temperature range: Intercomparison and evaluation of existing global data set estimates: DTR Data Set Intercomparison/Assessment. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121, 5138–5158. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024584

Tian, F., Brandt, M., Liu, Y.Y., Rasmussen, K., Fensholt, R., 2016a. Mapping gains and losses in woody vegetation across global tropical drylands. Global Change Biology. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13464

Tian, F., Brandt, M., Liu, Y.Y., Verger, A., Tagesson, T., Diouf, A.A., Rasmussen, K., Mbow, C., Wang, Y., Fensholt, R., 2016b. Remote sensing of vegetation dynamics in drylands: Evaluating vegetation optical depth (VOD) using AVHRR NDVI and in situ green biomass data over West African Sahel. Remote Sensing of Environment 177, 265–276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2016.02.056

Tong, S., Berry, H.L., Ebi, K., Bambrick, H., Hu, W., Green, D., Hanna, E., Wang, Z., Butler, C.D., 2016a. Climate change, food, water and population health in China. Bulletin of the World Health Organization 94, 759–765. https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.15.167031

Tong, S., Berry, H.L., Ebi, K., Bambrick, H., Hu, W., Green, D., Hanna, E., Wang, Z., Butler, C.D., 2016b. Climate change, food, water and population health in China. Bulletin of the World Health Organization 94, 759–765. https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.15.167031

Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., Palmer, J.G., van Sebille, E., Thomas, Z., McGlone, M., Richardson, S., Wilmshurst, J.M., Fenwick, P., Zunz, V., Goosse, H., Wilson, K.-J., Carter, L., Lipson, M., Jones, R.T., Harsch, M., Clark, G., Marzinelli, E., Rogers, T., Rainsley, E., Ciasto, L., Waterman, S., Thomas, E.R., Visbeck, M., 2016. Tropical forcing of increased Southern Ocean climate variability revealed by a 140-year subantarctic temperate reconstruction. Climate of the Past Discussions 1–24. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2016-114

Turney, C. S. M., Jones, R.T., Fogwill, C., Hatton, J., Williams, A.N., Hogg, A., Thomas, Z.A., Palmer, J., Mooney, S., Reimer, R.W., 2016. A 250-year periodicity in Southern Hemisphere westerly winds over the last 2600 years. Climate of the Past 12, 189–200. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-189-2016

Turney, C.S.M., Jones, R.T., Lister, D., Jones, P., Williams, A.N., Hogg, A., Thomas, Z.A., Compo, G.P., Yin, X., Fogwill, C.J., Palmer, J., Colwell, S., Allan, R., Visbeck, M., 2016. Anomalous mid-twentieth century atmospheric circulation change over the South Atlantic compared to the last 6000 years. Environmental Research Letters 11, 064009. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064009

Turney, C.S.M., Jones, R.T., Thomas, Z.A., Palmer, J.G., Brown, D., 2016. Extreme wet conditions coincident with Bronze Age abandonment of upland areas in Britain. Anthropocene. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ancene.2016.02.002

Turney, C.S.M., McGlone, M., Palmer, J., Fogwill, C., Hogg, A., Thomas, Z.A., Lipson, M., Wilmshurst, J.M., Fenwick, P., Jones, R.T., Hines, B., Clark, G.F., 2016. Intensification of Southern Hemisphere westerly winds 2000-1000 years ago: evidence from the subantarctic Campbell and Auckland Islands (52-50°S): HOLOCENE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE WESTERLY AIRFLOW, SW PACIFIC. Journal of Quaternary Science 31, 12–19. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2828

Turney, C.S.M., Palmer, J., Bronk Ramsey, C., Adolphi, F., Muscheler, R., Hughen, K.A., Staff, R.A., Jones, R.T., Thomas, Z.A., Fogwill, C.J., Hogg, A., 2016. High-precision dating and correlation of ice, marine and terrestrial sequences spanning Heinrich Event 3: Testing mechanisms of interhemispheric change using New Zealand ancient kauri (Agathis australis). Quaternary Science Reviews 137, 126–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.02.005

Turney, C.S.M., Palmer, J., Hogg, A., Fogwill, C.J., Jones, R.T., Bronk Ramsey, C., Fenwick, P., Grierson, P., Wilmshurst, J., O’Donnell, A., Thomas, Z.A., Lipson, M., 2016. Multidecadal variations in Southern Hemisphere atmospheric 14 C: Evidence against a Southern Ocean sink at the end of the Little Ice Age CO 2 anomaly: SOUTHERN OCEAN VENTILATION DURING LIA. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30, 211–218. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GB005257

Ukkola, A. M., De Kauwe, M.G., Pitman, A.J., Best, M.J., Abramowitz, G., Haverd, V., Decker, M., Haughton, N., 2016. Land surface models systematically overestimate the intensity, duration and magnitude of seasonal-scale evaporative droughts. Environmental Research Letters 11, 104012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/104012

Ukkola, Anna M., Pitman, A.J., Decker, M., De Kauwe, M.G., Abramowitz, G., Kala, J., Wang, Y.-P., 2016. Modelling evapotranspiration during precipitation deficits: identifying critical processes in a land surface model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 20, 2403–2419. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2403-2016

van Marle, M.J.E., van der Werf, G.R., de Jeu, R.A.M., Liu, Y.Y., 2016. Annual South American forest loss estimates based on passive microwave remote sensing (1990–2010). Biogeosciences 13, 609–624. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-609-2016

Walsh, K., White, C.J., McInnes, K., Holmes, J., Schuster, S., Richter, H., Evans, J.P., Di Luca, A., Warren, R.A., 2016. Natural hazards in Australia: storms, wind and hail. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1737-7

Wang, B., Liu, D.L., Macadam, I., Alexander, L.V., Abramowitz, G., Yu, Q., 2016. Multi-model ensemble projections of future extreme temperature change using a statistical downscaling method in south eastern Australia. Climatic Change 138, 85–98. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1726-x

Whitley, R., Beringer, J., Hutley, L.B., Abramowitz, G., De Kauwe, M.G., Duursma, R., Evans, B., Haverd, V., Li, L., Ryu, Y., Smith, B., Wang, Y.-P., Williams, M., Yu, Q., 2016. A model inter-comparison study to examine limiting factors in modelling Australian tropical savannas. Biogeosciences 13, 3245–3265. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-3245-2016

Wilson, K.-J., Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., Blair, E., 2016. The impact of the giant iceberg B09B on population size and breeding success of Adélie penguins in Commonwealth Bay, Antarctica. Antarctic Science 28, 187–193. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0954102015000644

Winter, K., Woodward, J., Dunning, S.A., Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., Hein, A.S., Golledge, N.R., Bingham, R.G., Marrero, S.M., Sugden, D.E., Ross, N., 2016. Assessing the continuity of the blue ice climate record at Patriot Hills, Horseshoe Valley, West Antarctica: GPR assessment of Patriot Hills BIA. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 2019–2026. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066476

Wong, P.P.-Y., Lai, P.-C., Low, C.-T., Chen, S., Hart, M., 2016. The impact of environmental and human factors on urban heat and microclimate variability. Building and Environment 95, 199–208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.09.024

Wood, J.R., Wilmshurst, J.M., Turney, C.S.M., Fogwill, C.J., 2016. Palaeoecological signatures of vegetation change induced by herbivory regime shifts on subantarctic Enderby Island. Quaternary Science Reviews 134, 51–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.12.018

Yang, Yanmin, Liu, D.L., Anwar, M.R., O’Leary, G., Macadam, I., Yang, Yonghui, 2016. Water use efficiency and crop water balance of rainfed wheat in a semi-arid environment: sensitivity of future changes to projected climate changes and soil type. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 123, 565–579. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1376-3

Yit Sen Bull, C., van Sebille, E., 2016. Sources, fate, and pathways of Leeuwin Current water in the Indian Ocean and Great Australian Bight: A Lagrangian study in an eddy-resolving ocean model: TRACKING SOURCES OF THE LEEUWIN CURRENT. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 121, 1626–1639. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC011486

Ypma, S.L., van Sebille, E., Kiss, A.E., Spence, P., 2016a. The separation of the East Australian Current: A Lagrangian approach to potential vorticity and upstream control: EAST AUSTRALIAN CURRENT SEPARATION. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 121, 758–774. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC011133

Ypma, S.L., van Sebille, E., Kiss, A.E., Spence, P., 2016b. The separation of the East Australian Current: A Lagrangian approach to potential vorticity and upstream control. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 121, 758–774. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC011133

Yu, J., Menviel, L., Jin, Z.D., Thornalley, D.J.R., Barker, S., Marino, G., Rohling, E.J., Cai, Y., Zhang, F., Wang, X., Dai, Y., Chen, P., Broecker, W.S., 2016. Sequestration of carbon in the deep Atlantic during the last glaciation. Nature Geoscience 9, 319–324. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2657

Yue, Ricci P.H., Lee, H.F., Hart, M.A., 2016. Perceptions of visibility degradation in Hong Kong. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/09640568.2016.1197826

Yue, Ricci P. H., Lee, H.F., Hart, M.A., 2016. The human dimension of visibility degradation in a compact city. Natural Hazards 82, 1683–1702. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2263-7

Zafar, M.U., Ahmed, M., Rao, M.P., Buckley, B.M., Khan, N., Wahab, M., Palmer, J., 2016. Karakorum temperature out of phase with hemispheric trends for the past five centuries. Climate Dynamics 46, 1943–1952. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2685-z

Zhang, Y., Peña-Arancibia, J.L., McVicar, T.R., Chiew, F.H.S., Vaze, J., Liu, C., Lu, X., Zheng, H., Wang, Y., Liu, Y.Y., Miralles, D.G., Pan, M., 2016. Multi-decadal trends in global terrestrial evapotranspiration and its components. Scientific Reports 6, 19124. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep19124

Zheng, X., Kao, S., Chen, Z., Menviel, L., Chen, H., Du, Y., Wan, S., Yan, H., Liu, Z., Zheng, L., Wang, S., Li, D., Zhang, X., 2016. Deepwater circulation variation in the South China Sea since the Last Glacial Maximum: South China Sea Deep Current. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 8590–8599. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070342

2015 PUBLICATIONS

Abellán, E., McGregor, S., 2015. The role of the southward wind shift in both, the seasonal synchronization and duration of ENSO events. Climate Dynamics 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2853-1

Abramowitz, G., Bishop, C.H., 2015. Climate Model Dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP Projections. Journal of Climate 28, 2332–2348. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00364.1

Aiken, C., Santoso, A., McGregor, S., England, M.H., 2015. Optimal forcing of ENSO either side of the 1970’s climate shift and its implications for predictability. Clim Dyn 45, 47–65. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2300-8

Ajami, H., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2015. Impacts of model initialization on an integrated surface water-groundwater model. Hydrological Processes. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10478

Alexander, K., Easterbrook, S.M., 2015. The software architecture of climate models: a graphical comparison of CMIP5 and EMICAR5 configurations. Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss. 8, 351–379. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmdd-8-351-2015

Alexander, K., J. Meissner, K., J. Bralower, T., 2015. Sudden spreading of corrosive bottom water during the Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. Nature Geosci 8, 458–461. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2430

Andrys, J., Lyons, T.J., Kala, J., 2015. Multidecadal Evaluation of WRF Downscaling Capabilities over Western Australia in Simulating Rainfall and Temperature Extremes. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 54, 370–394. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0212.1

Anwar, M.R., Liu, D.L., Farquharson, R., Macadam, I., Abadi, A., Finlayson, J., Wang, B., Ramilan, T., 2015. Climate change impacts on phenology and yields of five broadacre crops at four climatologically distinct locations in Australia. Agricultural Systems 132, 133–144. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2014.09.010

Argüeso, Daniel, Di Luca, A., Evans, J., 2015. Precipitation over urban areas in the western Maritime Continent using a convection-permitting model. Clim Dyn 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2893-6

Argüeso, D., Evans, J.P., Pitman, A.J., Di Luca, A., 2015. Effects of City Expansion on Heat Stress under Climate Change Conditions. PLOS ONE 10, e0117066–e0117066. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0117066

Bagniewski, W., Meissner, K.J., Menviel, L., Brennan, C.E., 2015. Quantification of factors impacting seawater and calcite δ18O during Heinrich Stadials 1 and 4. Paleoceanography 30, 895–911. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002751

Batehup, R., McGregor, S., Gallant, A.J.E., 2015. The influence of non-stationary teleconnections on palaeoclimate reconstructions of ENSO variance using a pseudoproxy framework. Clim. Past 11, 1733–1749. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1733-2015

Bates, B.C., Argueso Barriga, D., JP, E., Green, J., Griesser, A., Jakob, D., Seed, A., Lau, R., Lehmann, E., Phatack, A., Abbs, D., Lavender, S., Nguyen, K., Rafter, T., Thatcher, M., Zheng, F., Westra, S., Leonard, M., 2015. Preliminary Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Design Rainfall IFD Curves. Presented at the 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The art and science of water.

Best, M.J., Abramowitz, G., Johnson, H.R., Pitman, A.J., Balsamo, G., Boone, A., Cuntz, M., Decharme, B., Dirmeyer, P.A., Dong, J., Ek, M., Guo, Z., Haverd, V., van den Hurk, B.J.J., Nearing, G.S., Pak, B., Peters-Lidard, C., Santanello, J.A., Stevens, L., Vuichard, N., 2015. The Plumbing of Land Surface Models: Benchmarking Model Performance. Journal of Hydrometeorology 16, 1425–1442. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0158.1

Bony, S., Stevens, B., Frierson, D.M.W., Jakob, C., Kageyama, M., Pincus, R., Shepherd, T.G., Sherwood, S.C., Siebesma, A.P., Sobel, A.H., Watanabe, M., Webb, M.J., 2015. Clouds, circulation and climate sensitivity. Nature Geoscience 8, 261–268. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2398

Boucharel, J., Timmermann, A., Santoso, A., England, M.H., Jin, F.F., Balmaseda, M.A., 2015. A surface layer variance heat budget for ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl063843

Brown, J.N., Langlais, C., Sen Gupta, A., 2015. Projected sea surface temperature changes in the equatorial Pacific relative to the Warm Pool edge. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 113, 47–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.10.022

Cai, M.Y., Wang, L., Parkes, S.D., Strauss, J., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Griffiths, A.D., 2015. Stable water isotope and surface heat flux simulation using ISOLSM: Evaluation against in-situ measurements. Journal of Hydrology 523, 67–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.019

Cai, Wenju, Santoso, A., Wang, G., Yeh, S.-W., An, S.-I., Cobb, K.M., Collins, M., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Kug, J.-S., Lengaigne, M., McPhaden, M.J., Takahashi, K., Timmermann, A., Vecchi, G., Watanabe, M., Wu, L., 2015. ENSO and greenhouse warming. Nature Clim. Change 5, 849–859. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2743

Cai, W., Wang, G., Santoso, A., McPhaden, M.J., Wu, L., Jin, F.F., Timmermann, A., Collins, M., Vecchi, G., Lengaigne, M., England, M.H., Dommenget, D., Takahashi, K., Guilyardi, E., 2015. Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change 5, 132–137. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2492

Chang, W., Haran, M., Olson, R., Keller, K., 2015. A composite likelihood approach to computer model calibration with high-dimensional spatial data. Statistica Sinica 25, 243–259. https://doi.org/10.5705/ss.2013.219w

Ciasto, L.M., Simpkins, G.R., England, M.H., 2015. Teleconnections between Tropical Pacific SST Anomalies and Extratropical Southern Hemisphere Climate. Journal of Climate 28, 56–65. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00438.1

Clark, G., Marzinelli, E., Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., Johnston, E., 2015. Effects of sea-ice cover on marine benthic communities: a natural experiment in Commonwealth Bay, East Antarctica. Polar Biol 38, 1213–1222. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-015-1688-x

Contractor, S., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., Herold, N., 2015. How Well Do Gridded Datasets of Observed Daily Precipitation Compare over Australia? Advances in Meteorology 2015, 15. https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/325718

Cooper, A., Turney, C., Hughen, K.A., Brook, B.W., McDonald, H.G., Bradshaw, C.J.A., 2015. Abrupt warming events drove Late Pleistocene Holarctic megafaunal turnover. Science 349, 602–606. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aac4315

Cortés-Hernández, V.E., Zheng, F., Evans, J., Lambert, M., Sharma, A., Westra, S., 2015. Evaluating regional climate models for simulating sub-daily rainfall extremes. Climate Dynamics 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2923-4

Cowan, T., Cai, W., Ng, B., England, M., 2015. The Response of the Indian Ocean Dipole Asymmetry to Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases. Journal of Climate 28, 2564–2583. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00661.1

De Kauwe, M.G., Kala, J., Lin, Y.S., Pitman, A.J., Medlyn, B.E., Duursma, R.A., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.P., Miralles, D.G., 2015a. A test of an optimal stomatal conductance scheme within the CABLE land surface model. Geoscientific Model Development 8, 431–452. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-431-2015

De Kauwe, M.G., Zhou, S.X., Medlyn, B.E., Pitman, A.J., Wang, Y.P., Duursma, R.A., Prentice, I.C., 2015b. Do land surface models need to include differential plant species responses to drought? Examining model predictions across a mesic-xeric gradient in Europe. Biogeosciences 12, 7503–7518. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-7503-2015

Decker, M., Pitman, A., Evans, J., 2015. Diagnosing the seasonal land–atmosphere correspondence over northern Australia: dependence on soil moisture state and correspondence strength definition. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 19, 3433–3447. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3433-2015

Deng, L., McCabe, M.F., Stenchikov, G., Evans, J.P., Kucera, P.A., 2015. Simulation of Flash-Flood-Producing Storm Events in Saudi Arabia Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model*. Journal of Hydrometeorology 16, 615–630. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0126.1

Denniston, R.F., Villarini, G., Gonzales, A.N., Wyrwoll, K.-H., Polyak, V.J., Ummenhofer, C.C., Lachniet, M.S., Wanamaker, A.D., Humphreys, W.F., Woods, D., Cugley, J., 2015. Extreme rainfall activity in the Australian tropics reflects changes in the El Niño/Southern Oscillation over the last two millennia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112, 4576–4581. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1422270112

Di Luca, A., Evans, J.P., Pepler, A., Alexander, L., Argüeso, D., 2015. Resolution Sensitivity of Cyclone Climatology over Eastern Australia Using Six Reanalysis Products. Journal of Climate 28, 9530–9549. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00645.1

Dipayan, C., Ashish, S., Bellie, S., Alexander Sen, G., Rajeshwar, M., 2015. On the predictability of SSTA indices from CMIP5 decadal experiments. Environmental Research Letters 10, 074013. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/074013

Dittus, A.J., Karoly, D.J., Lewis, S.C., Alexander, L.V., 2015. A Multiregion Assessment of Observed Changes in the Areal Extent of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes. Journal of Climate 28, 9206–9220. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00753.1

Dobbie, B., Green, D., 2015. Australians are not equally protected from industrial air pollution. Environmental Research Letters 10, 055001–055001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/055001

Donat, M.G., King, A.D., Overpeck, J.T., Alexander, L.V., Durre, I., Karoly, D.J., 2015. Extraordinary heat during the 1930s US Dust Bowl and associated large-scale conditions. Climate Dynamics 46, 413–426. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2590-5

England, M.H., Kajtar, J.B., Maher, N., 2015. Robust warming projections despite the recent hiatus. Nature Climate Change 5, 394–396. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2575

Evans, J., Argueso Barriga, D., 2015. WRF simulations of future changes in rainfall IFD curves over Greater Sydney. Presented at the 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The art and science of water.

Evans, J., Olson, R., Fita Borrell, L., Argueso Barriga, D., Di Luca, A., 2015. NARCliM model performance including teleconnections with climate modes. Presented at the 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation,. http://www.mssanz.org.au/modsim2015/G4/evans.pdf

Evans, J.P., Bormann, K., Katzfey, J., Dean, S., Arritt, R., 2015. Regional climate model projections of the South Pacific Convergence Zone. Clim Dyn 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2873-x

Evans, Karen, Brown, J.N., Sen Gupta, A., Nicol, S.J., Hoyle, S., Matear, R., Arrizabalaga, H., 2015. When 1+1 can be >2: Uncertainties compound when simulating climate, fisheries and marine ecosystems. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 113, 312–322. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.04.006

Evans, K., Young, J.W., Nicol, S., Kolody, D., Allain, V., Bell, J., Brown, J.N., Ganachaud, A., Hobday, A.J., Hunt, B., Innes, J., Gupta, A.S., van Sebille, E., Kloser, R., Patterson, T., Singh, A., 2015. Optimising fisheries management in relation to tuna catches in the western central Pacific Ocean: A review of research priorities and opportunities. Marine Policy 59, 94–104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.05.003

Fogwill, C., Turney, C., Golledge, N., Rood, D., Hippe, K., Wacker, L., Weiler, R., Rainsley, E., Jones, R., 2015. Mechanisms Driving abrupt shifts inWest Antarctic ice stream direction during the Holocene. Presented at the EGU General Assembly 2015, Geophysical Research Abstracts.

