Fraser Lott - Event Attribution: Past, Present and Future

Event type: 
26 October 2017
2.30 - 3.30pm

Climate Change Research Centre, Seminar Room, Mathews Building 4th floor, UNSW, Sydney

Fraser Lott
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
Climate Change Research Centre, UNSW, Australia

Attribution of extreme events has come a long way in a short time. At the turn of the 21st century we still believed that climate change couldn't be seen in individual events. Now, large collaborations like Eucleia and its successor, Eupheme, are bringing us ever closer to attribution on an operational basis. What ideas do we have for the next steps in event attribution?


Brief Biography: Fraser did a PhD in Plasma Physics at Imperial College London and a postdoc at CEA Cadarache in France, both applying infrared imaging to potential fusion reactor exhausts. He then moved to the Met Office and briefly worked on developing an infrared satellite-based climate dataset before moving into detection and attribution of climate change. Fraser's have looked at optimal detection of radiosonde temperature and dry spell attribution in East Africa, then spent a few years examining reliability in attribution, with a quick break to examine it in solar flares instead! Having exhausted his interest in that, he's now investigating where land use fits within the event attribution problem.