Fogwill, C., Turney, C., Hutchinson, D., Taschetto, A.S., England, M., 2015. Obliquity driven ice sheet expansion across the Southern Hemisphere during the last glacial, in: System, T.S.A.D. (Ed.), . Presented at the EGU General Assembly 2015, Geophysical Research Abstracts, p. 2570.

Fogwill, C.J., Phipps, S.J., Turney, C.S.M., Golledge, N.R., 2015a. Sensitivity of the Southern Ocean to enhanced regional Antarctic ice sheet meltwater input. Earth’s Future 3, 317–329. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015ef000306

Fogwill, C.J., Turney, C.S.M., Hutchinson, D.K., Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2015b. Obliquity Control On Southern Hemisphere Climate During The Last Glacial. Scientific Reports 5, 11673. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep11673

Frankcombe, L.M., England, M.H., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., 2015. Separating Internal Variability from the Externally Forced Climate Response. Journal of Climate 28, 8184–8202. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0069.1

Freeman, E., Skinner, L.C., Tisserand, A., Dokken, T., Timmermann, A., Menviel, L., Friedrich, T., 2015. An Atlantic–Pacific ventilation seesaw across the last deglaciation. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 424, 237–244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2015.05.032

Froyland, G., Horenkamp, C., Rossi, V., Van Sebille, E., 2015. Studying an Agulhas ring’s long-term pathway and decay with finite-time coherent sets. Chaos 25, 083119. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4927830

Fuchs, D., Sherwood, S., Hernandez, D., 2015. An Exploration of Multivariate Fluctuation Dissipation Operators and Their Response to Sea Surface Temperature Perturbations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 472–486. https://doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-14-0077.1

García-García, D., Ummenhofer, C.C., 2015. Multidecadal variability of the continental precipitation annual amplitude driven by AMO and ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters 42, 526–535. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062451

Gibson, Peter B., Cullen, N.J., 2015. Regional Variability in New Zealand’s Wind Resource Linked to Synoptic-Scale Circulation: Implications for Generation Reliability. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 54, 944–958. https://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-14-0273.1

Gibson, P. B., Cullen, N.J., 2015. Synoptic and sub-synoptic circulation effects on wind resource variability – A case study from a coastal terrain setting in New Zealand. Renewable Energy 78, 253–263. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.01.004

Gilmore, J., Evans, J., Sherwood, S., Ekström, M., Ji, F., 2015. Extreme precipitation in WRF during the Newcastle East Coast Low of 2007. Theor Appl Climatol 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1551-6

Gilmore, J.B., 2015. Understanding the Influence of Measurement Uncertainty on the Atmospheric Transition in Rainfall and Column Water Vapor. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 2041–2054. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0211.1

Goldie, J., Sherwood, S.C., Green, D., Alexander, L., 2015. Temperature and Humidity Effects on Hospital Morbidity in Darwin, Australia. Annals of Global Health 81, 333–341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aogh.2015.07.003

Golledge, N.R., Kowalewski, D.E., Naish, T.R., Levy, R.H., Fogwill, C.J., Gasson, E.G.W., 2015. The multi-millennial Antarctic commitment to future sea-level rise. Nature 526, 421–425. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature15706

Gottschalk, J., Skinner, L.C., Misra, S., Waelbroeck, C., Menviel, L., Timmermann, A., 2015. Abrupt changes in the southern extent of North Atlantic Deep Water during Dansgaard-Oeschger events. Nature Geosci 8, 950–954. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2558

Graham, R.M., De Boer, A.M., van Sebille, E., Kohfeld, K.E., Schlosser, C., 2015. Inferring source regions and supply mechanisms of iron in the Southern Ocean from satellite chlorophyll data. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers 104, 9–25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2015.05.007

Gray, S., 2015a. What do Australian academics think of professional staff and what should we do about it?, in: Dobson, I., Sharma, R. (Eds.), . Presented at the Tertiary Education Management Conference 2015, E1, pp. 103–114.

Gray, S., 2015b. Culture clash or ties that bind? What Australian academics think of professional staff. Journal of Higher Education Policy and Management 37, 545–557. https://doi.org/10.1080/1360080X.2015.1079397

Green, D., Bambrick, H., Tait, P., Goldie, J., Schultz, R., Webb, L., Alexander, L., Pitman, A., 2015. Differential Effects of Temperature Extremes on Hospital Admission Rates for Respiratory Disease between Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Australians in the Northern Territory. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 12. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph121214988

Green, D., Webb, L., 2015. Climate Change, Health and Well-being in Indigenous Australia, in: Health of People, Places and Planet. ANU Press, Acton, ACT, Australia.

Grose, M.R., Bhend, J., Argueso Barriga, D., M, E., Dowdy, A., Hoffman, F., JP, E., Timbal, B., 2015. Comparison of various climate change projections of eastern Australian rainfall. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 65.

Güttler, D., Adolphi, F., Beer, J., Bleicher, N., Boswijk, G., Christl, M., Hogg, A., Palmer, J., Vockenhuber, C., Wacker, L., Wunder, J., 2015. Rapid increase in cosmogenic 14C in AD 775 measured in New Zealand kauri trees indicates short-lived increase in 14C production spanning both hemispheres. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 411, 290–297. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2014.11.048

Haughton, N., Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A., Phipps, S.J., 2015. Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3

Hirsch, A.L., Pitman, A.J., Kala, J., Lorenz, R., Donat, M.G., 2015. Modulation of Land-Use Change Impacts on Temperature Extremes via Land–Atmosphere Coupling over Australia. Earth Interactions 19, 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1175/ei-d-15-0011.1

Hu, D., Wu, L., Cai, W., Gupta, A.S., Ganachaud, A., Qiu, B., Gordon, A.L., Lin, X., Chen, Z., Hu, S., Wang, G., Wang, Q., Sprintall, J., Qu, T., Kashino, Y., Wang, F., Kessler, W.S., 2015. Pacific western boundary currents and their roles in climate. Nature 522, 299–308. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14504

Huiskamp, W.N., Meissner, K.J., d’Orgeville, M., 2015. Competition between ocean carbon pumps in simulations with varying Southern Hemisphere westerly wind forcing. Clim Dyn 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2781-0

Hutchinson, D.K., England, M.H., M. Hogg, A., Snow, K., 2015. Interhemispheric Asymmetry of Warming in an Eddy-Permitting Coupled Sector Model. Journal of Climate 28, 7385–7406. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0014.1

Jha, S.K., Mariethoz, G., Evans, J., McCabe, M.F., Sharma, A., 2015. A space and time scale-dependent nonlinear geostatistical approach for downscaling daily precipitation and temperature. Water Resources Research 51, 6244–6261. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014wr016729

Ji, F., Evans, J.P., Argueso, D., Fita, L., Di Luca, A., 2015. Using large-scale diagnostic quantities to investigate change in East Coast Lows. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2481-9

Johnson, C.N., Rule, S., Haberle, S.G., Turney, C.S.M., Kershaw, A.P., Brook, B.W., 2015. Using dung fungi to interpret decline and extinction of megaherbivores: problems and solutions. Quaternary Science Reviews 110, 107–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.12.011

Johnson, F., White, C.J., Van Dijk, A., M, E., JP, E., Jakob, D., Kiem, A., Leonard, M., Rouillard, A., Westra, S., 2015. How and why are floods changing in Australia? Presented at the 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The art and science of water.

Jones, R., Turney, C., Lang, B., Brooks, S., Rundgren, M., Björck, S., Hammarlund, D., 2015. Delayed European Climate Optimum During the Last Interglacial in Northern Europe. Presented at the EGU General Assembly 2015, held 12-17 April, 2015, COPERNICUS.

Jones, R.S., Mackintosh, A.N., Norton, K.P., Golledge, N.R., Fogwill, C.J., Kubik, P.W., Christl, M., Greenwood, S.L., 2015. Rapid Holocene thinning of an East Antarctic outlet glacier driven by marine ice sheet instability. Nat Commun 6. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms9910

Kajtar, J.B., Santoso, A., England, M.H., Cai, W., 2015. Indo-Pacific Climate Interactions in the Absence of an Indonesian Throughflow. Journal of Climate 28, 5017–5029. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00114.1

Kala, J., Andrys, J., Lyons, T.J., Foster, I.J., Evans, B.J., 2015a. Sensitivity of WRF to driving data and physics options on a seasonal time-scale for the southwest of Western Australia. Climate Dynamics 44, 633–659. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2160-2

Kala, J., De Kauwe, M.G., Pitman, A.J., Lorenz, R., Medlyn, B.E., Wang, Y.P., Lin, Y.S., Abramowitz, G., 2015b. Implementation of an optimal stomatal conductance scheme in the Australian Community Climate Earth Systems Simulator (ACCESS1.3b). Geosci. Model Dev. 8, 3877–3889. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3877-2015

Kala, Jatin, Evans, J.P., Pitman, A.J., 2015. Influence of antecedent soil moisture conditions on the synoptic meteorology of the Black Saturday bushfire event in southeast Australia. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2596

Kim, S., Parinussa, R.M., Liu, Y.Y., Johnson, F.M., Sharma, A., 2015. A framework for combining multiple soil moisture retrievals based on maximizing temporal correlation. Geophysical Research Letters 42, 6662–6670. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064981

Kim, Y.H., Min, S.K., Zhang, X., Zwiers, F., Alexander, L.V., Donat, M.G., Tung, Y.S., 2015. Attribution of extreme temperature changes during 1951–2010. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2674-2

King, A., Donat, M., Alexander, L., Karoly, D., 2015. The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5. Clim Dyn 44, 2623–2635. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8

King, Andrew D., Black, M.T., Karoly, D.J., Donat, M.G., 2015. Increased Likelihood of Brisbane, Australia, G20 Heat Event Due to Anthropogenic Climate Change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96, S141–S144. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-EEE_2014_ch28.1

King, A.D., Donat, M.G., Fischer, E.M., Hawkins, E., Alexander, L.V., Karoly, D.J., Dittus, A.J., Lewis, S.C., Perkins, S., 2015. The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes. Environmental Research Letters 10, 094015. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094015

Kolby Smith, W., Reed, S.C., Cleveland, C.C., Ballantyne, A.P., Anderegg, W.R.L., Wieder, W.R., Liu, Y.Y., Running, S.W., 2015. Large divergence of satellite and Earth system model estimates of global terrestrial CO2 fertilization. Nature Climate Change 6, 306–310. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2879

Kvale, K.F., Meissner, K.J., Keller, D.P., 2015a. Potential increasing dominance of heterotrophy in the global ocean. Environmental Research Letters 10, 074009. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/074009

Kvale, K.F., Meissner, K.J., Keller, D.P., Eby, M., Schmittner, A., 2015b. Explicit Planktic Calcifiers in the University of Victoria Earth System Climate Model, Version 2.9. Atmosphere-Ocean 53, 332–350. https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1049112

Li, J., Sharma, A., Johnson, F., Evans, J., 2015. Evaluating the effect of climate change on areal reduction factors using regional climate model projections. Journal of Hydrology 528, 419–434. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.06.067

Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., de Jeu, R.A.M., Canadell, J.G., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Wang, G., 2015. Recent reversal in loss of global terrestrial biomass. Nature Climate Change 5, 470–474. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2581

Lorenz, R., Pitman, A.J., Hirsch, A.L., Srbinovsky, J., 2015. Intraseasonal versus Interannual Measures of Land–Atmosphere Coupling Strength in a Global Climate Model: GLACE-1 versus GLACE-CMIP5 Experiments in ACCESS1.3b. Journal of Hydrometeorology 16, 2276–2295. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0206.1

Maher, N., McGregor, S., England, M.H., Gupta, A.S., 2015. Effects of volcanism on tropical variability. Geophysical Research Letters 42, 6024–6033. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl064751

Mayewski, P.A., Bracegirdle, T., Goodwin, I., Schneider, D., Bertler, N.A.N., Birkel, S., Carleton, A., England, M.H., Kang, J.H., Khan, A., Russell, J., Turner, J., Velicogna, I., 2015. Potential for Southern Hemisphere climate surprises. Journal of Quaternary Science 30, 391–395. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2794

McGregor, H.V., Evans, M.N., Goosse, H., Leduc, G., Martrat, B., Addison, J.A., Mortyn, P.G., Oppo, D.W., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., Sicre, M.-A., Phipps, S.J., Selvaraj, K., Thirumalai, K., Filipsson, H.L., Ersek, V., 2015. Robust global ocean cooling trend for the pre-industrial Common Era. Nature Geosci 8, 671–677. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2510

Meehl, G.A., Teng, H., Maher, N., England, M.H., 2015. Effects of the Mount Pinatubo eruption on decadal climate prediction skill of Pacific sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters 42, 10,840-10,846. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066608

Meissner, K.J., 2015. Palaeoclimate: The dynamics of cold events. Nature Geosci 8, 904–906. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2564

Mendoza, P.A., Clark, M.P., Barlage, M., Rajagopalan, B., Samaniego, L., Abramowitz, G., Gupta, H., 2015. Are we unnecessarily constraining the agility of complex process-based models? Water Resources Research 51, 716–728. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014wr015820

Menviel, L., Mouchet, A., Meissner, K.J., Joos, F., England, M.H., 2015a. Impact of oceanic circulation changes on atmospheric δ13CO2. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 29, 1944–1961. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GB005207

Menviel, L., Spence, P., England, M.H., 2015b. Contribution of enhanced Antarctic Bottom Water formation to Antarctic warm events and millennial-scale atmospheric CO2 increase. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 413, 37–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2014.12.050

Menviel, L., Spence, P., Golledge, N., England, M., 2015c. Southern Ocean Overturning Role in Modulating High Southern Latitude Climate and Atmospheric CO2 on Millennial Timescales. Nova Acta Leopoldina 121, 159–166.

Morrison, A.K., England, M.H., Hogg, A.M., 2015. Response of Southern Ocean Convection and Abyssal Overturning to Surface Buoyancy Perturbations. Journal of Climate 28, 4263–4278. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00110.1

Multsch, S., Exbrayat, J.F., Kirby, M., Viney, N.R., Frede, H.G., Breuer, L., 2015. Reduction of predictive uncertainty in estimating irrigation water requirement through multi-model ensembles and ensemble averaging. Geosci. Model Dev. 8, 1233–1244. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-1233-2015

Ng, B., Cai, W., Walsh, K., Santoso, A., 2015. Nonlinear processes reinforce extreme Indian Ocean Dipole events. Scientific Reports 5, 11697. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep11697

O’Donnell, A.J., Cook, E.R., Palmer, J.G., Turney, C.S.M., Page, G.F.M., Grierson, P.F., 2015. Tree Rings Show Recent High Summer-Autumn Precipitation in Northwest Australia Is Unprecedented within the Last Two Centuries. PLoS ONE 10, e0128533. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0128533

Palmer, J., Cook, E.R., Turney, C., Allen, K., Fenwick, P., Cook, B.I., O’Donnell, A., Lough, J., Grierson, P., Baker, P., 2015. Drought variability in the eastern Australia and New Zealand summer drought atlas (ANZDA, CE 1500–2012) modulated by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Environmental Research Letters 10, 124002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124002

Palmer, J.G., Turney, C.S.M., Hogg, A.G., Lorrey, A.M., Jones, R.J., 2015. Progress in refining the global radiocarbon calibration curve using New Zealand kauri (Agathis australis) tree-ring series from Oxygen Isotope Stage 3. Quaternary Geochronology 27, 158–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quageo.2015.02.028

Peña-Izquierdo, J., van Sebille, E., Pelegrí, J.L., Sprintall, J., Mason, E., Llanillo, P.J., Machín, F., 2015. Water mass pathways to the North Atlantic oxygen minimum zone. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 120, 3350–3372. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014jc010557

Pepler, A.S., Di Luca, A., Ji, F., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., Sherwood, S.C., 2015. Impact of Identification Method on the Inferred Characteristics and Variability of Australian East Coast Lows. Monthly Weather Review 143, 864–877. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-14-00188.1

Perkins, S.E., 2015. A review on the scientific understanding of heatwaves—Their measurement, driving mechanisms, and changes at the global scale. Atmospheric Research 164–165, 242–267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.05.014

Perkins, S.E., Argüeso, D., White, C.J., 2015. Relationships between climate variability, soil moisture, and Australian heatwaves. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 120, 8144–8164. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD023592

Perkins, S.E., Gibson, P.B., 2015. Increased Risk of the 2014 Australian May Heatwave Due to Anthropogenic Activity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96, S154–S157. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-EEE_2014_ch31.1

Prasad, A.A., Kay, M.J., 2015a. Short-Term Irradiance Forecasts Using Cloud Motion Vectors. Presented at the 3rd International Conference Energy & Meteorology.

Prasad, A.A., Kay, M.J., 2015b. Investigation of DNI-cloud Connections Using Satellite Data. Presented at the 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2015).

Qin, X., Sen Gupta, A., van Sebille, E., 2015. Variability in the origins and pathways of Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent water. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 120, 3113–3128. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014jc010549

Roland, T.P., Daley, T.J., Caseldine, C.J., Charman, D.J., Turney, C.S.M., Amesbury, M.J., Thompson, G.J., Woodley, E.J., 2015. The 5.2 ka climate event: Evidence from stable isotope and multi-proxy palaeoecological peatland records in Ireland. Quaternary Science Reviews 124, 209–223. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.07.026

Rouillard, A., Skrzypek, G., Dogramaci, S., Turney, C., Grierson, P.F., 2015. Impacts of high inter-annual variability of rainfall on a century of extreme hydrologic regime of northwest Australia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19, 2057–2078. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2057-2015

Saenko, O.A., Yang, D., Gregory, J.M., Spence, P., Myers, P.G., 2015. Separating the influence of projected changes in air temperature and wind on patterns of sea level change and ocean heat content. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 120, 5749–5765. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC010928

Sailor, D.J., Georgescu, M., Milne, J.M., Hart, M.A., 2015. Development of a national anthropogenic heating database with an extrapolation for international cities. Atmospheric Environment 118, 7–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.07.016

Saltré, F., Brook, B.W., Rodríguez-Rey, M., Cooper, A., Johnson, C.N., Turney, C.S.M., Bradshaw, C.J.A., 2015. Uncertainties in dating constrain model choice for inferring extinction time from fossil records. Quaternary Science Reviews 112, 128–137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.01.022

Santoso, A., Cai, W., Collins, M., McPhaden, M., Jin, F.F., Guilyardi, E., Vecchi, G., Dommenget, D., Wang, G., 2015. ENSO Extremes and Diversity: Dynamics, Teleconnections, and Impacts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-15-00141.1

Sasse, T.P., McNeil, B.I., Matear, R.J., Lenton, A., 2015. Quantifying the influence of CO2 seasonality on future aragonite undersaturation onset. Biogeosciences 12, 6017–6031. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-6017-2015

Schmidt, G.A., Sherwood, S., 2015. A practical philosophy of complex climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science 5, 149–169. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13194-014-0102-9

Sen Gupta, A., Brown, J.N., Jourdain, N., van Sebille, E., Ganachaud, A., Vergés, A., 2015. Episodic and non-uniform shifts of thermal habitats in a warming ocean. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 113, 59–72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2013.12.002

Sherwood, S., 2015. Climate science: The Sun and the rain. Nature 528, 200–201. https://doi.org/10.1038/528200a

Sherwood, S.C., Bony, S., Boucher, O., Bretherton, C., Forster, P.M., Gregory, J.M., Stevens, B., 2015. Adjustments in the Forcing-Feedback Framework for Understanding Climate Change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96, 217–228. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-13-00167.1

Sherwood, S.C., Nishant, N., 2015. Atmospheric changes through 2012 as shown by iteratively homogenized radiosonde temperature and wind data (IUKv2). Environmental Research Letters 10, 054007–054007. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054007

Simpson, C., Sharples, J.J., JP, E., 2015a. WRF-Fire simulation of lateral fire spread in the Bendora Fire on 18 January 2003. Presented at the 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, pp. 305–311.

Simpson, C., Sharples, J.J., JP, E., 2015b. Numerical modelling of wildland fire spread on the windward and leeward sides of a ridge. Presented at the 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, pp. 22–28. http://www.mssanz.org.au/modsim2015/Keynote/simpson.pdf

Steinman, B.A., Frankcombe, L.M., Mann, M.E., Miller, S.K., England, M.H., 2015. Response to Comment on “Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures.” Science 350, 1326–1326. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aac5208

Stewart, K.D., Spence, P., Waterman, S., Sommer, J.L., Molines, J.M., Lilly, J.M., England, M.H., 2015. Anisotropy of eddy variability in the global ocean. Ocean Modelling 95, 53–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2015.09.005

Stuecker, M.F., Jin, F.F., Timmermann, A., McGregor, S., 2015. Combination Mode Dynamics of the Anomalous Northwest Pacific Anticyclone*. Journal of Climate 28, 1093–1111. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00225.1

Teng, J., Potter, N.J., Chiew, F.H.S., Zhang, L., Wang, B., Vaze, J., Evans, J.P., 2015. How does bias correction of regional climate model precipitation affect modelled runoff? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19, 711–728. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-711-2015

Thomas, C.M., Sharples, J.J., Evans, J.P., 2015. Pyroconvective interaction of two merged fire lines: curvature effects and dynamic fire spread. Presented at the MODSIM2015, 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, MODSIM2015.

Thomas, Z.A., Kwasniok, F., Boulton, C.A., Cox, P.M., Jones, R.T., Lenton, T.M., Turney, C.S.M., 2015. Early warnings and missed alarms for abrupt monsoon transitions. Clim. Past Discuss. 11, 1313–1341. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-11-1313-2015

Turney, C., Thomas, Z., Hutchinson, D., Bradshaw, C., Brook, B., England, M., Fogwill, C., Jones, R., Palmer, J., Hughen, K., Cooper, A., 2015. Obliquity-driven expansion of North Atlantic sea ice controls structure of the last glacial. Presented at the EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, p. 12940.

Turney, C. S. M., Fogwill, C.J., Klekociuk, A., van Ommen, T.D., Curran, M.A.J., Moy, A.D., Palmer, J.G., 2015. Tropical and mid-latitude forcing of continental Antarctic temperatures. The Cryosphere Discuss. 9, 4019–4042. https://doi.org/10.5194/tcd-9-4019-2015

Turney, Chris S. M., Thomas, Z.A., Hutchinson, D.K., Bradshaw, C.J.A., Brook, B.W., England, M.H., Fogwill, C.J., Jones, R.T., Palmer, J., Hughen, K.A., Cooper, A., 2015. Obliquity-driven expansion of North Atlantic sea ice during the last glacial. Geophysical Research Letters 42, 10,382–10,390. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl066344

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A., England, M.H., Taschetto, A.S., Briggs, P.R., Raupach, M.R., 2015. How did ocean warming affect Australian rainfall extremes during the 2010/2011 La Niña event? Geophysical Research Letters 42, 9942–9951. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065948

van Sebille, E., 2015. The oceans’ accumulating plastic garbage. Physics Today 68, 60–61. https://doi.org/10.1063/PT.3.2697

van Sebille, E., Scussolini, P., Durgadoo, J.V., Peeters, F.J.C., Biastoch, A., Weijer, W., Turney, C., Paris, C.B., Zahn, R., 2015. Ocean currents generate large footprints in marine palaeoclimate proxies. Nature Communications 6, 6521–6521. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms7521

van Sebille, Erik, Waterman, S., Barthel, A., Lumpkin, R., Keating, S.R., Fogwill, C., Turney, C., 2015. Pairwise surface drifter separation in the western Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 120, 6769–6781. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015jc010972

Van Sebille, E., Wilcox, C., Lebreton, L., Maximenko, N., Hardesty, B., van Franeker, J., A., Eriksen, M., Siegel, D., Galgani, F., Law, K., 2015. A global inventory of small floating plastic debris. Environmental Research Letters 10, 124006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124006

Wang, B., Liu, D.L., Asseng, S., Macadam, I., Yu, Q., 2015. Impact of climate change on wheat flowering time in eastern Australia. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 209–210, 11–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.04.028

Wang, Y.-P., Zhang, Q., Pitman, A., Dai, Y.J., 2015. Nitrogen and phosphorous limitation reduces the effects of land use change on land carbon uptake or emission. Environmental Research Letters 10, 014001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014001

Webb, M.J., Lock, A.P., Bretherton, C.S., Bony, S., Cole, J.N.S., Idelkadi, A., Kang, S.M., Koshiro, T., Kawai, H., Ogura, T., Roehrig, R., Shin, Y., Mauritsen, T., Sherwood, S.C., Vial, J., Watanabe, M., Woelfle, M.D., Zhao, M., 2015. The impact of parametrized convection on cloud feedback. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 373. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0414

Williams, A.N., Ulm, S., Turney, C.S.M., Rohde, D., White, G., 2015a. Holocene Demographic Changes and the Emergence of Complex Societies in Prehistoric Australia. PLoS ONE 10, e0128661. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0128661

Williams, A.N., Veth, P., Steffen, W., Ulm, S., Turney, C.S.M., Reeves, J.M., Phipps, S.J., Smith, M., 2015b. A continental narrative: Human settlement patterns and Australian climate change over the last 35,000 years. Quaternary Science Reviews 123, 91–112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.06.018

Wilson, K.J., Turney, C., Fogwill, C., Hunter, J., 2015. Low numbers and apparent long-term stability of South Polar Skuas Stercorarius maccormicki at Commonwealth Bay, Antarctica. Marine Ornithology 43, 103–106. http://www.marineornithology.org/cgi-bin/getpage.cgi?vol=43&no=1

Yin, H., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., Sun, Y., 2015. Multi-dataset comparison of gridded observed temperature and precipitation extremes over China. International Journal of Climatology 35, 2809–2827. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4174

Zika, J.D., Laliberté, F., Mudryk, L.R., Sijp, W.P., Nurser, A.J.G., 2015. Changes in ocean vertical heat transport with global warming. Geophysical Research Letters 42, 4940–4948. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl064156

2014 PUBLICATIONS

Abram, N., Mulvaney, R., Vimeux, F., Phipps, S.J., Turner, J., England, M.H., 2014. Strengthening of the Southern Annular Mode over the past six centuries. Nature Climate Change 4, 564–569. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2235

Ajami, H., JP, E., McCabe, M.F., Stisen, S., 2014a. Technical Note: Reducing the spin-up time of integrated surface water-groundwater models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18, 5169–5179. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-5169-2014

Ajami, H., McCabe, M.F., JP, E., Stisen, S., 2014b. Assessing the impact of model spin-up on surface water-groundwater interactions using an integrated hydrologic model. Water Resources Research 50. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014258

Andersen, A., Beringer, J., Bull, C.M., Byrne, M., Cleugh, H., Christensen, R., French, K., Harch, B., Hoffmann, A., Lowe, A.J., Moltmann, T., Nicotra, A., Pitman, A., Phinn, S., Westoby, M., 2014. Foundations for the future: A long-term plan for Australian ecosystem science. Austral Ecology 39, 739–748. https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.12188

Argueso Barriga, D., Evans, J.P., Fita Borrell, L., Bormann, K., 2014. Temperature response to future urbanization and climate change. Climate Dynamics 42, 2183–2199. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1789-6

Ashok, K., Nagaraju,  c., Sen Gupta, A., 2014. Decadal changes in the relationship between the Indian and Australian summer monsoons. Climate Dynamics 42. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1625-4

Bakker, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., Martrat, B., Charbit, S., Renssen, H., Gröger, M., Krebs-Kanzow, U., Lohman, G., Lunt, D.J., Pfeiffer, M., S. J. Phipps, M. Prange, Ritz, S.P., Schulz, M., Stenni, B., Stone, E.J., Varma, V., 2014. Temperature trends during the Present and Last interglacial periods - A multi-model-data comparison. Quaternary Science Reviews 99, 224–243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.06.031

Bentley, M., Ó Cofaigh, C., Anderson, J., Conway, H., Davies, B., Graham, A., Hillenbrand, C.-D., Hodgson, D., Jamieson, S., Larter, R., Mackintosh, A., Smith, J., Verleyen, E., Ackert, R., Bart, P., Berg, S., Brunstein, D., Canals, M., Colhoun, E., Crosta, X., Dickens, W., Domack, E., Dowdeswell, J., Dunbar, R., Ehrmann, W., Evans, J.P., Favier, V., Fink, D., Fogwill, C.J., Glasser, N., Gohl, K., Golledge, N., Goodwin, I., Gore, D., Greenwood, S., Hall, B., Hall, K., Hedding, D., Hein, A., Hocking, E., Jakobsson, M., Johnson, J., Jomelli, V., Jones, R., Klages, J., Kristoffersen, Y., Kuhn, G., Leventer, A., Licht, K., Lilly, K., Lindow, J., Livingstone, S., Massé, G., McGlone, M., McKay, R., Melles, M., Miura, H., Mulvaney, R., Nel, W., Nitsche, F., O’Brien, P., Post, A., Roberts, S., Saunders, K., Selkirk, P., Simms, A., Spiegel, C., Stolldorf, T., ugden, D., van der Putten, N., van Ommen, T., Verfaillie, D., Vyverman, W., Wagner, B., White, D., Witus, A., Zwartz, D., 2014. A community-based geological reconstruction of Antarctic Ice Sheet deglaciation since the Last Glacial Maximum. Quaternary Science Reviews 100, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.06.025

Borlace, S., Santoso, A., Cai, W., Collins, M., 2014. Extreme swings of the South Pacific Convergence Zone and the different types of El Niño  events. Geophysical Research Letters 41, 4695–4703. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060551

Bormann, K., JP, E., McCabe, M.F., 2014. Constraining snowmelt in a temperature-index model using simulated snow densities. Journal of Hydrology 517. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.073

Boswijk G, Fowler AM, Palmer JG, Fenwick P, Hogg A, Lorrey A, J, W., 2014. The late Holocene kauri chronology: assessing the potential of a 4500-year record for palaeoclimate reconstruction. Quaternary Science Reviews 90, 128–142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.02.022

Boucher, O., Randall, D., Artaxo, P., Bretherton, C., Feingold, G., Forster, P., Kerminen, V.-M., Kondo, Y., Liao, H., Lohmann, U., Rasch, P., Satheesh, S.K., Sherwood, S., Stevens, B., Zhang, X.Y., 2014. Clouds and Aerosols, IPCC 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. UK, USA.

Bralower, T.J., Meissner, K.J., Alexander, K., Thomas, D.., 2014. The dynamics of global change at the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum: A data-model comparison. Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems 15, 3830–3848. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GC005474

Brookman, T., Steward, G., Palmer, J., Fenwick, P., Banks, A., Horton, T.W., 2014. Raised in the wild south: a dendrochronological and dendrochemical profile of a far-southern stand of kauri (Agathis australis) on the Taieri Plain, Otago. New Zealand Journal of Forestry Science 44, 14–14. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40490-014-0014-7

Cai, W., Borlace, S., Lengaigne, M., Van Rensch, P., Collins, M., Vecchi, G., Timmerman, A., Santoso, A., McPhaden, M., England, M.H., Wang, G., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.F., 2014a. Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change 4. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2100

Cai, W., Santoso, A., Wang, G., Weller, E., Wu, L., Ashok, K., Masumoto, Y., Yamagata, T., 2014b. Increased frequency of extreme Indian Ocean Dipole events due to greenhouse warming. Nature 510, 254–258. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13327

Caley, T., Peeters, F.J.C., Biastoch, A., Rossignol, L., van Sebille, E., Durgadoo, J., Malaizé, B., Giraudeau, J., Arthur, K., Zahn, R., 2014. Quantitative estimate of the paleo-Agulhas leakage. Geophysical Research Letters 41. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059278

Cetina-Heredia, P., Roughan, M., Van Sebille, E., Coleman, M.A., 2014. Long-term trends in the East Australian Current separation latitude and eddy driven transport. Journal of Geophysical Research 119, 4351–4366. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010071

Chakraborty, J., Green, D.L., 2014a. The relationship between industrial air pollution and social disadvantage in Australia: national and regional inequities. Air Quality and Climate Change Journal 48.

Chakraborty, J., Green, D.L., 2014b. Australia’s first national level quantitative environmental justice assessment of industrial air pollution. Environmental Research Letters 9. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/044010

Chen, T., De Jeu, R.A.M., Liu, Y.Y., van der Werf GR, AJ, D., 2014. Using satellite based soil moisture to quantify the water driven variability in NDVI: A case study over mainland Australia. Remote Sensing of Environment 140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2013.08.022

Chueng, C.S.C., Hart, M., 2014. Climate change and thermal comfort in Hong Kong. International Journal of Biometeorology 58, 137–148. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-012-0608-9

Decker, M., Pitman, A., JP, E., 2014. Applying Scaled Vegetation Greenness Metrics to Constrain Simulated Transpiration Anomalies: A Study over Australia. Journal of Hydrometeorology 15, 1607–1623. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-070.1

Dehghan, A., Prasad, A.A., Sherwood, S.C., Kay, M., 2014. Evaluation and improvement of TAPM in estimating solar irradiance in Eastern Australia. Solar Energy 107, 668–680. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.06.018

Di Luca, A., Flaounas, E., Drobinski, P., Brossier, C.L., 2014. The atmospheric component of the Mediterranean Sea water budget in a WRF multi-physics ensemble and observations. Climate Dynamics 43, 2349–2375. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2058-z

Donat, M.G., Peterson, T.C., Brunet, M., King, A.D., Almazroui, M., Kolli, R.K., Boucherf, D., Al-Mulla, A.Y., Nour, A.Y., Aly, A.A., Nada, T.A.A., Semawi, M.M., Dashti, H.A.A., Salhab, T.G., El Fadli, K.I., Muftah, M.K., Eida, S.D., Badi, W., Driouech, F., Rhaz, K.E., Abubaker, M.J.Y., Ghulam, A.S., Erayah, A.S., Mansour, M.B., Alabdouli, W.O., Dhanhani, J.S.A., Al Shekaili, M.N., 2014a. Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Arab region: long-term trends and variability related to ENSO and NAO. International Journal of Climatology 34, 581–592. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3707

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Westra, S., Fowler, H.J., Evans, J.P., Alexander, L.V., Berg, P., Johnson, F., Kendon, E.J., Lenderink, G., Roberts, N.M., 2014. Future changes to the intensity and frequency of short-duration extreme rainfall. Reviews of Geophysics 52, 522–555. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000464

Whan, K., Alexander, L., Imielska, A., McGree, S., Jones, D., Ene, E., Finaulahi, S., Inape, K., Jacklick, L., Kumar, R., Laurent, V., Malala, H., Malsale, P., Pulehetoa-Mitiepo, R., Ngemaes, M., Peltier, A., Porteous, A., Seuseu, S., Skilling, E., Tahani, L., Toorua, U., Vaiimene, M., 2014. Trends and variability of temperature extremes in the tropical Western Pacific. International Journal of Climatology 34, 2585–2603. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3861

Widlansky, M.J., Timmerman, A., Mcgregor, S., Stuecker, M.F., Cai, W., 2014. An Interhemispheric Tropical Sea Level Seesaw due to El Niño Taimasa. Journal of Climate 27. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00276.1

Yilmaz, M.T., Anderson, M.C., Zaitchik, B., Hain, C.R., Crow, W.T., Ozdogan, M., Chun, J.A., Evans, J.P., 2014. Comparison of prognostic and diagnostic surface flux modeling approaches over the Nile River basin. Water Resources Research 50, 386–408. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014194

Yu, J., Anderson, R.F., Jin, Z., Menviel, L., Zhang, F., Ryerson, F.J., Rohling, E.J., 2014. Deep South Atlantic carbonate chemistry and increased interocean deep water exchange during last deglaciation. Quaternary Science Reviews 90, 80–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.02.018

Zhang, Q., Wang, Y.P., Matear, R.J., Pitman, A., Dai, Y.J., 2014. Nitrogen and phosphorous limitations significantly reduce future allowable CO2 emissions. Geophysical Research Letters 41, 632–637. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058352

Zhou, L., Tian, Y., Myneni, R.B., Ciais, P., Saatchi, S., Liu, Y.Y., Piao, S., Chen, H., Vermote, E.F., Song, C., Hwang, T., 2014. Widespread decline of Congo rainforest greenness in the past decade. Nature 509, 86–90. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13265

2013 PUBLICATIONS

Ackerley, D., Lorrey, A., Renwick, J.A., Phipps, S.J., Wagner, S., Fowler, A., 2013. High-resolution modelling of mid-Holocene New Zealand climate at 6000 yr BP. The Holocene 23, 1272–1285. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683613484612

Ahmed, M., Anchukaitis, K., Asrat, A., Borgaonkar, H.P., Braida, M., Buckley, B., Buntgen, U., Chase, B.M., Christie, D.A., Cook, E.R., Curran, M., Diaz, H.F., Esper, J., Fan, Z.X., Gaire, N.P., Ge, Q., Gergis, J., Gonzalez rouco, J. f., Goosse, H., Grab, S.W., Graham, N., Graham, R., Grosjean, M., Hanhijarvi, S.T., Kaufman, D.S., Kiefer, T., Kimura, K., Korhola, A.A., Krusic, P.J., Lara, A., Lezine, A.M., Ljungqvist, C., Lorrey, A., Luterbacher, J., Masson delmotte, V., Mccarroll, D., Mcconnell, J.R., Mckay, N.P., Morales, M., Moy, A., Mulvaney, R., Mundo, I., Nakatsuka, T., Nuekom, R., Nicholson, S., Oerter, H., Palmer, J.G., Phipps, S.J., Rivera, A., Severi, M., Shanahan, T., Shao, X., Shi, F., Sigl, M., Smerdon, J., Solomina, O.N., Steig, E.J., Stenni, B., Thanban, M., Trouet, V., Turney, C., Umer, M., van Ommen, T., Verschuren, D., Viau, A.E., Villalba, R., Vinther, B.M., von Gunten, L., Wagner, S., Wahl, E.R., Wanner, H., Werner, J., White, J.W.C., Yasue, K., Zorita, E., 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience 6, 339–346. https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO1797

Aiken, C., Santoso, A., McGregor, S., England, M.H., 2013. The 1970’s shift in ENSO dynamics: A linear inverse model perspective. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 8. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50264

Alexander, L., Perkins, S., 2013. Debate heating up over changes in climate variability. Environmental Research Letters 8, 041001–041001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/041001

Andela, N., Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A., de Jeu, R.A.M., McVicar, T.R., Andela, N., Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A., de Jeu, R.A.M., McVicar, T.R., 2013. Global changes in dryland vegetation dynamics (1988-2008) assessed by satellite remote sensing: comparing a new passive microwave vegetation density record with reflective greenness data. Biogeosciences 10, 6657–6676. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-6657-2013

Anwar, M.R., Liu, D.L., Macadam, I., Kelly, G., 2013. Adapting agriculture to climate change: a review. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 133, 225–245. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0780-1

Argueso Barriga, D., Evans, J.P., Fita Borrell, L., 2013a. Precipitation bias correction of very high resolution regional climate models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 17, 4379–4388. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-4379-2013

Argueso Barriga, D., Evans JP, Fita Borrell, L., Bormann, K., 2013b. Simulated impact of urban expansion on the future temperature heatwaves in Sydney. Presented at the Water Resources Research, pp. 2772–2778.

Arzel, O., England, M.H., 2013. Wind-stress feedback amplification of abrupt millennial-scale climate changes. Climate Dynamics 40, 983–995. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1288-1

Baker, A., Bradley, C., Phipps, S.J., 2013. Hydrological modeling of stalagmite δ18O response to glacial-interglacial transitions. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 3207–3212. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50555

Bell, J., Ganachaud, A., Hobday, A., Johnson, J., Sen Gupta, A., Matear, R.J., Pratchett, M.S., 2013. Mixed responses of tropical Pacific fisheries and aquaculture to climate change. Nature Climate Change 3, 591–599. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1838

Bishop, C.H., Abramowitz, G., 2013. Climate model dependence and the replicate Earth paradigmClimate Dynamics. Climate Dynamics 41, 885–900. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1610-y

Boex, J., Fogwill, C.J., Glasser, N.F., Hein, A., Schnabel, C., Xu, S., Harrison, S., 2013. Rapid thinning of the late Pleistocene Patagonian Ice Sheet followed migration of the Southern Westerlies. Nature Scientific Reports 3. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep02118

Bony, S., Bellon, G., Klocke, D., Sherwood, S.C., Fermepin, S., Denvil, S., 2013. Robust direct effect of carbon dioxide on tropical circulation and regional precipitation. Nature Geoscience 6, 447–451. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1799

Borlace, S., Cai, W.J., Santoso, A., Borlace, S., Cai, W.J., Santoso, A., 2013. Multidecadal ENSO Amplitude Variability in a 1000-yr Simulation of a Coupled Global Climate Model: Implications for Observed ENSO Variability. J. Clim. 26, 9399–9407. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00281.1

Brennan, C.E., Meissner, K.J., Eby, M., Hillaire-Marcel, C., Weaver, A., 2013. Impact of sea ice variability on the oxygen isotope content of seawater under glacial and interglacial conditions. Paleoceanography 28, 388–400. https://doi.org/10.1002/palo.20036

Breuer, L., Exbrayat, J.F., Plesca, I., Buytaert, W., Ehmann, T., Peters, T., Timbe, E., Trachte, K., Windhorst, D., 2013. Global Climate Change Impacts on Local Climate and Hydrology, in: A Tropical Mountain Ecosystem of South Ecuador: Ecosystem Services, Biodiversity and Environmental. Springer, Berlin, pp. 265–274.

Brown, J.N., Brown, J.R., Langlais, C., Colman, R., Risbey, J.S., Murphy, B.F., Moise, A., Sen Gupta, A., al., S.I. et, 2013. Exploring qualitative regional climate projections: a case study for Nauru. Climate Research 58, 165–182. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01190

Clarke, H.G., Evans, J.P., Pitman, A., 2013. Fire weather simulation skill by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model over south-east Australia from 1985 to 2009. International Journal of Wildland Fire 22, 739–756. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF12048

Cook, C.G., Turney, C., Jones, R.T., 2013. Catchment instability and Asian summer monsoon variability during the early Holocene in southwestern China. Boreas 42, 224–235. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1502-3885.2012.00287.x

Cook, E.R., Palmer, J., Ahmed, M., Woodhouse, C.A., Fenwick, P., Zafar, M.U., Wahab, M., Khan, N., 2013. Five centuries of Upper Indus River flow from tree rings. Journal of Hydrology 486. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.02.004

Cowan, T., Cai, W., Purich, A., Rotstayn, L.D., England, M.H., 2013. Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean". Scientific Reports 3. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep02245

Cuoto, A., Holbrook, N.J., Maharaj, A., 2013. Unravelling Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific ENSO Contributions in South Pacific Chlorophyll-a Variability through Remote Sensing. Remote Sensing of Environment 2013, 4067–4087. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs5084067

Decker, M., Evans, J.P., Pitman, A., 2013. Groundwater constraints on simulated transpiration variability over Southeastern Australian forests. Journal of Hydrometeorology 14, 543–559. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-12-058.1

Donat, M.G., 2013. Projection and prediction: Local noise and global confidence. Nature Climate Change 3, 1018–1019. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2061

Donat, M.G., Alexander, L., Yang, H., Durre, I., Vose, R., Caesar, J., 2013a. Global land-based datasets for monitoring climatic extremes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94, 997-1006. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00109.1

Donat, M.G., Alexander, L., Yang, H., Vose, R., Willett, K.M., Aguilar, E., Caesar, J., Hewitson, B., Klein Tank, A., Marengo, S., Peterson, T.C., Rusticucci, M., Srivastava, A., Trewin, B., Zhai, P., 2013b. Updated analyses of temperature and precipitation extreme indices since the beginning of the twentieth century: The HadEX2 dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research 118, 2098–2118. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50150

England, M.H., Karoly, D.J., Steffen, W., 2013. Off the charts: Extreme Australian summer heat. Canberra.

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Mariethoz, G., Kavetski, D., 2013a. A Bayesian analysis of sensible heat flux estimation: quantifying uncertainty in meteorological forcing to improve model prediction. Water Resources Research 49, 2343–2358. https://doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20231

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Walker, J.P., 2013b. Effects of spatial aggregation on the multi-scale estimation of evapotranspiration. Remote Sensing of Environment 131, 51–62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.12.007

Evans, J., Fita L, Argueso D, Y, L., 2013. Initial NARCliM evaluation. Presented at the MODSIM2013, 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, pp. 2765–2771. https://doi.org/0D84A52D-D707-4E0C-855E-2D5B7DB79F16

Evans, J.P., Abramowitz, G., Ji, F., Ekström, M., 2013. Optimally choosing small ensemble members to produce robust climate simulations. Environmental Research Letters 8. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/044050

Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2013. Effect of model resolution on a regional climate model simulation over southeast Australia. Climate Research 56, 2. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01151

Exbrayat, J.F., Pitman, A., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.P., 2013a. Sensitivity of net ecosystem exchange and heterotrophic respiration to parameterization uncertainty. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 118, 1640–1651. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018122

Exbrayat, J.F., Pitman, A., Zhang, Q., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.P., 2013b. Examining soil carbon uncertainty in a global model: response of microbial decomposition to temperature, moisture and nutrient limitation. Biogeosciences 10, 7095–7108. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-7095-2013

Exbrayat, J.F., Viney, N.R., Frede, H., Breuer, L., 2013c. Using multi-model averaging to improve the reliability of catchment scale nitrogen predictions. Geoscientific Model Development 6, 117–125. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-6-117-2013

Farrel, H., Brett, S., Ajani, P., Murray, S.A., 2013. Distribution of the genus Alexandrium (Halim) and paralytic shellfish toxins along the coastline of New South Wales, Australia. Marine Pollution Bulletin 72, 133–145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2013.04.009

Fernández-Donado, L., Gonzalez rouco, J. f., Raible, C., Ammann, C., Barriopedro, D., Garcia-Bustamante, E., Jungclaus, J.H., Lorenz, S.J., Luterbacher, J., Phipps, S. j., Tett, S.F.B., Servonnat, J., Swingedouw, D., Wagner, S., Yiou, P., Zorita, E., 2013. Large-scale temperature response to external forcing in simulations and reconstructions of the last millennium. Climate of the Past 9, 393–421. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-393-2013

Frankcombe, L., Spence, P., Hogg, A., England, M.H., Griffies, S., 2013. Sea level changes forced by Southern Ocean winds. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 5710–5715. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058104

Gallant, A.J.E., Phipps, S.J., Karoly, D.J., Brett Mullan, A., Lorrey, A., 2013. Non-stationary Australasian Teleconnections and Implications for Paleoclimate Reconstructions. Journal of Climate 26. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00338.1

Ganachaud, A., Sen Gupta, A., Brown, J.N., Evans, K., Maes, C., Muir, L., Graham, F.S., 2013. Projected changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean of importance to tuna fisheries. Climatic Change 119, 163–179. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0631-1

Gilmore, J., Kelleher, A., Cooper, D., Murray, J., 2013. Explaining the determinants of first phase HIV decay dynamics through the effects of stage-dependent drug action. PLoS Computational Biology 9. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002971

Golledge NR, M.R., Maas SM, Levy RH, Fogwill CJ, White DA, Graham AGC, Smith JA, Hillenbrand C. D, et al., 2013. Glaciology and geological signature of the Last Glacial Maximum Antarctic ice sheet. Quaternary Science Reviews 78, 225–247. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.11.019

Goodwin, I., Browning, S., Lorrey, A., Mayewski, P., Phipps, S.J., Bertler, N., Edwards, R.P., Cohen, T.J., Ommen, T., Curran, M., Barr, C., Stager, J.C., 2013. A Reconstruction Of Extratropical Indo-Pacific Sea-Level Pressure Patterns During The Medieval Climate Anomaly. Climate Dynamics Online. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1899-1

Hall, M., Medlyn, B., Abramowitz, G., Franklin, O., Rantfors, M., Linder, S., Walin, G., 2013. Which are the most important parameters for modelling carbon assimilation in boreal Norway spruce under elevated [CO2] and temperature conditions?". Tree Physiology 33, 1156–1176. https://doi.org/10.1093/treephys/tpt014

Hamylton, S.M., Silverman, J., Shaw, E.C., 2013. The use of remote sensing to scale up measures of carbonate production on reef systems: a comparison of hydrochemical and census-based estimation methods. International Journal of Remote Sensing. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2013.800654

Heikkila, U., Phipps, S.J., Smith, A.M., 2013. 10Be in last deglacial climate simulated by ECHAM5-HAM Part 1: Climatological influences on 10Be deposition. Climate of the Past Discussions 9, 3681–3709. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-9-3681-2013

Held, H., Gerstengarbe, F.W., Österle, H., Prahl, B.F., Werner, P.C., Pardowitz, T., Ulbrich, U., Nissen, K.M., Befort, D.J., Pinto, J.G., Born, K., Karremann, M.K., Ludwig, P., Donat, M.G., Leckebusch, G.C., Burghoff, O., 2013. Projections of global warming-induced impacts on winter storm losses in the German private household sector. Climatic Change 121, 195–207. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0872-7

Hogg, A., Turney, C., Palmer, J., Cook, E.R., Buckley, B., 2013. Back to the previous page Is there any Evidence for Regional Atmospheric 14C Offsets in the Southern Hemisphere? Radiocarbon 55. https://doi.org/10.2458/azu_js_rc.v55i2.16104

Hogg, A.G., Hua, Q., Blackwell, P.G., Niu, M., Buck, C.E., Heaton, T.J., Guilderson, T.P., Zimmerman, S.R.H., Palmer, J.G., Turney, C.S.M., Reimer, P.J., Reimer, R.W., 2013. SHCal13 Southern Hemisphere Calibration, 0–50,000 Years cal BP. Radiocarbon 55. https://doi.org/10.2458/azu_js_rc.55.16783

Hutchinson, D., England, M.H., Santoso, A., Hogg, A., 2013. Interhemispheric asymmetry in transient global warming: The role of the Drake Passage. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 1587–1593. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50341/abstract;jsessionid=1A130D2B52FAFED27387548D794B133F.d04t02

Jex, C.N., Phipps, S.J., Baker, A., Bradley, C., 2013. Reducing uncertainty in the climatic interpretations of speleothem d18O. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2259–2264. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50467

Jha, S.K., Mariethoz, G., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., Jha, S.K., Mariethoz, G., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2013. Demonstration of a geostatistical approach to physically consistent downscaling of climate modeling simulations. Water Resour. Res. 49, 245–259. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012wr012602

Ji, F., Riley M, Clarke H, Evans JP, Argueso D, L, F., 2013. High resolution rainfall projections for the Greater Sydney Region. Presented at the MODSIM2011, 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, pp. 1652–1658.

Jourdain, N., Lengaigne, M., Vialard, J., Madec, G., Menkes, C.E., M., V.E., S., J., B., B., 2013a. Observation-Based Estimates of Surface Cooling Inhibition by Heavy Rainfall under Tropical Cyclones. Journal of Physical Oceanography 43, 205–221. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-12-085.1

Jourdain, N., Sen Gupta, A., Taschetto, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., Moise, A., Ashok, K., 2013b. The Indo-Australian monsoon and its relationship to ENSO and IOD in reanalysis data and the CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations. Climate Dynamics 41. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1676-1

Kathryn J. Bormann, Seth Westra, Jason P. Evans, McCabe, M.F., 2013. Spatial and temporal variability in seasonal snow density. Journal of Hydrology 484. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.01.032

Kidston, J., Cairns, C.W., Paga, P., 2013. Variability in the width of the tropics and the annular modes". Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2328–2332. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054165

King, A.D., Alexander, L., Donat, M.G., 2013a. The efficacy of using gridded data to examine extreme rainfall characteristics: a case study for Australia. International Journal of Climatology 33, 2376–2387. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3588

King, A.D., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L., 2013b. Asymmetry in the response of Eastern Australia extreme rainfall to low-frequency Pacific variability. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2271–227. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50427

King, A.D., Lewis, S.C., Perkins, S., Alexander, L., Donat, M.G., Karoly, D.J., Black, M.T., 2013c. Limited Evidence of Anthropogenic Influence on the 2011-12 Extreme Rainfall over Southeast Australia. [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94, S55–S58. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1

Landschützer, P., Gruber, N., Bakker, D.C.E., Schuster, U., Nakaoka, S., Payne, M.R., Sasse, T., Zeng, J., 2013. A neural network-based estimate of the seasonal to inter-annual variability of the Atlantic Ocean carbon sink. Biogeosciences 10. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-7793-2013

Lenton, A., Tilbrook, B., Law, R., Bakker, D., Doney, S., Gruber, N., Ishii, M., Hoppema, M., Lovenduski, N., Mataer, R., McNeil, B.I., Mikaloff Fletcher, S., Monterio, P., Rödenbeck, C., Sweeney, C., Takahashi, T., 2013. Sea-air CO2 fluxes in the Southern Ocean for the period 1990-2009. Biogeosciences 10, 4037–4054. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-4037-2013

Liu, Y.Y., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., De Jeu, R.A.M., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Dolman, A., Saizen, I., 2013a. Changing Climate and Overgrazing Are Decimating Mongolian Steppes. PLoS ONE 8. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0057599.g001

Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., De Jeu, R.A.M., 2013b. Global vegetation biomass change (1988-2008) and attribution to environmental and human drivers. Global Ecology and Biogeography 22, 692–705. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12024

Lorrey, A., Fauchereau, N., Stanton, C., Chappell, P., Phipps, S.J., Mackintosh, A., Renwick, J.A., Goodwin, I., Fowler, A., 2013. The Little Ice Age climate of New Zealand reconstructed from Southern Alps cirque glaciers: a synoptic type approach. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1876-8

Lunt, D.J., Abe-Ouchi, A., Bakker, P., Berger, A., Braconnot, P., Charbit, S., Fischer, N., Herold, N., Jungclaus, J.H., Khon, V.C., Krebs-kanzow, U., Langebroek, P.M., Lohmann, G., Nisancioglu, K.H., Otto-bliesner, B.L., Park, W., Pfeiffer, M., Phipps, S.J., Prange, M., Rachmayani, R., Renssen, H., Rosenbloom, N., Schneider, B., Stone, E.J., Takahashi, K.T., Wei, W., Yin, Q., Zhang, Z.S., 2013. A multi-model assessment of the last interglacial temperatures. Climate of the Past 9, 699–717. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-699-2013

Matsumoto, K., McNeil, B.I., 2013. Decoupled response of ocean acidification to variations in climate sensitivity. Journal of Climate 26, 1764–1771. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00290.1

Mcgregor, H.V., Fischer, M.J., Gagan, M.K., Fink, D., Phipps, S.J., Wong, H., Woodroffe, C., 2013. A weak El Nino-Southern Oscillation with delayed seasonal growth around 4,300 years ago. Nature Geoscience 6. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo193

McGregor, S., Ramesh, N., Spence, P., England, M.H., McPhaden, M., Santoso, A., 2013a. Meridional movement of wind anomalies during ENSO events and their role in event termination. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50136

McGregor, S., Timmerman, A., England, M.H., Elison, T., Wittenberg, A.T., 2013b. Inferred changes in El Nino-Southern Oscillation variance over the past six centuries. Climate of the Past 9, 2929–2966. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-9-2929-2013

McInnes, K., Macadam, I., Hubbert, G., O’Grady, J., 2013. An assessment of current and future vulnerability to coastal inundation due to sea level extremes in Victoria, southeast Australia. International Journal of Climatology 33, 33–47. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3405

Meinen, C., Johns, W., Garzoli, S., Van Sebille, E., Rayner, D., Kanzow, T., Baringer, M.O., 2013. Variability of the Deep Western Boundary Current at 26.5¿N during 2004-2009. Deep - Sea Research Part II - Topical Studies in Oceanography 85, 154–168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2012.07.036

Paris, C., Helgers, J., Van Sebille, E., Srinivasan, A., 2013. Connectivity Modeling System: A probabilistic modeling tool for the multi-scale tracking of biotic and abiotic variability in the ocean. Environmental Modelling and Software 42, 47–54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.12.006

Perkins, S., Alexander, L., 2013. On the Measurement of Heat Waves. Journal of Climate 26, 4500–4517. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00383.1

Perkins, S., Fischer, M.J., 2013. The usefulness of different realizations for the model evaluation of regional trends in heat waves. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 5793–5797. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL057833

Phipps, S.J., McGregor, H.V., Gergis, J., Gallant, A.J.E., Nuekom, R., Stevenson, S., Ackerley, D., Brown, J.R., Fischer, M.J., van Ommen, T., 2013. Paleoclimate data-model comparison and the role of climate forcings over the past 1500 years. Journal of Climate 26, 6915–6936. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00108.1

Pook, M., Risbey, J., McIntosh, P., Ummenhofer, C.C., Marshall, A.G., Meyers, G., 2013. The seasonal cycle of blocking and associated physical mechanisms in the Australian region and relationship with rainfall. Monthly Weather Review. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00040.1

Ramesh, N., Murtugudde, R.G., 2013. All flavours of El Nino have similar early subsurface origins. Nature Climate Change 3, 42–46. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1600

Reeves, J., Barrows, T., Cohen, T.J., Kiem, A., Bostock, H., Fitzsimmons, K., Jansen, J., Kemp, J., Krause, C., Krause, L., Phipps, S.J., members, O., 2013. Climate variability over the last 35,000 years recorded in marine and terrestrial archives in the Australian region: an OZ-INTIMATE compilation. Quaternary Science Reviews 74, 21–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.01.001

Reimer, P., Bard, E., Bayliss, A., Beck, J.W., Blackwell, P.G., Ramsey, C.B., Buck, C.E., Cheng, H., Edwards, R.L., Friedrich, M., Grootes, P.M., Guilderson, T.P., Haflidason, H., Hajdas, I., Hatté, C., Heaton, T.J., Hoffman, F., Hogg, A., Hughen, K.A., Kaiser, K.F., Kromer, B., Manning, S.W., Niu, M., Reimer, R.W., Richards, D.A., Scott, E.M., Southon, J.R., Staff, R.A., Turney, C., van der Plicht, J., 2013. IntCal13 and Marine13 Radiocarbon Age Calibration Curves 0–50,000 Years cal BP. Radiocarbon 55. https://doi.org/10.2458/azu_js_rc.55.16947

Reimer, P.J., Brown, D.M., Reimer, R.W., Bard, E., Bayliss, A., Beck, J.W., Blackwell, P.G., Buck, C.E., Heaton, T.J., Bronk Ramsey, C., Edwards, R.L., Friedrich, M., Kromer, B., Grootes, P.M., Guilderson, T.P., Haflidason, H., Hajdas, I., Hatté, C., Hogg, A., Hughen, K.A., Kaiser, K.F., Manning, S.W., Richards, D.A., Scott, E.M., Southon, J.R., Turney, C., van der Plicht, J., 2013. Selection and Treatment of Data for Radiocarbon Calibration: An Update to the International Calibration (IntCal) Criteria. Radiocarbon 55, 1923–1945. https://doi.org/10.2458/azu_js_rc.55.16955

Ridder, N., Meissner, K.J., England, M.H., 2013. Sensitivity of the oceanic carbon reservoir to tropical surface wind stress variations. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2188–2223. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50498

Ritz, S.P., Stocker, T.F., Grimalt, J.O., Timmerman, A., Menviel, L., 2013. Estimated strength of the Atlantic overturning circulation during the last deglaciation. Nature Geoscience 6, 208–212. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1723

Robinson, F.J., Patterson, M., Sherwood, S.C., 2013. A numerical modeling study of the propagation of idealized sea-breeze density currents. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 653–668. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0113.1

Rosenfield, D., Wood, R., Donner, L.J., Sherwood, S.C., 2013. Aerosol Cloud-Mediated Radiative Forcing: Highly Uncertain and Opposite Effects from Shallow and Deep Clouds, in: Climate Science for Serving Society: Research, Modelling and Prediction Prioritie. Springer, Netherlands, pp. 105–149.

Rossi, V., Van Sebille, E., Sen Gupta, A., England, M.H., Garçon, V., 2013a. Corrigendum to ‘Multi-decadal projections of surface and interior pathways of the Fukushima Cesium-137 radioactive plume. Deep-Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers 82, 72–72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2013.08.005

Rossi, V., Van Sebille, E., Sen Gupta, A., Garcon, V., England, M.H., 2013b. Multi-decadal projections of surface and interior pathways of the Fukushima Cesium-137 radioactive plume. Deep-Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers 80, 37–46. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2013.05.015

Rotstayn, L.D., Collier, M., Jeffery, S.J., Kidston, J., Syktus, J.I., Wong, K.K., 2013. Anthropogenic effects on the subtropical jet in the Southern Hemisphere: Aerosols versus long-lived greenhouse gases. Environmental Research Letters 8. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014030

Santoso A, M.S., Jin F. F, Cai W, An S. I, England MH, McPhaden MJ, Guilyardi E., 2013. Late-twentieth-century emergence of the El Nií±o propagation asymmetry and future projections. Nature 504, 126–130. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12683

Sasse, T., McNeil, B.I., Abramowitz, G., 2013a. A novel method for diagnosing seasonal to inter-annual surface ocean carbon dynamics from bottle data using neural networks. Biogeosciences 10. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-4319-2013

Sasse, T., McNeil, B.I., Abramowitz, G., 2013b. A new constraint on global air-sea CO2 fluxes using bottle carbon data. Geophysical Research Letters 40. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50342

Scussolini, P., Van Sebille, E., 2013. Paleo Agulhas rings enter the subtropical gyre during the penultimate deglaciation. Climate of the Past Discussions 9, 2095–2114. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-9-2095-2013

Sen Gupta, A., BROWN, J.N., Brown, J.R., Muir, L., Risbey, J., Whetton, P.H., Zhang, X., Ganachaud, A., Murphy, B., Wijffels, S., 2013a. Implications of CMIP3 model biases and uncertainties for climate projections in the western tropical Pacific. Climatic Change 119, 147–161. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0603-5

Sen Gupta, A., Jourdain, N., Brown, J.N., Monselesan, D., 2013b. Climate Drift in the CMIP5 Models*. Journal of Climate 26, 8597–8615. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00312.1

Sharples, J.J., Simpson, C., Evans, J.P., 2013. Examination of wind speed thresholds for vorticity-driven lateral fire spread. Presented at the 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, pp. 263–269.

Shaw, E.C., McNeil, B.I., Tilbrook, B., Mataer, R., Bates, M.L., 2013. Anthropogenic changes to seawater buffer capacity combined with natural reef metabolism induce extreme future coral reef CO2 conditions. Global Change Biology 19, 1632–1641. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12154

Sherwood, S.C., 2013. Where do winds come from? Nature Education Knowledge 4, 5–5.

Sherwood, S.C., Alexander, M.J., Brown, A.R., Mcfarlane, N.A., Gerber, E.P., Feingold, G., Scaife, A., Grabowski, W.W., 2013a. Climate Processes: Clouds, Aerosols and Dynamics, in: Climate Science for Serving Society: Research, Modelling and Prediction Prioritie. Springer, Netherlands, pp. 73–103.

Sherwood, S.C., Hernandez-Deckers, D., Colin, M., Robinson, F., 2013b. Slippery thermals and the cumulus entrainment paradox. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 2426–2442. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0220.1

Shurer, A., Hegari, I., Mann, M.E., Tett, S., Phipps, S.J., 2013. Separating forced from chaotic climate variability over the past millennium. Journal of Climate 26. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00826.1

Simpkins, G.R., Ciasto, L.M., England, M.H., 2013. Observed variations in multi-decadal Antarctic sea ice trends during 1979-2012. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 3643–3648. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50715

Simpson, C., Sharples, J.J., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2013. Large eddy simulation of atypical wildland fire spread on leeward slopes. International Journal of Wildland Fire 22, 599–614.

Siu, L.W., Hart, M., 2013. Quantifying urban heat island intensity in Hong Kong SAR, China. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 185, 4383–4398. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-012-2876-6

Skansi, M.D.L.M., Brunet, M., Sigro, J., Aguilar, E., Jones, P.D., Arevalo Groening, J.A., Bentancur, O.J., Castellón Geier, Y.R., Correa Amaya, R.L., Jácome, H., Malheiros Ramos, A., Oria Rojas, C., Pasten, A.M., Sallons Mitro, S., Villaroel Jiménez, C., Martínez, R., Alexander, L., 2013. Warming and wetting signals emerging from analysis of changes in climate extreme indices over South America. Global and Planetary Change 100, 295–307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.11.004

Speer, M.S., 2013. Dust storm frequency and impact over eastern Australia determined by state of Pacific climate system. Weather & Climate Extremes 2, 16–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2013.10.004

Spence, P., Saenko, O.A., Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2013. North Atlantic climate response to lake Agassiz drainage at coarse and ocean eddy-permitting resolutions. Journal of Climate 26, 2651–2667. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00683.1

Stevenson, S., McGregor, H.V., Phipps, S.J., Fox-Kemper, B., 2013. Quantifying errors in coral-based ENSO estimates: Toward improved forward modeling of δ18O. Paleoceanography 28, 633–649. https://doi.org/10.1002/palo.20059

Stuecker, M.F., Jin, F.F., Ren, H.L., Timmermann, A., McGregor, S., 2013. A combination mode of the annual cycle and the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Nature Geoscience 6, 540–544. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1826

Taschetto, A.S., Sen Gupta, A., Hendon, H.H., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2013. Corrigendum: The contribution of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies on Australian summer rainfall during El Ni~no. J. Climate 26. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00513.1

Tennant, R.K., Jones, R., Brock, F., Cook, C., Turney, C., Love, J.D., Lee, R., 2013. A new flow cytometry method enabling rapid purification of fossil pollen from terrestrial sediments for AMS radiocarbon dating. Journal of Quaternary Science 28, 229–236. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2606

Turney, C., Fogwill, C., Van Ommen, T.D., Moy, A.D., Etheridge, D., Rubino, M., Curran, M.A.J., Rivera, A., Turney, C., Fogwill, C., Van Ommen, T.D., Moy, A.D., Etheridge, D., Rubino, M., Curran, M.A.J., Rivera, A., 2013. Late Pleistocene and early Holocene change in the Weddell Sea: A new climate record from the Patriot Hills, Ellsworth Mountains, West Antarctica. Journal of Quaternary Science 28, 697–704. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2668

Ulbrich, U., Leckebusch, G., Donat, M., 2013. Windstorms, the Most Costly Natural Hazard in Europe, in: Natural Disasters and Adaptation to Climate Change. Cambridge University Press.

Ummenhofer, C.C., D’Arrigo, Anchukaitis, K., Buckley, B., Cook, E.R., 2013a. Links between Indo-Pacific climate variability and drought in the Monsoon Asia Drought Atlas. Climate Dynamics 40, 1319–1334. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1458-1

Ummenhofer, C.C., McIntosh, P., Pook, M., Risbey, J., 2013b. Impact of Surface Forcing on Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocking in the Australia–New Zealand Sector. Journal of Climate 26, 8476–8494. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00860.1

Ummenhofer, C.C., Schwarzkopf, F., Meyers, G., Behrens, E., Biastoch, A., Boning, C.W., 2013c. Pacific Ocean contribution to the asymmetry in eastern Indian Ocean variability. Journal of Climate 26, 1152–1171. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00673.1

Van Sebille, E., Spence, P., Mazloff, M., England, M.H., Rintoul, S., Saenko, O., 2013. Abyssal connections of Antarctic Bottom Water in a Southern Ocean State Estimate. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2177–2182. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50483/

Vargas, R., Sonnentag, O., Abramowitz, G., Carrara, A., Chen, J.M., Ciais, P., Correia, A., Keenan, T.F., Kobayashi, H., Ourcival, J.M., Papale, D., Pearson, D., Pereira, J., Piao, S., Rambal, S., Baldocchi, D.D., 2013. Drought Influences the Accuracy of Simulated Ecosystem Fluxes: A Model-Data Meta-analysis for Mediterranean Oak Woodlands. Ecosystems 16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-013-9648-1

Westra, S., Alexander, L., Zwiers, F.W., 2013a. Global Increasing Trends in Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation. Journal of Climate 26, 3904–3918. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00502.1

Westra, S., Evans, J.P., Mehrotra, R., Sharma, A., 2013b. A conditional disaggregation algorithm for generating fine time-scale rainfall data in a warmer climate. Journal of Hydrology 479. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.033

Widlansky, M.J., Timmerman, A., Stein, K., McGregor, S., Schneider, N., England, M.H., Lengaigne, M., Cai, W., 2013. Changes in South Pacific rainfall bands in a warming climate. Nature Climate Change 3, 417–423. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1726

Wilkins, D., van Sebille, E., Rintoul, S.R., Lauro, F.M., Cavicchioli, R., 2013. Advection shapes Southern Ocean microbial assemblages independent of distance and environment effects,. Nature Communications 4. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms3457

Wohlfart, T., Exbrayat, J.F., Schelde, K., Christen, B., Dalgaard, T., Frede, H., Breuer, L., 2013. Spatial distribution of soils determines export of nitrogen and dissolved organic carbon from an intensively managed agricultural landscape. Biogeosciences 9, 4513–4525. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-4513-2012

Wong, P., Lai, P.C., Hart, M., 2013. Microclimate Variations between Semi-enclosed and Open Sections of a Marathon Route. Advances in Meteorology 2013. https://doi.org/10.1155/2013/287934

Zhang, Q., Pitman, A., Wang, Y.P., Dai, Y.J., Lawrence, P.J., 2013. The impact of nitrogen and phosphorous limitation on the estimated terrestrial carbon balance and warming of land use change over the last 156 yr. EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS 4, 333–345. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-333-2013

Zika, J., Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2013. Vertical Heat Transport by the Ocean Circulation and the Role of Mechanical and Haline Forcing. Journal of Physical Oceanography 43, 2095–2112. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-12-0179.1

2012 PUBLICATIONS

Abramowitz, G., 2012. Towards a public, standardized, diagnostic benchmarking system for land surface models. Geoscientific Model Development 5, 819–827. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-5-819-2012

Abramowitz, G., Pouyanne, L., Ajami, H., 2012. On the information content of surface meteorology for downward atmospheric long-wave radiation synthesis. Geophysical Research Letters 39, L04808. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL050726

Alexander, L.V., Tebaldi, C., 2012. Weather and climate extremes: Observations, modelling and projections, in: The Future of the World’s Climate. Elsevier Science, pp. 253–288.

Allen, R.J., Sherwood, S.C., Norris, J., Zender, C., 2012. The equilibrium response to idealized thermal forcings in a comprehensive GCM: Implications for recent tropical expansion. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 11, 4795–4816. https://doi.org/10.5194/acpd-11-31643-2011

Arblaster, J.M., Alexander, L.V., Arblaster, J.M., Alexander, L.V., 2012. The impact of the El Nio-Southern Oscillation on maximum temperature extremes. Geophysical Research Letters 39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053409

Argueso, D., Hidalgo-Munoz, J.M., Gamiz-Fortis, S.R., Esteban-Parra, M.J., Castro-Diez, Y., Argueso, D., Hidalgo-Munoz, J.M., Gamiz-Fortis, S.R., Esteban-Parra, M.J., Castro-Diez, Y., 2012. Evaluation of WRF Mean and Extreme Precipitation over Spain: Present Climate (1970-99). J. Clim. 25, 4883–4897. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-11-00276.1

Arzel, O., England, M.H., Verdiere, A.C. de, Huck, T., 2012. Abrupt millennial variability and interdecadal-interstadial oscillations in a global coupled model: sensitivity to the background climate state. Climate Dynamics 39, 259–275. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1117-y

Avila, F.B., Pitman, A.J., Donat, M.G., Alexander, L.V., Abramowitz, G., 2012. Climate model simulated changes in temperature extremes due to land cover change. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 117, D04108. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016382

Baker, A., Bradley, C., Phipps, S.J., Fischer, M.L., Wynn, P., Fuller, L., Spoetl, C., Azcurra, C., 2012. Millennial-length forward models and pseudoproxies of stalagmite ƒÔ18O: an example from NW Scotland. Climate of the Past Discussions 8, 869–907. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-8-869-2012

Bates, M.L., Griffies, S., England, M.H., 2012. A dynamic, embedded Lagrangian model for ocean climate models. Part I: Theory and implementation. Ocean Modelling 59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.05.004

Blockley, S., Lane, C., Hardiman, M., Rasmussen, S., Seierstad, I., Steffensen, J., Svensson, A., Lotter, A., Turney, C., Bronk Ramsey, C., 2012. Synchronisation of palaeoenvironmental records over the last 60,000 years, and an extended INTIMATE1 event stratigraphy to 48,000 b2k. Quaternary Science Reviews 36, 2–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.09.017

Blockley, S.P.E., Lane, C., Turney, C., Bronk Ramsey, C., 2012. The INTegration of Ice core, MArine and TErrestrial records of the last termination (INTIMATE)60,000 to 8000 BP. Quaternary Science Reviews 36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.10.001

Boisier, J.P., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Pitman, A.J., Cruz, F.T., Delire, C., van den Hurk, B., van der Molen, M.K., Muller, C., Voldoire, A., Boisier, J.P., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Pitman, A.J., Cruz, F.T., Delire, C., van den Hurk, B., van der Molen, M.K., Muller, C., Voldoire, A., 2012. Attributing the impacts of land-cover changes in temperate regions on surface temperature and heat fluxes to specific causes: Results from the first LUCID set of simulations. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos. 117. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011jd017106

Bormann, K., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2012. Satellite based observations for seasonal snow cover detection and characterisation in Australia. Remote Sensing of Environment 123, 57–71. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.03.003

Bradshaw, C., Cooper, A., Turney, C., Brook, B., 2012. Robust estimates of extinction time in the geological record. Quaternary Science Reviews 33, 14–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.11.021

Brennan, C.E., Weaver, A.J., Eby, M., Meissner, K.J., 2012. Modelling oxygen isotopes in the University of Victoria Earth System Climate Model for Pre-industrial and Last Glacial Maximum Conditions. Atmosphere - Ocean. https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2012.707611

Chamberlain, M.A., Sun, C., Matear, R. j., Feng, M., Phipps, S.J., 2012. Downscaling the climate change for oceans around Australia. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 5, 425–458. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmdd-5-425-2012

Clarke, H.G., Lucas, C., Smith, P.L., 2012. Changes in Australian fire weather between 1973 and 2010. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3480

Cook, C.G., Jones, R.T., 2012. Palaeoclimate dynamics in continental Southeast Asia over the last ~30,000 Cal yrs BP. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Paleoecology 339, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2012.03.025

Cook, C.G., Leng, M.J., Jones, R.T., Langdon, P.G., Zhang, E., 2012. Lake ecosystem dynamics and links to climate change inferred from a stable isotope and organic palaeorecord from a mountain lake in southwestern China (ca. 22.6-10.5 cal ka BP). Quaternary Research 77, 132–137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yqres.2011.09.011

De Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Boisier, J.-P., Pitman, A., Bonan, G.B.., Brovkin, V.., Cruz, F., Delire, C.., Gayler, V.., Van Den Hurk, B.J.J.M.., Lawrence, P.J.., Van Der Molen, M.K.., Müller, C.., Reick, C.H.., Strengers, B.J.., Voldoire, A., 2012. Determining robust impacts of land-use-induced land cover changes on surface climate over North America and Eurasia: Results from the first set of LUCID experiments. Journal of Climate 25, 3261–3281. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00338.1

Decker, M., Brunke, M.A., Wang, Z., Sakaguchi, K., Zeng, X., Bosilovich, M.G., 2012. Evaluation of the reanalysis products from GSFC, NCEP, and ECMWF using flux tower observations. Journal of Climate 6, 1916–1944. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00004.1

Evans, J.P., Boyer-Souchet, I., 2012. Local sea surface temperatures add to extreme precipitation in northeast Australia during La Niña. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl052014

Fernández-Donado, L., J. F. González-Rouco, C. C. Raible, C. M. Ammann, D. Barriopedro, E. García-Bustamante, J. H. Jungclaus, S. J. Lorenz, J. Luterbacher, S. J. Phipps, J. Servonnat, D. Swingedouw, S. F. B. Tett, S. Wagner, Yiou, P., Zorita, E., 2012. Temperature response to external forcing in simulations and reconstructions of the last millennium. Climate of the Past 8, 4003–4073. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-8-4003-2012

Fogwill, C.J., Hein, A., Bentley, M.J., Sugden, D.E., 2012. Do blue-ice moraines in the Heritage Range show the West Antarctic Ice Sheet survived the last interglacial? Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 335–336. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2011.01.027

Froyland, G., Horenkamp, C., Rossi, V., Santitissadeekorn, N., Gupta, A.S., Froyland, G., Horenkamp, C., Rossi, V., Santitissadeekorn, N., Gupta, A.S., 2012. Three-dimensional characterization and tracking of an Agulhas Ring. Ocean Modelling 52–53, 69–75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.05.001

Gang, G., Garcia, D., Liu, Y.Y., de Jeu, R.A.M., Johanees Dolman, A., 2012. A three-dimensional gap filling method for large geophysical datasets: Application to global satellite soil moisture observations. Environmental Modelling and Software 30, 139–142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.10.015

García-Díez, M., Fernández, J., Fita, L., Yagüe, C., 2012. Seasonal dependence of WRF model biases and sensitivity to PBL schemes over Europe. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.1976

Gergis, J., Gallant, A.J.E., Braganza, K., Karoly, D.J., Allen, K., Cullen, L., D’Arrigo, R., Goodwin, I., Grierson, P., McGregor, S., 2012. On the long-term context of the 1997-2009 “Big Dry” in south-eastern Australia: insights from a 206-year multi-proxy rainfall reconstruction. Climatic Change 111, 923. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0263-x

Green, D.L., Niall, S., Morrison, J., 2012. Bridging the gap between theory and practice in climate change vulnerability assessments for remote Indigenous communities in northern Australia. Local Environment: The International Journal of Justice and Sustainability 17, 295–315. https://doi.org/10.1080/13549839.2012.665857

Gupta, H., M. Clark, J. Vrugt, G. Abramowitz, Ye, M., 2012. Towards a comprehensive assessment of model structural adequacy. Water Resources Research 48, W08301. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR011044

Hughes, A., Rainsley, E.B., Tavi, M.T., Fogwill, C.J., Schnabel, C., Xu, S., 2012. Rapid response of Helheim Glacier, South-east Greenland to early Holocene climate warming. Geology 40, 427–430. https://doi.org/10.1130/G32730.1

Huiskamp, W., Meissner, K.J., 2012. Oceanic carbon and water masses during the Mystery Interval: A model-data comparison study. Paleoceanography 27. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012PA002368

Jones, R., Cook, C.G., Zhang, E., Langdon, P., Jordan, J., Turney, C., 2012. Holocene environmental change at Lake Shudu, Yunnan Province, southwestern China. Hydrobiologia. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-012-1124-y

Kidston, J., Vallis, G.K., Kidston, J., Vallis, G.K., 2012. The Relationship between the Speed and the Latitude of an Eddy-Driven Jet in a Stirred Barotropic Model. J. Atmos. Sci. 69, 3251–3263. https://doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-11-0300.1

Kvale, K.F., Zickfeld, K., Bruckner, T., Meissner, K.J., Tanaka, K., Weaver, A.J., 2012. Carbon dioxide emission pathways avoiding dangerous ocean impacts. Weather, Climate, and Society. https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00030.1

Li, Y., Jourdain, N.C., Taschetto, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., Ashok, K., Sen Gupta, A., Li, Y., Jourdain, N.C., Taschetto, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., Ashok, K., Sen Gupta, A., 2012. Evaluation of monsoon seasonality and the tropospheric biennial oscillation transitions in the CMIP models. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053322

Liu, Y.Y., Dorigo, W., Parinussa, R., De Jeu, R.A.M., Wagner, W., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., 2012. Trend-preserving blending of passive and active microwave soil moisture retrievals. Remote Sensing of Environment 123, 280–297. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.03.014

Luo, Y.Q., Randerson, J., Abramowitz, G., Bacour, C., Blyth, E., Carvalhais, N., Ciais, P., Dalmonech, D., Fisher, J., Fisher, R., Friedlingstein, P., Hibbard, K., Hoffman, F., Huntzinger, D., Jones, C., Koven, C., Lawrence, D., Li, D., Mahecha, M., Niu, S., Norby, R., Piao, S., Qi, X., Peylin, P., Prentice, I., Riley, W., Reichstein, M., Schwalm, C., Wang, Y., Xia, J., Zaehle, S., Zhou, X., 2012a. A framework of benchmarking land models. Biogeosciences Discussions 9, 1899–1944. https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-9-1899-2012

Luo, Y.Q., Randerson, J.T., Abramowitz, G., Bacour, C., Blyth, E., Carvalhais, N., Ciais, P., Dalmonech, D., Fisher, J.B., Fisher, R., Friedlingstein, P., Hibbard, K., Hoffman, F., Huntzinger, D., Jones, C.D., Koven, C., Lawrence, D., Li, D.J., Mahecha, M., Niu, S.L., Norby, R., Piao, S.L., Qi, X., Peylin, P., Prentice, I.C., Riley, W., Reichstein, M., Schwalm, C., Wang, Y.P., Xia, J.Y., Zaehle, S., Zhou, X.H., Luo, Y.Q., Randerson, J.T., Abramowitz, G., Bacour, C., Blyth, E., Carvalhais, N., Ciais, P., Dalmonech, D., Fisher, J.B., Fisher, R., Friedlingstein, P., Hibbard, K., Hoffman, F., Huntzinger, D., Jones, C.D., Koven, C., Lawrence, D., Li, D.J., Mahecha, M., Niu, S.L., Norby, R., Piao, S.L., Qi, X., Peylin, P., Prentice, I.C., Riley, W., Reichstein, M., Schwalm, C., Wang, Y.P., Xia, J.Y., Zaehle, S., Zhou, X.H., 2012b. A framework for benchmarking land models. Biogeosciences 9, 3857–3874. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-3857-2012

McGregor, S., Sen Gupta, A., England, M.H., McGregor, S., Sen Gupta, A., England, M.H., 2012. Constraining Wind Stress Products with Sea Surface Height Observations and Implications for Pacific Ocean Sea Level Trend Attribution. J. Clim. 25, 8164–8176. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00105.1

McNeil, B.I., Matear, R.J., 2012. The non-steady state oceanic CO2 signal: its importance, magnitude and a novel way to detect it. Biogeosciences Discussions 9, 13161–13186. https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-9-13161-2012

Meissner, K. J., Lippmann, T., Sen Gupta, A., 2012. Large-scale stress factors affecting coral reefs: open ocean sea surface temperature and surface seawater aragonite saturation over the next 400 years. Coral Reefs 31, 309–319. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00338-011-0866-8

Meissner, K.J., McNeil, B.I., Eby, M., Wiebe, E.C., 2012. The importance of the terrestrial weathering feedback for multimillennial coral reef habitat recovery. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 26. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GB004098

Menviel, L., Joos, F., Ritz, S.P., Menviel, L., Joos, F., Ritz, S.P., 2012. Simulating atmospheric CO2, C-13 and the marine carbon cycle during the Last Glacial-Interglacial cycle: possible role for a deepening of the mean remineralization depth and an increase in the oceanic nutrient inventory. Quat. Sci. Rev. 56, 46–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.09.012

Michael L. Bates, Stephen M. Griffies, England, M.H., 2012. A dynamic, embedded Lagrangian model for ocean climate models. Part II: Idealised overflow tests. Ocean Modelling 59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.08.003

O’Neill, C., Green, D.L., Lui, W., 2012. How to make climate change research relevant for Indigenous communities in Torres Strait, Australia. Local Environment: The International Journal of Justice and Sustainability 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1080/13549839.2012.716405

Pagani, M., Huber, M., Liu, Z., Bohaty, S.M., Henderiks, J., Sijp, W.P., Krishnan, S., Deconto, R.M., 2012. The role of carbon dioxide during the onset of antarctic glaciation. Science 334, 6060. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1203909

Perkins, S., Pitman, A., Sisson, S.A., 2012. Systematic differences in future 20-year temperature extremes in AR4 model projections over Australia as a function of model skill. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3500

Perkins, S.E., Alexander, L.V., Nairn, J.R., Perkins, S.E., Alexander, L.V., Nairn, J.R., 2012. Increasing frequency, intensity and duration of observed global heatwaves and warm spells. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053361

Phipps, S.J., Rotstayn, L.D., Gordon, H.B., Roberts, J.L., Hirst, A.C., Budd, W.F., Phipps, S.J., Rotstayn, L.D., Gordon, H.B., Roberts, J.L., Hirst, A.C., Budd, W.F., 2012. The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model version 1.0-Part 2: Response to external forcings. Geosci. Model Dev. 5, 649–682. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-5-649-2012

Pitman, A., Arneth, A., Ganzeveld, L., 2012. Regionalizing global climate models. International Journal of Climatology 32, 321–337. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2279

Pitman, A.J., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Avila, F.B., Alexander, L.V., Boisier, J.P., Brovkin, V., Delire, C., Cruz, F., Donat, M.G., Gayler, V., van den Hurk, B., Reick, C., Voldoire, A., Pitman, A.J., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Avila, F.B., Alexander, L.V., Boisier, J.P., Brovkin, V., Delire, C., Cruz, F., Donat, M.G., Gayler, V., van den Hurk, B., Reick, C., Voldoire, A., 2012. Effects of land cover change on temperature and rainfall extremes in multi-model ensemble simulations. Earth Syst. Dynam. 3, 213–231. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-3-213-2012

Pui, A., A. Sharma, A. Santoso, Westra, S., 2012. Impact of the El Nino Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode on daily to sub-daily rainfall characteristics in East Australia. Monthly Weather Review 140, 1665–1682. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00238.1

Rule, S., Brook, B., Haberle, S., Turney, C., Kershaw, A., Johnson, C., 2012. The aftermath of megafaunal extinction: Ecosystem transformation in Pleistocene Australia. Science 335, 1483–1486. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1214261

Saenko, O.A., Sen Gupta, A., Spence, P., 2012. On challenges in predicting bottom water transport in the Southern Ocean. Journal of Climate 25, 1349–1356. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00040.1

Santoso, A., England, M.H., Cai, W., 2012. Impact of Indo-Pacific feedback interactions on ENSO dynamics diagnosed using ensemble climate simulations. Journal of Climate 25. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00287.1

Saul, B., Sherwood, S.C., McAdam, J., Stephens, T., Slezak, J., 2012. Climate Change and Australia: Warming to the Global Challenge. Federation Press, Australia.

Sen Gupta, A., Ganachaud, A., McGregor, S., Brown, J.N., Muir, L., 2012. Drivers of the projected changes to the Pacific Ocean equatorial circulation. Geophysical Research Letters 39, L09605. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051447

Shaw, E.C., McNeil, B.I., Tilbrook, B., 2012. Impacts of ocean acidification in naturally variable coral reef flat ecosystems. Journal of Geophysical Research C: Oceans 117, C03038. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007655

Sherwood, S.C., Risi, C., 2012. The HDO/H2O relationship in tropospheric water vapor in an idealized “last-saturation” model. Journal of Geophysical Research : Atmospheres 117. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018068

Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2012. Precise calculations of the existence of multiple AMOC equilibria in coupled climate models. Part II: Transient behavior. Journal of Climate 25, 299–306. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4246.1

Sijp, W., Gregory, J., Tailleux, R., Spence, P., 2012. The key role of the western boundary in linking the AMOC strength to the north-south pressure gradient. Journal of Physical Oceanography 42, 628–643. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-11-0113.1

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., Gregory, J., 2012. Precise calculations of the existence of multiple AMOC equilibria in coupled climate models. Part I: Equilibrium states. Journal of Climate 25, 282–298. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4245.1

Sijp, W.P., Sijp, W.P., 2012. Characterising meridional overturning bistability using a minimal set of state variables. Clim. Dyn. 39, 2127–2142. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1249-0

Simpkins, G.R., Ciasto, L.M., Thompson, D.W.J., England, M.H., Simpkins, G.R., Ciasto, L.M., Thompson, D.W.J., England, M.H., 2012. Seasonal Relationships between Large-Scale Climate Variability and Antarctic Sea Ice Concentration. J. Clim. 25, 5451–5469. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-11-00367.1

Simpkins, G.R., Karpechko, A.Y., 2012. Sensitivity of the southern annular mode to greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Climate Dynamics 38, 563–572. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1121-2

Spence, P., Saenko, O.A., Dufour, C.O., Le Sommer, J., England, M.H., Spence, P., Saenko, O.A., Dufour, C.O., Le Sommer, J., England, M.H., 2012a. Mechanisms Maintaining Southern Ocean Meridional Heat Transport under Projected Wind Forcing. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42, 1923–1931. https://doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-12-03.1

Spence, P., Saenko, O.A., Sijp, W., England, M.H., Spence, P., Saenko, O.A., Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2012b. The Role of Bottom Pressure Torques on the Interior Pathways of North Atlantic Deep Water. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42, 110–125. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011jpo4584.1

Taschetto, A.S., Ambrizzi, T., 2012. Can Indian Ocean SST anomalies influence South American rainfall? Climate Dynamics 38, 1615–1628. https://doi.org/10.1007/s0032-011-1165-3

Tokinaga, H., Xie, S.P., Timmerman, A., McGregor, S., Ogata, T., Kubota, H., Okumura, Y.M., 2012. Regional Patterns of Tropical Indo-Pacific Climate Change: Evidence of the Walker Circulation Weakening. Journal of Climate 25. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00263.1

Turney, C., 2012. Surface ∂13C in Australia: A quantified measure of annual precipitation? Terra Australis 34 34, 435–443.

Van Den Hurk, B., Best, M., Dirmeyer, P.A., Pitman, A.J., Polcher, J., Santanello, J., 2012. Acceleration of land surface model development over a decade of GLASS. State of the Climate 92, 1593–1600. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00007.1

Van Sebille, E., England, M.H., Froyland, G., Van Sebille, E., England, M.H., Froyland, G., 2012a. Origin, dynamics and evolution of ocean garbage patches from observed surface drifters. Environmental Research Letters 7. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044040

Van Sebille, E., England, M.H., Zika, J., Sloyan, B.M., 2012b. Tasman leakage in a fine-resolution ocean model. Geophysical Research Letters 39, L06601. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051004

Van Sebille, E., Johns, W., Beal, L., 2012c. Does the vorticity flux from Agulhas rings control the zonal pathway of NADW across the South Atlantic? Journal of Geophysical Research C: Oceans 117, C05037. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007684

von Storch, J.S., Eden, C., Fast, I., Haak, H., Hernandez-Deckers, D., Maier-Reimer, E., Marotzke, J., Stammer, D., von Storch, J.S., Eden, C., Fast, I., Haak, H., Hernandez-Deckers, D., Maier-Reimer, E., Marotzke, J., Stammer, D., 2012. An Estimate of the Lorenz Energy Cycle for the World Ocean Based on the 1/10 degrees STORM/NCEP Simulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42, 2185–2205. https://doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-12-079.1

Walker, M., Lowe, J.J., Blockley, S.P.E., Bryant, C.J., Coombes, P., Davies, S.M., Hardiman, M., Turney, C., Watson, J.E., 2012. Lateglacial and early Holocene palaeoenvironmental “events” in Sluggan Bog, Northern Ireland: Comparisons with the Greenland NGRIP GICC05 event stratigraphy. Quaternary Science Reviews 36, 124–138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.09.008

Wang, L., D’Odorico, P., Evans, J.P., Eldridge, D., McCabe, M.F., Caylor, K.K., King, E.G., 2012. Dryland ecohydrology and climate change: Critical issues and technical advances. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 9, 4777–4825. https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-9-4777-2012

Wania, R., Meissner, K.J., Eby, M., Arora, V., Ross, I., Weaver, A.J., 2012. Carbon-nitrogen feedbacks in the UVic ESCM. Geoscientific Model Development 5, 1137–1160. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmdd-5-67-2012

Weijer, W., Sloyan, B.M., Maltrud, M., Jeffery, N., Hecht, M.W., Hartin, C.A., Van Sebille, E., Wainer, I., Landrum, L., 2012. The Southern Ocean and Its Climate in CCSM4. Journal of Climate 25, 2652–2675. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00302.1

Willett, K.M., Sherwood, S., Willett, K.M., Sherwood, S., 2012. Exceedance of heat index thresholds for 15 regions under a warming climate using the wet-bulb globe temperature. Int. J. Climatol. 32, 161–177. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2257

Young, P.J., Rosenlof, K.H., Solomon, S., Sherwood, S.C., Fu, Q., Lamarque, J.F., 2012. Changes in stratospheric temperatures and their implications for changes in the Brewer-Dobson circulation, 1979-2005. Journal of Climate 25, 1759–1772. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4048.1

Zika, J.D., England, M.H., Sijp, W.P., Zika, J.D., England, M.H., Sijp, W.P., 2012. The Ocean Circulation in Thermohaline Coordinates. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42, 708–724. https://doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-11-0139.1

2011 PUBLICATIONS

Ackerley, D., Lorrey, A., Renwick, J.A., Phipps, S.J., Wagner, S., Dean, S., Singarayer, J., Valdes, P., Abe-Ouchi, A., Ohgaito, R., Jones, J.M., 2011. Using synoptic type analysis to understand New Zealand climate during the Mid-Holocene. Climate of the Past Discussions 7, 1301–1337. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-7-1301-2011

Ajami, H., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J., 2011a. Comparison of simulated snow cover from the weather research and forcast (WRF) regional climate model with satellite-based and in-situ observations. Presented at the IAHS Lead Symposia.

Ajami, H., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Stisen, S., 2011b. Toward Improved Estimation of Groundwater Recharge and Evapotranspiration Using Coupled vs. Integrated Hydrologic Models. Presented at the IUGG 2011. http://www.iugg2011.com/program.asp

Ajami, H., McCabe, M.F., Stisen, S., Evans, J., 2011c. On the performance of integrated hydrologic models in simulating catchment scale land surface fluxes. Presented at the EGU General Assembly 2011, Geophysical Research Abstracts, pp. EGU2011-5520. http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2011/EGU2011-5520.pdf

Alexander, L.V., 2011. Extreme heat rooted in dry soils. Nature Geoscience 4, 12–13. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1045

Alexander, L.V., Wang, X.L., Trewin, B., 2011. Significant decline in storminess over south-east Australia since the late 19th century. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 61, 23–30. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1045

Allen, R.J., Sherwood, S.C., 2011. The impact of natural versus anthropogenic aerosols on atmospheric circulation in the Community Atmosphere Model. Climate Dynamics 36, 1959–1978. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0898-8

Allison, I., Bindoff, N.L...Bindschadler, R.A...Cox, P.M...de Noblet, N...England, M.H...Francis, J.E.., Gruber, N., Haywood, A.M...Karoly, D.J...Kaser, G...Le Quere, C...Lenton, T.M...Mann, M.E.., McNeil, B.I., Pitman, A.J...Rahmstorf, S...Rignot, E...Schellnhuber, H.J...Schneider, S.H.., Sherwood, S.C., Somerville, R.C.J...Steffen, K...Steig, E.J...Visbeck, Martin and Weaver, A.J., 2011. The Copenhagen Diagnosis: Updating the World on the Latest Climate Science. Elsevier, London UK.

Arzel, O., England, M.H., Saenko, O.A., 2011. The Impact of Wind Stress Feedback on the Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Journal of Climate 24, 1965–1984. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3137.1

Ashe, B., McAneney, J., Pitman, A.J., 2011. Is the allocation of resources towards mitigation and response to fire in Australia optimal? Journal of Risk Research 14, 381–393. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2010.541561

Avis, C.A., Weaver, A., Meissner, K.J., 2011. Reduction in areal extent of high-latitude wetlands in response to permafrost thaw. Nature Geoscience 4, 444–448. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1160

Azcurra, C.S., Hughes, C.E., Parkes, S., Hollins, S.E., Gibson, J.J., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2011. A comparison between direct and pan-derived measurements of the isotopic composition of atmospheric waters. Presented at the MODSIM2011 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation., Accepted.

Baker, A., Azcurra, C., Bradley, C., McCabe, M.F., Fairchild, I.J., Evans, J.P., 2011. Forward modelling of the speleothem oxygen isotope paleoclimate proxy. Presented at the XVIII International Union for Quaternary Research Congress.

Beaumont, L., Pitman, A.J., Perkins, S.E., Zimmerman, N.E., Yoccoz, N.G., Thuiller, W., 2011. Impacts of climate change on the world’s most exceptional ecoregions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America - Biological Sciences 108, 2306–2311. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1007217108

Bormann, K., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2011. A New Approach to Snow Detection in Australia using MODIS & Landsat TM. Presented at the 34th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment, Accepted.

Caesar, J., Alexander, L.V., Trewin, B., Tse-ring, K., Sorany, L., Vuniyayawa, V., Keosavang, N., Shimana, A., Htay, M.M., Karmacharya, J., Jayasinghearachchi, D.A., Sakkamart, J., Soares, E., Hung, L.T., Thuong, L.T., Hue, C.T., Dung, N.T.T., Hung, P.V., Cuong, H.D., Cuong, N.M., Siribaha, S., 2011. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Indo-Pacific region from 1971 to 2005. International Journal of Climatology 31, 791–801. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2118

Cai, W., Cowan, T., Sullivan, A.M., Ribbe, J., Shi, G., 2011. Are anthropogenic aerosols responsible for the northwest Australia summer rainfall increase? A CMIP3 perspective and implications. Journal of Climate 24, 2556–2564. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3832.1

Cai, Y., Strauss, J., Parkes, S., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Griffiths, A.D., 2011. Stable water isotopes in land surface modeling: comparison with in-situ isotopic measurements. Presented at the 11th Australasian Environmental Isotope Conference & 4th Australasian Hydrogeology Research Conference.

Chae, J.H., Wu, D.L., Read, W.G., Sherwood, S.C., 2011. The role of tropical deep convective clouds on temperature, water vapor, and dehydration in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 10, 8963–8994. https://doi.org/10.5194/acpd-10-8963-2010

Ciasto, L.M., Alexander, M.A., Deser, C., England, M., 2011. On the persistence of cold-season SST anomalies associated with the Annular Modes. Journal of Climate 24, 2500–2515. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3535.1

Ciasto, L.M., England, M.H., 2011. Observed ENSO teleconnections to Southern Ocean SST anomalies diagnosed from a surface mixed layer heat budget. Geophysical Research Letters 38, L09701. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL046895

Clarke, H.C., Smith, P.L., Pitman, A.J., 2011. Regional signatures of future fire weather over Eastern Australia from Global Climate Models. International Journal of Wildland Fire 20, 550–562. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF10070

Collins, D., Sen Gupta, A., Power, S., Braganza, K., Brown, J.N., Brown, J.R., Cai, W., Church, J., Colman, R., Dowdy, A., Durack, P., Jones, D., Kuchinke, Y., Kuleshov, Y., Lorrey, A., Lucas, C., McGree, S., McInnes, K., Moise, A., Muir, L., Murphy, B., Phipps, S.J., Smith, I., Tilbrook, B., White, N., 2011. Chapter 3: Observed Climate Variability and Trends (R1), Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research. Australian Burea of Meteorology and CSIRO, Canberra.

Cook, C.G., Jones, R.T., Langdon, P.G., Leng, M.J., Zhang, E., 2011. New insights on Late Quarternary Asian palaeomonsoon variability and timing of the Last Glacial Maximum in southwestern China. Quarternary Science Reviews 30, 808–820. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.01.003

Cowan, T., Cai, W., 2011. The impact of Asian and non-Asian anthropogenic aerosols on 20th century Asian summer monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters 38, 5pp. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047268

d’Orgeville, M., England, M.H., Sijp, W.P., 2011. Buffered versus non-buffered ocean carbon reservoir variations: Application to the sensitivity of atmospheric pCO2 to ocean circulation changes. Geophysical Research Letters 38. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049823

Damien B. Irving, Sarah E. Perkins, Josephine R. Brown, Alex Sen Gupta, Aurel F. Moise, Bradley F. Murphy, Les C. Muir, Robert A. Colman, Scott B. Power, Francois P. Delage, Brown, J.N., 2011. Evaluating global climate models for the Pacific island region. Climate Research 49, 169–187. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01028

D’Arrigo, R., Abram, N., Ummenhofer, C.C., Palmer, J., Mudelsee, M., 2011a. Reconstructed streamflow for Citarum River, Java, Indonesia: linkages to tropical climate dynamics. Climate Dynamics 36, 451–462. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0717-2

D’Arrigo, R., Palmer, J., Ummenhofer, C.C., Kyaw, N.N., Krusic, P., 2011b. Three centuries of Myanmar monsoon climate variability inferred from teak tree rings. Geophysical Research Letters 38, L24705. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049927

Donat, M.G., Leckebusch, G.C., Wild, S., Ulbrich, U., 2011. Future changes in European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds in multi-model GCM and RCM simulations. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 11, 1351–1370. https://doi.org/10.594/nhess-11-1351-2011

Donat, M. G., Pardowitz, T., Leckebusch, G.C., Ulbrich, U., Burghoff, O., 2011a. High-resolution refinement of a storm loss model and estimation of return periods of loss-intensive storms over Germany. Natural Hazards Earth System Science 11, 2821–2833.

Donat, M. G., Renggli, D., Wild, S., Alexander, L.V., Leckebusch, G.C., Ulbrich, U., 2011b. Reanalysis suggests long-term upward trends in European storminess since 1871. Geophysical Research Letters 38, L14703. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047995

Dufour, C.O., Le Sommer, J., Penduff, T., Barnier, B., England, M.H., 2011. Structure and Causes of the Pulsation Mode in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current South of Australia. Journal of Physical Oceanography 41, 253–268. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JPO4193.1

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2011a. Estimating surface heat fluxes from remote sensing, process models and regional climate simulations. Presented at the EGU General Assembly 2011.

Ershadi, A, McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2011a. Surface heat fluxes from remote sensing, process models and regional climate simulations. Presented at the European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2011, p. XY311.

Ershadi, A, McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., 2011b. Issues of scale in surface heat flux retrieval using multi-resolution, multi-temporal satellite imagery. Presented at the XXV IUGG General Assembly; Earth on the Edge: Science for a Sustainable Planet.

Ershadi, A, McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Walker, J.P., 2011c. Evaluation of energy balance, combination, and complementary schemes for estimation of evaporation. Presented at the Hydro-climatology - Variability and Change Symposium, part of the 25th International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics General, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, Accepted, pp. 52–56.

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Walker, J.P., Pipunic, R., 2011b. Estimation of evaporation using the surface energy balance system (SEBS) and numerical models. Presented at the 34th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment, n/a.

Evans, J.P., 2011a. Regional scale projections - the NARCLIM Project. Presented at the Climate 11 - Impacts and adaptations.

Evans, J.P., 2011b. Regional climate projections for NSW. Presented at the Terrestrial Biodiversity and Climate Change adaptation in New South Wales Management and Policy, NCARF workshop.

Evans, J.P., 2011c. Dynamical downscaling across South East Australia. Presented at the South East Australia Climate Initiative annual workshop.

Evans, J.P., 2011d. CORDEX - An international climate downscaling initiative, in: Chan, F., Marinova, D., Anderssen, R.S. (Eds.), . Presented at the MODSIM2011, 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Accepted, pp. 2705–2711.

Evans, J.P., 2011e. CMIP5 Dynamic Downscaling. Presented at the CMIP5 Workshop.

Evans, J.P., Alsamawi, A., 2011. The Importance of the Zagros Mountains Barrier Jet to Future Precipitation in the Fertile Crescent. The Open Atmospheric Science Journal, 5, 87-95. https://doi.org/10.2174/1874282301105010087 

Evans, J.P., Ekstrom, M., . F.J., 2011. A physical ensemble investigation of the 8 July 2007 Newcastle storm. Presented at the Joint conference on Extreme Weather,.

Evans, J. P., M. Ekström, Ji, F., 2011a. Evaluating the performance of a WRF physics ensemble over South-East Australia. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1244-5

Evans, J. P., Pitman, A.J., Cruz, F.T., 2011b. Coupled atmospheric and land surface dynamics over southeast Australia: a review, analysis and identification of future research priorities. International Journal of Climatology 31, 1758–1772. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2206

Evans, J.P.M.F.M. and X.H.M., 2011. Modelling drought in south-east Australia using a regional climate model. Presented at the EGU General Assembly 2011.

Ganachaud, A., Sen Gupta, A.R., Orrell, J., Wijffels, S., Ridgway, K., Hermer, M., Maes, C., Steinberg, C., Tribollet, A., Qiu, B., Kruger, J., 2011. Observed and expected changes to the pacific ocean, in: Bell, J., Johnson, J., Hobday, A. (Eds.), Vulnerability of Fisheries and Aquaculture in the Pacific to Climate Change. Secretariat of the Pacific Community, New Caledonia.

Garcia-Garcia, D., Ummenhofer, C.C., Zlotnicki, V., 2011. Australian water mass variations from GRACE data linked to Indo-Pacific climate variability. Remote Sensing of Environment 115, 2175–2183. https://doi.org/10.116/j.rse.2011.04.007

Green, D.L., 2011. What legal recourse do non-state Islands have to obtain resources to adapt to climate change? Macquarie Journal of International and Comparative Environmental Law 7, 69–91. http://www.law.mq.edu.au/research/law_journals/macquarie_journal_of_international_and_comparative_environmental_law/

Hein, A.S., Fogwill, C.J., Sugden, D.E., Xu, S., 2011. Glacial/interglacial ice-stream stability in the Weddell Sea embayment, Antarctica. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 307(1–2), 211–221. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2011.04.037

Hill, K., Taschetto, A., England, M., 2011. Sensitivity of South American summer rainfall to tropical Pacific Ocean SST anomalies. Geophysical Research Letters 38, 6pp. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL045571

Hogg, A., Palmer, J., Boswijk, G., Turney, C., 2011. High-precision radiocarbon measurements of the tree-ring dated wood from New Zealand: 200 BC-AD 950. Radiocarbon 53, 529–542. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0033822200034639

Holbrook, N.J., Goodwin, I.D., McGregor, S., Molina, E., Power, S., 2011. ENSO to multi-decadal time scale changes in East Australian Current transports and Fort Denison sea level: oceanic Rossby waves as the connecting mechanism. Deep - Sea Research Part II - Topical Studies in Oceanography 58, 547–558. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.06.007

Ji, F., Evans, J.P., Ekstrom, M., 2011. Using dynamical downscaling to simulate rainfall for east coast low events. Presented at the MODSIM2011 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation.

Johnson, F., Westra, S., Sharma, A., Pitman, A.J., 2011. An Assessment of GCM Skill in Simulating Persistence across Multiple Time Scales. Journal of Climate 24, 3609–3623. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI3732.1

Kala, J., Lyons, T.J., Nair, U.S., 2011. Numerical Simulations of the Impacts of Land-Cover Change on Cold Fronts in South-West Western Australia. Boundary-Layer Meteorol 138, 121. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-010-9547-3

Kidston, J., Taschetto, A.S., Thompson, D.W.J., England, M.H., 2011. The influence of Southern Hemisphere sea-ice extent on the latitude of the mid-latitude jet stream. Geophysical Research Letters 38, L15804. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048056

Kvale, K.F., Meissner, K.J., d’Orgeville, M., Matear, R.J., McNeil, B.I., England, M.H., 2011. The combined impact of CO2-dependent parameterisations of Redfield and Rain ratios on ocean carbonate saturation. Biogeosciences Discussions 8, 6265. https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-8-6265-2011

Le Brocq, A.M., Bentley, M.J., Hubbard, A., Fogwill, C.J., Sugden, D.E., Whitehouse, P.L., 2011. Reconstructing The Last Glacial Maximum Ice Sheet In The Weddell Sea Embayment, Antarctica, Using Numerical Modelling Constrained By Field Evidence. Quaternary Science Reviews 30, 2422–2432. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.05.009

Liu, Y.Y., De Jeu, R.A.M., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., 2011a. Satellite‐based estimates of global change in vegetation moisture over mainland Australia (1988‐2008). Presented at the IUGG 2011.

Liu, Y.Y., De Jeu, R.A.M., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., 2011b. Global long-term passive microwave satellite-based retrievals of vegetation optical depth. Geophysical Research Letters 38. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048684

Liu, Y.Y., De Jeu, R.A.M., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., 2011c. Comparing Optical and Microwave Remote Sensing‐based Vegetation Density over Mongolia for 1988‐2006. Presented at the 34th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment.

Liu, Y.Y., McCabe, M.F., De Jeu, R.A.M., Evans, J.P., 2011d. Discriminating between climate and human-induced land degradation in Mongolia. Presented at the 34th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment, n/a.

Liu, Y.Y., Parinussa, R., Dorigo, W., de Jeu, R.A.M., Wagner, W., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J., 2011e. Developing an improved soil moisture dataset by blending passive and active microwave satellite-based retrievals. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 15, 425–436. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-425-2011

Mao, J., Phipps, S.J., Pitman, A.J., Wang, Y.P., Abramowitz, G., Pak, B., 2011a. The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model v1.0 coupled to the CABLE land surface scheme v1.4b: Evaluation of the control climatology. Geoscientific Model Development 4, 1115–1131. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-1115-2011

Mao, J., Pitman, A.J., Phipps, S.J., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.-P., 2011b. Global and regional coupled climate sensitivity to the parameterization of rainfall interception. Climate Dynamics 37, 171–186. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0862-7

McGregor, S., Timmermann, A., 2011. The effect of explosive tropical volcanism on ENSO. Journal of Climate 24, 2178–2191. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3990.1

McNeil, B.I., Sweeney, C., Gibson, J.A.E., 2011. Natural seasonal variability of aragonite saturation state within two Antarctic coastal ocean sites. Antarctic Science 23, 1–2. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0954102011000204

Meng, X., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2011. Numerical modelling and land-atmosphere feedback of drought in south-east Australia. Presented at the XXV IUGG General Assembly; Earth on the Edge: Science for a Sustainable Planet, IUGG2011, Accepted, pp. 144–149.

Montenegro, A., Spence, P., Meissner, K.J., Eby, M., Melchin, M.J., Johnston, S.T., 2011. Climate simulations of the Permian-Triassic boundary: Ocean acidification and the extinction event. Paleoceanography 26. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010PA002058

Nair, U.S., Wu, Y., Kala, J., Lyons, T.J., Pielke, R.A., Hacker, J.M., 2011. The role of land use change on the development and evolution of the west coast trough, convective clouds, and precipitation in southwest Australia. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH 116, D07103. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014950

Phipps, S.J., Rotstayn, L.D., Gordon, H.B., Roberts, J.L., Hirst, A.C., Budd, W.F., 2011. The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model version 1.0 - Part 1: Description and evaluation. Geoscientific Model Development 4, 483–509. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-483-2011

Pielke, R.A., Pitman, A.J., Niyogi, D., Mahmood, R., McAlpine, C., Hossain, F., Goldewijk, K.K., Udaysanker, N., Betts, R., Fall, S., Reichstein, M., Kabat, P., De Noblet-Ducourdre, N., 2011. Land use/land cover changes and climate: Modelling analysis and obeservational evidence. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.144

Pitman, A.J., Avila, F.B., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.P., Phipps, S.J., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Pitman, A.J., Avila, F.B., Abramowitz, G., Wang, Y.P., Phipps, S.J., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., 2011. Importance of background climate in determining impact of land-cover change on regional climate. Nat. Clim. Chang. 1, 472–475. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1294

Robinson, F.J., Sherwood, S.C., Gerstle, D., Liu, C., Kirshbaum, D.J., 2011. Exploring the land-ocean contrast in convective vigor using islands. Journal of the Atmospheric Science 68, 602–618. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3558.1

Saenko, O.A., Yang, X.-Y., England, M.H., Lee, W.G., 2011. Subduction and Transport in the Indian and Pacific Oceans in a 2 X CO2 Climate. Journal of Climate 24, 1821–1838. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3880.1

Santoso, A., Cai, W., England, M.H., Phipps, S.J., 2011. The role of the Indonesian Throughflow on ENSO dynamics in a coupled climate model. Journal of Climate 24, 585–601. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3745.1

Sen Gupta, A., 2011. The Pacific Community, fisheries, aquaculture and climate change: an introduction., in: Bell, J., Johnson, J., Hobday, A. (Eds.), Vulnerability of Fisheries and Aquaculture in the Pacific to Climate Change. Secretariat of the Pacific Community, Noumea.

Sen Gupta, A., McNeil, B.I., 2011. Variability and Change in the Ocean, in: Henderson-Sellers, A. and M., K. (Ed.), The Future of the World’s Climate. Elsevier Science.

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., Huber, M., 2011. Effect of the deepening of the Tasman Gateway on the global ocean. Paleoceanography 26, PA4207. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011PA002143

Speer, M.S., Phillips, J.A., Hanstrum, B.N., 2011. Meteorological aspects of the 31 March 2009 Coffs Harbour flash flood. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 61, 201–210.

Taschetto, A.S., Sen Gupta, A., Hendon, H.H., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2011. The contribution of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies on Australian summer rainfall during El Nino events. Journal of Climate 24, 3734–3747. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI3885.1

Thompson, D.W., Solomon, S., Kushner, P.J., England, M.H., Grise, K.M., Karoly, D.J., 2011. Signatures of the Antarctic ozone hole in Southern Hemisphere surface climate change. Nature Geoscience 4, 741–749. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1296

Thorne, P.W., Brohan, P., Titchner, H.A., McCarthy, M.P., Sherwood, S.C., Peterson, T.C., Haimberger, L., Parker, D.E., Tett, S.F.B., Santer, B.D., Fereday, D.R., Kennedy, J.J., 2011. A quantification of uncertainties in historical tropical tropospheric temperature trends from radiosondes. Journal of Geophysical Research 116, D12116. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015487

Turney, C., K. Richardson, Steffen, W., Liverman, D., 2011. Going back to the future: Sea-level rise in the past., in: Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges and Decisions. Cambridge University Press, ., UK, pp. 57–58.

Turney, C.S.M., Jones, R.T., 2011. Response to Comment on ‘Does the Agulhas Current amplify global temperatures during super-interglacials? Journal of Quaternary Science 26, 870–871. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.1556

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A., Briggs, P., England, M.H., McIntosh, P., Meyers, G., Pook, M., Raupach, M., Risbey, J., 2011a. Indian and Pacific Ocean influences on Southeast Australian drought and soil moisture. Journal of Climate 24, 1313–1336. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034006

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A., Li, Y., Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2011b. Multi-decadal modulation of the El Nino-Indian monsoon relationship by Indian Ocean variability. Environmental Research Letters 6. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034006

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A.R., Briggs, P.R., England, M.H., McIntosh, P.C., Meyers, G.A., Pook, M., Raupach, M.R., Risbey, J.S., 2011c. Corrigendum. Journal of Climate 24, 3796–3796. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00229.1

Van Sebille, E., Baringer, M.O., Johns, W., Meinen, C., Beal, L., De Jong, M.F., Van Aken, H., 2011. Propagation pathways of classical Labrador Sea water from its source region to 26N. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 116, C12027. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007171

Wang, Y.-P., Kowalczyk, E., Leuning, R., Abramowitz, G., Raupach, M., Pak, B., van Gorsel, E., Luhar, A., 2011. Diagnosing errors in a land surface model (CABLE) in the time and frequency domains. Journal of Geophysical Research 116, G01034. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JG001385

Zhang, Q., Wang, Y.-P., Pitman, A.J., Dai, Y.J., 2011. Limitations of nitrogen and phosphorus on the terrestrial carbon uptake in the 20th century. Geophysical Research Letters 38, L22701. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049244

Zhang, X., Alexander, L., Hegerl, G.C., Jones, P., Tank, A.K., Peterson, T.C., Trewin, B., Zwiers, F.W., 2011. Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2, 851–870. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.147

2010 PUBLICATIONS

Abramowitz, G., 2010. Model independence in multi-model ensemble prediction. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 59, 3–6.

Alexander, L.V., Uotila, P., Nicholls, N., Lynch, A., 2010. A new daily pressure dataset for Australia and its application to the assessment of changes in synoptic patterns during the last century. Journal of Climate 23, 1111–1126. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2972.1

Allen, R.J., Sherwood, S.C., 2010. Aerosol-cloud semi-direct effect and land-sea temperature contrast in a GCM. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L07702. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL042759

Arzel, O., de Verdière, A.C., England, M.H., 2010. The role of oceanic heat transport and wind stress forcing in abrupt millennial-scale climate transitions. Journal of Climate 23, 2233–2256. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3227.1

Bentley, M.J., Fogwill, C.J., Sugden D.E., Le Brocq, A.M., Hubbard, A., Dunai, T., Freeman, S., 2010. Deglaciation of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in the Weddell Sea precludes a major contribution to Meltwater Pulse1A. A Reply. Geology 39, 240. https://doi.org/10.1130/​G32140Y.1

Bentley, M.J., Fogwill, C.J...Le Brocq, A.M...Hubbard, A...Sugden D.E...Dunai, T. and Freeman, S.., 2010. Deglacial history of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in the Weddell Sea embayment: Constraints on past ice volume change. Geology 38, 411–414. https://doi.org/10.1130/G30754.1

Chae, J.H., Sherwood, S.C., 2010. Insights into cloud-top height and dynamics from seasonal cycle of cloud-top heights observed by MISR in the west Pacific region. Journal of the Atmospheric Science 67, 248. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS3099.1

Cruz, F.T., Pitman, A.J., McGregor, J., 2010a. Probabilistic simulations of the impact of increasing leaf-level atmospheric carbon dioxide on the global land surface. Climate Dynamics 34, 361–379. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0497-0

Cruz, F.T., Pitman, A.J., McGregor, J., Evans, J.P., 2010b. Contrasting regional responses to increasing leaf-level atmospheric carbon dioxide over Australia. Journal of Hydrometeorology 11, 296–314. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JHM1175.1

Cruz, F.T., Pitman, A.J., Wang, Y.-P., 2010c. Can the stomatal response to higher atmospheric carbon dioxide explain the unusual temperatures during the 2002 Murray-Darling Basin drought? Journal of Geophysical Research 115, 1. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD012767

d’Orgeville, M., Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., Meissner, K.J., 2010. On the control of glacial-interglacial atmospheric CO2 variations by the Southern Hemisphere westerlies. Geophysical Research Letters 37, 5. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL045261

Evans, J.P., 2010. Global warming impact on the dominant precipitation process in the Middle East. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 99, 389–402. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0151-8

Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2010. Regional climate simulation over Australia’s Murray-Darling basin: A multitemporal assessment. Journal of Geophysical Research 115. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD013816

Evans, J. P., McCabe, M.F., 2010. Evaluating a regional climate model’s ability to simulate the climate of the South-east coast of Australia., in: Burns, B.A., Davis, C., Kiss, A.E., Taylor, J.R. (Eds.), . Presented at the 17th National Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, IOP Conf. Ser: Earth Environ. Sci., p. 012004.

Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., Meng, X., 2010. Impact of dynamic albedo and vegetation fraction on the simulation of drought in south-east Australia using a regional climate model. Presented at the Remote Sensing and Hydrology 2010.

Fyke, J.G., Carter, L., Macintosh, A., Weaver, A., Meissner, K.J., 2010. Surface Melting over Ice Shelves and Ice Sheets as Assessed from Modeled Surface Air Temperatures. Journal of Climate 23, 1929–1936. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3122.1

Green, D., Minchin, L., 2010. Screw Light Bulbs: Smarter Solutions to Tackling Climate Change. Scribe, Melbourne.

Green, D. L., Alexander, L.V., McInnes, K., Church, J., Nicholls, N., White, N., 2010. An assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation for the Torres Strait Islands, Australia. Climatic Change 102, 405–433. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9756-2

Green, D.L., Billy, J., Tapim, A., 2010. Indigenous Australians’ knowledge of weather and climate. Climatic Change 100, 337–354. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9803-z

Green, D.L., Raygorodetsky, G., 2010. Indigenous knowledge of a changing climate. Climatic Change 100, 239–242. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9804-y

Knutti, R., Abramowitz, G., Collins, M., Eyring, V., Gleckler, P.J., Hewitson, B., Mearns, L., 2010. Good Practice Guidance Paper on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections (R2), Meeting Report of the IPCC Working Group I Technical Support Unit. University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.

Liu, Y., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., de Jeu, R.A.M., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., 2010. Comparing Passive Microwave Satellite Estimated and Regional Climate Model Simulated Soil Moisture over Murray Darling Basin in Australia (1988-2008). Presented at the The Fourth International Workshop on Catchment-scale Hydrological Modeling and Data Assimilation. http://ceop-cahmda.westgis.ac.cn/cahmda-iv/CAHMDA4%20Program.pdf

Liu, Y.Y., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., de Jeu, R.A.M., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Su, H., 2010a. Influence of cracking clays on satellite estimated and model simulated soil moisture. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 14, 979–990. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-14-979-2010

Liu, Y.Y., Parinussa, R., Dorigo, W., de Jeu, R.A.M., Wagner, W., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Van dijk, A.I.J.M., 2010b. Improving Satellite Soil Moisture Estimates by Combining Passive and Active Microwave Observations (1992-2008). Presented at the Remote Sensing and Hydrology 2010 Symposium.

Luffman, J.J., Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2010. Global and regional climate response to late twentieth-century warming over the Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate 23, 1660–1674. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3086.1

Macadam, I., Pitman, A.J., Whetton, P.H., Abramowitz, G., 2010. Ranking climate models by performance using actual values and anomalies: Implications for climate change impact assessments. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L16704. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL043877

McNeil, B.I., 2010a. Diagnosing coastal ocean CO2 interannual variability from a 40 year hydrographic time series station off the east coast of Australia. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 24, GB4034. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GB003870

McNeil, B.I., 2010b. A multi-decadal delay in the onset of corrosive “acidified” waters in the Ross Sea of Antarctica due to strong air-sea CO2 disequilibrium. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L19607. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044597

Meng, X., Evans, J.P., McCabe, M.F., 2010. Impact of satellite-derived albedo on water cycle simulations over Australia’s Murray-Darling Basin with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Presented at the The Fourth International Workshop on Catchment-scale Hydrological Modeling and Data Assimilation.

Newell, B.R., Pitman, A.J., 2010. The psychology of global warming: improving the fit between the science and the message. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91, 1003–1014. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2957.1

Nicholls, N., Uotila, P., Alexander, L.V., 2010. Synoptic influences on seasonal, interannual and decadal temperature variations in Melbourne, Australia. International Journal of Climatology 30, 1372–1381. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1965

Phipps, S.J., 2010. Technical Report: The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model v1.2. Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre.

Phipps, S.J., Brown, J.N., 2010. Understanding ENSO dynamics through the exploration of past climates. Presented at the PAGES 1st Young Scientists Meeting “Retrospective views on our planet’s future,” p. 012010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/9/1/012010

Rangan, H., Kull, C., Alexander, L.V., 2010. Forest plantations, water availability and regional climate change: controversies surrounding Acacia mearnsii plantations in the upper Palnis Hills, southern India. Regional Environmental Change 10, 103–117. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-009-0098-4

Raupach, M., Briggs, P., Haverd, V., Whan, K., Ummenhofer, C.C., 2010. Chapter 4: Impact of climate variability and change on the water balance in Program Annaul Report 2009/10, South Eastern Australian Climate Inititative (SEACI). CSIRO.

Roubicek, A.J., VanDerWal, J., Beaumont, L.J., Pitman, A.J., Wilson, P., Hughes, L., 2010. Does the choice of climate baseline matter in ecological niche modelling? Ecological Modelling 221, 2280–2286. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.06.021

Santoso, A., Sen Gupta, A.R., England, M.H., 2010. Genesis of Indian Ocean mixed layer temperature anomalies: a heat budget analysis. Journal of Climate 23, 5375–5403. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3072.1

Shaw, E.C., Gabric, A.J., McTainsh, G.H., 2010. Response to comment on ‘Impacts of aeolian dust deposition on phytoplankton dynamics in Queensland coastal waters.’ Marine and Freshwater Research 61. https://doi.org/10.1071/MF09192

Sherwood, S.C., 2010. Direct versus indirect effects of tropospheric humidity changes on the hydrologic cycle. Environmental Research Letters 5, 025206. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/025206

Sherwood, S.C., Huber, M., 2010. An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107, 9552–9555. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0913352107

Sherwood, S.C., Ingram, W., Tsushima, Y., Satoh, M., Roberts, M., Vidale, P.L., O’Gorman, P.A., 2010a. Relative humidity changes in a warmer climate. Journal of Geophysical Research 115, D09104. https://doi.org/10.1023/2009JD012585

Sherwood, S.C., Kjellstrom, T., Green, D.L., 2010b. Heat Stress in a Warming World. Australian Science 31.

Sherwood, S.C., Roca, R., Weckworth, T.M., Andronova, N., 2010c. Tropospheric water vapor, convection, and climate. Reviews of Geophysics 48, RG2001. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009RG000301

Spence, P., Fyfe, J., Montenegro, A., Weaver, A., 2010. Southern ocean response to strengthening winds in an eddy-permitting global climate model. Journal of Climate 23, 5332–5343. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3098.1

Taschetto, A.S., Haarsma, R.J., Sen Gupta, A., Ummenhofer, C.C., Hill, K.J., England, M.H., 2010a. Australian monsoon variability driven by a Gill-Matsuno type response to central-west Pacific warming. Journal of Climate 23, 4717–4736. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3474.1

Taschetto, A.S., Haarsma, R.J., Sen Gupta, A.R., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2010b. Teleconnections associated with the intensification of the Australian monsoon during El Niño Modoki events. IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci 11. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/11/1/012031

Ummenhofer, C.C., 2010. Southern Hemisphere regional precipitation and climate variability: Extremes, trends, and prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 23, 48–50.

Willett, K.M., Alexander, L.V., Thorne, P.W., 2010. State of the Climate in 2009. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91, S19–S51.

Zika, J., McDougall, T.J., Sloyan, B.M., 2010a. Weak mixing in the eastern North Atlantic: An application of the tracer-contour inverse method. Journal of Physical Oceanography 40, 1881–1893. https://doi.org/10.1172/2010JPO4360.1

Zika, J., McDougall, T.J., Sloyan, B.M., 2010b. A tracer-contour inverse method for estimating ocean circulation and mixing. Journal of Physical Oceanography 40, 26–47. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JPO4208.1

2009 PUBLICATIONS

Alexander, L.V., Arblaster, J., 2009. Assessing trends in observed and modelled climate extremes over Australia in relation to future projections. International Journal of Climatology 29, 417–435.

Alexander, L.V., Power, S., 2009. Severe storms inferred from 150 years of sub-daily pressure observations along Victoria’s “Shipwreck Coast.” Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 58, 129–133.

Alexander, L.V., Tapper, N., Zhang, X., Lynch, A., Fowler, H., Taebaldi, C., Lynch, A., 2009a. Climate Extremes: Progress and Future Directions. Editorial for Special Issue of International Journal of Climatology. International Journal of Climatology 29, 317–319.

Alexander, L.V., Uotila, P., Nicholls, N., 2009b. Influence of sea surface temperature variability on global temperature and precipitation extremes. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 114, D18116. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD012301

Allan, R., Tett, S., Alexander, L.V., 2009. Fluctuations in autumn-winter severe storms over the British Isles: 1920 to present. International Journal of Climatology 29, 357–371. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1765

Ashe, B., McAneney, K., Pitman, A.J., 2009. Total cost of fire in Australia. Journal of Risk Research 12, 121–136. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669870802648528

Bennett, N.M., Ummenhofer, C., Moran, R., 2009. Peculiarities of Murray Valley Encephalitis (MVE) epidemics in southeastern Australia: The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) as a predictor for epidemics. Victorian Infectious Disease Bulletin 12, 112–115.

Ciasto, L.M., Thompson, D.W.J., 2009. Observational Evidence of Reemergence in the Extratropical Southern Hemisphere. Journal of Climate 22, 1446–1453. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2545.1

d’Orgeville, M., Peltier, W.R., 2009. Implications of Both Statistical Equilibrium and Global Warming Simulations with CCSM3. Part I: On the Decadal Variability in the North Pacific Basin. Journal of Climate 22, 5277–5297. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2428.1

d’Orgeville, M, Peltier, W.R., 2009. Implications of Both Statistical Equilibrium and Global Warming Simulations with CCSM3. Part II: On the Multidecadal Variability in the North Atlantic Basin. Journal of Climate 22, 5289–5318. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2775.1

Dellnitz, M., Froyland, G., Horenkamp, C., Padberg-Gehle, K., Sen Gupta, A.R., 2009. Seasonal variability of the subpolar gyres in the Southern Ocean: a numerical investigation based on transfer operators. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 16, 655–663. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-16-655-2009

Dessler, A., Sherwood, S.C., 2009. Atmospheric Science: a matter of humidity. Science 323, 1020–1021.

England, M.H., Sen Gupta, A.R., Pitman, A.J., 2009. Constraining future greenhouse gas emissions by a cumulative target. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106, 16539–16540. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0908197106

Evans, J.P., 2009a. Water Balance in the Murray-Darling Basin and the recent drought as modelled with WRF, in: Anderssen, R.S., Braddock, R.D., Newham, L.T.H. (Eds.), . Presented at the 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand and International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, pp. 2790–2797.

Evans, J.P., 2009b. 21st Century climate change in the Middle East. Climatic Change 92, 417–432. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9438-5

Evans, J. P., 2009. Modelling Droughts and ENSO Cycles in the Murray-Darling Basin with a Regional Climate Model. Presented at the Proceedings of H2O 09: 32nd Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, Newcastle : Adapting to Change, Engineers Australia, Accepted, pp. 24–35. http://search.informit.com.au/documentSummary;dn=637248598644460;res=IELENG

Findell, K., Pitman, A.J., England, M.H., Pegion, P., 2009. Regional and global impacts of land over change and sea surface temperature anomalies. Journal of Climate 22, 3248–3269. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2580.1

Gitler, A., Chesi, A., Geddies, M., Strathearn, K., Hamamichi, S., Hill, K.J., Caldwell, K., Caldwell, G., Cooper, A., Rochet, J., Lindquist, S., 2009. α-Synuclein is part of a diverse and highly conserved interaction network that includes PARK9 and manganese toxicity. Nature Genetics 41, 308–315. https://doi.org/10.1038/ng.300

Green, D.L., 2009. Opal waters, rising seas: how sociocultural inequality reduces resilience to climate change among indigenous Australians, in: Crate, S., Nuttal, M. (Eds.), Anthropology and Climate Change. Left Coast Press, Walnut Creek, CA, USA.

Green, D.L., King, U., Morrison, J., 2009. Disproportionate burdens: the multidimensional impacts of climate change on the health of indigenous Australians. Medical Journal of Australia 190, 4–5.

Green, D.L., Ruddock, K., 2009a. Climate change impacts in the Torres Strait, Australia. Indigenous Law Bulletin 7, 8.

Green, D.L., Ruddock, K., 2009b. Is climate litigation the answer to the problems faced by Torres Strait Islanders? Sustainable Development Law and Policy IX, 23–31.

Griffies, S., Biastoch, A., Boening, C., Bryan, F., Chassignet, E., England, M.H., Gerdes, R., Haak, H., Hallberg, R., Hazeleger, W., Jungclaus, J., Large, W., Madec, G., Samuels, B., Scheinert, M., Sen Gupta, A.R., Severijns, C., Simmons, H., Treguier, A.-M., Winton, M., Yeager, S., Yin, J., 2009. Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments (COREs). Ocean Modelling 26, 1–46. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2008.08.007

Hill, K.J., Santoso, A., England, M.H., 2009a. Interannual Tasmanian rainfall variability associated with large-scale climate modes. Journal of Climate 22, 4383–4397. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2769.1

Hill, K.J., Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2009b. South American rainfall impacts associated with inter-El Nino variations. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L19702. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL040164

Kiktev, D., Caesar, J., Alexander, L.V., 2009. Temperature and precipitation extremes in the second half of the twentieth century from numerical modeling results and observational data. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics 45, 284–293.

Lamb, P.J., Leslie, L.M., Timmer, R.P., Speer, M.S., 2009. Multidecadal Variability of Eastern Australian Dust and Northern New Zealand Sunshine: Associations with Pacific Climate System. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 114, D09106. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD011184

Liu, Y.Y., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Dijk, A.I.J.M.V., Jeu, R.A.M. de, Su, H., 2009. Comparison of soil moisture in GLDAS model simulations and satellite observations over the Murray Darling Basin, in: Anderssen, R.S., Braddock, R.D., Newham, L.T.H. (Eds.), . Presented at the 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand and International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, pp. 2798–2804.

Marchesiello, P., Estrade, P., 2009. Eddy activity and mixing in the upwelling systems: a comparative study of northwest Africa and California regions. International Journal of Earth Sciences 98, 299–308. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00531-007-0235-6

McAneney, J., Chen, K., Pitman, A.J., 2009. 100-years of Australian bushfire property losses: Is the risk significant and is it increasing? Journal of Environmental Management 90, 2819–2833. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2009.03.013

McCabe, M.F., Liu, Y.Y., Vinukollu, R., Su, H., Evans, J.P., Wood, E.F., 2009. Comparison of latent heat flux estimates over Australia, in: Anderssen, R.S., Braddock, R.D., Newham, L.T.H. (Eds.), . Presented at the 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand and International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, pp. 2805–2811.

McGregor, S., Sen Gupta, A.R., Neil, J., Power, S., 2009. The modulation of ENSO variability in CCSM3 by extratropical Rossby waves. Journal of Climate 22, 5839–5853. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2922.1

McNeil, B.I., 2009. The Clean Industrial Revolution: Growing Australian Prosperity in a Greenhouse Age. Allen and Unwin.

McNeil, B.I., Tilbrook, B., 2009. A seasonal carbon budget for the sub-Antarctic Ocean, south of Australia. Marine Chemistry 115, 196–215. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marchem.2009.08.006

Moles, A., Warton, D., Warman, L., Swenson, N., Laffan, S.W., Zanne, A., Pitman, A.J., Hemmings, F.A., Leishman, M., 2009. Global patterns in plant height. Journal of Ecology 97, 923–932. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2745.2009.01526.x

Perkins, S.E., Pitman, A.J., 2009. Do weak AR4 models bias projections of future climate changes over Australia? Climatic Change 93, 527–558. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9502-1

Perkins, S.E., Pitman, A.J., Sisson, S.A., 2009. Smaller projected increases in 20-year temperature returns over Australia in skill-selected climate models. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L06710. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL037293

Phipps, S.J., 2009. Conference Report: Science meets Parliament, Canberra, Australia, 17-18 March 2009. Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society 22, 68–69.

Phipps, S.J., Gergis, J., Petherick, L., 2009. Report: PAGES 1st Young Scientists Meeting and 3rd Open Science Meeting, Corvallis, Oregon, USA, 6-11 July 2009. Quaternary Australasia 26, 8-9.

Pitman, A.J., De Noblet-Ducourdre, N., Cruz, F., Davin, E.L., Bonan, G.B., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Delire, C., Ganzeveld, L., Gayler, V., Hurk, B.J.J.M. van den, Lawrence, P.J., Molen, M.K. van der, Mueller, C., Reick, C.H., Seneviratne, S.I., Strengers, B., Voldoire, A., 2009. Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L14814.

Pitman, A.J., Perkins, S.E., 2009. Global and regional comparison of daily 2-m and 1000-hPa maximum and minimum temperatures in three global reanalyses. Journal of Climate 22, 4667–4681. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00122.1

Pook, M., Lisson, S., Risbey, J., Ummenhofer, C.C., McIntosh, P., Rebbeck, M., 2009. The Autumn break for cropping in Southeast Australia: trends, synoptic influences and impacts on wheat yields. International Journal of Climatology 29, 2012–2026. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1833

Risbey, J., Pook, M.J., McIntosh, P.C., Ummenhofer, C.C., Meyers, G., 2009. Characteristics and variability of synoptic features associated with cool season rainfall in southeastern Australia. International Journal of Climatology 29, 1595–1613. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1775

Sen Gupta, A.R., Santoso, A., Taschetto, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., Trevena, J., England, M.H., 2009. Projected changes to the Southern Hemisphere ocean and sea-ice in the IPCC AR4 climate models. Journal of Climate 22, 3047–3078. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2827.1

Sherwood, S.C., Andronova, N., Fetzer, E., Kursinski, E., 2009. What can water vapor reveal about past and future climate change? EOS Transactions American Geophysical Union 90, 122.

Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2009a. Southern Hemisphere westerly wind control over the ocean’s thermohaline circulation. Journal of Climate 22, 6639–6652. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2310.1

Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2009b. Atmospheric moisture transport determines climatic response to the opening of the Drake Passage. Journal of Climate 22, 2483–2493. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2476.1

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., 2009. The control of polar haloclines by along-isopycnal diffusion in climate models. Journal of Climate 22, 486–498. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2513.1

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H., Toggweiler, J.R., 2009. Effect of ocean gateway changes under greenhouse warmth. Journal of Climate 22, 6639–6652. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3003.1

Speer, M.S., Leslie, L.M., Fierro, A.O., 2009a. Australian east coast rainfall decline related to large scale climate drivers. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0726-1

Speer, M.S., Wiles, P., Pepler, A., 2009b. Low pressure systems off the New South Wales coast and associated hazardous weather: establishment of a database. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 50, 29–39.

Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2009a. El Niño Modoki impacts on Australian rainfall. Journal of Climate 22, 3167–3174. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2589.1

Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2009b. An analysis of late 20th Century trends in Australian rainfall. International Journal of Climatology 29, 791–807. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1736

Taschetto, A.S., Sen Gupta, A.R., Ummenhofer, C.C., England, M.H., 2009a. How does El Niño Modoki affect the Australian monsoon? Clivar Exchanges 14, 35–47.

Taschetto, A.S., Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A.R., England, M.H., 2009b. Effect of anomalous warming in the central Pacific on the Australian monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L12704. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL038416

Ummenhofer, Caroline C., England, M.H., Sen Gupta, A.R., Taschetto, A.S., Pook, M., Risbey, J., McIntosh, P.C., Meyers, G., 2009a. What causes southeast Australia’s worst droughts? Geophysical Research Letters 36, L04706. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL036801

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A.R., England, M.H., 2009. Causes of late-twentieth century trends in New Zealand precipitation. Journal of Climate 22, 3–19.

Ummenhofer, C. C., Sen Gupta, A.R., England, M.H., Reason, C.J.C., 2009b. Contributions of Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures to enhanced East African rainfall. Journal of Climate 22, 993–1013. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2493.1

Ummenhofer, C. C., Sen Gupta, A.R., Taschetto, A.S., England, M.H., 2009c. Modulation of Australian precipitation by meridional gradients in east Indian Ocean sea surface temperature. Journal of Climate 22, 5597–5610.

Zika, J., Sloyan, B., McDougall, T., 2009. Diagnosing the Southern Ocean overturning from tracer fields. Journal of Physical Oceanography 39, 2926–2940. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JPO4052.1

2008 PUBLICATIONS

Abramowitz, G., Gupta, H., 2008. Toward a model space and model independence metric. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L05705. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032834

Abramowitz, G., Leuning, R., Clark, M., Pitman, A.J., 2008. Evaluating the performance of land surface models. Journal of Climate 21, 5468–5481. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2378.1

Aiken, C., England, M.H., 2008. Sensitivity of the present-day climate to freshwater forcing associated with Antarctic sea-ice loss. Journal of Climate 21, 3936–3946. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1901.1

Arzel, O., England, M.H., Sijp, W., 2008a. Reduced stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation due to wind-stress feedback during glacial times. Journal of Climate 21, 6260–6282. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2291.1

Arzel, O., Fichefet, T., Goosse, H., Dufresne, J., 2008b. Causes and impacts of changes in the Arctic freshwater budget during the twentieth and twenty-first centuries in the AOGCM. Climate Dynamics 30, 37–58. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0258-5

Beaumont, L.J., Hughes, L., Pitman, A.J., 2008. Why is the choice of future climate scenarios for species distribution modelling important? Ecology Letters 11, 1135–1146. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01231.x

Drost, F., England, M.H., 2008. Twentieth century trends in moisture advection over Australia. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 100, 243–256. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-008-0307-6

England, M.H., 2008. Water mass variability and change in the Southern Ocean. Trans. Roy. Soc. Vic. 120, i–iv.

Evans, J.P., Zaitchik, B., 2008. Modelling the large scale water balance impact of different irrigation systems. Water Resources Research 44, W08448. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007WR006671

Green, D.L., 2008. Climate Change and Health: Impacts on Remote Indigenous Communities in Northern Australia, in: Climate Change and Human Health: Global Perspectives. Icfai University Press: India.

McNeil, B.I., 2008. Global Ecology of the Oceans and Coasts, in: Patterson, M., Glavovic, B. (Eds.), Ecological Economics of the Oceans and Coasts. pp. 27–51.

McNeil, B.I., Mataer, R., 2008. Southern Ocean acidification: a tipping point at 450ppm atmospheric CO2. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 105, 18860–18864. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1307/6/46/462002

Moles, A., Pitman, A.J., Wright, I.J., Murray, B.R., Westoby, M., 2008. Is there a latitudinal gradient in seed production. Journal of Ecography 32, 78–82. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2008.05613.x

Pitman, A.J., Perkins, S.E., 2008. Regional projections of future seasonal and annual changes in rainfall. Earth Interactions 12, 1–50. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008EI260.1

Santoso, A., England, M.H., 2008. Antarctic Bottom Water Variability in a Coupled Climate Model. Journal of Physical Oceanography 38, 1870–1893. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JPO3741.1

Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2008. The effect of a northward shift in the southern hemisphere westerlies on the global ocean. Progress in Oceanography 79, 1–19.

Speer, M., 2008. On the late twentieth century decrease in Australian east coat rainfall extremes. Atmospheric Science Letters 9, 160–170. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.191

Taschetto, A.S., England, M., 2008. Estimating ensemble size requirements of AGCM simulations. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 100, 23–26. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-008-0293-8

Taschetto, A.S., Wainer, I., 2008a. The impact of subtropical South Atlantic SST of South American precipitation. Annales Geophysicae 26, 3457–3476.

Taschetto, A.S., Wainer, I., 2008b. Reproducibility of South American precipitation due to subtropical South Atlantic SSTs. Journal of Climate 21, 2835–2851. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1865.1

Tong, S., Mackenzie, J., Pitman, A.J., Fitzgerald, G., Nicholls, N., Selvey, L., 2008. Global climate change: time to mainstream health risks and their prevention on the medical research and policy agenda. Internal Medicine Journal 38, 445–447. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1445-5994.2008.01688.x

Trevena, Jessica, Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2008. North Atlantic deep water collapse triggered by Southern Ocean meltwater pulse in a glacial state. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L09704. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL033236

Trevena, J, Sijp, W., England, M.H., 2008. Stability of Antarctic bottom water formation to freshwater fluxes and implications for global climate. Journal of Climate 21, 3310–3326. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI2212.1

Ummenhofer, C.C., Sen Gupta, A.R., Pook, M., England, M.H., 2008. Anomalous rainfall over Southwest Western Australia forced by Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures. Journal of Climate 21, 5113–5134. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2227.1

Wainer, I., Taschetto, A.., 2008. Climatologia dos parametros de superficie marinha da regiao sudeste da costa brasileira: enfase na regiao de Sao Sebastiao, in: Vanin, A.M.S.P. (Ed.), Oceanografia de Um Ecossistema Subtropical: Platforma de Sao Sebastiao, SP. EDUSP., pp. 41–58.

Zika, J., McDougall, T.J., 2008. Vertical and lateral mixing processes deducted from the Mediterranean. Journal of Physical Oceanography 38, 164–176. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JPO3507.1

2007 PUBLICATIONS

Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A., Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A., 2007. Systematic bias in land surface models. J. Hydrometeorol. 8, 989–1001. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm628.1

Alloway, B.V., Lowe, D.J., Barrell, D.J.A., Newnham, R.M., Almond, P.C., Augustinus, P.C., Bertler, N.A.N., Carter, L., Litchfield, N.J., McGlone, M.S., Shulmeister, J., Vandergoes, M.J., Williams, P.W., Anderson, B., Brackley, H., Burge, P., Carter, J., Cochran, U., Cooke, P., Crampton, J., Crouch, E., Crundwell, M., Deng, Y., Drost, F., Graham, I., Harper, M., Hayward, B., Hendy, C., Hollis, C., Hughes, M., Kennedy, D., Kennedy, L., King, D., Mackintosh, A., Manighetti, B., Marra, M., Mildenhall, D., Morgenstern, U., Naish, T., Neil, H., Nobes, D., Page, M., Palmer, A., Prior, C., Rieser, U., Rother, H., Shane, P., Strong, P., Suggate, P., Thomson, J., Tonkin, P., Trustrum, N., Van Dissen, R., Vucetich, C., Wilmshurst, J., Woodward, C., Zondervan, A., Alloway, B.V., Lowe, D.J., Barrell, D.J.A., Newnham, R.M., Almond, P.C., Augustinus, P.C., Bertler, N.A.N., Carter, L., Litchfield, N.J., McGlone, M.S., Shulmeister, J., Vandergoes, M.J., Williams, P.W., Anderson, B., Brackley, H., Burge, P., Carter, J., Cochran, U., Cooke, P., Crampton, J., Crouch, E., Crundwell, M., Deng, Y., Drost, F., Graham, I., Harper, M., Hayward, B., Hendy, C., Hollis, C., Hughes, M., Kennedy, D., Kennedy, L., King, D., Mackintosh, A., Manighetti, B., Marra, M., Mildenhall, D., Morgenstern, U., Naish, T., Neil, H., Nobes, D., Page, M., Palmer, A., Prior, C., Rieser, U., Rother, H., Shane, P., Strong, P., Suggate, P., Thomson, J., Tonkin, P., Trustrum, N., Van Dissen, R., Vucetich, C., Wilmshurst, J., Woodward, C., Zondervan, A., 2007. Towards a climate event stratigraphy for New Zealand over the past 30 000 years (NZ-INTIMATE project). Journal of Quaternary Science 22, 9–35. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.1079

Arzel, O., de Verdiere, A.C., Huck, T., Arzel, O., de Verdiere, A.C., Huck, T., 2007. On the origin of interdecadal oscillations in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Tellus Ser. A-Dyn. Meteorol. Oceanol. 59, 367–383. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2007.00227.x

Baird, M.E., Suthers, I.M., Baird, M.E., Suthers, I.M., 2007. A size-resolved pelagic ecosystem model. Ecol. Model. 203, 185–203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.11.025

Beaumont, L., Pitman, A.J., Hughes, L., Poulsen, M., 2007. Where will species go? Incorporating new advances in climate modelling into projections of species distributions. Global Change Biology 13, 1368–1385. https://doi.org/10.1111/j